TRIM Technicall Call Oct 22, 2014 22 Oktober 2014
JCI Outlook
Last Change
IHSG mengalami profit taking sebesar 11 poin (0.22%), IHSG bergerak anomali ditengah sentiment positif dari Regional dimana data GDP China diatas estimasi pasar. Bursa Eropa juga mengalami penguatan di tengah sentiment dari kinerja emiten Actelion Ltd dan Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc dimana emiten Actelion menaikkan proyeksi kinerja setahun penuh untuk kedua kalinya. Selain itu SwedBank membukukan pendapatan bersihnya diatas ekspektasi pasar. Pagi ini bursa Regional dibuka menguat seiring dengan keluarnya data ekonomi Export Jepang Sep’14 sebesar 6.9% MoM (Agts’14: -1.3 MoM0 diatas ekspektasi pasar (+6.5% MoM). Hari ini IHSG diperkirakan akan mengalami rebound setelah kemarin melemah tipis dengan kisaran perdagangan di level 4091-5051. DOID pada perdagangan kemarin masih mengalami pelemahan namun pelemahan telah terbatas sehingga bisa melakukan aksi beli dengan potensi terjadi rebound di kisaran perdagangan 204-231. SIDO dalam pola tren turun untuk 3 bulan kedepan namun dalam jangka pendek terjadi pembalikan arah dengan terjadi penguatan 3.3% pada perdagangan kemarin sehingga pada hari ini diperkirakan masih akan melanjutkan penguatan dengan resisten di level 650.
Stock Picks Ticker JCI
Last
S2
S1
R1
R2
5,029.3
4,937
4,991
5,051
5,100
UNVR
31,625 30,400 31,050 32,750 33,300
ICBP
11,325 10,725 11,025 11,700 11,900
LPKR TLKM BBCA
Trend 3 Month
Technical Call
First Distr
Rebound
Bullish
BOW
JCI
5029.3
(11.2)
% Chg
Idx pts
(0.22)
Leaders UNVR
31,625
450
1.44
3.70
BBCA
12,750
125
0.99
3.29
ICBP
11,325
325
2.95
2.04
DNET
1,000
100
11.11
1.53
TGKA
3,300
625
23.36
0.62
15,950
150
0.95
0.47
LPPF Laggers GGRM
57,475
(1,800)
(3.04)
(3.73)
EMTK
6,550
(400)
(5.76)
(2.43)
SMGR
15,700
(300)
(1.88)
(1.92)
GEMS
1,700
(250)
(12.82)
(1.58)
MAYA
1,700
(240)
(12.37)
(0.89)
UNTR
17,250
(200)
(1.15)
(0.80)
Source: Bloomberg
Return (%)
Bullish
BOW
1,010
950
980
1,050
1,075
Bearish
BOW
JCI
2,850
2,715
2,775
2,945
3,010
Bullish
BOW
Misc. Industry
-1.52
1.86
-10.00
-3.49
12,750 12,225 12,450 13,100 13,325
Bullish
BOW
Agriculture
-0.80
0.00
-8.75
-8.09
1d (0.22)
5d 1.57
30d (3.79)
YTD 17.67
WIKA
2,905
2,745
2,825
3,005
3,055
Cont Distr
BOW
Mining
-0.58
-0.44
-11.89
-2.72
ADHI
2,820
2,655
2,745
2,925
2,980
Bearish
BOW
Basic Industry
-0.43
2.30
-4.13
11.11
PGAS
5,675
5,325
5,450
5,850
6,050
Bullish
BOW
Trade
-0.32
1.93
-5.21
16.63 28.18
DOID
219
196
204
231
246
Bullish
Buy at 219
Finance
-0.24
1.96
-1.57
SIDO
620
565
600
660
680
Bullish
Buy at 620
Prop. & Constr.
