THE COMMITTEE FOR ACCELLERATION AND EXPANSION OF INDONESIA ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT – KP3EI THE COORDINATING MINISTRY FOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
CHARTING THE WAY FORWARD IN ACCELERATING A GREEN ECONOMY TRANSITION THROUGH GREENING THE RPJM Presented by: Edib Muslim Head of Division – Public Communications and Promotion THE COMMITTEE FOR ACCELLERATION AND EXPANSION OF INDONESIA ECONOMIC
prologue
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REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA AND THE WORLD The world’s largest archipelagic state and is located in the heart of South East Asia. Indonesia has always regarded the seas within its archipelago as internal waters. In 1957, Indonesia announced the policy of „Wawasan Nusantara‟ (Unity/Archipelagic Outlook) to provide a symbol of unity. This has remained official government policy ever since.
GMT + 7
GMT + 8
Nort-south 1900 KM
east-west 5200 KM
GMT + 9
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CLIMATE CHANGE: INDONESIA POSITIONING
HUNTING FOR WATER. Central Asia, part of South Asia, Middle East, Saharan Africa and part of East Asia Mainland (FAO-2008).
IPCC Skenario (1999) predicted that temperature will increase by 1.30C to 4.60C as per 2100 with trend 0.10C–0.40C per year.
Susandi (2006) projected an increase of 3,50C (2100), whilst global temperature will reach max 6,20C (2100) . Sea level rise will increase 70-100 cm by 2100. Climate Change, Global Demographic Change construct future Indonesia economic leverage vis a vis global market. GEOECONOMY OF INDONESIAN ARCHIPELAGO
See also: INTER-GOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE REPORT 2007, CHAPTER 9, 11 AND SUMMARY FOR POLICY MAKER
“as one of the world’s main food suppliers, as a processing center for agricultural, fishery, and natural resources, as well as a center for global logistics by 2025 or earlier.”
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CLIMATE CHANGE: INDONESIA POSITIONING
blessed with almost all of the prerequisites for transformation into a great economic power, .. assets and access empower Indonesia to establish itself to its rightful place among the leading economies.
Climate Change, Global Demographic Change construct future Indonesia economic leverage vis a vis global market
EAST ASIA CONSUMERS 1,8 BILLION PEOPLE
SOUTH ASIA, MIDDLE EAST, AFRIKA AND EUROPE 2,7 BILLION PEOPLE
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Mid-size Cities Grow Faster Than Jakarta Metropolitan
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5
WATER DAN CARRYING CAPACITY Water Balance in the six Economic Corridors – Dry Season Kebutuhan (milliar m3) No
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Pulau
Sumatera Jawa-Bali Kalimantan Nusa Tenggara Sulawesi Maluku Papua Indonesia
Ketersedia an (milliar m3 96,20 25,30 167,00 4,20 14,40 12,40 163,60 483,10
2003
Neraca
Proyeksi 2020
Neraca
11,60 38,40 2,90 4,30
Surplus Defisit Surplus Defisit
13,3 44,1 3,5 4,7
Surplus Defisit Surplus Defisit
9,00 0,10 0,10 66,40
Surplus Surplus Surplus Surplus
9,7 0,1 0,2 75,6
Surplus Surplus Surplus Surplus
Surplus Terutama di wilayah SUMUT
Kalimantan Surplus
Ketersediaan air tahunan Indonesia menurut FAO diperkirakan sebesar 2.800 km3. [1].
Pengembangan Dinamika Transaksi dan Infrastruktur, perlu mencermati daya dukung ekologi” Sulawesi Surplus
Papua Surplus
Maluku Surplus
Jawa Defisit Sumber: Sutardi, 2003, Ditjen Sumberdaya Air. Departemen Kimpraswil Jakarta 2003. Buku : Status Lingkungan Hidup Indonesia Tahun 2003. [1] FAO AQUASTAT 2003.
