DAILY REPORT Selasa 20 Oktober 2015
Market View
AKTIVITAS BURSA Senin, 19 Oktober 2015 IHSG : 4,569.844 +47.962/(1.061%)
♦ Pada perdagangan awal pekan, Senin 19/10/2015 Indeks Harga
Market Volume
: 7,587 Billion Shares
Market Value
: 5,258.628 Billion Rupiah Harga Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
Leading Movers BBCA
13,125
325
2.5%
BBRI
10,425
125
1.2%
BMRI
9,150
225
2.5%
ASII
6,500
200
3.2%
43,450
650
1.5%
SILO
12,075
-100
-0.8%
INTP
18,900
-650
-3.3%
ITMG
9,850
-275
-2.7%
AALI
18,900
-50
-0.3%
TBIG
6,750
-175
-2.5%
GGRM
Lagging Movers
Most Active TLKM
2,720
40
1.49%
SIAP
232
-3
-1.28%
LPKR
1,290
30
2.38%
SSMS
1,890
15
0.80%
MYRX
700
10
1.45%
Saham Gabungan (IHSG) menguat 47,96 poin (1,06%) dan ditutup pada level 4.569,84. Kenaikan IHSG ditopang oleh beberapa sektor antara lain Sektor Aneka Industri menguat 2,64%, Sektor Keuangan menguat 1,5% dan Sektor Manufaktur menguat 1,29%. Saham-saham berkapitalisasi besar menjadi penggerak indeks antara lain Saham ASII, INDF, BBCA. Investor asing melakukan net buy sebesar Rp 200 miliar. ♦ Bursa saham AS menguat. Investor menghadapi rilis laporan kinerja emiten kuartal III dan penguatan sektor saham teknologi juga mendukung bursa saham AS. Indeks Dow Jones Industrial Averange menguat 14,57 poin atau 0,08% ke level 17.230,54, Indeks S&P 500 menguat 0,55 poin atau 0,03% ke level 2.033,66 dan Indeks Nasdaq Composite menanjak 18,78 poin atau 0,38% ke level 4.905,47. Saham Nike menguat 2,1% telah menolong indeks Dow Jones Industrial Averange. Akan tetapi, indeks saham sektor energi S&P 500 melemah 1,9% seiring harga minyak dunia tertekan. ♦ IHSG hari ini kemungkinan akan bergerak menguat dengan rentang support 4.500 dan resistance 4.590.
Today’s Pick Aksi Kode Penutupan Target Harga
Top Value
BOW
ADRO
645
670
Keterangan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%.
BBCA
13,125
325
2.54%
BBRI
10,425
125
1.21%
BOW
BBRI
10,425
10,575
Stochastic goldencross. Didukung volume beli meningkat.
TLKM
2,720
40
1.49%
BOW
BSDE
1,685
1,710
Didukung volume beli meningkat. BSDE potensi naik.
SIAP
232
-3
-1.28%
BOW
GGRM
43,450
43,650
MA-5 dan MFI uptrend. Stochastic goldencross. GGRM potensi naik.
LPKR
1,290
30
2.38%
BOW
TLKM
2,720
2,745
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend.
BOW
WSKT
1,620
1,650
MA-5 dan MACD netral. WSKT potensi naik terbatas.
Pasar Uang & Indikator Ekonomi Penutupan
Perubahan +/%
USD
13,526
13,536
SBI 1 mo
7,50%
7,50%
Deflasi MoM
0,05%
0,39%
0.34
Inflasi YoY
6,83%
7,18%
0.35
Saham Dual Listing Perubahan % TLKM
0.05
(0.07) -
Valuasi USD IDR 13,526
2,680
Indeks Dunia Penutupan DJIA Nasdaq
17,230.54 4,905.47
Nikkei 225
18,131.23
Hangseng
23,075.61
STI
3,024.50
Perubahan +/% 14.57 18.78 (160.57)
0.08 0.38
SOS : sell on strength, BOW : buy on weakness, TB : trading buy, SB : speculative buy
Highlight √
Ekonomi
: Harga minyak mentah mendekati USD47/barel.
√
KAEF
: Melanjutkan ekspansi Rumah Sakit dan Hotel.