0.19
3.59
-0.88
37.35
META
194
185
190
200
204
Bearish
Trading Buy
Consumer
0.23
1.01
-0.42
18.87
SUGI
423
409
415
433
438
Cont Distr
Trading Buy
Infrastructure
0.23
0.77
-3.24
23.92
Source: TRIM Research
Source: Bloomberg
Last
%Chg
SIAP
167
129.9
CKRA
249
24.5
LPKR
1,010
127.3
TGKA
3,300
23.4
TARA
413
109.0
DNET
1,000
11.1
META
194
101.3
MREI
5,525
10.7
SDPC
91
8.3
167
7.7
Last
%Chg
Last
Transaction volumes (Lot million)
TLKM
2,850
97.7
WSKT
945
90.3
Source: Bloomberg
BBRI TLKM
Top gainer
SIAP Source: Bloomberg
Last
Transaction values (Rp billion)
10,575
310.2
EMTK
2,850
278.4
Top loser
6,550
(5.8)
PGLI
101
(7.3)
6,500
198.4
INPP
167
(9.7)
BMRI
10,025
167.0
PTIS
800
(11.1)
BBCA
12,750
130.9
MAYA
1,700
(12.4)
LPKR
1,010
128.6
GEMS
1,700
(12.8)
ASII
Source: Bloomberg
PT Trimegah Securities Tbk - Research Division
Gina Novrina Nasution (
[email protected])
Source: Bloomberg
1
TECHNICAL MATRIX Return (%) Ticker
Last
1D
5D
30D
YTD
Trend 3 Month
Technical Call
PIVOT
S2
S1
R1
R2
BANK BDMN
4000
0.0
2.6
-2.7
6.0
Cont Acc
Buy
3994
3850
3920
4105
4160
BBCA
12750
1.0
1.0
-0.4
32.8
Bullish
BOW
12738
12225
12450
13100
13325
BBNI
5700
0.0
8.1
-1.3
44.3
First Distr
Sell
5688
5450
5550
5850
5950
BBRI
10575
-1.2
4.7
-2.1
45.9
Bearish
Sell
10538
9975
10200
10875
11175
BMRI
10025
-1.0
6.1
-5.9
27.7
Bearish
Sell
10019
9575
9750
10300
10525
BBTN
1155
-0.4
5.0
2.7
32.8
Cont Acc
Buy
1158
1110
1135
1195
1215
BJBR
750
0.7
0.7
-8.5
-15.7
Bearish
Sell
750
720
735
770
785
BTPN
4460
0.0
1.4
-2.1
3.7
Bullish
BOW
4458
4335
4390
4555
4600
BJTM
441
0.2
1.4
-0.9
17.6
Cont Distr
Sell
441
426
432
451
459
PNBN
1000
0.0
1.5
16.3
51.5
Bullish
BOW
260
251
254
266
271
260
-0.4
0.4
-1.1
33.3
Bullish
BOW
5575
5275
5450
5825
5925
MAPI
5600
0.9
10.3
-3.9
1.8
Cont Distr
Sell
5575
5275
5450
5825
5925
ACES
795
-3.6
-1.2
-17.2
34.7
Cont Distr
Sell
804
750
765
830
865
RALS
765
2.7
-1.9
-21.1
-27.8
Bearish
Sell
771
705
740
820
845
MPPA
3000
-2.8
0.0
-7.6
54.6
Bullish
BOW
3036
2820
2885
3135
3275
SILO
13275
-1.7
-3.5
-16.1
39.7
Bullish
BOW
13269
12600
12850
13650
14025
PNLF RETAILER
TRANSPORTATION GIAA
476
5.5
13.3
12.3
-4.0
Bearish
Sell
473
425
455
508
525
TAXI
1155
2.2
-3.3
-19.8
-20.9
First Distr
Sell
1146
1085
1120
1195
1215
PHARMACEUTICAL KAEF
1140
-2.1
4.6
-3.0
93.2
Bearish
Sell
1133
1030
1070
1185
1245
INAF
166
1.8
5.1
-0.6
8.5
Bearish
Sell
166
158
162
172
175
TELCO TLKM
2850
0.2
2.7
-0.7
33.8
Bullish
BOW
2853
2715
2775
2945
3010
ISAT
3735
-0.9
-3.2
-4.2
-10.0
Cont Distr
Sell
3745
3600
3650
3835
3915
EXCL
5875
1.3
1.3
-9.3
13.0
First Distr
Sell
5819
5525
5650
6000
6150
INDF
6800
-1.4
-2.2
-4.6
3.0
Bearish
Sell
6838
6525
6625
