Daily Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis March 19, 2013

Daily Technical Analysis

IHSG

Support 2 4.734 / 4.757

Support 1 4.782 / 4.797

Price 4.802

Resist 1 4.825 / 4.848

Resist 2 4.876 / 4.898

Kondisi Daily Oversold Dapat Picu IHSG Technical Rebound. omentum penurunan IHSG jangka pendek diperkirakan terbatas, berkat stochastic Oversold, candle Small Hanging Man, buying power sama kuat dengan selling power, kemungkinan dalam corrective wave b/4 bearish, masih dalam fase akumulasi & ditutup diatas area 4.757-4.765, untuk capai target 4.854/4.898. Resist: 4.825/4.848/4.876/ 4.898. Support: 4.797/4.782/4.757/4.734. Perkiraan range: 4.770 - 4.840.

Technical Analyst Analyst

: Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected])

Junior Analyst

: Nadya Isnaeni ([email protected])

Daily Technical Analysis dapat dilihat di website BNI Securities: www.bnisecurities.co.id

1


Daily Technical Analysis Table Ticker

Recommendation

Price S3

S2

S1

PP

R1

R2

R3

Explanation

Sektor Pertambangan (JAKMINE)

ADRO SELL, kecuali naik diatas PTBA SELL, kecuali naik diatas

1,550 1500 1410 1460 1480 1510 1530 1560 1610 trend neutral, black marubozu, low vol, stoch bearish 15,800 15350 14367 14817 15083 15267 15533 15717 16167 trend neutral, black marubozu, vol decrease, stoch bearish

Sektor Keuangan (JAKFIN)

BBRI Spec. Buy, stoploss dibawah 8,400 8550 8133 8383 8467 8633 8717 8883 9133 trend bearish, three black crows, high vol, stoch bearish oversold BBNI Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 4,575 4700 4483 4583 4642 4683 4742 4783 4883 trend bearish, tweezer bottom, vol decrease, stoch oversold BBCA Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 10,400 10650 10450 10550 10600 10650 10700 10750 10850 trend neutral, candle doji, vol increase, stoch bearish sektor Infrastruktur, Utilitas dan Transportasi (JAKINFR)

TLKM Spec. Buy, stoploss dibawah 10,150 10400 9800 10100 10250 10400 10550 10700 11000 trend bearish, tweezer bottom, vol increase, stoch oversold PGAS Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 5,150 5400 5167 5267 5333 5367 5433 5467 5567 trend neutral, candle doji, vol decraese, stoch bullish Sektor Properti & Real Estate (JAKPROP)

ASRI Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 960 1010 947 977 993 1007 1023 1037 1067 trend bullish, candle doji, vol decrease, stoch crossing up MDLN Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 850 880 840 860 870 880 890 900 920 trend neutral, candle doji, vol decrease, stoch flat Sektor Industri Dasar & Kimia (JAKBIND)

INTP Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 21,850 22500 21883 22233 22367 22583 22717 22933 23283 trend neutral, black closing marubozu, vol decrease, stoch bearish oversold SMGR Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 17,350 18050 17617 17817 17933 18017 18133 18217 18417 trend neutral, short black candlestick, vol decrease, stoch neutral Sektor Barang Konsumsi (JAKCONS)

INDF Spec. Buy, stoploss dibawah 7,100 7300 6767 7067 7183 7367 7483 7667 7967 trend neutral, tweezer bottom, vol decrease, stoch oversold ICBP Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 8,700 9050 8567 8817 8933 9067 9183 9317 9567 trend neutral, black opening marubozu, vol decrease, stoch neutral Sektor Perdagangan, Jasa & Investasi (JAKTRAD)

BHIT Buy on support, stoploss dibawah 500 540 477 507 523 537 553 567 597 trend neutral, white spinning top, vol increase, stoch golden cross .. Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cendrung bergerak keatas dikisaran R1, R2 dan R3 .. Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cendrung bergerak kebawah dikisaran S1, S2 dan S3 Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi uptrend baru .. Spec. BUY = dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal PP adalah Pivot Point . dan Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support resistance berdasarkan pola grafik .. Jika harga naik diatas pivot, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut Jika harga bergerak dibawah pivot, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu ·· Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun 2



Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2 ASII 7.200 / 7.350 7.500 / 7.600 7.700 7.750 / 7.850 7.950 / 8.150 ASII: Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi, didukung Stochastic Oversold, candle Bullish Harami, penutupan di 7.700 (Pivot Point), dukung peluang Technical Rebound. Strategy: 1) Buy jika breakout 7.750 target 7.950 stop loss 7.550; 2) Buy 7.350/7.400 target 7.750 stop loss di bawah 7.200.

