TRENDS of TOURISM SECTOR Mari Elka Pangestu Minister of Tourism and Creative Economy
GLOBAL TREND OF TOURISM International Tourist Arrivals by Regions Indonesia (mill. Of people) Growth (%) ASEAN (mill. Of people) Growth (%) Share of Indonesia in ASEAN (%) Asia Pacific (mill. Of people) Growth (%) Share of Indonesia in Asia Pacific (%) World (mill. Of people) Growth (%) Share of Indonesia in the world (%)
2007 5.51 13.02 59.7 12.4 9.22 182 9.6 3.03 898 6.6 0.61
2008 6.23 13.24 61.8 3.5 10.09 184.1 1.1 3.39 917 2.1 0.68
2009 6.32 1.43 62.1 0.5 10.18 181.1 -1.6 3.49 882 -3.9 0.72
2010 7 10.74 69.9 12.5 10.02 204.4 12.9 3.43 939 6.4 0.75
2011* 7.65 9.24 77.1 10.4 9.92 216.9 6.1 3.53 983 4.6 0.78
Source: UNWTO World Tourism Barometer July 2012 (for data other than Indonesia) *preliminary data
It is estimated that globally there are 1 billion international tourist arrivals and 1.8 billion international tourists arrivals by 2030.
GLOBAL PERFORMANCE Contribution to GDP Year 2011 2021*
Direct Contribution US$ bn % 1850 2.8 2861 2.9
Total Contribution US$ bn % 5991.9 9.1 9226.9 9.6
Contribution to Employment Year 2011 2021*
Direct Contribution tho. Of people % 99048 3.4 120427 3.6
Total Contribution tho. Of people % 258592 8.8 323826 9.7
Source: Travel and Tourism Economic Impact, 2011 *estimated numbers
Comparison of Tourism's Indirect contribution to GDP in the T20 Countries (%) India Germany Saudi Arabia Korea Canada Russian Fed. UK Japan France Mexico Italy Brazil Turkey Indonesia South Africa China USA Argentina Spain Australia 0
2
4
Direct Contribution
Source: WTTC 2011 Notes: Numbers are estimates for 2011
6
8
Indirect Contribution
10
12
Comparison among T20 Countries on Indirect Employment as a Proportion of Total Employment (2011) 60
55,8 52,2
50
44,4
42,8
48,4
45,9 42,1
40,2
37,9
40
41,3
43,3
44,8
48
45,2 40,1
33,2 30
21,5 20
10
0
Indirect Employment as a Proportion of Total Employment (2011)
Source: WTTC, Travel and Tourism Impact, 2011
45,2 40,4 33,1
T20 Country China India USA Indonesia Brazil Mexico Japan Russian Fed. Spain France UK Italy Turkey Germany Australia Argentina Korea Canada South Africa Saudi Arabia
Total Contribution of Tourism 2011 (tho. of jobs) 64,780 37,655 14,778 8,881 8,154 6,630 4,456 3,878 2,344 2,616 2,341 2,210 1,873 1,985 1,856 1,829 1,315 1,211 1,334 608
Source: WTTC, Travel and Tourism Impact, 2011
Indirect Contribution of Tourism 2011 (in tho. of jobs) 27,752 8,124 6,559 3,740 3,280 2,206 2,044 2,026 1,308 992 967 957 907 890 889 734 595 489 595 201
Half of all jobs created in tourism industry are for young people under the age of 25. In addition, most of them are jobs for women. (Goldin, 2010)
T20 Country India Indonesia China Russian Fed. Brazil Argentina Mexico South Africa Turkey Korea Spain Saudi Arabia Germany UK Canada Italy Japan Australia USA France
Ratio 1: Total Number of Jobs Ratio 2: Number of Indirect Jobs per oer US$ Mill. Of Tourism's US$ Mill. Of Tourism's Total Total Contribution to GDP Contribution to GDP 472.5 101.9 121.2 51 114.5 49 37.5 19.6 43.5 17.5 41.9 16.8 48.6 16.2 29.6 13.2 26.2 12.7 23.3 10.5 12.2 6.8 20.1 6.6 13.6 6.1 14.4 6 14.5 5.8 13 5.6 11.8 5.4 10.6 5.1 10.9 4.9 11.5 4.4
Source Source: Francois Vellas "The Indirect Impact of Tourism: An Economic Analysis"
TRENDS in ASEAN
Trends of International Tourist Arrivals in ASEAN Year 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015*
Number of Arrivals (mill.) 65.7 73.8 81.2 86 92.7 99.7 107.4
