DAFTAR PUSTAKA. Anderson, P Commercial Fisheries Under Price Uncertainty. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 9 (I):

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Anderson, P. 1982. Commercial Fisheries Under Price Uncertainty. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 9 (I): 11 - 28. Anderson, L.G. 1977. The Economic of Fisheries Management. Hopkins University Press. Baltimore and London.

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Bell, F.W. D.A. Nash, E.W. Carlson. F.V. Waugh, R.K. Kinoshita, dan R.F. Fullenbaum. f 975. A. World Model of Living Marine Resource (dalam Labys. W. Quantitative Models of Commodity Markets. Ballinger Publishing Company). Baffes. J. 1991. Some Further Evidence on the Law of One Price: The Law of One Price Still Holds. American Agricultural Economics Association. Bhagwati. J. 1988. Protectionism. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press. Atih Bahasa oleh Angkasa Tahun 1992. Campbell, H.F dan R.5. Nicholl. 1991. Can Purse Seiners Target Yellowfin Tuna?. Journal of Land Economics 70 (3): 345 353.

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Lampiran

Lampiran I.Data Yang DigunakanTahun 1975 - 1995 Tahun 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

QUTI 1575 1196 1156 1093 1339 1354 1360 2043 3030 1638 3119 2032 2674 4156 4881 4397 4061 4438 3714 8545 6484

QUT2 3111 3811 6165 5752 5998 2276 1569 2774 4525 1430 2485 2762 4716 5975 1681 3198 3820 4174

3200 6022 3501

QUT3 52040 62961 66589 70073 66487 42584 50877 59703 44310 48185 52246 51785 57539 58674 59348 55282 56032 61227 63209 66918 78076

QUT4 2027 2543 5105 3130

5262 7306 8512 €606 6209 7412 8182 5629 8108 10104 9411 10264 13190 14413 13953 16392 17815

PUT5 6706 10340 17403 12718 11326 11389 8116 14613 15569 13791 13501 16875 17121 18771 17931 19029 15879 17351 17572 17226 22897

PUT6 342 152 329 296 562 273 401 207 235 305 681 524 951 1320 1323 1168 1449 1583 2707 1542 2050

QUT7 7475 8151 10927 11947 14135 20459 15849 11091 10272 11759 12846 17634 16565 17986 14834 13627 14647 16005 14525 19483 17021

PUT8 QUT9 OUT10 QUTl1 4529 2626 658 9302 5301 3281 252 8260 6077 3999 177 7352 7840 5080 85 10337 8869 5072 100 10025 11078 5065 128 10660 11051 4522 104 8983 11685 6054 579 5135 11743 7501 235 7755 11362 7303 212 8031 12605 8211 77 6237 14781 7339 139 8209 15110 8096 169 €654 15306 8187 266 13061 15888 6827 176 13967 15540 7251 269 16794 15917 7291 180 19969 16300 7967 197 21820 18156 4622 111 14008 20376 6488 109 14633 21708 10675 1029 19155

QUT 60391 106248 125279 128351 131175 112572 111344 100490 111384 101428 107190 117709 127703 153806 143267 144819 151435 165475 156777 177734 203411

PU1 83 134 147 46 91 101 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0

PU2 162 172 227 111 181 89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

PU3 768 1189 1300 935 790 978 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 431

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tehun 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 19K 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

PU4 31 21 77 59 54 59 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

PU5 475 647 779 770 606 579 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

PU6 0 0 0 4 7 7 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

PU7 319 388 471 503 583 624 620 408 0 0 0 0 0 0 951 0 0 0 0 519 644

PU8 355 289 320 368 422 203 414 208 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

PU9

PUlO 19 16 23 30 29 21 22 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pull 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

87 118 0 107 144 148 114 171 318 305 331 325 147 427 224 285 390 439 359 343 374

PK1 3044 2151 2817 1990 2018 2009 1862 2009 2288 5515 2702 2865 3277 3243 4646 4370 4342 3427 4817 3467 3867

PK2 969 1223 1171 1146 1105 1062 1119 997 1097 1664 1662 2W6 1968 3283 2661 2566 3285 2422 3989 1881 2474

,

PK3 2196 2089 1723 1674 1663 1699 1760 1840 1888 1555 1766 1713 2426 2621 2775 2743 3218 3149 4902 2679 3492

PK4 1152 693 733 855 504 670 504 499 578 617 907 1013 1070 1049 1411 1699 2361 2252 2546 2536 2603

PK5 11734 7543 11265 10649 9333 8012 6773 7476 7918 7444 8135 8716 7W3 8754 8602 7709 8174 7622 10260 11693 12507

PK6 2562 2088 2278 2288 2401 3274 3386 2230 2347 2883 2675 2573 2525 3703 2237 2848 2522 2412 2748 2545 2398

PK7 703 1126 663 738 802 995 746 907 906 1047 &H 893 901 663 657 644

666 666 688 698 644

PKB 1704 1458 1357 552 596 734 947 922 940 1004 909 1051 1053 1053 1094 1083 1808 1522 1934 190 7397

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

PK9 3524 2015 2697 3132 2998 2576 3428 3727 3755 2952 3174 3156 3129 2751 3074 3194 3099 3587 3906 3398 3625

PKlO 2162 2244 2263 2015 2271 2167 2672 1949 2034 2089 2407 2071 2086 2023 21012 1952 2177 2039 1846 2232 1663

PKll 1135 478 596 636 654 686 699 616 642 1001 728 808 1123 783 1460 1502 889 904 948 995 992

PSI 126 151 84 69 96 120 143 168 164 191 244 628 226 247 463 486 378 378 492 406 387

P$2 0 34 45 65 65 106 76 89 70 69 85 81 83 1W 124 136 175 130 220 32 24

PS3 114 180 211 234 291 612 562 1140 540 545 793 878 776 1184 1105 1015 841 1736 0 131 7 106 5 92

PS4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00. 30. 20.