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2 ANTM 1.260 / 1.290 1.320 / 1.350 1.730 1.390 / 1.410 1.450 / 1.500 ANTM: Trend Bearish & Fase Akumulasi, Stochastic Crossing Buy, candle Bullish Marubozu, penutupan di atas 1.360 (Pivot Point), dukung peluang kenaikan selama di atas 1.290. Strategy: 1) Buy target 1.410/1.450 stop loss di bawah 1.330; 2) Buy 1.330 target 1.370 stop loss di 1.290.

3



Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2 KLBF 1.200 / 1.220 1.240 / 1.250 1.270 1.290 / 1.320 1.330 / 1.380 KLBF : Trend bullish, penutupan di atas 1.256 (pivot point), stochastic golden cross, candle tweezer bottom, meski volume menurun dapat memberikan peluang kenaikan terbatas. Strategy: 1) Buy 1.240/1.250 target 1.290 stop loss di bawah 1.200; 2) Buy jika tembus di atas 1.290 target 1.330/1.350 stop loss di bawah 1.270.

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2 SSIA 1.420 / 1.450 1.480 / 1.500 1.520 1.540 / 1.570 1.600 / 1.640 SSIA: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi, didukung Stochastic crossing Buy, candle Three Inside Up, penutupan di atas 1.508 (Pivot Point), dukung peluang kenaikan selama di atas 1.490. Strategy: 1) Buy target 1.570 stop loss di 1.470; 2) Buy 1.480/1.490 target 1.540 stop loss dibawah 1.470.

4



Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2 TAXI 840 / 850 870 / 890 910 920 / 960 980 / 1.000 TAXI : Trend bullish, penutupan di atas 893 (pivot point), candle long white candlestick dengan volume meningkat serta stochastic bullish dapat memberikan peluang kenaikan jika mampu bergerak di atas 920. Strategy: 1) Buy 880 target 910/920 stop loss di bawah 850; 2) Buy jika tembus di atas 920 target 960 stop loss di bawah 900.

KBLI

Support 2 200 / 210

Support 1 220 / 230

Price 235

Resist 1 235 / 245

Resist 2 255 / 270

KBLI: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi, didukung Stochastic Bullish, candle Three White Soldier, penutupan di atas 236 (Pivot Point), dukung peluang kenaikan terbatas selama di atas 220. Strategy: 1) Buy 230/225 target 250 stop loss di 200; 2) Buy jika breakout 255 target 270 stop loss di 230.

5



Tin Close Resistance Support

: 24021/25250/26604 : 23057/21703/20865

Natural Gas Close Resistance : 3.99/4.19/4.32 Support : 3.81/3.67/3.57

Nickel Close Resistance Support

: 16969/17341/17714 : 16438/15763/15018

Wheat Close Resistance : 745/786/817 Support : 701/674/652

6


RESEARCH TEAM Research Dept.

: +62 21 25543946

Fax No

: +62 21 57935831

E-mail

: [email protected]

Norico Gaman

ext. 3934

[email protected]

Head of Research

Investment Strategy, Oil & Gas, Coal Mining, Manufacturing, Strategic Industries.

Andri Zakarias Siregar

ext. 2054

[email protected]

Technical Analyst

Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks

Nadya Isnaeni

ext. 2073

[email protected]

Junior Tech. Analyst Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks

Venia Allani Meissalina

ext. 2050

[email protected]

Research Assistant

Thendra Crisnandra

ext. 2098

[email protected]

Research Assistant

EQUITIES TEAM ECM

: +62 21 25543946

Fax No

: +62 21 57935831

Ronny Hari

ext. 3929

[email protected]

Equity Division Head

Jufrani Amsal

ext. 3957

[email protected]

Channel Development Division Head

Yulinda

ext. 3950

[email protected]

