Weekly Trading Plan Monday, September 30th 2013
Weekly IHSG 4423.72 -160.10 -3.49% Vol (Mn):
18
Val (Bn):
23
F Net B (Bn):
International DJIA
Weekly LQ-45
738.97 -34.96 -4.52%
Close 15,258.24
WoW Chg -192.85
(%) -1.25%
3,781.59
6.86
0.18%
S&P 500
1,691.75
-18.16
-1.06%
FTSE 100
6,512.66
-83.77
-1.27%
Nikkei 225
14,760.07
17.65
0.12%
Hang Seng
23,207.04
-295.47
-1.26%
3,209.5
-27.54
-0.85%
Last 11494
WoW Chg 453.00
(%) 4.10%
Nasdaq
(3,638)
STI
Sector
Last
(%)
PER
PBV
Agriculture
1777.67
-0.21%
0.8
2.8
Exchange Rates USD / IDR
Mining
1459.45
-5.89%
4.3
2.8
US $ Index
80.27
-0.12
-0.15%
EUR / USD
1.3500
0.00
-0.26% -1.45%
Basic Industry
492.52
-3.35%
4.6
1.5
Misc Industry
1192.10
-4.74%
12.0
1.1
Consumer
1905.68
-3.13%
20.0
7.5
Property
390.70
-5.55%
28.3
Infrastructure
954.85
-3.59%
9.8
Finance
791.65
35.36%
Trade
790.66 4423.72
Composite
USD / JPY
97.82
-1.44
GBP / USD
1.6171
0.01
0.90%
USD / CNY
6.119
0.00
-0.01%
2.8
AUD / USD
0.9306
-0.01
-1.35%
0.0
Others
Last
WoW Chg
(%)
20.8
0.0
S&P 500 Vlty (VIX)
15.46
2.34
17.84%
-2.35%
27.9
0.0
Baltic Dry
142.00
7.46%
0.00%
14.5
0.0
2,046.00
Recommendation Flashback 09/23/2013 Week's Potential Week's Potential Stock Rec. (opn) Stop Loss Loss Highest Date Gain Lowest Date Gain SMRA SB 1030 960 -6.8% 1030 9/23/2013 0.0% 880 9/25/2013 -14.6% SMGR S 14500 14500 0.0% 15500 9/24/2013 6.9% 13800 9/26/2013 -4.8% JSMR PS 5750 5750 0.0% 5850 9/23/2013 1.7% 5700 9/26/2013 -0.9% INCO PS 2625 2650 1.0% 2675 9/23/2013 1.9% 2350 9/26/2013 -10.5%
IHSG on the Week (23/9/13 - 27/9/13)
4,900.00 4,700.00
4,562.86 4,460.11 -0.46% Value (Bn)
-2.25%
Volume (Mn)
4,405.89
4,423.72
4,500.00
-0.02%
0.40%
4,300.00
4,406.76 -1.20%
4,100.00 IHSG
3,900.00 3,700.00 4.11
3.40
4.97 4.08
5.27
3.42
4.70
3.66
3.96
3.55 3,500.00
9/23/2013 LQ-45 Close LQ-45 % Chg Frgn Net Buy (Bn)
9/24/2013
9/25/2013
9/26/2013
769.99 -0.51% 16
749.2 -2.70% -625.85
737.03 -1.62% -571.73
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9/27/2013 735.5 -0.21% -573.8
738.97 0.47% -1881.99
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Weekly Trading Plan Weekly Technical Review IHSG
S1 S2 S3
4417 4306 4235
R1 R2 R3
4515 4612 4722
Comment: JCI moved sideways along the trading day last week, trading range 4353-4574, closed at the minor support level at the end of the week. By the first session today, the index gapped down, moves in negative territory, below the support and the medium term bullish trend-line, signaling a short term reversal. ADX, on short period downtrend, the DI(-) line points up. Stochastic golden cross, broad upside potential. Long term bullish & medium term bearish movement. This week stop-loss level 4306. There is a potential rebound movement at the mid week, breaks up confirmation level at 4470 with the next upside potential at 4612.
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Weekly Trading Plan Sectoral Highlight MINING
S1 S2 S3
1425 1361 1304
R1 R2 R3
1502 1565 1616
Comment: The index declined along the trading days last week, trading range 1454-1552. By the first session today, the index gapped down, continuing the bearish movement, forming a potential spinning bottom formation with the pattern of dragonfly doji candle. This pattern indicates a rebound signal. Stochastic on the oversold state, starts consolidating, broad upside potential. Long term bullish, shorter term bearish movement. Stop-loss level 1425, upside potential 1502. A potential rebound might appear at the mid weak.
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Weekly Trading Plan Sectoral Highlight INCO
S1 S2 S3
2200 2075 1930
R1 R2 R3
2350 2475 2600
Comment: INCO declines significantly last week, after pulled back and broke down the medium term bearish trend line and Dead-crossed MA25 & MA200. By the first session this week, The Candlestick forms a Southern star candle pattern, The index moves slightly on positive territory. Bullish reversal signal. Stochastic, INCO has moved at oversold state, Golden-cross potential. RSI bearish momentum at oversold area. Bullish reversal signal. Upside scenario: Intraday resistance 2350 (sell fractal), if the price able to move above this level, it will continue its movement towards level 2500 (Tries to break up medium bearish trend). Downside scenario: Stop loss at level 2150. Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the price will continue to the 1800 level (Maximum tolerance long term bullish trend).
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Weekly Trading Plan HEAD OFFICE
RESEARCH DIVISION
Reliance Building Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A, Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 661 7768 F +62 21 661 9884
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Yogyakarta Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121
Denpasar Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099
Medan Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597
BSD Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494
Surakarta Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478
Pontianak Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284
Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615
Jakarta – Centro Ruko Centro Residence Kav. 4-5 Tower C Lt. 1 No. 26-29 Jl. Macan, Daan Mogot Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 56945227 F +62 21 56945226
Balikpapan Ruko Bukit Indah Blok I No3 RT 34 Jl. MT Haryono, Gunung Bahagia Balikpapan Selatan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138
Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619
Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. +62354) 683128 F. +62354) 683128
President University Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585
Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888
STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218
Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru, Makassar 90222 T. +62411-889464 / 881244 F. +62411-887604
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782
Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420
Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840
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