√
EXCL
: Siapkan capex Rp 7 triliun tahun depan.
√
PTBA
: Siapkan proyek PLTU US$ 2 miliar.
√
IKAI
: Meningkatkan penjualan ekspor tahun ini.
√
BBRI
: Meluncurkan & mengoperasikan satelitnya sendiri.
(0.88)
8.24
0.04
(6.11)
(0.20)
Sumber : Investor Daily, Kontan, Beritasatu, Liputan6, Bloomberg, ChartNexus.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Selasa 20 Oktober 2015
Economic News
♦ Harga minyak mentah mendekati USD47/barel setelah data ekonomi China menunjukkan pertumbuhan lebih cepat
dari perkiraan. China merupakan konsumen minyak mentah terbesar kedua di dunia. Sementara Biro Statistik Nasional China menunjukkan, produk domestik bruto (PDB) China naik 6,9% pada kuartal III dari tahun sebelumnya. Angka itu lebih tinggi dari perkiraan ekonom sebesar 6,8%. Minyak berfluktuasi di tengah tandatanda kelebihan pasokan di pasar setelah minyak diperdagangkan di atas USD50/barel pada awal bulan ini untuk kali pertama sejak Juli 2015. Organisasi Negara-negara Pengekspor Minyak (OPEC) terus memproduksi minyak lebih dari kuota kolektif, sementara stok AS sekitar 100 juta barel, lebih tinggi dari rata-rata lima tahun.
♦ PT Kimia Farma Tbk (KAEF) melanjutkan ekspansi Rumah Sakit dan Hotel.
PT Kimia Farma Tbk (KAEF) melanjutkan ekspansi rumah sakit dan hotel. Pengembangan terbaru rencananya menyasar Bali, Surabaya, dan Makassar yang pembangunannya diharapkan mulai tahun depan. KAEF sedang memulai tender pengembangan rumah sakit dan hotel untuk ketiga daerah tersebut. KAEF akan memanfaatkan aset di Bali seluas 4.000 meter persegi untuk pembangunan rumah sakit. Sedangkan, di Surabaya akan membangun hotel bintang tiga di lahan seluas 4.000 meter persegi. Sedangkan pembangunan di Makassar masih dalam tahap kajian. Luas lahan yang tersedia mencapai 4.000 meter persegi. KAEF juga akan mendirikan apotek di setiap hotel maupun rumah sakit yang dikembangkan. Khusus kawasan pengembangan hotel.
♦ PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) siapkan capex Rp 7 triliun tahun depan.
PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) menyiapkan dana sekitar Rp 6,5-7 triliun untuk belanja modal (capital expenditure/capex) tahun depan. Mayoritas capex akan diserap untuk pengembangan jaringan long term evolution (LTE) 4G. Nilai capex tahun depan diperkirakan tidak jauh berbeda dengan tahun ini sekitar Rp 7 triliun. Perseroan akan lebih fokus mengucurkan investasi untuk layanan data, khususnya teknologi 3G dan 4G. Sementara pembangunan base transceiver station (BTS) baru untuk 2G akan dihentikan tahun depan. Baru-baru ini, XL menandatangani kontrak tiga tahun dengan perusahaan jaringan telekomunikasi asal Swedia, Ericsson untuk desain dan implementasi LTE di Jakarta dan Jawa Barat. Kontrak tersebut sudah termasuk seluruhhardware, software, dan layanan untuk menopang jaringan LTE.
♦ PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) siapkan proyek PLTU US$ 2 miliar.
PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) mulai menyiapkan rencana pengembangan bisnis tahun depan. Perusahaan batubara pelat merah ini akan fokus di tiga proyek Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Uap (PLTU). Salah satunya, PLTU Mulut Tambang Peranap, Riau, yang memiliki kapasitas 2x600 megawatt (MW). PTBA, mengatakan, proyek ini adalah proyek kerja sama dengan PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN). Nilai investasinya mencapai US$ 1,8 miliar hingga US$ 2 miliar atau sekitar Rp 26 triliun. Dengan begitu PTBA akan memulai masa konstruksi proyek ini pada tahun 2017. PTBA sudah mengantongi pinjaman senilai US$ 1,2 miliar untuk menggarap proyek tersebut. Pinjaman itu diperoleh melalui anak usahanya, PT Huadian Bukit Asam Power (HBAP), dari The Export-Import Bank of China (CEXIM).