Institutional Sales

Arif Irwanto

ext. 3919 / 3960

[email protected]

Retail Sales

7

MAIN OFFICE - JAKARTA PT BNI SECURITIES Sudirman Plaza, Indofood Tower 16th Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 76-78 Jakarta 12910, Indonesia Phone: (62-21) 25543946 (Hunting) Fax: (62-21) 57935831 e-mail: [email protected] (General) Website: http://www.bnisecurities.co.id JAKARTA - Mangga Dua Pertokoan Mangga Dua Blok E4 No. 7 Jl. Mangga Dua, Jakarta Utara Phone: (62-21) 6123804/5 Fax: (62-21) 6123806

MALANG Jl. Buring No. 58 Malang Phone: (62-341) 321214, 321213, 341430 Fax: (62-341) 356876 e-mail: [email protected]

e-mail: [email protected]

DENPASAR

JAKARTA - Wisma 46 Wisma BNI 46 Lantai 31 Kota BNI Jl.Jend Sudirman Kav.1 Jakarta 10220 Phone: 021- 2515266 Fax.021-5749837 e-mail: [email protected]

Pertokoan Diponegoro Megah Blok. A5-A6, Lt. 2

JAKARTA - Puri Indah Puri Niaga 3 Blok M8 No. 1B Puri Kembangan, Jakarta Barat Phone: (62-21) 58357464 Fax: (62-21) 58357465 e-mail: [email protected]

Jl. Diponegoro No. 100 Denpasar - Bali Phone: (62-361) 264376 Fax : (62-361) 229170 e-mail: [email protected] MEDAN Jl. Pemuda No. 12 Phone: (62-61) 4579616 Fax: (62-61) 4579656 e-mail: [email protected] PALEMBANG

JAKARTA - Central Park

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 132, Kotak Pos 165 PLG

Central Park Office Tower Ground Floor

Phone: (62-711) 3619662

Jl. Let. Jend. S Parman Kav 28, Jakarta 11470

Fax: (62-711) 3619663

Phone: (62-21) 29034215

e-mail: [email protected]

Fax: (62-21) 29034216 BANDUNG Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan No. 3 Phone: (62-22) 4213375 Fax: (62-22) 4213376 e-mail: [email protected] YOGYAKARTA Jl. Trikora No. 1 Phone: (62-274) 385904 Fax: (62-274) 385901 e-mail: [email protected]

PEKANBARU BNI Cabang Pasar Pusat Jl.Jend Sudirman No.365 Pekanbaru 28282 Phone: (62-761) 46757, 839698 Fax: (62-761) 856279 e-mail: [email protected] SEMARANG Thamrin Square Blok B5 Jl.MH Thamrin No.5 Semarang Phone: (62-24) 3566414-5, 64126413-7 Fax: (62-24) 3581713 e-mail: [email protected]

Jl. Slamet Riyadi No. 332

ACEH Jl.KH Akhmad Dahlan No.111 Lt.2 Banda Aceh Phone: (62-651) 31109

Phone: (62-271) 729667

Fax: (62-651) 31107

SOLO

Fax: (62-271) 729668 e-mail: [email protected] SURABAYA Jl. Pemuda No. 36 Phone: (62-31) 5320912 Fax: (62-31) 5318425 e-mail: [email protected]

This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SECURITIES or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Dokumen ini tidak diperuntukan sebagai suatu penawaran, atau permohonan dari suatu penawaran, permintaan untuk membeli atau menjual efek dan segala hal yang berhubungan dengan efek (seperti efek yang disebutkan disini, atau dari emiten yang sama, dari waran atau hak memesan efek atau kepentingan lain dari efek tersebut). Seluruh informasi dan opini yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini dengan cara baik telah dihimpun dari atau berasal dari sumber-sumber yang dapat dipercaya dan diandalkan. Tidak ada pengatasnamaan atau jaminan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dari BNI SECURITIES atau pun pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI, termasuk pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI dari mana dokumen ini dapat diperoleh, terhadap keakuratan atau kelengkapan dari informasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini. Seluruh pendapat dan perkiraan dalam laporan ini merupakan pertimbangan kami pada tanggal tertera dan dapat berubah sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan.

Daily Technical Analysis

Recommend Documents