BUSINESS AND SOCIETY SUPPORT FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
Erwin S. Sadirsan APEC Conference on Clean, renewable & sustainability use of energy Ayodya resort Bali hotel September 30th – October 2nd 2013
OUTLINE 1
RE for Energy Security Investment opportunity Technology options Green Economics
2 3
4 5 6
Strategy to achieve 25/25 vision : KEN The role of industry player : Certainty, clarity Lesson Learnt : No re invent the wheel Leadership : One command for sustainable energy summary
Renewable Energy : Investment opportunity Small enterprises
1
4
Size of Company :
Medium enterprises Big companies
2
Complexity, Bureaucracy ,
3
Porter : O, T, S, W
Risk Management
Financial access
Renewable Energy : Technology Options
1. Geothermal 2. Biomass 3. Others :Wind, PV, Ocean
Indonesia Geothermal Potential Indonesia Geothermal Potential : 28.543 MW 40% of world geothermal potential . Indonesia is the number 3 country after Philippine and USA.
Sumber: PT. PERTAMINA Geothermal Energi
Time Frame of Geothermal PROSES HEAD OF AGREEMENT NOTICE OF RESORCES CONFIRMATION
COD
PROSES NEGOSIASI HARGA UAP / LISTRIK Notice Of Intend to Develop
• AMDAL / UKL / UPL • Izin Lokasi • Izin penggunaan lahan untuk kegiatan Eksplorasi – Kemenhut • SIPPA • IMB
EPC
FEED
EKSPLOITASI
EKSPLORASI PERIZINAN..... TAHUN ???
INVENTORY WKP
2-3 Tahun
Sumber: PT. PERTAMINA Geothermal Energi
• • • • •
AMDAL Izin Lokasi Izin Pinjam Pakai Lahan SIPPA IMB
PERIZINAN..... TAHUN ???
3-5 Tahun Page 6
RE: Technology Options (2)
NO
RE
Potency (SD)
Capacity (KT)
RATIO KT/SD (%)
1
2
3
4
5 = 4/3
1
hydro
75,670 MW
5,705.29 MW
7.54
2
geothermal
29,038 MW
1,189 MW
4.00
3
Mini/Micro Hydro
769.69 MW
217.89 MW
28.31
4
Biomass
49,810 MW
1,618.40 MW
3.25
5
PV
4.80 kWh/m2/day
13.5 MW
-
6
wind
3 – 6 m/s
1.87 MW
-
7
Uranium
3.000 MW (e.q. 24,112 ton) for 11 years*)
30 MW
1.00
*) Kalan – West Kalimantan
Sumber: Kementerian ESDM-Ditjen EBTKE
Renewable Energy : Green Economics 1
Definition
2
Profit versus sustainability of energy
3
CDM, Climate Change
4
Feed in Tariff
Economics values : IRR, 5 PBP, NPV
Power Generation Cost ( 2005/MWh) power
Biogas Biomassa solid PV Wind – onshore Wind - offshore Hydro small Hydro big Nuclear Gas (PLTGU) Coal (powder)
2007
2020
2030
55 – 215 80 – 195 520 – 880 75 – 110 85 – 140 60 – 185 35 – 145 50 – 85 50 – 60 40 – 50
50 – 200 85 – 200 270 – 460 55 – 90 65 – 115 55 – 160 30 – 140 45 – 80 65 – 75 65 – 80
50 – 190 85 – 205 170 – 300 50 – 85 50 – 95 50 – 145 30 – 130 45 – 80 70 – 80 65 – 80
Source : : Komisi Eropa (2008), Canton dan Linden (2010); Dr. Tatang Hernas S.
9
Strategy 25/25 vision Energy Mix KEN Vision 25/25
New KEN Act Now ! How ? Supply- Demand Theory The devils are in the details Kadin will support by the RE Task Force
Strategy (2) BAU**
EBT, 3.1%
PERPRES 5/2006 EBT, 17%
EBT, 4.4%
Minyak Bumi, 41.7%
Batubara , 30.7%
Minyak Bumi, 43.9%
Batubara, 34.6%
Gas Bumi, 20.6% Gas Bumi, 21.0%
Minyak Bumi, 20%
VISI 25/25
, 0.0%
EBT; 25% Batubara , 33% Gas Bumi, 30%
Minyak Bumi; 20%
Batubar a; 32% Gas Bumi; 23%
5100 SBM
3,1%
34.6%
3200 SBM
25 % EBT
1131,3 SBM
32 % Batubara 4,4 % 30,7 % 21 %
23 Gas Bumi %
41.7%
20 % M. Bumi
43,9%
2010 2015 *Sumber: *DEN, **Blueprint PEN 2006-2025
2020 2025
DIVERSIFIKASI ENERGI
20,6%
1 1
3200 SBM
KONSERVASI ENERGI (37,25%)
KEBIJAKAN ENERGI SEKTORAL Kebijakan Energi Sektor Rumah Tangga Kebijakan Energi Sektor Bangunan Komersial
Rencana Induk Konservasi Energi Nasional (RIKEN)
Kebijakan Energi Sektor Industri
Sisi kebutuhan
Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral Direktorat Jenderal Energi Baru Terbarukan dan Konservasi Energi
Kebijakan Energi Sektor Transportasi
KEBIJAKAN KLASTERAL* Energi Baru Kebijakan Energi Klaster Nuklir
Visi Energi Baru Terbarukan 25/25
Kebijakan Energi Klaster CBM Kebijakan Energi Klaster Gasified Coal Kebijakan Energi Klaster Liquified Coal Kebijakan Energi Klaster Hidrogen
Energi Terbarukan Kebijakan Energi Klaster Panas Bumi Kebijakan Energi Klaster Hidro Kebijakan Energi Klaster Bioenergi
Rencana Induk Diversifikasi Energi Nasional (RIDEN)
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Energi Surya
Sisi Penyediaan
Rencana Induk Pengembangan dan Pemanfaatan Energi Baru dan Terbarukan (RIPPEBAT)
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Energi Angin Kebijakan Energi Klaster Samudera
Energi Tak Terbarukan
Rencana Induk “Rasionalisasi” Energi Tak Terbarukan *Klaster sesuai dg UU 30/2007 ttg Energi
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Minyak Bumi Kebijakan Energi Klaster Gas Bumi Kebijakan Energi Klaster Batubara
© EBTKE KESDM - 2010
METI
Lesson Learnt : No re invent the wheel
1. Constraint a. Bureaucracy b. Business to Business (Require more Government Support) c. Cultures and Etiquettes d. Business as Usual 2. Proposal : a. Business Partnership Forum b. Joint Road Show c. Routine Business Meeting d. Security Assurance e. Business development Incentives (tax holiday, investment credit, etc)
Leadership : One command for sustainable energy
• • • •
KEN Coordination Leadership Stake Holder’s support
Summary One command for sustainable energy
• Regulatory framework, especially implementing regulation of Law no 30/2007 and propose new Bill (RUU) of Renewable Energy • Do Not re invent the wheel, adopt relevant best practices
• Gradually remove fossil fuel subsidies undermine the competitiveness of renewables.