♦ PT Intikeramik Alamasri Industri Tbk (IKAI) meningkatkan penjualan ekspor tahun ini.
PT Intikeramik Alamasri Industri Tbk ingin meningkatkan porsi penjualan ekspor menjadi 15%-20% tahun ini. Produsen ubin porselen merek Essenza tersebut ingin mengompensasi lesu pasar properti di dalam negeri yang membikin permintaan produk keramik ikut susut. tujuan pangsa ekspor yang akan dipilih. Pilihan mereka yakni Amerika Serikat (AS), Korea Selatan serta negara-negara di kawasan Asia Timur dan Timur Tengah. Saat ini semua negara ini statusnya masih dalam penjajakan. Harapan Intikeramik lain yakni nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar AS menjadi lebih stabil agar biaya produksi perusahaan juga turut stabil.
♦ PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI) meluncurkan dan mengoperasikan satelitnya sendiri.
Pertengahan tahun 2016 nanti, PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI) akan mengukir sejarah baru. Pasalnya, bank spesialis kredit mikro ini akan menjadi bank di dunia yang pertama kali meluncurkan dan mengoperasikan satelitnya sendiri. Saat ini progres manufacturing satelit BRI atau BRISat yang dilaksanakan di pabrik Space Systems/Loral, LLC (SSL) Palo Alto, California sudah mencapai lebih dari 50%. Sesuai dengan perhitungan awal, mulai dari pembuatan desain, proses manufacturing, hingga shipment dan launch campaign BRISat di Kourou French Guiana akan memakan waktu 25 – 26 bulan sejak tanggal efektif kontrak. Jika tidak ada aral melintang, launching BRISat akan dilaksanakan sebelum pertengahan tahun 2016.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Selasa 20 Oktober 2015
Today’s Pick Chart ADRO
BBRI
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Williams%R uptrend. Mengindikasikan ADRO potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 615 dan resistance 670.
MFI uptrend. Stochastic goldencross. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Mengindikasikan BBRI potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 10.300 dan resistance 10.575.
BSDE
GGRM
MA-5 dan MACD uptrend. RSI diatas 30% dan stochastic diatas 20%. Candle chart membentuk marubozu white. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Indikasikan BSDE potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 1.650 dan resistance 1.710.
MA-5 dan MFI uptrend. Stochastic goldencross. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Mengindikasikan GGRM potensi melanjutkan kenaikannya. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 43.150 dan resistance 43.650.
TLKM
WSKT
MACD dan MFI uptrend. RSI dan stochastic uptrend. Didukung volume beli meningkat. Mengindikasikan TLKM potensi naik. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 2.690 dan resistance 2.745.
MA-5 dan MACD netral. Williams%R netral. Candle chart membentuk white candle. Mengindikasikan WSKT potensi naik terbatas. Rec : Buy On Weakness (BOW). Support 1.595 dan resistance 1.650.
