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ANALISIS KEMAMPUAN ARUS KAS OPERASI DALAM MENDETEKSI MANIPULASI AKTIVITAS RIIL DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KINERJA PASAR (Studi Empiris Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia)
SKRIPSI Diajukan Guna Melengkapi Tugas Akhir Dan Memenuhi Salah Satu Syarat Untuk Menyelesaikan Program Studi Ilmu Ekonomi (S1) Dan Mencapai Gelar Sarjana Ekonomi Universitas Jember
Oleh : ZUBDATIN NISWAH NIM. 050810301154
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ABSTRACT This research aims to identify firm’s tendency to execute real activities manipulation through cash flow from operating activities and its impact to market performance. The sample is drawn from 40 manufacture companies in Indonesia stock exchange from 2004-2007. The research model used is based on Roychowdhury’s model (2003). Prior to test the hypotheses, the researcher employed regression model to determine normal and abnormal cash flow from operating activities. Then, descriptive statistics, one sample t-test, and two independent samples t-test are used to test the research hypotheses. The result shows that firms tend to execute real activities manipulation through operating cash flow. Moreover, the impact of real activities manipulation on market performance shows firms that are more likely executing real activities manipulation have higher market performance than their counterparts.
Keywords: Operating cash flow, real activities manipulation, market performance.
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DAFTAR ISI
HALAMAN PERSETUJUAN ...............................................................................
HALAMAN MOTTO .............................................................................................
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DAFTAR ISI............................................................................................................ ix c.id id c.icd.id c.id id c.id id c.id id xi enj.eaj.ac. DAFTAR TABEL enj.eaj.a................................................................................................... enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. n n n n n u u u u u . . . . . ilib b.u ilibilib.u ilib b.u ilib b.u ilibilib.u /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigLAMPIRAN /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigxii / / / / / : : : : : p p p p p DAFTAR ........................................................................................... t t t t t hthttp hthttp hthttp hthttp hthttp
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1.3 Tujuan Penelitian ....................................................................................
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2.1 Landasan Teori.......................................................................................
Manipulasi Aktivitas Riil ............................................................
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c.id id c.id id c.id id c.id id enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. n n n n u u u u . . . . 2.1.4 Teknik Manipulasi Aktivitas Riil................................................ 9 ilib b.u ilib b.u ilib b.u ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili / / / / : : : : p p p p t t t t thttp hthttp hthKegiatan hthttp ttp 2.1.5 Arus Kas Operasi dan hKinerja Pasar ........................... 10
://d htthpttp:
2.2 PenelitianidTerdahulu ............................................................................... 11 .id . .id .id c.id id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id e e e e enj.eaj.ac. n n n n n u u u u u . . . . . n n n n 2.3 blib.u blib.u giliblib.u giliHipotesis.................................................................................................. giliblib.u giliblib.u gili14 :/p/d:/i/digi :/p/d:/i/digi :/p/d:/i/digi :/p/d:/i/digi :/p/d:/i/digi p p p p p t t t t t t t t t t h htt h ht3. h htt h htt h htt t METODE PENELITIAN.......................................................................... BAB 16
://d htthpttp:
3.1 Jenis dan.idSumber Data ............................................................................ 16 .id .id
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id e e e e n n n n b.u un b.u un bl.iub.un ibil.iub.un dan Sampel ............................................................................... 3.2 igdiilgPopulasi igdiilgi ilib. igdiilgi ilib. igdiilgi16 i d d d d / / / / / / / / : : : : / / / / htthpttp:/ htthpttp:/ htthpttp:/ htthpttp:/
://d htthpttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
ca.icd.id j.eaix e . j n u ilgibil.ib.un g i d / i :/ d htthpttp://
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
://d htthpttp:
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
j. ac .ubn.uenej. b i l i i g l ://di digi htthpttp://
j. ac .ubn.uenej. b i l i i g l ://di digi htthpttp://
j. ac .ubn.uenej. b i l i i g l ://di digi htthpttp://
j. ac .ubn.uenej. b i l i i g l ://di digi htthpttp://
j. ac .ubn.uenej. b i l i i g l ://di digi htthpttp://
://d htthpttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
://d htthpttp:
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
://d htthpttp:
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . giliblib.u :/p/d:/i/digi p t t h htt .id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
3.3 Definisi Operasional Variabel dan Pengukurannya ................................ 17