7025
7200
ICBP
11325
3.0
2.7
1.1
11.0
Bullish
BOW
11275
10725
11025
11700
11900
AISA
2175
-1.1
0.7
-9.4
52.1
Bearish
Sell
2180
2075
2115
2240
2295
MYOR
30500
-1.6
0.3
3.0
17.3
Bullish
BOW
30625
29375
29800
31375
32050
UNVR
31625
1.4
2.3
-1.1
21.6
Bullish
BOW
31763
30400
31050
32750
33300
1700
0.9
5.9
0.6
36.0
Cont Acc
Buy
1696
1620
1655
1750
1785
57475
-3.0
1.2
1.7
36.8
Bullish
BOW
57775
54950
55875
59325
60975
1175
2.2
8.3
-3.3
15.2
Bearish
Sell
1166
1090
1135
1225
1255
19425
-0.9
-10.9
-17.7
-22.6
Bearish
Sell
19456
18775
19025
19900
20250
590
-1.7
1.7
-38.2
-55.6
Bearish
Sell
590
560
570
605
625
LSIP
1750
-1.7
-5.7
-6.4
-9.3
First Acc
Spec Buy
1768
1655
1690
1820
1895
SIMP
735
-1.3
-3.3
-14.0
-5.8
First Acc
Spec Buy
738
710
720
755
770
SGRO
1845
1.1
0.0
-12.4
-7.8
Bearish
Sell
1869
1755
1810
1945
1995
SSMS
1105
0.5
5.7
-21.6
34.8
First Distr
Sell
1108
1060
1085
1140
1160
CONSUMER
KLBF GGRM ROTI CPO AALI BWPT
AUTOMOTIVE ASII
6500
-1.5
1.6
-11.6
-4.4
Bearish
Sell
6531
6175
6300
6725
6925
IMAS
4000
-5.1
-7.0
-9.1
-18.4
Bearish
Sell
4053
3745
3835
4185
4390
AUTO
4000
-3.0
-2.4
-5.2
9.6
Bullish
BOW
4031
3810
3880
4145
4280
GJTL
1520
1.0
-1.3
-7.9
-9.5
NIPS
265
0.0
-3.6
-2.2
-17.9
-1.1
-4.2
-17.7
-9.2
Bearish
Sell
1524
1455
1490
1575
1600
Cont Distr
Sell
265
255
260
272
276
Bearish
Sell
17369
16475
16750
17825
18375
HEAVY EQUIPMENT UNTR
17250
Source: TRIM Research
2 2
TECHNICAL MATRIX Return (%) Ticker
Last
1D
5D
30D
YTD
Trend 3 Month
Technical Call
PIVOT
S2
S1
R1
R2
COAL 12075
-1.8
0.8
-5.8
18.4
First Distr
Sell
12131
11250
11525
12550
13125
HRUM
PTBA
1615
-0.3
-4.4
-23.3
-41.3
Bearish
Sell
1618
1540
1565
1665
1705
ADRO
975
1.6
-3.5
-22.3
-10.6
Cont Distr
Sell
980
930
955
1015
1035
ITMG
20075
0.4
-10.0
-27.0
-29.6
Bearish
Sell
20044
19200
19650
20700
21000
BUMI
122
-0.8
-6.2
-36.5
-59.3
Bullish
BOW
122
114
118
127
131
INDY
625
1.6
-4.6
-19.9
5.9
First Distr
Sell
619
580
605
650
665
TOBA
835
0.0
-0.6
-4.0
12.8
First Distr
Sell
829
770
805
875
895
BRMS
367
-2.4
5.5
-10.0
84.4
Bullish
BOW
363
334
345
379
396
DOID
219
-3.524
-9.5
-16.7
138
Bullish
BOW
220
196
204
231
246
1200
0.8
4.3
-9.4
-1.6
Cont Distr
Sell
1210
1145
1175
1255
1280
POULTRY JPFA CPIN
3985
0.9
5.4
-6.6
18.1
Bullish
BOW
3971
3840
3895
4065
4125
MAIN
3160
-0.2
-0.9
-6.4
-0.5
Bullish
BOW
3149
3025
3075
3230
3290
CEMENT SMBR
373
-1.1
2.2
-6.0
13.0
Bearish
Sell
373
356
362
383
392
SMGR
15700
-1.9
4.0
-3.5
11.0
Bearish
Sell
15750
15025
15275
16175
16575
INTP
23700
-0.1
7.0
0.5
18.5
Bearish
Sell
23575
22300
22800
24325
25000
2525
-2.1
3.1
-7.2
11.0
Bearish
Sell
2539
2380
2430
2620
2720
6125
-0.4
2.9
-4.3
29.6
Bullish
BOW
6138
