Redesign of the Chain of Economic Statistics in the Netherlands
The HEcS Program
In Dutch: Heks = Witch
Herontwerp Keten Economische Statistieken Barteld Braaksma Statistics Netherlands
Outline of presentation • General setting – What? – Why? – How? ! !
SN Business Architecture Data processing strategy
• Use of registers – Short-term turnover statistics for SME’s – Direct estimates of totals – Large units
What? Scope of redesign The whole chain of economic statistics from Primary statistics Focus today until Supply and use tables and Sector accounts
Why?
Main goals • Quality improvement ! Less revisions of GDP
• Efficiency gains ! Staff reductions
• Reduction of response burden ! Small and medium-sized enterprises
How? Guiding principles – Output is leading – Focus on main aggregates – Three-way model: ! Tailor-made approach for largest units ! Registers for small units ! Mix registers/surveys for medium-size units
– Fall-back scenarios ! Deal with register delivery problems
– Chain management Important tool: SN Business Architecture
SN Business Architecture (1) Beleid, budgetstelling, catalogus databronnen
Ontwerpen voorschriften
Ontwerpen procesmodel
Ontwerpen databronnen
Bepalen statistische Informatie behoefte
Ontwerpen statistiek product
Design Procesmetadata: voorschriften
Planning and Control Statistics Production
Berichtgever Respondent
Procesmetadata: workflow & proceskwaliteit
Conceptuele base/input metadata & productkwaliteit
Conceptuele output metadata & productkwaliteit
Opdrachtgever Afnemer
Plannen, monitoren, bijsturen en aanpassen
Planningen
Voorbereiden, uitzenden
Statistisch proces – informatiemodel
Te realiseren - (tussen)producten - kwaliteit
Voortgang - audit trail - rapportages
Enquêteren, uniformeren & controleren
Koppelen, afleiden & gaafmaken
Inputbase
Microbase
Catalogus: gerealiseerde - (tussen)producten - kwaliteit
Aggregeren, schatten & integreren
Statbase
Beveiligen, publiceerbaar maken
Outputbase
Beschikbaar stellen
How (2) Steady states in process chain Well-defined states of data processing for ! Quality control ! Chain management ! Re-use of data Central role in (re)design and production Access through central Data Service Centre
SN Business Architecture (2) Beleid, budgetstelling, catalogus databronnen
Ontwerpen voorschriften
Procesmetadata: voorschriften
Ontwerpen procesmodel
Procesmetadata: workflow & proceskwaliteit
Ontwerpen databronnen
Conceptuele base/input metadata & productkwaliteit
Bepalen statistische Informatie behoefte
Ontwerpen statistiek product
Conceptuele output metadata & productkwaliteit
Opdrachtgever Afnemer
Plannen, monitoren, bijsturen en aanpassen
Planningen
Berichtgever Respondent
Voorbereiden, uitzenden
Te realiseren - (tussen)producten - kwaliteit
Enquêteren, uniformeren & controleren
Voortgang - audit trail - rapportages
Koppelen, afleiden & gaafmaken
Catalogus: gerealiseerde - (tussen)producten - kwaliteit
Aggregeren, schatten & integreren
Beveiligen, publiceerbaar maken
inputbase Statistisch proces – informatiemodel
microbase
Beschikbaar stellen
outputbase Inputbase
Microbase
Statbase
statbase
Outputbase
Data processing strategy – Data collection (primary/secondary) !
Central processing service
– Source-oriented processing (micro) !
No duplication of work
– Combination of sources (meso) !
Based on data available
– Completion of data (macro) !
Model-based
– Dissemination
Use of registers – Key element to achieve main goals ! Response burden ! Efficiency (automated processing) ! Quality effect???
– Statistical law (2003) enables use of registers ! Tax registers (VAT, corporate tax, profit tax) ! New register on wages and social security ! Basic Business register simplifies matching ! Available free of charge
– Statistical law also imposes use of registers
Short-term turnover statistics (SME’s) – Replace (M/Q) surveys by VAT ! Rule-based processing ! Implementation beginning of 2008
– Questions to be addressed ! Do we need to redefine output? ! How to fit in statistical chain (Quarterly GDP)? ! How to fit in organisation/systems/processes? ! Final or transitional situation (architecture)?
Large and complex units – Top-XXX (800 – 1000 enterprises) ! Non-financial enterprises ! Financial institutions (Top-XX with DNB) ! Government ???
– Tailor-made data collection ! Use what is available in-house (registers!) ! Coverage of full SN-information needs ???
– Unit-based processing
Direct estimates of totals – Compile statistics directly from registers ! GBR as auxiliary information
– Research project ! Top-down approach: details subordinate ! Project runs until mid 2008
– But also a production goal: ! Population estimates for KAUs from registers ! Decision end 2007: current e-survey still needed?
Conclusions – Very ambitious program (scope, speed) – High pressure to achieve quick results – Huge task for whole organisation – Success of HEcS crucial for SN