c.id.id Kas Operasi ........................................................................ c.id id c.id id 3.3.1ej.aArus 17 ej.ac.a.icd.id enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. j.ac n n n n ej e u u u . . . n libilib.u libilib.u libilib.u libil.iub.un i i i i g g g g i i i i d g d dig d g d g Return.................................................. tp://://di 3.3.2 Cummulative tp://://Abnormal tp://://di tp://://di 17
hthttp
hthttp
hthttp
3.4 Teknik Analisis Data............................................................................... 19
.id .id ca.icd.id 3.4.1 Deskriptif. n..................................................................... 19 nej.ajc.a.icd.id j.eajStatistik j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id e e e . n n u u u u e ilgibil.ib.un ilgibil.ib.un ilgibil.ib.un ilgibil.ib.un g g g g i i i i d d d d / i / i / i p:/p/://di ttp:/p://d 3.4.2 Analisis Regresi ttp:/p://d Linier Bergandatt............................................... ttp:/p://d 19
h htt
h htt
3.4.3 .id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
hthttp
h htt
h htt
://d htthpttp:
://d htthpttp:
Uji Normalitas Data .................................................................... 20 id
id
id
id
ac.a. c.idt ............................................................................................. ac. .id ac. .id 3.4.4 20 nej.eajc.a. c.id nuenj.ejUji nuenj.ej.ac nuenj.ej.ac u u u u . . . b b b i i i i . . . ilgilib ilgilib ilgilib ilgbil.ib.un g g g g i i i i d d d d / / / / i i i i :/ d :/ d :/ d :/ d httptp:// 3.4.5 Uji Hipotesis. httptp://.............................................................................. httptp:// httptp:// 20 ht
ht
ht
ht
://d htthpttp:
BAB 4. HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN .................................................................. 22 c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
.id
h
h
4.4.1 c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . giliblib.u :/p/d:/i/digi p t t h htt .id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
.id
.id
.id
j.ac c.id j.ac c.id j.ac c.id j.ac c.id 4.1 Gambaran 22 un.uenej.a Perusahaan Sampel................................................................ un.uenej.a un.uenej.a un.uenej.a . . . . b b b b i i i i l l l l gi ilib gi lib gi lib gi lib ://d:/i/digAnalisis ://di digi ://di digi ://di digi Data ........................................................................................... httpttp4.4 httpttp:// httpttp:// httpttp:// 25 h
h
Statistik Deskriptif ...................................................................... 25 c.id id
c.id id
c.id id
c.id id
j.a.ac. j.a.ac. j.a ac. j.a ac. 4.4.2 Regresi Linier ............................................... 27 .ubn.uenejAnalisis .ubn.uenejBerganda .ubn.uenej. .ubn.uenej. b b b b i i i i l l l l i i i i g li g li g li g li ://di digi ://di digi ://di digi ://di digi htthpttp:// 4.4.3 Uji Normalitas............................................................................. htthpttp:// htthpttp:// htthpttp:// 28
4.4.3
://d htthpttp:
Uji Hipotesis ............................................................................... 28
d ac.i .id
d ac.i .id
d ac.i .id
://d htthpttp:
d ac.i .id
j. ac j. ac j. ac j. ac 4.5 iPembahasan............................................................................................. 31 .ubn.uenej. .ubn.uenej. .ubn.uenej. .ubn.uenej. b b b b i i i l l l l i i i i i i i i g l g l g l g l ://di digi :/p/d:/i/digi ://di/digi ://di/digi Riil Melalui htthpttp:// 4.5.1 Manipulasi htthpttAktivitas htthpArus ttp:/ Kas Kegiatan htthpttp:/
://d htthpttp:
Operasi ........................................................................................ 31
.id .id .id .id .id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id j.eajc.ac.id e e e e e n n n n n 4.5.2 Manipulasi Aktivitas Riil dan Kinerja Pasar............................... 32 u u u u u lib. .un lib. .un lib. .un lib. .un lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib d/i/gdiigilib d/i/gdiigilib d/i/gdiigilib d/i/gdiigilib / / / / / / / / / / : : : : : p p p p p htthttp: httht5. htthttp: htthtSARAN............................... htthttp: tp:KESIMPULAN, KETERBATASAN tp: BAB DAN 34 c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib b.u /d:/i/gdigili / : p t hthttp
://d htthpttp:
5.1 Kesimpulan ............................................................................................. 34 d d d
c.i id c.i id c.i id c.id id enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. enj.eaj.ac. n n n n u u u u . . . . 5.2iliKeterbatasan............................................................................................ b b.u b b.u ilib b.u ilib b.u ili34 /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili /d:/i/gdigili / / / / : : : : p p p p t t t t hthttp5.3 Saran........................................................................................................ hthttp hthttp hthttp 35
://d htthpttp:
DAFTAR PUSTAKA .id c.id id j.eajc.ac.id e enj.eaj.ac. n n u u . . n LAMPIRAN giliblib.u giliblib.u :/p/d:/i/digi :/p/d:/i/digi p p t t t t h htt h htt
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . giliblib.u :/p/d:/i/digi p t t h htt
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . giliblib.u :/p/d:/i/digi p t t h htt
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . giliblib.u :/p/d:/i/digi p t t h htt
://d htthpttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n b.u un igdiilgi ilib. d / / : / htthpttp:/
://d htthpttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajxc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
.id j.eajc.ac.id e n u lib. .un d/i/gdiigilib / / : p htthttp:
://d htthpttp:
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u
c.id id enj.eaj.ac. n u . ilib ib.u