5850
5950
6300
6450
SMCB TOLLROAD JSMR
INFRASTRUCTURE PTPP
2465
1.4
7.9
3.8
112.5
Cont Distr
Sell
2456
2330
2400
2555
2595
WIKA
2905
0.9
8.6
1.2
83.9
Cont Distr
Sell
2890
2745
2825
3005
3055
ADHI
2820
0.5
17.3
WTON
1180
1.7
9.8
WSKT
945
2.2
10.5
8575
0.9
4810
PGAS MEDC
TBIG
-3.8
Bearish
Sell
2810
2655
2745
2925
2980
N/A
First Distr
Sell
1170
1100
1145
1225
1245
6.2
133.3
First Distr
Sell
941
890
920
980
1000
0.9
7.9
47.8
Cont Distr
Sell
8531
8200
8325
8750
8925
-1.6
2.2
-8.4
9.9
Bullish
BOW
4820
4640
4710
4935
5025
5675
-0.9
-2.2
-6.2
26.8
Bullish
BOW
5669
5325
5450
5850
6050
3800
0.3
1.6
11.9
81.0
Cont Distr
Sell
3813
3605
3715
3965
4045
N/A
86.8
OIL & GAS AKRA
WINS
1225
1.2
2.1
-8.9
81.3
First Acc
Spec Buy
1234
1165
1200
1285
1310
LEAD
4250
-2.3
-2.7
-13.3
46.6
First Distr
Sell
4269
4090
4150
4375
4475
ENRG
92
0.0
0.0
-4.2
31.4
Bullish
Sell
93
88
90
96
99
SMRA
1260
2.4
6.8
-1.9
61.5
Bearish
Sell
1253
1175
1205
1295
1335
BSDE
1570
-0.6
7.9
-1.9
21.7
First Acc
Spec Buy
1569
1490
1520
1615
1655
ASRI
479
-0.2
8.4
-0.6
11.4
Bearish
Sell
476
454
463
490
500
CTRA
1060
-0.5
7.6
-2.3
41.3
Bearish
Sell
1056
1000
1020
1090
1120
APLN
366
-2.4
4.9
6.1
70.2
Cont Distr
Sell
364
339
348
378
393
MDLN
515
1.0
4.0
-3.7
32.1
Bullish
BOW
513
480
493
530
548
BEST
590
-1.7
10.3
2.6
32.6
Bearish
Sell
591
555
570
610
630
SSIA
730
0.0
8.1
-6.4
30.4
Cont Distr
Sell
726
685
705
755
775
KIJA
271
0.7
5.4
3.4
41.2
Cont Distr
Sell
270
255
263
281
286 1075
PROPERTY
LPKR
1010
0.5
4.7
-2.4
11.0
Bearish
Sell
1009
950
980
1050
CTRP
745
0.0
6.4
-0.7
20.2
First Acc
Spec Buy
746
715
725
770
785
PWON
434
1.4
7.2
2.8
60.7
Bearish
Sell
432
409
422
449
457
CTRS
2225
0.0
9.3
1.4
69.8
Bearish
Sell
2221
2130
2175
2285
2325
LPCK
8200
2.8
14.3
2.2
68.2
Bearish
Sell
8119
7525
7900
8575
8775
BKSL
87
-1.1
0.0
-23.0
-44.6
Bearish
Sell
88
83
84
90
93
Source: TRIM Research
3
TECHNICAL MATRIX Return (%) Ticker
Last
1D
5D
30D
YTD
Trend 3 Month
Technical Call
PIVOT
S2
S1
R1
R2
METAL TINS
1145
-0.9
-4.2
-11.2
5.9
Bearish
Sell
1075
1075
1100
1180
1220
INCO
3680
0.0
-0.1
-7.2
38.9
Cont Distr
Sell
3505
3505
3590
3790
3845
ANTM
950
-0.5
-4.0
-13.6
-12.8
Bearish
Sell
915
915
930
975
1000
Source: TRIM Research
4
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been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of Trimegah Securities. While all
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reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, Trimegah
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Securities makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely
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