Indonesian Policy of Supplying Natural Gas & LNG for Power, Industries & Shipping IGN Wiratmaja Director General of Oil & Gas – Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources 6th Annual LNG Transport, Handling & Storage Forum 2016 Bali, 14 September 2016 Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
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INDONESIA AS A MARITIME COUNTRY
+ 5,000 km 2 Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
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1. Indonesia Oil & Gas Balance
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PROYEKSI PRODUKSI GAS BUMI 2015 – 2050 dalam MMSCFD
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NERACA GAS BUMI INDONESIA 2015 – 2030 2019 MULAI IMPOR GAS
National Energy Agency Forecast: Gas demand in 2025 will make up to 20% of National Energy Mix (7,134 BOED), or 8,249 BBTUD
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PEMANFAATAN GAS BUMI INDONESIA 2016 LPG Domestik 2.50% LNG Domestik 5.91%
Realisasi Penyaluran Gas Pipa untuk Domestik Tahun 2016 2,000 1,814.76 1,800
Kelistrikan 14.98%
1,600
1,510.91
1,400
LNG Ekspor 29.10%
1,200 BBTUD
Pupuk 10.50%
1,136.39 1,024.60
1,000
758.76
800
718.09
600
Industri 22.10%
206.20
200
Ekspor Gas Pipa 11.80% BBG Transportasi 0.06%
321.05
400
3.51 3.13
8.50 3.78
-
City Gas 0.05%
Lifting Minyak 3.02%
Kelistrikan
Pupuk
Industri
Realisasi (BBTUD)
Lifting Minyak
City Gas
Kontrak
Status s.d. Mei 2016
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NATIONAL OIL & GAS DEMAND & PRODUCTION In mboepd
15 Years AVE CAGR OE Production
In 2015 the gap between national supply and demand begins.
4% 5.500 5.000
4.550
5.315
4.500
3.270
3.500 3.000 2.500
2.600 2.270
2.230
2.000 1.500
3.950
+4%
4.000
2.025
2.065
2.195
2.190 2.190
2.120
1.810 1.435
1.000
1.085 785
500
535
0
2012
2013
National Supply
2014
2015
2025
2030
2040
2050
National Demand
source : ESDM, SKK Migas, Upstream Team Projection Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
2020
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NATIONAL GAS DEMAND & PRODUCTION In mmscfd 15 Years CAGR Average
In 2021 the gap between national supply and demand begins.
7%
Industry (98,26%) Household (0,11%)
Gas Consumption
Commercial (1,34%) Transportation (0,29%)
18.000
16.300
16.000 13.600
+7%
14.000
11.300
12.000 10.000
8.165
8.130
8.145
7.000
8.000 6.000
9.100
8.110
5.700 3.640
3.650
3.910
3.995
5.800 4.100
4.000
3.400
2.000
2.500
0
2012
2013
National Supply
2014
2015
National Demand
source : ESDM, SKK Migas, Upstream Team Projection Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
2020
2025
2030
2040
2050 |
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2. Gas Infrastructure Development
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Infrastruktur Gas Bumi Existing & Rencana EXISTING
ROADMAP 2016 – 2030 KEBUTUHAN INVESTASI (Miliar USD) Pipa 12
Liquefac tion
Regasific ation
Jargas 2.2
6.1
25.6
SPBG + CNG 1.93
Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
LPG 0.4
TOTAL
48.2 10
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VIRTUAL PIPELINE CLUSTER CONCEPT CLUSTER II (MALUKU) •
Pembangkit
130 MMSCFD [875MW]
•
Smelter
100 MMSFD
•
Industri
55 MMSCFD
•
Rumah Tangga
1 MMSCFD
CLUSTER I (PAPUA) •
Pembangkit
138M MSCFD [630 MW]
•
Industri
288 MMSCFD
•
Rumah Tangga
1 MMSCFD
CLUSTER II (MALUKU)
CLUSTER I (PAPUA)
CLUSTER IV (NATUNA)
CLUSTER IV (NATUNA) •
Pembangkit
49 MMSCFD [495 MW]
•
Rumah Tangga
1 MMSCFD
CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA)
Cluster I Cluster II Cluster III Cluster IV
•
Pembangkit
183 MMSCFD [1750 MW]
•
Smelter
100 MMSCFD
•
Rumah Tangga
1 MMSCFD
CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA)
Papua dan Papua Barat Maluku, Maluku Utara, Sulawesi Utara, Sulawesi Tengah Nusa Tenggara Timur, Nusa Tenggara Barat, Sulawesi Selatan Natuna dan Kalimantan Barat 11
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CLUSTER I (PAPUA) LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 700 km
Primary Hub Sorong
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3
Primary Hub Jayapura
Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,600 km
Total Pembangkit : 11 (250 MW) Gas Demand : 50 MMSCFD Isotank : 90 Iso/ 2 weeks
Primary Hub Jayapura
Primary Hub Sorong Total Pembangkit : 9 (200 MW) Gas Demand : 46 MMSCFD Isotank : 144 Iso/ 2 weeks Total Distance : 2,200 km
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,000 km
Primary Hub Timika
Primary Hub Timika Pembangkit : 11 (180 MW) Gas Demand : 41 MMSCFD Isotank : 180 Iso/ 2 weeks
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,600 km
Pembangkit FSRU/FSU/FRU Land Based Regas Iso Tank Regas System Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
31 3 8 8
Lokasi Lokasi Lokasi Lokasi
Rencana Pembangkit
630 MW
Kebutuhan Gas
138 MMSCFD
FSU Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System
FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 12 Small Vessel Route 12 Isotank Barge Route
CLUSTER II (MALUKU)
Primary Hub Manado Pembangkit : 3 (450 MW) Gas Demand : 46 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A
Primary Hub Maba Pembangkit : 12 (225 MW) Gas Demand : 147 MMSCFD Smelter : 1 Plant (100 MMSCFD) Isotank : 198 EA / 2 weeks
Primary Hub Manado
Primary Hub Maba
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 580 km