Nusa Tenggara Defisit
INDONESIA 2025 Start from the end 7
DEFINITION OF INDONESIA SIX ECONOMIC CORRIDORS
8 8
THE STRATEGY : ASSETS AND ACCESSES MANAGEMENT
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BENEFICIAL INDICATORS TO QUALITY OF GROWTH Presiden RI, MAY 2011 ...
“Smart, Focus, Measureable and Sustainable” BENEFICIAL GOALS OF P3EI ... HIGH ECONOMY GROWTH, INCLUSIVE AND SUSTAINABLE IN THE ARCHIPELAGO ... THROUGH “BREAKTHROUGH” AND “BUSINESS AS NOT USUAL” WAYS... MAJOR PLAYER OF WORLD ECONOMY
INDICATORS OF P3EI GDRP IN THE CORRIDORS
GINI RATIO AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEXES
RESOURCES ACCOUNTING ASSET DAN AKSES MANAJEMEN SERTA
INDONESIA POSITION IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
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MP3EI aims to accelerate Indonesia’s economic transformation through cross-entity synergy and collaboration
In creating economic transformation for Indonesia, MP3EI policy rests on three pillars…
1
Developing economic potential through economic corridors
2
Strengthening national connectivity
3
Strengthening national human resources capability and science & technology
2014 2010 GDP ~ US$ 700 B GDP/capita: US$ 3,005 17th largest economy
2025
GDP: US$ 3,8 – 4,5T GDP: US$ ~ 1,2 T GDP/capita: GDP/capita: 13.000 –16.100 US$ US$ ~ 4.800 12th largest economy 14th largest economy
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RESOURCES ACCOUNTING beneficial transformative
“Not Business As Usual” INFRASRUCTURE INVESTMENT
Smart, Focus, Measureble, Innovative AND Transformative ECONOMIC POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH ECONOMIC CORRIDORS
STRENGTHENING CONNECTIVITY
STRENGTHENING HUMAN RESOURCES CAPABILITY AND SCI - TECH
WEHAB WATER, ENERGY, HEALTH, FOOD SECURITY AND BIODIVERSITY
“MP3EI DOCTRINE”
•
Wawasan Nusantara >> Membangun dan memperkuat kapasitas dan kapabilitas maritim nasional yang berkeunggulan global
•
Outer Java Exponential >> Mendorong Peningkatan Pertumbuhan Eksponensial di luar KE Jawa
•
Unloading Java >> Mendorong pertumbuhan Jawa dengan komponen berekuitas tinggi atas daya dukung ekologinya
•
Geo-Economy dan Geo Politics >> Cut Off Ketergantungan Absolut atas komponen luar
THINK,
Infrastructure for Quality Growth
Scenario 2025
UNLOADING JAVA TRANSFORMATION OF THE OUTER ISLANDS EQUITY Peran Masing-Masing KE dalam Pembentukan PDB Nasional (BPS, Des 2012) ~ US$ 910 B
KE Kalimantan
KE Sulawesi
KE Sumatera
23,8%
4,8%
KE Jawa
5,3 X
57,5 %
Penurunan dominasi a/d 49% berarti Jawa akan memiliki PRDB
2,1% 3,5% US$ 19 US$ 149 Bill
KE Papua-Maluku
9,3%
23,8% 27%. US$ 217 US$ 1148 Bill
2025: PDB ~ US$ 4-4,5 T (~ 5 X PDB 2012)
2,1% 7,8 X
2,5%
KE Bali-NT
9,3% 11% US$ 85 US$ 468 Bill
2,5 % 3,3 % US$ 23 US$ 143 Bill
4,8% 6 % US$ 44 US$ 225 Bill
~ US 2080 T ( konflik lahan ++, daya dukung ? )
4,0 X
5,5 X
6,5 X
5,8 X
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Transformation Strategy 1
Developing economic potential through economic corridors