PS5 291 397 453 658 1028 1542 1251 1613 1754 2160 1952 1956 2171 1 2371 2139 2396 2385 2404 1 1826 I2302 1 24%

PS6 27 43 74 110 113 59 104 237 319 350 339 348 46 354 375 387 405 346 403 421 486

PS7

PS8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 2 2 0 4 4 6 76 76 6 27 32

PS9

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 14 20 23 260 226 359 132 213

1 17 20 115 214 248 384 609 505 534 638 789 1035

884 1139 1374 729 739 1039 1215 1493

PSI0 264 266 393 419 526 543 563 564 589 520 498 529 471 422 395 395 368 381 488 466 480

PSI1 321 393 426 467 495 470 489 513 550 634 562 548 608 534 487 497 436 485 476 532 548

Jl1 3363 5512 5299 5829 4872 4497 6108 5377 5559 6C61 5628 6891 7532 11538 9970 11486 11445 10268 15231 18995 15148

J12 1027 2293 2828 3061 3768 5268 5155 6460 6835 7001 6448 7161 9863 19057 9620 9316 10056 8310 26168 9671 14269

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tanun 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

J13 6673 7253 8914 9628 10179 11671 14541 14556 13634 15642 16597 20451 19710 17618 18322 19243 16681 18030 19335 19278 19719

J14 4664 3839 5139 4289 4048 4749 5992 6613 7105 6726 6135 6876 6942 6800 7849 8339 5881 6234 6224 6468 6461

J15 19334 24719 33339 30569 32849 38364 38471 44560 41627 45312 40552 35701 36142 39226 39187 42767 40201 43911 28922 37964 40689

J16 7298 7216 7787 9891 9892 10373 12481 13257 14728 16388 14063 18299 17376 27337 19099 24441 25763 22847 30501 35884 33978

J17 3211 4291 4350 5352 5544 5944 5315 6136 6562 6975 8092 7085 5947 5536 4849 5068 4621 4621 4857 5565 5756

J18 5164 2621 2634 4272 4953 5556 7512 7467 7649 8519 8305 8857 9397 9466 9592 10223 9600 9830 11057 1880 9995

J19 12704 9428 12057 12978 12675 13368 13666 13961 14464 13703 14690 14368 14009 12492 12485 13524 14868 15912 17504 18962 19759

JHO 3783 3363 4885 4927 4396 7948 7774 7718 7634 8100 7896 8651 8990 9435 9302 8966 8579 9492 9170 9899 8435

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 19M 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

JAB 2868 3827 3292 1776 1988 2188 2680 2437 2630 2675 3046 3779 3567 3502 3923 4380 4085 3622 4143 572 4580

JA9 15210 7048 7619 6885 6109 5712 6973 7147 7572 7&15 6547 7230 6499 5124 5517 5172 5321 5247 6553 5926 5470

JAlO 2305 2031 3343 2596 2902 3135 1900 1795 1954 2015 2057 1917 2235 2335 2018 1926 1888 1545 1520 1589 1524

JA11 1839 1500 1535 2031 1611 1971 2025 1894 1979 1616 1680 1776 1913 1822 2011 2205 5248

5440 3426 4229 4299

PC1 25726 25743 11192 13784 9420 10267 12325 13581 11109 17505 13389 12575 19578 16216 15303 13927 21502 23069 32371 65630 53219

PC2 2399 2617 5450 3894 3857 4195 4074 4778 5673 4309 5049 4779 6371 6293 4670 4951 5317 5583 8488 8332 11065

PC3 6619 10163 7345 8247 7938 8120 11490 11874 10891 8807 8451 10999 10185 11585 16495 16690 13512 14959 145% 14771 14278

PC4 21139 12774 9514 5094 4392 4837 5197 6209 7264 6779 7207 6620 6571 6123 6690 5796 6867 6665 7484 7916 8271

PC5 26171 8628 10399 11992 12432 13800 11300 15159 13935 12853 13513 14411 14443 14884 17327 16869 15180 15948 30933 30227 14062

PC6 21912 13625 14706 15807 15368 14060 16381 18321 22056 22379 24953 30051 32159 37608 30761 41110 37476 29164 42733 45597 50523

PC7 3483 3151 1186 , 1511 1513 1436 1563 1595 1552 1367 1473 1584 1524 1331 1189 1419 700 7W 1131 1357 1204

PC8 1550 2015 1896 2072 1700 1745 1839 2047 2108 1949 2183 2433 2573 2611 5052 3931 4864 3449 4197 443 3938

PC9 32374 19437 18495 16874 16245 16100 17630 18534 19140 18152 16253 18702 17815 17041 19774 20068 21770 22885 23799 24946 26510

PC10 28816 18513 18279 23962 16934 21101 25533 33655 29807 30607 33924 33208 32394 33783 30843 30816 30825 38718 37398 37456 40538

PC11 19918 20438 25426 24573 26728 27197 27338 23902 30652 30838 35229 33681 3368t 39732 36307 37139 39072 43304 47985 48407 46492

