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PRICE CHART
MARKET NEWS Indeks pada perdagangan jumat lalu bergerak dalam kisaran sempit antara level 5096 – 5130 dan akhirnya ditutup menguat tipis 14.48 poin pada level 5122.10. Pergerakan saham-saham unggulan cenderung mixed sehingga berhasil menahan penurunan indeks lebih dalam. Meredanya aksi jual pada saham BMRI (sebelumnya turun 8%) dan stabilisasi nilai tukar Rupiah yang dilakukan Bank Indonesia sedikit memberikan sentimen positif terhadap pasar. Pola pergerakan indeks pada hari jumat masih berada di bawah garis MA jangka pendeknya sehingga diperkirakan indeks masih akan rentan terhadap berita/sentimen pasar yang negatif.
^JKSE - Weekly 11/18/2016 Open 5194.93, Hi 5202.31, L o 50 43.35, Close 517 0.11 (-1.2%) MA(Close,21) = 5,285.72, BBTop (Close,21,2) = 5,597.02, BBBo t(Close,21,2) = 4,974.41 5 ,70 0 5,597.02 5 ,60 0 5 ,50 0 5 ,40 0 5 ,30 0 5,285.72 5 ,20 0 5,170.11 5 ,10 0 5 ,00 0 4,974.41 4 ,90 0 4 ,80 0 4 ,70 0 4 ,60 0 4 ,50 0 4 ,40 0 4 ,30 0 4 ,20 0 4 ,10 0 4 ,00 0 3 ,90 0 Apr Jul ^JKSE - RSI(14) = 48 .28
Oct
201 4
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Ju l
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20 15
Apr
Jul
Oct
2016
Apr
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Oct 70
Faktor global, indeks Dow Jones dan Nasdaq pada perdagangan jumat lalu ditutup menguat tipis masing-masing +0.36% dan +0.34% karena berlanjutnya sentimen positif optimisme pelaku pasar terhadap rencana Trump untuk memacu pertumbuhan ekonomi AS. Selain itu, pelaku pasar juga mencermati aktifitas sektor ritel selama “black Friday” (awal musim belanja hari Natal di AS). Penguatan indeks global tertahan melemahnya harga minyak mentah dunia sebesar 4% ke level US$46.06 per barel. Sentimen pasar global bervariasi sehingga diperkirakan pengaruhnya cenderung netral terhadap indeks BEI hari ini. Selain itu, masih adanya kekhawatiran terhadap berlanjutnya capital outflow menyusul meningkatnya ekspektasi bahwa The Fed akan menaikkan suku bunga pada bulan Desember, diperkirakan masih akan membayangbayangi pasar saham minggu ini. Investor sebaiknya berhati-hati dalam melakukan day trading. Aspek teknikal, indeks pada perdagangan hari ini diperkirakan akan bergerak netral sampai dengan melemah. Range pergerakan indeks pada hari ini diperkirakan akan berkisar antara 5,050 - 5,190. Sedangkan, untuk minggu ini indeks juga masih rawan tekanan sehingga diperkirakan akan kembali melemah dengan perkiraan range mingguan diantara 5,000-5,260.
W H AT ’ S I N T H E PA C K
SILO – BUY
MDLN – BUY
Harga dapat bertahan diatas garis moving average 20-harinya sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp10,300 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp10,900.
Harga berpotensi untuk melakukan rebound sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp344 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp370.
48 .276 30 ^JKSE - Volum e = 39 ,67 5,77 2,92 8.0 0, MA(Volume,5) = 53,101,170,688.00
53,101,170,688 50,000M 40,000M 39,675,772,928 30,000M 20,000M 10,000M
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.ami broker.com
KEY INDICES Prev Close MSCI Indonesia MSCI Asia-Ex Japan KLCI FSSTI SET Hang Seng Nikkei Shanghai Comp Dow Jones
5,830.6 521.9 1,627.3 2,859.3 1,500.4 22,723.5 18,381.2 3,261.9 19,152.1
Chg (%) 5.9 3.0 3.0 15.6 10.3 115.0 47.8 20.2 69.0
YTD (%) 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.4
Source: Bloomberg
TOP VOLUME Stock Trada Maritime Bumi Resources Sentul City Delta Dunia Central Proteinaprima
Price (Rp) 192 282 95 560 51
Chg (%) 11.0 1.4 1.1 2.8 (1.9)
Vol (‘000) 549,699 269,591 255,135 200,861 114,638
Price (Rp) 192 1,650 2,000 825 2,610
Chg (%) 11.0 6.1 5.3 5.1 4.8
Vol (‘000) 549,699 0.2 51 41,794 63,706
TOP GAINERS Stock Trada Maritime Bank OCBC NISP Sampoerna Agro Indika Energy Perusahaan Gas Negara
TOP LOSERS Stock Bank Rakyat Ind. Bank CIMB Niaga Bank Danamon Kalbe Farma Medco Energi
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Price (Rp) 10,925 800 3,320 1,410 1,280
Chg (%) (3.3) (3.0) (2.9) (2.4) (2.3)
Vol (‘000) 38,603 3,839 918 44,719 5,581
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TRADERS’ CORNER
Siloam Hospital (SILO IJ) Technical buy with 6% potential return Resistance : Rp10,400 & Rp10,900 Support : Rp10,175 & Rp10,000 Pergerakan harga saham SILO masih terperangkap dalam pergerakan konsolidasi atau range trading. Namun demikian harga masih dapat bertahan dengan baik diatas garis moving average 20-harinya dan terlihat adanya potensi untuk melakukan break di range atas pada perdagangan hari ini. Pergerakan indikator RSI terlihat sedikit datar namun masih bertahan diatas wilayah bullish sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp10,300 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp10,900.
