POTENSI PENURUNAN EMISI GRK BID KEHUTANAN DAN LAHAN GAMBUT
Dr. YETTI RUSLI MSc. - Staf Ahli Bidang Lingkungan & Perubahan Iklim - Ketua Pokja Perubahan Iklim Kemhut
Peluncuran Pedoman RAD GRK, BAPPENAS Hotel Borobudur, 12 Januari 2012 YR@YETTI RUSLI
PERPRES NOMOR 61 TAHUN 2011 TENTANG RAN PENURUNAN EMISI GRK
SUMBER: BAPPENAS, 2011
DATA KARBON HUTAN
SUMBER: DITJEN PLANOLOGI KEHUTANAN 2012 Note: please donot quote /under confirmation (ed.Yetti Rusli)
DATA KARBON HUTAN
SUMBER: DITJEN PLANOLOGI KEHUTANAN 2012 Note: please donot quote /under confirmation (ed.Yetti Rusli)
DATA KARBON HUTAN
SUMBER: DITJEN PLANOLOGI KEHUTANAN 2012 Note: please donot quote /under confirmation (ed.Yetti Rusli)
Green Economy (UNEP 2011, Towards a Green Economy) “REDD+
regime may be the best current opportunity to facilitate the transition to a green economy for (from) forestry” “investing 0.03% of GDP b/w 20112050 to conserve forests & private investment for reforestation >20% increase value added in forest industry compare to BAU”
Continue.. UNEP 2011, Towards a Green Economy
Forest cover (ha) . World Forest Area (bil) . World Planted FA (mil) Deforestation (mil ha/y) . Ann net forest loss . Ann deforestation . Ann increase planted forest
1990 4.17 178
2010 4.03 264
8.3 16
5.2 13
3.36
5
INDIKATOR HUTAN DUNIA POSITIF
Positif & intensif
POHON - FOTOSINTESA (SERAP CO2) PERUBAHAN IKLIM - GRK CO2 2
80 % CO2 DUNIA
20 % CO2 DUNIA
1 YR@YETTI RUSLI
Note: Bali Action Plan articl 1. b. iii (REDD+)
4 PERAN UTAMA HUTAN DLM PERUB IKLIM
SUMBER EMISI CO2 (REDUCING EMISSION FROM DEFORESTATION & DEGRADATIONREDD)..HANYA JIKA TERBAKAR ATAU MEMBUSUK
MENYIMPAN KARBON PADAT (Stabilization of terrestrial carbon)
KEMAMPUAN MENYERAP CO2 GRK & MERUBAHNYA JADI BIOMASA .. (SEQUESTRATION- OLD COMMITMENT – AR-CDM)
HASILKAN GREEN PRODUK .. RENEWABLE ENERGY
Note: Bali Action Plan articl 1. b. iii (REDD+)
3 PERAN UTAMA HUTAN DLM PERUB IKLIM
APA MAKNANYA?
• Tanam lebih banyak pohon • Pertahankan jml karbon padat • Produksi & Gunakan Renewable Energy (dari kayu) lebih banyak banyak
Green Fuel A Honeywell UOP technician holds a vial of the company's "green fuel"—a diesel equivalent that actually delivers more power and can be made from a variety of oils
WOOD and its wastes can be converted to aviation fuels, diesel, and methanol.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/slideshow.cfm?id=flyingenvironmentally-friendly-skies-on-alternativefuels&photo_id=F9E700EB-E7F2-38DF-3C212A43B4B11829
Sumber: Univ of Washington, Jakarta 17 Nov 2011
Strategi…hitungan2an peluang bagi indonesia:
PENANGGULANGAN PERUBAHAN IKLIM, BERSAMA-SAMA MENYERAP CO2 “CCS” INDONESIA “SUARA HUTAN”
Contoh Carbon capture and storage (CCS)
$
$ KONVERSI BIOMASA POHON- CO2 eq:
BIOMASA POHON MENJADI KARBON = 0.5 KARBON MENJADI CO2 EQ= X 3.7 Biomass to CO2 = X 1.83
YR@YETTI RUSLI
Indonesia’s Forests (+136 mill ha.) for Today and Tomorrow
Conservation Forests 25.3 m ha.
