AN OVERVIEW OF THE INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR INDUSTRY By: Franciscus Welirang Chairman of APTINDO (Association of Flour Producers in Indonesia) Director of PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (Bogasari Flour Mills)
Singapore, March 12, 2014
GLOBAL GRAINS ASIA
HIGHLIGHTS (1) Flour Mills Industry Grows Since the 1998 Deregulation > 1970 – 1998 (Bulog Era) : 5 Flour mills 1999 – 2008 (post deregulation): 6 new Flour Mills 2009 – 2013 (post deregulation): 12 new Flour Mills 2014 – 2015 (to be established) : 6 new Flour Mills > Total in 2015 will be 29 millers (Centralized in Java, 24 millers and 5 millers are outside of Java) > Used Capacity approximately at 60%
Indonesian Wheat Flour Consumption: > In 2012: 5.1 MMT, rise by 8.9% compared to year 2011 (Wheat equivalent: 6.7 MMT) > In 2013: 5.3 MMT, rise by 3.0% compared to year 2012 (Wheat equivalent: 7.0 MMT) > Domestic Supply : 96% & Import: 4%
HIGHLIGHTS (2) Indonesian Wheat Flour Exports: > 2012: 45.937 MT (26.3 million USD), rise by 43.7% compared to 2011 > 2013: 68.183 MT(37.1 million USD), rise by 40.9% compared to 2012 Indonesian By Product Exports (Brand Pollard): > 2012: 409.753 MT (88.1 million USD), rise by 23.9% compared to 2011 > 2013: 431.629 MT(105.8 million USD), rise by 20.1% compared to 2012 Indonesian Wheat Flour Based Product Exports: > 2012: 210.516 MT (441. 9 million USD), rise by 602% compared to 2011 > 2013: 257.306 MT (564.6 million USD), rise by 27.8% compared to 2012
PRE & POST DEREGULATION OF INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR INDUSTRY PRE Deregulation (BULOG Era)
POST Deregulation
SUBJECT
Total
Location
Total 1970-1998
1999-2008
2009-2013 (Now)
5
5 + 6 = 11
11 + 12 = 23
23 + 6
= 29
Gresik (1); Tangerang (1); Sidoarjo (3); Medan (1)
Cilegon (3); Tangerang (1); Medan (2); Bekasi (3); Gresik(1); Sidoarjo (1); Mojokerto (1);
Tangerang (1) Cilegon (2) ; Gresik (2): Medan (1)
Java: 24 Outside Java: 5 (Centralized in Java Island)
Jakarta (1); , Surabaya (1); Makassar (1); Semarang (1); Cilacap (1);
2014 - 2015
Total of Wheat Mill Capacity : +/- 9.7 million MT/year 4
FLOUR MILLS INDUSTRY LOCATION PRE DEREGULATION (BULOG ERA) – 5 FLOUR MILLS
Sriboga FM– Semarang
Eastern Pearl FM
Bogasari FM – Jakarta
Bogasari FM – Surabaya Panganmas FM – Cilacap
– Makassar
FLOUR MILLS INDUSTRY LOCATION POST DEREGULATION (up to 2013: 23 FLOUR MILLS) Note : Pre-deregulation
Bogasari FM – Jakarta
Jakaranatama Medan Halim Sarigandum Medan
Post-deregulation
Sriboga FM– Semarang
Agri First Medan
Panganmas FM – Cilacap Bogasari FM – Surabaya Eastern Pearl FM – Makassar
Agrofood makmur Mandiri, Mojokerto Pioner Flour MiIls Sidoarjo
Mustafa Mesindo Tangerang
Purnomo Sejati Sidoarjo
BIG - Tangerang Cerestar FM Cilegon
Asia Raya Sidoarjo
GGM- Cilegon Pundi Kencana Cilegon
Horizon Bekasi Bumi Alam Segar - Bekasi Lumbung Nasional - Bekasi