PR1 4516 1234 1448 697 245 190 336 1751 1619 1455 438 453 2794 488 683 370 912 4123 9525 5256 13762


PR2 25 1360 €4 1338 1011 750 1203 4211 2032 1560 1497 1152 978 467 394 1115 275 514 305 1493 3140

PR3 5189 5364 4619 4750 4781 5567 5493 5393 3373 5412 6450 6137 6048 6531 6259 6112 9535 8411 7710 7869 10065

PR4 1588 2109 1190 777 797 2114 2260 1543 1655 1391 1326 1582 1472 1557 2181 2209 2746 2739 2920 4580 4611

PR5 5422 2328 2726 5170 4451 3028 4336 3371 3198 3102 2791 3034 5116 3702 4391 3395 3298 2512 8899 9525 8862

PR6 1768 1525 1743 1927 2241 2347 1877 2417 2309 2037 1890 1856 2688 5609 3530 11261 4791 5491 2749 1777 2329

PR7 2127 1817 1693 1302 903 790 854 551 1109 1784 1818 2209 1941 1525 1321 1683 834 834 1420 1509 1756

PR8 2743 2399 2673 3402 2529 2168 3174 3562 3441 3347 3417 3568 3556 3803 3587 4244 5237 5054 6246 325 5243

PR9 9938 5455 7936 4822 4488 4854 5400 5235 4405 3912 4146 5460 5073 4666 3430 3345 5180 5555 4340 5696 6097

PRIO 6694 5548 2677 1545 1263 865 658 731 756 803 924 1086 1256 1160 1037 965 5348 4960 769 1984 2141

PRll 2609 1287 1381 1323 1010 2292 2359 1117 1348 1701 3421 1828 1367 1643 2731 2035 3206 3349 2874 3082 3716

OT1 527 3138 1696 1522 1384 7321 1999 2141 1351 1801 2408 1586 421 1250 4426 4228 4309 4892 1487 1702 1854

OT2 1118 1586 2117 2332 2577 1459 2287 2486 2203 2325 1964 2320 2876 2778 2480 3035 2584 5550 12540 2348 10240

OT3 OT4 990 858 5237 52 5421 72 5545 93 4134 130 4277 117 6199 110 4113 112 3693 121 3917 246 7145 223 6110 123 5991' 305 6426 354 6334 227 6083 155 5475 376 5163 527 5763 253 5497 54 4287 107

OT5 6497 25207 7834 1866 3227 6783 6201 6249 6520 8166 8113 7278 5726 3970 8111 32179 9984 8116 7323 1979 8357

OT6 2649 4403 3997 4923 3619 4061 2969 3745 3597 4662 6224 6318 7328 15344 7319 7775 14686 12224 15070 2270 6803


OT7 0 90 542 507 568 529 454 611 277 259 167 173 430 90 196 498 1597 1597 903 92 119

OT8 959 1214 558 674 549 642 556 519 585 586 611 534 638 1246 1459 1359 549 766 643 16 820

OT9 11707 4394 1910 1021 1406 1413 1349 738 476 904 889 1166 1206 2114 2380 1997 2414 2611 2558 1289 2807

OT10 1086 2851 1396 2034 1993 1966 3061 2349 3358 3373 4061 3545 3422 3023 2255 2359 2745 2983 2564 420 3637

OTl1 3267 3848 5258 5078 4981 5475 5264 5965 5803 6108 5219 7842 6055 6274 6318 6500 8681 9780 10643 2099 13644

V11 19496 12633 14800 13432 12797 11161 14889 12346 13937 14277 14013 14438 17440 16162 15263 15539 17449 17091 22640 22311 19013

V12 3568 4820 4456 4875 5841 5658 3444 3187 4158 3908 4401 5178 5813 4548 5061 5544 4167 38W 1003 5416 4373

V13 14626 25698 25289 23566 21183 20450 23174 20294 18411 20201 22794 23761 25612 23078 22046 21170 22194 22727 23889 25031 23558

V14 12671 8453 8124 8621 8052 6773 6841 6869 6833 6400 6212 6353 6580 6466 6897 7030 7510 8189 7968 8526 8234

V15 47436 46661 50984 48323 47603 48551 43690 34110 33414 27667 24241 21190 21881 19760 19900 19587 19969 16798 15563 13367 12581

V16 21752 22234 24573 26038 25748 25837 25664 25753 27893 29286 28012 28364 27846 29474 30535 34687 34499 32525 36261 37734 36341

V17 6026 6122 5550 5989 5158 5056 5148 5031 4988 4690 5734 5160 4700 4636 4366 4100 3735 4414 4225 3712 4317

V18 8841 7591 6640 6645 7055 7020 5489 5258 5051 5036 5795 6545 6842 6885 6127 6372 5797 4804 5549 4115 4477

V19 W18 38118 35368 33805 35559 35134 34658 35182 36621 35680 34153 34710 340% 32793 31824 30592 33688 33676 36153 33234 35011

V110 25983 21347 22102 22778 26324 28759 30251 34250 31669 32218 33483 31570 32174 32821 33735 34145 34214 36194 45046 39764 44746


Vllt 31404 34567 30342 27746 30075 32467 32701 33186 37731 40566 41985 41861 39249 43535 42799 46629 48457 49159 50447 51276 52511