Modernland Realty (MDLN IJ) Technical buy with 7% potential return Resistance : Rp350 & Rp370 Support : Rp335 & Rp330 Pergerakan harga saham MDLN yang sudah turun cukup dalam pada beberapa hari sebelumnya terlihat berpotensi untuk melakukan rebound lanjutan pada perdagangan hari ini. Hal ini terlihat dari pembentukan candlestick bullish pada perdagangan Jumat kemarin yang berpotensi membentuk pola triple bottom. Pergerakan indikator juga terlihat sudah keluar dari zona jenuh jual sehingga aksi beli dapat dilakukan di level Rp344 dengan target keuntungan di level Rp370.
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CORPORATE NEWS Lippo Karawaci (LPKR): Perseroan menargetkan pendapatan 2017 akan tumbuh sebesar 20% yoy. Pertumbuhan pendapatan 2017 tersebut dapat lebih tinggi lagi jika penjualan mal kepada LMIRT dapat terealisasi pada tahun depan. Perseroan akan menjual 1 mal di Yogyakarta dan diperkirakan meningkatkan pertumbuhan pendapatan 2017 menjadi sebesar 22% yoy. (Investor Daily) Waskita Karya (WSKT): Perseroan menargetkan kontrak baru 2017 sebesar Rp80 triliun atau naik 5.2% dari target kontrak baru tahun ini sebesar Rp76 triliun. Perseroan menargetkan laba bersih 2017 tumbuh 53%-64.7% menjadi Rp2.6-2.8 triliun dibandingkan dengan target laba bersih 2016 sebesar Rp1.7 triliun. Peningkatan kinerja laba 2017 tersebut ditopang oleh target kontrak baru diatas dan kontrak carry over 2016 sebesar Rp84 triliun. Perseroan pada tahun depan menganggarkan belanja modal sebesar Rp30.7 triliun atau naik 207% dibandingkan dengan anggaran belanja modal 2016 sebesar Rp10 triliun. Dana belanja modal akan digunakan untuk ekspansi jalan tol sebesar Rp25 triliun, divisi energi sebesar Rp1.9 triliun, divisi realty sebesar Rp1 triliun dan kebutuhan konstruksi umum sebesar Rp900 miliar. Sementara itu, anak usaha Perseroan, PT Waskita Beton Precast Tbk (WSBP) mendapatkan alokasi belanja modal sebesar Rp2 triliun. Dana belanja modal akan diperoleh dari pendanaan eksternal seperti pinjaman bank dan obligasi. (Investor Daily) Indosat (ISAT): Perseroan berencana melepas sebagian saham anak usahanya, PT Artajasa Pembayaran Elektronis melalui alternatif penjualan kepada mitra strategis atau IPO. Sementara itu, Perseroan pada tahun depan menganggarkan belanja modal 2017 sebesar Rp7 triliun. Dana belanja modal sebesar 70% akan digunakan untuk pengembangan jaringan telekomunikasi terutama layanan data. Dana belanja modal akan diperoleh dari kas internal Perseroan. (Investor Daily) Surya Citra Media (SCMA): Perseroan akan membagikan dividen interim 2016 sebesar Rp55 dengan cum dividen di pasar reguler tanggal 2 Desember 2016. (Investor Daily) Elnusa (ELSA): Perseroan menyiapkan belanja modal 2017 senilai Rp1 triliun untuk mendanai proyek yang berjalan pada tahun 2017. Sementara itu, Perseroan hingga saat ini telah mendapatkan kontrak baru senilai US$77 juta dengan kontributor utama sebesar 57% berasal dari jasa operation maintenance. (Investor Daily) Budi Starch and Sweetener (BUDI): Perseroan menargetkan pertumbuhan pendapatan 2017 sebesar 10% yoy dibandingkan dengan target pendapatan tahun ini sebesar Rp2.7 triliun. Perseroan juga menargetkan laba bersih 2017 naik 10% yoy vs target tahun ini sebesar Rp40 miliar. Peningkatan kinerja 2017 tersebut ditopang oleh pasokan bahan baku singkong tahun