Pakindo Jaya Sidoarjo Fugui Flour & Grain – Gresik Murti Jaya Gresik 6
NEW FLOUR MILLS TO BE ESTABLISHED PERIOD: 2014 – 2015. (6 FLOUR MILLS)
Cerestar FM Medan
Crown FM Tangerang
Bungasari FM Cilegon Mayora FM Cilegon
Wilmar FM Gresik Cerestar FM Gresik 7
INDONESIAN FLOUR MILLS LOCATION 2014 (29 FLOUR MILLS) Jakaranatama Medan
Bogasari FM – Jakarta
Halim Sarigandum Medan
Note : Pre-deregulation
Sriboga FM– Semarang
Agri First Medan
Post-deregulation
Panganmas FM – Cilacap
Cerestar FM Medan
Next – to be establish
Bogasari FM – Surabaya Eastern Pearl FM – Makassar
Crown Flour Mills - Tangerang
Agrofood makmur Mandiri, Mojokerto Pioner Flour MiIls Sidoarjo
Mustafa Mesindo Tangerang
Purnomo Sejati Sidoarjo
BIG - Tangerang Cerestar FM Cilegon
Asia Raya Sidoarjo
GGM- Cilegon Pundi Kencana Cilegon Bungasari FM Cilegon Mayora FM Cilegon
Pakindo Jaya Sidoarjo
Horizon Bekasi Bumi Alam Segar - Bekasi
Wilmar FM Gresik
Lumbung Nasional - Bekasi
Cerestar FM Gresik
Fugui Flour & Grain – Gresik Murti Jaya Gresik
Total Cap.: +/- 9.7 million MT/year Centralized in Java
8
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR CONSUMPTION DATA
9
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR CONSUMPTION (2009 – 2013)
YEAR
2009
2010
2011
2012
SUBJECT
000 MT
DOMESTIC SUPPLY
3,325
84
3,627
82
4,041
86
4,662
IMPORTS
645
16
776
18
679
14
480
%
Total
3,970 100
Wheat Equivalent
GROWTH ,%
000 MT
%
000 MT
%
000 MT
2013 000 MT
%
91
5,089
96
9
205
4
5,294
100
%
4,403 100
4,721 100
5,142 100
5,224
5,793
6,210
6,766
6,966
12.54
10.91
7.12
8.93
3.0% (Domestic: 9.1%)
Indonesian Wheat Flour Consumption (2013): 5.3 million MT, Wheat grain equivalent 7.0 million MT 10
INDONESIAN WHEAT GRAIN IMPORTS
11
INDONESIAN WHEAT GRAIN IMPORTS, 2013 UKRAINE 5%
RUSSIA 3%
TURKEY 1%
OTHERS 1%
INDIA 6% UNITED STATES 8%
CANADA 20%
AUSTRALIA 56%
Total Import: 6.7 MMT 12
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR IMPORTS
13
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR IMPORTS, 2013 MALAYSIA SINGAPORE 2% 2% UKRAINE 4%
JAPAN 2%
OTHERS 4%
INDIA 29% SRI LANKA 28% TURKEY 29%
Total Import: 205.447 MT 14
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR EXPORTS
15
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR EXPORTS, 2010 – 2013 (Value in .000 USD)
2010 2011 2012 2013 Value, (000 USD) 18,703 18,296 26,297 37,063 Growth, % 92.0% -2.2% 43.7% 40.9% 16
INDONESIAN WHEAT FLOUR EXPORTS, 2010 – 2013 (Value in .000 USD) 37,063
26,297 18,703
2010
18,296
2011
2012
2013
17
INDONESIAN BY PRODUCT EXPORTS
18
INDONESIAN BY PRODUCTS EXPORTS, 2010 – 2013 (Value in .000 USD)
2010 2011 2012 2013 Value, (000 USD) 71,660 71,043 88,055 105,762 Growth, % 54.0% -0.9% 23.9% 20.1% 19
TREND: INDONESIAN BY PRODUCTS EXPORTS, 2010 – 2013 (Value in .000 USD)
105,762 88,055 71,660
2010
71,043
2011
2012
2013
20
INDONESIAN EXPORTS OF WHEAT FLOUR BASED PRODUCTS
21