V21 407 500 583 874 802 1207 1833 2138 2246 2377 2649 2815 3424 3572 3622 3453 4004 3844 4269 4323 4605

V22 334 366 541 929 1019 1940 2408 5006 4104 4382 3540 3364 4771 3237 3160 2987 3570 4393 7241 6176 7661

V23 580 582 506 560 775 867 796 1911 2011 1975 2154 1676 1865 2512 2357 2641 2896 3106 4007 3772 4826

V24 701 1026 883 1102 801 1341 1017 1344 1225 1222 1159 1333 1370 1456 1579 1606 1538 1892 2993 3830 3687

V25 760 823 1210 2132 4008 7760 7875 21661 22612 24905 26244 27232 32638 33300 33747 34923 35746 36357 35312 38812 40733

V26 240 346 414 727 1508 2810 3790 5826 6760 7073 6943 6783 7085 6864 6935 6589 6534 6477 6687 7648 7923

V27 18 79 407 504 489 252 437 698 1239 1676 1676 1732 1846 2059 1900 1942 1924 2050 1824 1929 1930

V28 1441 1467 1551 2029 2224 2697 2720 2734 3964 4056 4028 4377 4480 4536 4623 4557 4593 4691 4248 3623 3571

V29 1241 1366 2053 2273 3419 4809 5321 6682 7070 7254 6970 6930 6870 7166 6721 6816 6893 6973 7940 8478 8929

V210 454 447 523 662 1188 1515 3523 4774 4740 5267 4810 4788 4372 4520 4475 4716 4652 4858 5722 5387 5995

V211 595 724 830 970 1110 1325 1385 1501 1519 1602 1694 1779 1659 1932 2003 2914 3066 3138 3291 3971 4164

V31 479 582 597 , 526 797 864 1694 1578 1896 1765 2051 2410 2562 2816 3013 2963 3190 3449 4410 4087 4384

V32 162 238 370 233 278 215 87 407 429 492 529 572 1779 1008 896 1050 921 1049 1310 1450 1413

V33 3226 3802 4413 5430 6185 8710 8909 14060 11869 14304 15046 16981 17915 19195 20182 20802 22949 23984 24521 24902 24815

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun 1975

V34 403

V35 1407

V36 30

V37 1156

V38

V39 997

V310 88

50

V311 162

V41 267

V42

22

V43 2715

V44 380

V45 1003

V46 12


V47 1081 1192 1096 1472 1922 1975 2027 2301 2187 2297 2210 2305 2520 2725 2725 1808 1820 2780 2792 2508 3251

V48 933 1127 1181 1314 1420 1640 1906 3790 3944 3971 4061 3650 4024 4333 5192 5586 5799 5914 7334 8717 10526

V49 76 64 64 109 119 106 240 310 446 607 1110 1207 1451 1635 1854 1992 2248 2306 2882 2841 2849

V410 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 22 27 52 68 130 285

V411 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 202 786 413 443 652 732 745

V51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 590 324 419 633 273 275 353

V52 139 170 227 $25 183 41 40 50 174 166 144 144 146 224 204 332 369 388 255 423 445

V53 505 548 477 884 951 1076 775 719 689 705 888 872 883 956 828 778 794 1058 1306 1271 975

V54 23 32 10 45 15 25 11

6 8 11 30 37 6 115 46 52

100 101 146 273 169

V55 363 832 1047 1141 1281 1360 1035 945 928 702 695 666 749 634 649 708 691 510 843 725 744

V56

V57 10 10 10 14 19 18

23 17 11 8 13 11 17 70 65 93 69 129 221 212 124

73 29 89 55 49 58 117 152 28 114 133 188 247 250 250 41 114 173 162 156 126

V58

V59

V510

17

8

15 14 41 35 45 27 115 109 132 134 140 143 104 101 253 330 362 390 652 312

11 13 14 24 62

64 64 69 77 93 88 86 157 143 151 248 247 235 377 392

V511 37 32 20

20 33 33 28 38 38 30 26 39 29 75 52 44 64 132 131 160 59

61 28 30 91 47 100 100 129 106 156 172 178 176 350 426 391 437 407 509 540 609


V61 90 90 10 10 10 10 10 6 4 2 6 9 2 8 9 29 30 22 4 105 165

V62

V63 1 1 1 1 1 45 45 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 19 11 11 75 70 96

6 86 111 116 21 102 21 21 3 3 9 9 9 15 39 48 139 143 240 591 559

V64

V65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 8 9 9

31 52 67 177 59 49 27 54 82 159 223 241 325 340 279 346 330 514 478 855 788

V66

V67 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 6 11 48 40 39

90 169 310 304 287

V68

2 2 1 1 1 1 1

9 1 1 1 1 2 8 8 4 21 27 9 19 t9

V69 47 29 28 30 27 27 28 28 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 21 12 12

V610 3 3 3 7 3 5 6 28 2 6 3

17 23 14 23 31 27 25 25 29 29

6 2 11 It 24 35 31 32 34 35 36 7 22 15 54 102 102 169 147 230 165

V611 18 40 51 19 53 61 61 49 113 109

64 88 39 40 59 128 169. 173 199 212 249

V71

V72 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 17 17 17

V73 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6

V74 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 0 0

V75 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

10 5 2 7 7 10 7 1 1 3 3 3 3 7 16 9 8 48 59 73 24


V76

V77

18 18 18 18 18 17 20 20 20 20 20 6 18 36 24 29 100

29 29 29 22

V78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

V79 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

VHO 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 5 5

V7l1 2 6 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3

8 8 11 1 158 21

79 93 98 102 101 104 104 104 180 205 103 110 110 114 174 247 465 385 341 279 300

NGWP1 NGWPZ NGWPJ NGWP4 NGWP5 NGWP6 NGWP7 NGWP8 340256 251907 449192 117292 86151 304512 1504996 126198 170057 410342 2028037 158055 116091 '339454 605302 458508 501199 193051 141796 207710 2477084 414615 739328 560031 2734558 457711 816175 213117 156535 229300 553295 618242 3184069 532951 950339 248150 182266 266993 644247 719869 306519 329795 795785 3933021 1173877 889195 225138 658310 339290 249208 365054 880865 4353512 728692 1299380 984262 236762 110240 80971 286205 1414515 422186 319800 118611 52694 337639 928281 115146 62134 306801 226341 185673 171677 103208 346647 1469726 316025 197529 207257 58595 168080 298530 310590 379658 108597 445635 1589655 472079 254347 136132 182775 451465 1498263 363561 153471 599725 1488543 513333 251339 165716 239570 441705 118924 217986 318315 241988 349833 645001 2173647 749596 367018 173659 493758 375363 542648 3371685 569306 269374 1000502 1162746 895590 1651236 5564654 939587 444576 814902 619502 1919005 2686334 926399 453585 299064 432346 797134 214619 393394 482504 236244 111782 204895 155764 225182 415178 1399146 748458 354142 649137 493484 1315345 4432704 1528645 713411 1528645 493484 1315345 4432704 756453 342146 649137 713411 1315345 4432704 1528645 649137 493484 713411 776448 354242

Larnpiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun NGWP9 NGWPIO N G W 1 1 1975 136785 151934 18698 1976 184322 18698 204737 1977 225135 28698 250070 1978 248536 28698 276063 1979 289390 32425 321442 1980 357460 33271 397052 1981 395678 34456 439502 1982 128561 36646 142800 1983 38698 125339 125179 1984 222794 93749 223142 1985 552656 161671 540490 1986 606296 395256 762645 1987 372137 277115 332745 1988 543414 404658 485892 1989 842924 627691 753698 1990 1391169 1035946 1243909 671586 1991 600496 500102 1992 349788 260472 312761 1993 1108180 825216 990875 1994 1108180 825216 990875 1995 1108180 825216 990875

QT1 4307 5868 4420 6006 8484 8268 7508 7843 7776 8807 9221 10004 11961 13975 20838 16385 18056 20743 16025 18868 21935

QT2 487 962 1959 898 1276 2653 2421 7729 8401 5887 2247 3160 3237 3081 4143 3346 3252 3736 12433 11120 7889

QT3 1256 1594 1501 1636 2519 2048 2157 2885 1250 967 4112 3074 3910 3978 5464 3286 2466 2833 3950 2358 3990

QT4 254 397 388 145 113 77 45 63 108 3 1351 1973 2191 2834 2061 1244 1558 1790 1390 2554 1915

QT5 203 102 99 127 474 869 318 1722 2127 2883 3402 1710 1739 2155 3802 7636 4452 5116 12096 13794 15122

QT6 2912 3668 4277 3971 3602 4629 7103 7490 7948 7526 10680 9373 15266 13359 16845 16537 19330 22207 18433 18560 24683

QT7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 94 106 41 46 97 111 123 133 143

QT8 48 241 273 79 294 264 105 346 142 162 191 139 94 117 140 372 731 840 1233 732 1566

QT9 2626 3281 3999 5080 5072 5065 4522 6054 7501 7303 8211 7339 8096 8187 42207 43307 43459 49926 43722 49451 49192

QT10 658 252 177 85 100 128 104 579 235 212 77 139 169 266 18904 24006 23585 27095 36371 48858 49516


Qfll 9302 8260 7352 10337 10025 10660 8983 5135 7755 8031 6237 8209 6654 13061 65653 86715 94092 108094 78288 80688 88547

QTT 22053 24625 24445 28364 31846 34661 33221 39846 43243 41781 45729 45133 53411 61119 180096 202834 211078 242491 223941 246983 264355

Ll 62493 62493 46236 44704 48091 50882 66536 69229 73330 78399 86996 88240 108314 106780 117730 112968 119913 124861 129055 119991 124658

U 26998 26998 33184 36239 44554 45404 57473 66091 65810 60693 56689 61207 67226 64888 63262 65677 81120 114286 194920 132785 145763

L3 126691 126691 78965 87060 87911 113495 139197 145628 135202 161142 163121 192882 190361 180076 196340 195770 210531 205507 212779 226098 235202

L4 42975 42975 33183 53923 53923 32309 40116 49216 54486 55104 55559 64308 63010 66791 69648 71372 82960 83682 86022 92373 102303

L5 238317 238317 251218' 232080 232080 265539 281104 290328 300623 301925 292560 302922 311848 326739 327735 355575 357518 383959 416802 409136 429811

L6 80820 80820 53941 59826 59826 72463 82201) 87579 97023 105762 97256 103875 102188 115765 114340 133699 142034 150366 149643 138704 144491

L7 22892 22892 27108 31482 31482 29015 33723 34567 39908 44951 47358 44881 45689 46277 50130 44868 48105 54572 49186 46592 54443

L8 38555 38555 46534 44532 44532 57819 63172 68809 74297 77139 78395 85609 88667 89829 94763 92299 86896 95430 113638 105404 113320

L9 143931 143931 107775 107101 107101 131668 145945 151070 163681 165234 168324 167196 161212 162129 184973 164240 173246 188660 152580 196188 205083

L10 97393 97393 58162 57373 57373 80723 99941 112994 116666 120480 123345 122311 125066 118215 125869 127215 130624 159653 168571 173616 178981

111 113114 113114 79641 77645 77645 91414 ,95242 95353 105617 123643 116845 123848 108849 139935 139085 160665 199683 181234 216328 209357 223623

NPlT 600 600 600 600 600 625 625 625 857 857 857 1150 1150 1150 1346 1346 1346 1692 1692 1692 2343

PXI 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 7 7 8 8 9 10 11

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

NPlU

1500 1750 2000 2500 3000 3500 4MX) 4500 5000 5500 6000 8500 9000 10000 10500 11000 11250 11000 11500 12000 12500

NPlL

535 525 525 525 525 525 525 525 343 343 343 1000 1000 1000 1288 1288 1288 1600 1600 1600 2359