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STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS TO BOOST REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
22 main economic activities in 8 main programs of MP3EI are identified in each economic corridor 16 16
OPPORTUNITY OF LARGE MARINE ECOSYSTEM LME Bay of Bengal– 2.7 JT TON
LME South China Sea – 6 JT TON
LME Sulu-Celebes Sea – 1 JT TON
ACCESS TO 5 LARGE MARINE ECOSYSTEM (0UT OF 64 LMES)
PENGARUH CLIMATE CHANGE YANG MODERATE TERHADAP PERAIRAN DI KEPULAUAN INDONESIA DAN SEKITARNYA, INDUSTRI PERIKANAN TANGKAP NASIONAL MAMPU MENJADI “BOOSTER” ATAS PDB INDONESIA LME Indonesia Sea – 2.2 JT TON
SUMBER UNEP 2008
LME North Australia– 800 RB TON
Transformation Strategy 2
Strengthening national connectivity
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INDONESIA’S ACCESS TO GLOBAL SEA LANES OF COMMUNICATION EMPOWER NATIONAL MARITIM CAPABILITY FORWARD GATES AND COASTAL SHIPPING STRATEGIES
SLOC MALACA
Global Hub Port Front Line West KUALA TANJUNG
Global Hub Port Front Line East BITUNG
CILAMAYA
MAKASAR
ALKI-I ALKI-II
TL. LEMBAR ALKI-III
Sea Line Of Communication (SLOC) and ALKI Jalur Laut Nasional Primer
Jalur Laut Nasional Sekunder Jalur Utama Darat (Jalan dan / atau KA)
Pelabuhan Hub Global Pelabuhan Primer
ALKI-III B
ALKI-III C
MAIN INT. AIRPORT
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RESOURCES ACCOUNTING KORIDOR EKONOMI KALIMANTAN
Oil & Gas based Industry clusters Future Coal Gasification clusters Aluminum industry cluster
KAYAN ENERGY INVESTME NT REGION
Tema: "Pusat Produksi dan Pengolahan Hasil Tambang & Lumbung Energi Nasional" Oil and Gas node
Steel industry Cluster
Palm oil nodes Coal mining nodes Forestry node Proposed location for SEZ Industrial area/cluster Fishery node Domestic ship route network
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PALU –PARIGI PASS - 35,7 KILOMETRES
SMART DEVELOPMENT: COMPETITIVE AND INTEGRATED NATIONAL LOGISTIC
Parigi A 35,7 km length of road in Central Sulawesi, that will logistically connect ALKI 2 (Strait of Makassar) and ALKI 3 (The Gulf of Tomini) in less than 60 minutes. This will transform the national logistic into new level of competitiveness and provide people with wider employment access.
Kota Palu
35,7 km ~ < 60 menit
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TEROBOSAN BERBASIS MARITIM
NABIRE – ENAI PASS Pengembangan infrastruktur Jalan dari Teluk Cendrawash ke Teluk Enai di KE Ekonomi Papua diharapkan mampu menerobos kebuntuan logistik sosial dan ekonomi. Mengintegrasi sistem logistik Laut, Udara dan Darat serta Energi Listrik dari Mamberamo sebagai modalitas pembangunan KE Papua-Maluku.
Future Nickel indust.complex
Raja Ampat Diving Spot
Hydropower potentials ~ 10 – 15 GW
Fisheries Cluster and Marine Tourism spoke LME 38 PELUANG < 1 JUTA TON MSY
Oil & Gas, Gold mining clusters Large-scale Food crops and Energy Estate, SEZ
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Sustainable energy intensive industry Connected to North through Pacific Ocean (Southeast Asia, East Asia) Islands protect Nabire Port against Tsunamis.
Hydro Electric Capacity > 10000MW
1 .
2.