depan yang meningkat dibandingkan tahun ini sehingga produksi juga bisa ditingkatkan. (Bisnis Indonesia) United Tractor (UNTR): Perseroan mencatat penjualan alat berat sebanyak 1.806 unit hingga Oktober 2016. Angka tersebut masih dibawah penjualan pada periode yang sama tahun lalu yang mencapai 1.870 unit. Namun demikian untuk Oktober 2016 saja, perseroan mencatat penjualan sebesar 218 unit atau naik 207% dibanding Oktober 2015 yang hanya 71 unit. (Kontan) Kino Indonesia (KINO): Perseroan menargetkan pertumbuhan penjualan tahun depan sebesar 8% yoy dengan mengalokasikan dana sebesar Rp80 miliar untuk belanja modal. Sementara itu, hingga akhir tahun ini, perseroan menargetkan penjualan akan mencapai Rp3.6 triliun. (Kontan) Dividen Stock TOTO MPMX POWR
Curr IDR IDR USD/IDR
Amount 5.000000 10.000000 0.0006216
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Cumm date 21-Nov-16 23-Nov-16 23-Nov-16
Ex-date 22-Nov-16 24-Nov-16 24-Nov-16
Payment date 16-Dec-16 16-Dec-16 9-Dec-16
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Waran
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WARAN SERI I BUANA LISTYA TAMA Tbk
BULL-W
170
22-Mei-14
2
WARAN SERI II KRESNA GRAHA SEKURINDO Tbk
KREN-W
180
08-Jul-14
3
WARAN SERI I POOL ADVISTA INDONESIA Tbk
POOL-W
262
11-Jul-14
4
WARAN SERI I STAR PETROCHEM Tbk
STAR-W
102
13-Jul-14
5
WARAN SERI V CLIPAN FI NANCE INDONESI A Tbk
CFIN-W5
450
06-Okt-14
6
WARAN SERI II ASURANSI MULTI ARTHA GUNA Tbk
AMAG-W2
175
09-Okt-14
7
WARAN SERI V PANIN FINANCIAL Tbk
PNLF-W5
130
07-Nop-14
8
WARAN SERI I CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES Tbk
DKFT-W
250
05-Des-14
9
WARAN SERI I EUREKA PRIMA JAKARTA Tbk
LCGP-W
0
10-Nop-14
WARAN SERI I INOVIS I INFRACOM Tbk WARAN SERI I BEKASI FAJAR INDUSTRI AL ESTATE Tbk
INVS-W
165 200
08-Mei-15 10-Apr-15
Waran Seri I Gading Development Tbk WARAN SERI I NIRVANA DEVELOPMENT Tbk
GAMA-W
13
NIRO-W
105 110
16-Jul-15 11-Sep-15
14
WARAN SERI I BANK SINAR MAS Tbk
BSIM-W
149
11-Des-15
15
WARAN SERI II SUGIH ENERGY Tbk
SUGI-W
100
21-Mei-15
16
Waran Seri I Bank Windu Kentjana International Tbk
MCOR-W
200
10-Jul-15
17
WARAN SERI I SOLUSI TUNAS PRATAMA Tbk
SUPR-W
4800 28-Agust-15
18 19
WARAN SERI II MOBILE-8 TELECOM Tbk WARAN SERI I NUSA RAYA CIPTA Tbk
FREN-W NRCA-W
1000 1.050
05-Jan-16 27-Jun-16
20
WARAN SERI VI BANK VICTORIA INTERNATIONAL Tbk
BVIC-W3
100
01-Jul-16
21
WARAN SERI I VICTORI A INVESTAMA Tbk
VICO-W
125
08-Jul-16
22
WARAN SERI II PANORAMA TRANSPORTASI Tbk
WEHA-W
175
12-Jul-16
23
WARAN SERI I MULTI AGRO GEMILANG PLANTATION Tbk
MAGP-W
160
15-Jul-16
24
MCOR-W2
25
WARAN SERI II BANK WINDU KENTJANA INTERNATIONAL Tbk WARAN SERI I TIPHONE MOBI LE INDONESIA Tbk
TELE-W
190 310
02-Des-16 10-Jan-17
26
WARAN SERI I ASURANSI MITRA MAPARYA Tbk
AS MI-W
360
13-Jan-17
27
WARAN SERI I BANK PANIN SYARIAH Tbk
PNBS-W
110
14-Jan-17
28
WARAN SERI II BANK SINARMAS TBK
BSIM-W2
250
29-Jun-17
29
Waran Seri I Trisula International Tbk
TRIS-W
300
28-Jun-17
30
Waran Seri I Tri Banyan Tirta Tbk
ALTO-W
260
07-Jul-17
31
BIPP-W
32
Waran Seri III Bhuwanatala Indah Permai Tbk WARAN SERI I SARASWATI GRIYA LESTARI Tbk
HOTL-W
100 220
13-Des-17 09-Jan-18
33
WARAN SERI II BANK CAPITAL INDONESIA Tbk
BACA-W
100
08-Okt-18
34
WARAN SERI I ARPENI PRATAMA OCEAN LINE Tbk
APOL-W
120
28-Jun-22
10 11 12
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