NW

596 649 701 804 936 1212 1466 1575 1941 2113 2398 2556 2669 2785 2886 3358 3614 3942 4173 4460 5575

QTTB

I

15 15 12 9 9 9 9 9 18 19 18 15 17 18 18 18 22 19 13 12 16

1100 4680 4670 10272 14246 13924 15879 23481 25383 28319 21191 37334 49604 55024 59283 64109 66139 68349 71533 73895 74895

QTTK

0 0 253 9 13 6 463 1056 2784 2750 1520 2279 5343 10630 25776 23314 51326 23769 28836 30328 30328

XTSRl

XTBRl

0 0 0 0 0 . O 0

0 0 0 1

2 2 5 9 15 19 21 23 25 27

0 1 1 9 10 1I 13 19 10 15 17 22 32 36 37 40 43 34 33 36 36

XTKRl

NNEKT

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

2 2 1

2 4 9 21 19 21 19 23 24 26

4 33 31 96 8033 12905 16859 21307 19254 15081 16018 21678 39255 73619 102668 124748 184425 145967 213819 182200 175473

VXTBJ

421 450 307 307 808 1314 1234 1188 1175 4860 4735 7205 14164 14651 26129 21093 21866 21024 25326 25637 21371

VXTBUS, VXTBH

0 0 136 136 814 1141 1447 139 1054 7 14 8 304 570 4 1

84 286 338 1633 1889

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 193, 256

04

D1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

D5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1

1

1 1 1

1 1 1

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1


VXTSJ

D6

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 364 846 1736 3929 7171 10548 13524 12620 20188 15468 18807

VXTSUS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 19 22 139 206 384 397 398 417 33 36 36

VXTSS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 6 312

N O 1646 1455 1986 23 24 26

VXTSH

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 28 25 29 213819 182200 175473

VXTSE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 248 219 123 25326 25637 21371

VXTKJ

VXTKUS 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 8 40 437 487 673 885 338 1633 1889

0 0 202 7 10 5 370 370 1069 1107 446 450 1001 3260 12321 9021 13495 10735 1913 1294 1328

VXTKS

VXTKH 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 113 64

174 37 241 110 29 12 34 52 0 193 256

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 31 16

78 98

VXTKE NPXTBKR 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1' 0 2 0 1 107 1 2 682 648 2 120 2 1193 1 2995 2 4792 2 6817 2 8290 2 8896 3 6841 3 6454 2 6669 2 7105 2

NPXTB 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1

NPXTBF NPXTBS 1 1 1 1 1 2 1

2 2 2 2 1 2

2 2

1

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

NPXTBSL 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 2 3


NPXTBG NPXTBRI NPXTBV NPXTBB NPXTBT NPXTBW

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2

NPXTKJ NPXTlCrr

NPXTBPP 1 1 1 0 1 1

2 2 1 1 1

0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 1 0

0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1

2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

2 2 2 2 2

2 2 2

2 2 2 3 3 3

3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3

3 3 3 4

3

5

2 2 2 0 2 2

5 5 5 6 6 7 5

2

NPXTKC NPXTKGL 2 2 2 3

2 2 2 2

3

3

3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3

3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3

2 2

3 2

2 3

2

3

NPXTKF NPXTKPP NPXTKSL

'

2

2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2

2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2

2 2 2

4 3 3 4 4

5 5 5 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 5

NPXTKP NPXTKM G R 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 5 5 4 4 5 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 5 3 3 3 6 3 3 5 3 4 6 3 4 8 3 3 5 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 5 3

Larnpiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun

NPXTKLI NPXTKRI NPXTKM NPXTKE NPXTKW

NPXTSF NPXTSLI NPXTSJ NPXTSM NPXTSB G

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

.

4

2

3

4 4 5

2

2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 2

4 6 5

2 2 0 0 1

4

2

4 4 4 5 6

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

5 6 6 5 6 5 5 6

3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3

3 3 2 2 3 3 1 3 3 3 2

2 2 2 3

3 3 3 3 3 3

3 3 3 3 3 4

4 3 3 3 3 3

3 2

3 3 4 4 5

3

5 5 5 5 6

3 3 3 5 1 5 5 6 6 5

6

7

7 5

7 8

4

NPXTST NPXTSKR NPXTSSL

2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2

3 3 4

3 4 4 4 3 4 4

2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 4 7 9 1 6

6

4 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7

B 8 9 9

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2

1 i 1

2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7

8 9 9 9

1 1 1 2 2

3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 3 3

NPXTSW NPXTSUS

1 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 5 5 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2

6 6

5

6 6 6

5

6

NRIPXTS J 4 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 1 4 1 5 2 6 2

6

3

7 7 7 7

3 3 3 4

8

5 5

8 9 9

5 5


POPJ

POPS

NIPXTSU NRIPXTS NRIPXTS NRIPXTS NRIPXTB NIPXTBU NRIPXTB NRIPXTB NRIPXTB NRIPXTK NIPXTKU NRIPXTK NRIPXTK NRIPXTK H E J S S H E J S S H E S S