*estimated numbers Source: Asean Secretary, April 2012
Growth (%) 12.3 10.1 5.9 7.8 7.6 7.7
Inbound Tourists to ASEAN No Member Country
2010
2011
Growth (%)
214,290
242,061
12.96
1
Brunei Darussalam
2
Cambodia
2,508,289
2,881,862
14.89
3
Indonesia
7,002,944
7,649,731
9.24
4
Lao PDR
2,513,028
2,764,330
10
5
Malaysia
24,577,196
24,714,324
0.56
6
Myanmar
791,505
816,369
3.14
7
Philippines
3,520,471
3,887,238
10.42
8
Singapore
11,638,663
13,169,729
13.15
9
Thailand
15,936,400
19,098,323
19.84
10
Viet Nam
5,049,855
6,014,032
19.09
TOTAL
73,752,641
81,237,999
10.15
Source: 1. ASEAN Secretariat, as of 5 April 2012 2. The data of Lao PDR, Philippines, and Thailand are preliminary. 3. The data of Brunei Darussalam only covers number of arrival by air
TRENDS in INDONESIA
Trend of International Tourist Arrivals 800.000 2012 (Jan-Sep) = 5,89 juta
600.000
2011 = 7,6 juta 2010 = 7,0 juta 2009 = 6,3 juta 2008 = 6,2 juta
500.000
2007 = 5,5 juta
700.000
400.000 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Des
Nov
Okt
Sep
Ags
Jul
Jun
Mei
Apr
Mar
Feb
Jan
300.000
Trends of International Tourists Tahun
Rata-Rata Pengeluaran Wisatawan Penerimaan Per Orang Rata-Rata Mancanegara Devisa (USD) Lama Tinggal Pertumbuhan (hari) Per Jumlah Pertumbuhan Jumlah Per Hari (%) Kunjungan (juta USD) (%)
2007
5.505.759
13,02
9,02
107,70
970,98
5.345,98
20,19
2008
6.234.497
13,24
8,58
137,38
1.178,54 7.347,60
37,44
2009
6.323.730
1,43
7,69
129,57
995,93
6.297,99
-14,29
2010
7.002.944
10,74
8,04
135,01
1.085,75 7.603,45
20,73
2011
7.649.731
9,24
7,84
142,69
1.118,26 8.554,39
12,51
2012 (Jan-Sep)
5.895.288
5,01
Sumber : Pusdatin Kemenparekraf & BPS
Data belum tersedia
Ranking of Foreign Exchange Revenue from Various Export Commodities 2008 Rank
Jenis Komoditas
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Minyak & gas bumi Minyak kelapa sawit Batubara Karet olahan Pariwisata Pakaian jadi Alat listrik Tekstil Kertas dan barang dari kertas Biji Tembaga Besi/Baja
2009 Nilai (juta USD) 29.126,30 12.375,57 10.485,18 7.579,66 7.347,60 6.092,06 5.253,74 4.127,97 3.796,91 3.344,58 3.088,64
Catatan : *) Data s.d. November 2011
Jenis Komoditas Minyak & gas bumi Batubara Minyak kelapa sawit Pariwisata Pakaian jadi Biji Tembaga Karet olahan Alat listrik Tekstil Audio Visual Kertas dan barang dari kertas
2010 Nilai (juta USD) 19.018,30 13.817,15 10.367,62 6.297,99 5.735,60 5.101,28 4.870,68 4.580,18 3.602,78 3.431,98 3.405,01
Jenis Komoditas Minyak & gas bumi Batubara Minyak kelapa sawit Karet olahan Pariwisata Biji Tembaga Pakaian jadi Alat listrik Tekstil Kertas dan barang dari kertas Audio Visual
2011*) Nilai (juta USD) 28.039,60 18.499,39 13.468,97 9.314,97 7.603,45 6.882,17 6.598,11 6.337,50 4.721,77 4.241,79 3.875,38
Jenis Komoditas Minyak & gas bumi Batubara Minyak kelapa sawit Karet olahan Pariwisata Pakaian jadi Alat listrik Tekstil Biji Tembaga Bahan kimia Makanan olahan
Nilai (juta USD) 37.992,00 24.445,89 15.709,95 13.414,29 8.554,39 7.108,07 6.733,21 5.089,47 4.536,15 4.299,78 4.279,10
Impact of Visa Facilitation (WTTC, 2012) • G20 countries have the potential to gain between 20 million (low impact) and 112 million (high impact) additional international tourists by 2015 • These tourists would generate between US$38 billion and US$ 206 billion additional tourism receipts by 2015. • The additional revenue would create between 560,000 and 3.1 million additional jobs in the tourism sector by 2015 • Total job creation would reach between 940,000 and 5.1 million additional jobs by 2015