Ecosystem/ Environment
Protected Forests 30,9 m ha
Production Forests 80.4 m ha
Community Forests
Renewable Energy Services/ Commodity (Wood pellet, th
Methanol-4 GenRenw En)
PENGUATAN STRATEGI INDONESIA PERAN HUTAN DLM SIKLUS CO2
NICHOLAS STERN REVIEW, 2007 p.199:
GHG concentration: CO2, CH4, N2O, …….
Understanding the Fact:
TO BE CONSIDERED
facts: 4.00 3.51 3.50 2.83
Mill ha/year
3.00 2.50 2.00
1.50
1.87 1.37
1.08
1.00
0.68
0.50 1990-1996 Seluruh Indonesia Indonesia
Annual Rate of Deforestasi Indonesia Within Forest Area Outside Forest Area
0.76
0.78 0.30
0.50
0.00
1.17
0.41
1997-2000 2001-2003 2004-2006 Di dalam Forest Kawasan Area Hutan DiOutside luar Kawasan Hutan (APL) Forest Area Within
1990-1996 1997-2000 2001-2003 2004-2006 1.87 1.37 0.50
3.51 2.83 0.68
1.08 0.78 0.30
1.17 0.76 0.41
2005 -2007 FAO
0,5 YR@YETTI RUSLI
Pilihan cantik bagi Indonesia untuk dunia:
FOREST CARBON, CLIMATE CHANGE (QUADRAN OF /STARTER KIT) + 20% CO2 FROM DEFOR/ LULUCF
+ 80% CO2 EMIISSION FROM FOSIL FUEL
Reducing emissions : Clean Technology Clean energy
REDD
Markets
(ABSORBING
CO2 COOLING DOWN THE EARTH)
P L U S --- new AR CDM ?
F o r e s t LOCAL,
(complience,
voluntary)
R E D D
Trees as a remedy/cure for CO2 in the atmosphere
+ c a r b o n
NATIONAL,
GLOBAL
19 YR@YETTI RUSLI
UNDERSTANDING ECONOMIC OF CLIMATE CHANGE: FOREST RELATED
SCHEME AND VALUE OF CARBON FORESTS (Sequestration, Stocks, -Emission) TRANSFER PRICE MECHANISM (market based), Carbon Offset… ; bilateral & multi seharusnya tdk berdampak intervensi pasar
Eliasch Review 2008: have to include forests carbon in
$ /ton CO2 or CO2eq
the market for ambitiuos overall emission target WHAT IS ABATEMENT COST, COST CURVE, long-term, global /regional supply-demand
Si
∑ Q CO2 or CO2 eq
$ /ton CO2 or CO2eq
Carbon global supply & demand Sglb Si Dglb Ddx Ddy
∑ Q CO2 or CO2 eq
Challenge: FINANCING MECHANISM should be for ALL TYPE OF FORESTS (an OPTION)
1. Funding !! PROJECT
2. INVESTMENT FUND 3. INVESTMENT
GOVERNMENT
PRIVATE
MARKET
COMMUNITY
INDONESIA SHOULD WELCOME ALL POSSIBILITIES .. Indonesia has modalities for all activities for all type of forests: The activities range from conventional forestry program (SFM, Conservation, community etc), AR CDM, REDD, REDD+ (REDD, Conservation, enhancing c stock, SFM), Up to new programs within forest and climate change (Wood Pellet, Wood Methanol) YR@YETTI RUSLI
Hutan Indonesia
KEDEPAN
UTK MASYARAKAT, BANGSA & DUNIA YES !!! YES !! PELET
BATU BARA
METHANOL KAYU
BBM
Stokes 2008
Challenge:
SHOULD BE THE CHANGING OF GLOBAL DEMANDS AND EXPECTATION FROM FORESTS (“REPACKAGING SFM” AND IMPROVING) FINANCIAL SCHEME SHOULD GIVE BENEFITS TO THE COUNTRY AND THE WORLD GREEN ECONOMY
YR@YETTI RUSLI
INOVASI AKAR Root induction (JUN)
1.5 BULAN 1.5 bulan Roots from seed 3 bulan
PELET
Thank you
WOOD and its wastes can be converted to aviation fuels, diesel, and methanol.
[email protected]
25 YR@YETTI RUSLI