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

0 0 1 1 1

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0 0

I

o

1

3 3 3 5 4 5 3

2 2 2 4 4 4

0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 I 1 2 2 2

2 3

3

1 1 1 1 1

1 1

0 0 0 1 1 1

1 1

1 1 1

4

1

3

1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1

3 1

1

1

1

I 3 1

4 3 3 3 3

0 1

0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

3 4 1 2 3 3 2

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4

0 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1

0

0 1

I

o

1 1 1 1

1

1 2

1 1 1 3 2

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2

2 2 2 2 3

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2 2 2

0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1 1

0

2

1

0

2

1 1

0 0

1

o

1 3 2

o

2

3 3 3 3 3

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

0

0 0 0

0 0 0 0 2 2 2 1 2

2

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

2

2

0 2 2 2

112 113 114 115 116 117 117 119 119 120 121 121 122

tn in

in 124

124 125 125 126

2 2 2 2 2

2 2

2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

Larnpiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun POPUS POPUK 1975 56 214 1976 215 56 56 1977 216 1978 218 56 1979 221 56 1980 56 228 1981 230 56 56 1982 232 56 1983 235 1984 237 56 57 1985 239 1986 242 57 1987 243 57 1988 245 57 1989 247 57 57 1990 250 1991 253 57 1992 255 58 1993 258 58 1994 261 58 263 58 1995

NGOPJ NGDPS NGOPUS NGDPUK 191331 1104 101 14 198785 1457 105 16 204789 17 1789 136 210348 19 2014 164 218616 20 2388 196 235912 24 2607 230 252546 2935 254 29 264707 32 3045 276 281767 35 3276 300 300543 40 3763 325 316303 3962 354 39 330025 39 4176 379 393422 43 4453 417 365086 463 49 4809 396197 55 5132 514 424537 66 5490 549 451298 5656 73 574 471797 81 5937 595 475438 94 6260 628 479072 109 6598 649 481020 121 6897 668

LA1 10714 11306 14208 14874 19741 19634 24461 27125 32643 34132 36984 37684 43634 44892 46473 47417 49629 52839 53220 61873 62755

LA2 64813 73743 82157 83260 9W2 99156 103649 110503 116345 126370 131297 111213 121888 122740 125644 136272 140805 143324 138409 141860 141691

LA3 3280 2063 2983 2325 2715 2956 4432 3160 3968 4386 5096 3694 5592 6231 5555 6705 6943 7267 6705 6977 5055

LA4 521 515 716 686 764 1111 1514 1598 2087 2783 3430 4307 6978 7544 11259 12011 12754 13403 13775 14859 16082

LA5 46291 42950 47516 46398 55729 58743 61152 66298 67230 68521 72044 73507 77011 81175 84828 86790 90671 92552 104479 101144 102577

LA6 82 17 1 1 1 2 11 35 5 17 40 59 59 161 128 131 131 121 173 195 205

LAT 182701 164594 174581 171544 181792 188602 198219 208719 242278 225209 238891 241464 263162 268743 269887 268326 29G333 304506 331761 326908 332365

YUTl 3005 1821 4003 2886 2784 2214 2257 2137 2116 2635 6350 7473 10994 14154 27813 21023 34609 43835 36037 43317 53163

YUT2 4836 7609 11977 13027 14023 14878 19025 19504 16468 19770 22209 23720 33796 44935 52020 62714 82855 71466 80211 67321 69059


YUT3 392 118 142 447 169 161 338 362 315 316 226 361 406 1777 3032 4741 3627 5678 2542 2267 1620

YUT4 13 19 21 48 59 56 76 85 100 113 229 571 927 1110 1548 1619 1838 2260 2605 2922 3050

YUT5 1548 4707 5070 5200 6860 6467 6545 8661 8753 9258 8641 9692 12855 15813 13946 17277 17372 18409 17377 19231 18715

YUT6 0 1 2 2 0

0 0 0 2 1 1 0 3 15 12 21 30 42 14 0 t

QUTT 9603 14259 21215 21630 23895 23796 28241 30749 27754 32093 37656 41817 58981 77804 98371 107295 140131 141690 138786 135058 146608

PUB

D2 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0

0 0

0 0 0

0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

30194 37839 37839 40084 42326 38185 39659 30831 30635 32945 35975 42490 51176 66618 69630 112359 113195 114390 114030 115501 109619

QUK 4 160 128 139 121 184 705 89 14 1 5 14 309 303 703 1034 728 1110 1743 1283 1924

QUDL 154 154 154 154 155 141 145 135 142 137 149 162 192 237 247 257 293 311 301 320 336

BH

0 0 0 0 49315 47317 10 0 35062 37368 92807 126052 177732 147501 254361 140534 63577 162862 694415 3026375 3956526

812 0 0 0 0 35427 15790 70599 70270 150540 195886 243107 325469 403199 624705 5214880 3338690 8732729 5761014 3051430 2226748 2851294

813 0 0 0 0 884 410 495 38 556 779 755 2638 14168 55186 694723 462532 210423 94865 166283 235497 245033

614 0 0 0 0 3011 2633 4629 1969 3174 2569 4331 16131 41320 59262 71560 92254 83062 83062 246126 255742 313641

815 0 0 0 0 121260 106330 150159 239856 237936 262444 262098 358924 413301 483442 527327 596546 662234 662234 511572 955735 104608


B16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30000 30000 30000 30556 32725 32725 188 80 120

BIT 0 0 0 0 209897 172480 225892 312133 427268 499046 603098 829214 1079720 14003% 1567267 4661112 8379315 6796782 4670014 6700177 7471222

NGUTI 548002 738453 901961 995713 1159390 1432100 1585210 515056 505479 576919 933890 1069373 899261 1313148 2036909 3361729 1622873 845255 2677893 2677893 2677893

NGUT2 458516 617867 754675 833118 970067 1198245 1326353 430950 492426 972153 1623089 2298090 3146608 4594841 7127355 11763040 5678602 2957634 9370228 9370228 9370228

NGUT3 251907 339454 414615 457711 532951 658310 728692 236762 306801 316025 472079 599725 513333 749596 1162746 1919005 926399 482504 1528645 1528645 1528645

NGUT4 731808 986137 1204488 1329685 1548261 1912440 2116905 687811 396930 351670 544926 250540 305848 446323 692321 1142611 551595 287292 910184 910184 910184