INDONESIAN EXPORTS OF WHEAT FLOUR BASED PRODUCTS 2011 - 2012 2011 No HS CODE
Export of Wheat Flour Based Products
QTY, MT
2012
VALUE (USD)
QTY, MT
2012 vs 2011
VALUE (USD)
QTY, MT
VALUE (USD)
1
1902304000
Instant noodles
92,872 144,584,246
91,538 150,628,631
-1.4%
4.2%
2
1902309000
Other stuffed pasta
18,349
19,339,841
24,618
34.2%
70.4%
3
1905100000
Crispbread
1,605
5,342,702
1,152
4
1905311000
Sweet biscuits not containing cocoa
29,548
81,606,302
23,784
78,730,536 -19.5%
5
1905312000
Sweet biscuits containing cocoa
27,074
65,267,340
26,830
53,482,121
-0.9% -18.1%
6
1905320000
Waffles and wafers
22,201
62,530,446
27,942
93,883,975
25.9%
7
1905409000
Rusks, toasted bread & similar toasted products
994
1,282,763
288
8
1905901000
Unsweetened teething biscuits
3,143
6,710,596
3,360
9
1905902000
Other unsweetened biscuits
970
1,829,144
527
757,215 -45.7% -58.6%
10
1905903000
Cakes
115
252,572
163
327,542
41.8%
29.7%
11
1905904000
Pastries
229
481,416
347
571,837
51.8%
18.8%
12
1905907000
Communion wafers, sealing wafers, rice paper and similar 28products 262,333
39
119,199
38.8% -54.6%
13
1905908000
Other crisp savoury food products
14
1905909000
Other baker wares
TOTAL
32,951,788
2,351,689 -28.3% -56.0% -3.5%
50.1%
855,825 -71.0% -33.3% 7,021,443
6.9%
4.6%
846
1,733,894
1,994
3,606,312 135.6% 108.0%
11,293
24,853,221
7,934
16,583,338 -29.7% -33.3%
209,267 416,076,816 210,516 441,871,451
Exports of Wheat Flour Based Products in 2012 rise by 6.2% compared to previous year
0.6%
6.2%
INDONESIAN EXPORTS OF WHEAT FLOUR BASED PRODUCTS , 2013 No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
TOTAL 2013 QTY, MT VALUE 1902304000 Instant noodles 111,488 185,874,607 1902309000 Other stuffed pasta 19,535 23,989,043 1905100000 Crispbread 717 2,134,109 1905311000 Sweet biscuits not containing cocoa 41,550 135,522,206 1905312000 Sweet biscuits containing cocoa 30,799 58,648,437 1905320000 Waffles and wafers 36,521 120,703,565 1905409000 Rusks, toasted bread & similar toasted products 395 1,115,188 1905901000 Unsweetened teething biscuits 4,007 8,670,405 1905902000 Other unsweetened biscuits 1,028 1,506,704 1905903000 Cakes 129 272,043 1905904000 Pastries 171 603,098 1905907000 Communion wafers, sealing wafers, rice paper and similar products 48 191,723 1905908000 Other crisp savoury food products 1,762 2,972,617 1905909000 Other baker wares 9,155 22,442,669 TOTAL 257,306 564,646,414 2013 vs 2012 46,790 122,774,963 Growth yoy, % 22.2% 27.8% HS CODE
EXPORT OF WHEAT FLOUR BASED PRODUCTS
Exports of Wheat Flour Based Products rise by 27.8% compared to the same period of 2012; 564,6 million USD
2013 vs 2012, % QTY VALUE 21.8% 23.4% -20.6% -27.2% -37.8% -9.3% 74.7% 72.1% 14.8% 9.7% 30.7% 28.6% 37.0% 30.3% 19.3% 23.5% 95.2% 99.0% -20.4% -16.9% -50.8% 5.5% 22.9% 60.8% -11.6% -17.6% 15.4% 35.3% 22.2% 27.8%
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