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
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DAILY REPORT Selasa 20 Oktober 2015
Support Resistance Closing Rec Target Stop Pivot Price Loss I II I II 1 ASII 6,500 BOW 6,700 6,600 6,300 6,100 6,500 6,700 6,900 2 BBCA 13,125 BOW 13,700 13,300 12,800 12,500 13,000 13,500 14,000 3 BBNI 5,125 BOW 5,300 5,200 5,000 4,800 5,500 5,700 5,900 4 BBRI 10,425 BOW 10,700 10,500 10,300 1,000 10,500 11,000 11,500 5 BMRI 9,150 SOS 8,000 7,500 9,000 8,700 9,500 10,000 10,500 6 GGRM 43,450 BOW 44,800 43,600 42,900 42,300 43,000 43,500 44,000 7 INDF 6,400 SOS 5,500 5,000 6,200 6,000 6,500 6,700 6,900 8 SMGR 10,625 SOS 9,500 9,000 10,400 10,100 10,600 10,800 11,000 9 TLKM 2,720 BOW 2,800 2,700 2,600 2,400 2,800 2,900 3,100 Second Liners Trust Universe Agriculture 10 AALI 18,900 SOS 17,000 16,000 18,600 18,400 18,700 19,000 19,500 11 BWPT 274 BOW 350 300 200 100 300 400 500 12 LSIP 1,390 SOS 1,200 1,100 1,300 1,200 1,500 1,700 1,900 13 SIMP 454 SOS 300 250 400 300 500 600 700 14 SSMS 1,890 SB 1,900 1,800 1,800 1,600 1,900 2,100 2,200 Contractor & Property 15 ADHI 2,065 BOW 2,300 2,200 2,000 1,800 2,500 2,600 2,700 16 PTPP 3,690 SOS 3,300 3,200 3,600 3,400 3,700 3,900 4,000 17 WIKA 2,975 SOS 2,700 2,500 2,900 2,700 3,000 3,200 3,400 18 WSKT 1,620 BOW 1,700 1,660 1,600 1,400 1,700 1,900 2,100 24 ASRI 385 TB 450 400 300 200 400 500 600 25 BSDE 1,685 BOW 1,700 1,660 1,600 1,400 1,700 1,900 2,000 26 CTRA 1,030 BOW 1,200 1,100 900 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 27 KIJA 205 BOW 250 200 190 170 200 230 260 28 LPKR 1,290 SOS 1,000 900 1,200 1,000 1,500 1,600 1,700 Mining 29 ADRO 645 BOW 700 660 600 500 700 800 900 30 ANTM 424 BOW 550 520 400 300 500 600 700 31 INCO 2,280 SOS 2,100 2,000 2,200 2,000 2,500 2,700 2,800 32 ITMG 9,850 BOW 11,000 10,600 9,600 9,400 9,900 10,000 10,500 33 TINS 685 SOS 500 400 600 500 700 800 900 Others 34 BBTN 1,180 BOW 1,200 1,300 1,100 1,000 1,300 1,500 1,700 35 INTP 18,900 BOW 19,000 18,000 18,600 18,400 19,000 19,300 19,800 36 KLBF 1,450 BOW 1,700 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,500 1,700 1,900 37 MPPA 2,605 BOW 2,800 2,700 2,500 2,200 2,700 2,900 3,000 38 PGAS 3,020 BOW 3,300 3,200 2,900 2,700 3,000 3,200 3,400 39 UNTR 19,625 SOS 18,000 17,000 19,100 18,700 19,500 20,000 20,500 40 UNVR 38,325 SOS 37,000 36,000 37,800 37,300 38,000 38,500 39,000 BOW : Buy On Weakness SOS : Sell On Strength OVB : Over Bought OVS : Over Sold, SB : Speculative Buy NO Stock
Technical Alert MACD Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MFI Uptrend MACD Downtrend MFI Uptrend MACD Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend
MA‐5 Downtrend Stochastic, RSI naik Candle Long White Line EMA‐5 Downtrend MA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic uptrend EMA‐5 Downtrend RSI Downtrend Candle bearish stop loss RSI diatas 30% RSI Uptrend Stochastic Goldencross Stochastic deathcross MFI Downtrend MACD Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD Downtrend EMA‐5 Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend Stochastic Uptrend MACD goldencross RSI Uptrend Stochastic Downtrend Stochastic Downtrend
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent assessment
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DAILY REPORT Selasa 20 Oktober 2015
Research Team
Urip Mulyo Santoso Telp :6221 - 57940678 Ext. 411 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Puspa Rini Head Sales Equity Retail Telp :6221 - 57948790 Ext. 128 Fax :6221 - 57944242 Email :
[email protected]
Nesya Kharismawati Senior Institusional Equity Sales Telp :6221 - 57944266 Ext. 463 Fax :6221 - 57940676 Email :
[email protected]
Dewi (Aling) Branch Manager Medan Telp :061 - 4555139 Fax :061 - 4555204 Email :
[email protected]
Wayan Sudiantara Branch Manager Pluit Telp :6221 - 66 675018-22 Fax :6221 - 66 675022 Email :
[email protected]
www.trust.co.id The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT.Trust Securities and/or its affiliated companies and /or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liabilities as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue there off. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT.Trust Securities or any other person to enter info any agreement with regards to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investment you should make your own independent
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