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 1, 000km
Primary Hub Ambon Pembangkit : 9 Plant (200 MW) Gas Demand : 32 MMSCFD Isotank : 255 EA / 2 weeks
Pembangkit FSRU/FSU/FRU Land Based Regas Iso Tank Regas System Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
24 3 5 10
Location Location Location Location
Rencana Pembangkit
875 MW
Kebutuhan Gas
130 MMSCFD
Kebutuhan Gas Smelter
100 MMSCFD
Primary Hub Ambon
Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System
FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 13 Small Vessel Route 13 Isotank Barge Route
CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA) Primary Hub Makassar Pembangkit : 2 (900 MW) Gas Demand : 36 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A
Primary Hub Pomala
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 620 km
Primary Hub Makassar Primary Hub Pomala Pembangkit : 8 (145 MW) Gas Demand : 34 MMSCFD Smelter : 1 Plant (100 MMSCFD) Isotank : 126 Iso/ 2 weeks
Primary Hub Lombok
Primary Hub Lombok Pembangkit : 10 (490 MW) Gas Demand : 79.5 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 4 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,400 km
LNG Vessel :
8000 m3
Primary Hub Kupang
Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 750 km
Pembangkit FSRU/FSU/FRU Land Based Regas Iso Tank Regas System Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
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Location Location Location Location
Rencana Pembangkit
1,750 MW
Kebutuhan Gas
183 MMSCFD
Kebutuhan Gas Smelter
100 MMSCFD
Primary Hub Kupang Pembangkit : 10 (215 MW) Gas Demand : 34 MMSCFD Isotank : 162 Iso/ 2 weeks
Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System
FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 14 Small Vessel Route 14 Isotank Barge Route
CLUSTER IV (NATUNA)
LNG Vessel : 8000 m3 Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 475 km
Primary Hub Pontianak Primary Hub Pontianak Pembangkit : 5 (495 MW) Gas Demand : 49 MMSCFD
Pembangkit FSRU/FSU/FRU Land Based Regas Iso Tank Regas System Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
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Location Location Location Location
Rencana Pembangkit
495 MW
Kebutuhan Gas
49 MMSCFD
Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System
FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 15 Small Vessel Route 15 Isotank Barge Route
LNG for Marine Transportation LNG – Fueled Ship
Based on Indonesian Regulation* (referring to Marine Safety Committee 95, International Marine Organization): Sulphur Content for marine fuel must not exceed 3,5% m/m** before January 1st 2020 and 0,5% m/m after January 1st 2020
Existing Ships in Indonesia
Existing Ports in Indonesia
Passenger Ship
535
Commercial Ports
112
Cargo Ship
20,346
Non-Commercial Ports
1,129
Fishing Ship
16,028
Special Purpose Terminals
1,045
Total
36,909
Total
2,289
LNG for Marine Potential
Commercial Ports Commercial Shipping Route Pioneer Shipping Route
*) Transportation Ministerial Regulation No. 29 / 2014 about Maritime Environment Pollution Prevention **) m/m: microgram/mililiter Kementerian ESDM Republik Indonesia
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GAS INFRASTRUCTURE ROADMAP 2016 – 2030 *) No.
Existing 3,665 4,110
2016 6,153 4,123
2017 6,153 4,123
Period I 2018 6,215 4,123
Downstream Dedicated 4,213.54
9,177
9,211
9,431
11,546
11,546
13,480
13,584
URAIAN Open Access Upstream Dedicated
1
Pipeline [KM]
2020 7,390 4,123
Period III 2026 – 2030 12,580 4,123
Own Use
46
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
Large Plant Mini Plant FSRU Land based Inland Marine
2 0 2 1 14 2
4 3 2 17 68 4
5 5 5 24 72 6
5 7 9 46 72 9
5 7 10 62 106 12
5 9 11 64 108 15
6 10 11 66 108 20
6 12 12 68 161 30
CNG
84
136
163
189
210
289
800
1,300
LNG LGV Distribution Network Area [AREA]
0 27
0 27
0 77
0 80
2 100
4 120
7 200
12 400
0
8
12
16
20
25
75
150
2
Liquefaction [UNIT]
3
Regasification [UNIT]
4
CNG Application [UNIT]
5
GAS FUELING STATIONS [UNITS]
6
2019 6,776 4,123
Period II 2021 – 2025 9,604 4,123
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City Gas [CONNECTION]
197K
326K
608K
924 million
1.308 million
1.5 million
3 million
5 million
8
LPG Plant [MTPA]
4,594
4,754
4,754
4,755
4,755
4,755
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7
9
LPG Storage [MT]
486K
500K
510K
492K
530K
540K
620,000
800,000
*) cumulative total
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Closing Remarks • Supply & demand gap for natural gas will start in 2019 in which Indonesia will start importing gas. • Until 2025, there will be surplus & deficit of LNG Cargo. This calls for a strategy to manage supply and demand of LNG. • The gas infrastructure roadmap until 2030 needs US$ 48.2 billion of investment.
• Virtual pipeline will supply gas using shipping routes in 4 clusters, in which key components for successful virtual pipeline implementation: State Owned Enterprise, PLN, experienced companies, & local content. • Current challenge: formulating gas prices to stimulate economic growth.
• Acceleration of regulatory reform is currently under progress to increase investment attractiveness, simplify permitting processes & promote safety. 18
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www.migas.esdm.go.id
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