Nabire
3. Connected to west part of Indonesia
Connected to South through Indian Ocean (Australia, New Zealand)
Energy-Intensive Industrial Regions *Resource: Australia’s Bureau of Resources & Energy Economics, June 2012
PLTA Membramo dan jalur transmisi ke daerah industri Perusakan hutan (dari pembangunan jalan, pabrik, dll) diminimalisir dengan memusatkan pembangunan industri di satu tempat yang berlokasi strategis dan terlindung dari ancaman Tsunami. Jalan shortcut dari Pelabuhan Nabire di Papua ke Selatan yang berakhir di pelabuhan baru di tepi lautan Arafura di Papua Barat Bertujuan untuk meningkatkan konektivitas dan fleksibilitas penerimaan bahan material dan pengiriman hasil produksi. Pengembangan SDM Papua Kawasan industri akan memerlukan banyak tenaga kerja terlatih sehingga dapat membuka kesempatan kerja dan meningkatkan kemakmuran rakyat setempat.
Unifying time zone: Critical mass of 240 million market place GMT+8 UNIFYING NATIONAL TIME ZONE (PROPOSED)
WIB – GMT+7
WITA – GMT+8
WIT – GMT+9
WEST INDONESIA TIME ZONE
MIDDLE INDONESIA TIME ZONE
EAST INDONESIA TIME ZONE
“UNIFIED TIME ZONE” GMT+8
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Transformation Strategy 3
Strengthening national human resources capability and science & technology 25
HUMAN RESOURCES AND ECONOMY 2025 INDONESIA TINGGI
MENENGAH
DASAR
As target for national human resources structure
20%
175%
45%
100%
35%
100%
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Human Resources Mapping in MP3EI Kebutuhan (MP3EI): 22 Kegiatan Ekonomi + Konektivitas
Tingkat Pendidikan
Pendidikan & Kompetensi
+ Perguruan Tinggi & Politeknik
Sebaran Lokasi Pendidikan Akreditasi Pendidikan Standar Kualitas Lulusan Pendidikan Populasi Lulusan Pendidikan
Sebaran Lokasi Industri
Pendidikan Penghasil Angkatan Kerja
KAWASAN KAWASAN PERHATIAN PERHATIAN INVESTASI INVESTASI
Sertifikasi Keahlian & Ketrampilan Jumlah SDM Sesuai Teknologi
+Akademi Komunitas
Perkembangan Pertumbuhan
+Kursus Pertumbuhan Lulusan Pendidikan
Situasi Sosial Setempat
+SMK
SDM IDEAL PENUHI KEBUTUHAN INDUSTRI Sumber: Timja SDM-IPTEK KP3EI
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Human Resources Roles in MP3EI Kedaulatan Teknologi melalui Inovasi
PT Riset
Kedaulatan Industri dan Ekonomi melalui SDM Unggul
Daya saing Industri dan Ekonomi melalui SDM Terampil
• Pengembangan 10-20 PT Riset dan Pusat Penelitian secara Nasional
PT Pendidikan dan Politeknik
• Satu PT & 2 Politeknik Unggul di tiap Provinsi (100 Politeknik baru)
Akademi Komunitas utk Tenaga Terampil Setempat
Sekolah Menengah Kejuruan Kursus/Pendidikan Non Formal utk Meningkatkan Kompetensi Naker Setempat
• Satu Akademi Komunitas di tiap Kab/Kota (521 Akademi Komunitas)
• Perbaikan rasio SMK:SMA, penguatan mutu dan relevansi SMK • Peningkatan mutu, penguatan relevansi, dan sertifikasi lembaga kursus28 28
REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA COORDINATING MINISTRY FOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS
THE COMMITTEE FOR ACCELLERATION AND EXPANSION OF INDONESIA ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
www.kp3ei.go.id
email:
[email protected] Edib Muslim Head of Division – Public Communications and Promotion The Committee for Accelleration and Expansion of Indonesia Economic Development The Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs , Republic of Indonesia Jalan Lapangan Banteng Timur No. 2 – 4, Jakarta Pusat - Indonesia Phone: +62 21 351 1462; Fax: +62 21 351 1644