NGUT5 194425 261995 320005 353268 411338 508093 562414 182736 179121 369659 778521 1069919 713867 1042426 1616974 2668666 1288297 670995 2125812 2125812 2125812

NGUT6 XUSRl XUBRl XUKRl NNEKUD VXUW VXUBUS 151934 0 24 0 78244 20494 614 23466 2340 204737 0 30 0 116807 2256 250070 0 30 0 139929 24353 276063 0 32 0 161976 27018 1706 1 34 0 200483 27019 2763 321442 397052 1 31 0 181398 24900 1547 439502 1 24 1 166091 25300 1598 142800 1 25 0 182067 25306 337 0 194478 25381 915 2 25 125179 223142 2 26 0 195552 25448 519 540490 2 29 0 202729 26828 481 762645 2 34 0 284902 26240 546 332745 3 41 0 353085 29505 1091 485892 3 53 0 500312 39863 1722 753698 5 72 1 556760 49462 5787 1243909 4 90 1 690230 58570 8634 600496 5 91 1 769981 53169 12904 312761 5 92 1 764849 56446 14720 990875 6 91 2 876703 60597 10737 990875 6 92 1 1009739 62380 10249 990875 5 88 2 1108945 64320 14704

Larnpiran 1. Lanjutan VXUBS

Tahun

1975

VXUBH

902

VXUBE

1171

VXUSJ

1604

VXUSUS

0

VXUSS

0

VXUSH

0

VXUSE

0

VXUKJ

0

VXUKUS

0

VXUKS

0

VXUKH

0

0


VXUKE 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

'

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 206 249 105 201 253 198 157

NRIPXUBJ NIPXUBUS NRIPXUBS NRIPXUBH NRIPXUBE NRIPXUSJ NIPXUSUS NRIPXUSS NRIPXUSH NRIPXUSE NRIPXUKJ 2.628 2.644 0.1 4.1 3.081 2.09 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.9 3.368 2.402 2.674 3.557 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.004 4.901 0.1 0.1 5.3 3.309 2.974 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.673 5.107 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.4 3.046 2.508 0.1 0.1 2.983 3.35 5.307 0.1 5.9 3.208 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.914 5.016 0.1 3.018 3.976 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.7 0.1 0.1 4.567 3.321 4.4 5.234 0.1 6.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.1 3.119 4.957 3.536 5.938 7.845 2.422 1.917 4.222 6 6.114 7.4 6 5.2 4.732 7.73 7.869 2.422 1.159 4.228 6.25 1.5 7 7.988 3.602 5.236 6.962 6.425 2.422 0.956 6.355 4.333 0.1 6.6 6.603 4.693 7.501 6.693 7.562 2.422 0.665 7.083 , 6.78 0.1 5.006 7.637 4.94 7.571 6.925 7.9 1.5 0.705 6.663 9.306 0.1 5.759 7.671 5.975 8 7.675 5.28 1.5 1.799 6 9.991 0.1 5.873 7.921 8.745 8.8 9.544 6.858 1.5 4.5 1.684 2 7.702 8.4 8.181 5.69 5.173 6.785 7.574 6.071 1.127 5.25 7.095 10.594 8.4 9.346 6.125 5.08 6.844 7.088 6.071 2.496 6.136 6.857 9 8.2 8.848 6.541 5.154 6.892 10.951 8.3 3.272 5.63 5.927 12.5 8 8.072 7.07 4.946 6.495 8.985 7.61 2.396 9.3 4.693 14.714 9 8.88 6.25 4.686 7.479 10.671 6.234 3.195 5.297 3.956 14.161 10.3 9.191 5.969 4.899 8.787 10.99 9.163 3.381 6.724 4.473 15.5 11.4 10.834 4.538 6.103 9.763 13.656 5.804 1.501 6.375 4.654 11.389


1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

NIPXUKUS NRIPXUKS NRIPXUKH NRIPXUKE NPXUDRI NPXUDll NPXUDIN NPXUDCN NPXUDUS QUKTT LTl 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1. 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.9 6.2 5.1 10.8 0 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.7 5.4 4.9 9.3 0 3.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.6 5.2 5.3 8.9 0 5.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.1 5.3 5.8 10.4 1 3.3 4.2 0.1 1 0.1 0.1 7.4 6.8 5.7 9.7 3.1 '27.1 5.6 0.1 7 5.2 7.1 3.1 37.8 0.1 1 0.1 0.1 2.7 0.1 4.75 6.6 5 5.1 6.7 4 20.4 0.1 2.7 0.1 0.1 7.9 6.5 5.8 7.1 4.7 26.9 0.1 2.638 0.1 0.1 8 4.2 6 5.9 8.4 32.4 0.1 2.109 0.1 0.1 8.8 7.5 5.9 5.6 5.9 36.1 1.51 2.596 5.2 6.68 7.4 8.4 4.7 5.6 6.4 37 7.4 9.4 2.34 3.375 8.333 5.235 5.6 6 5.9 37.1 5.177 10.267 9.5 5.371 8.2 8.6 5.5 6 7.5 73.8 3.M4 6.449 11.758 3.886 8 8.9 5.8 6 6.9 68 3.281 3.962 12.725 4.103 56 6.1 71.3 9 10.1 6.2 3.336 2.39 13.517 6.163 10.3 10.5 7.3 5.7 7.9 81.8 3.858 11.262 4.446 11 4.757 11.1 8 6.4 8.2 86

LT2 10494 10494 12601 18429 17865 28771 26639 18945 19236 19130 25034 15750 27398 28201 29568 30856 36301 42772 49077 52711 56020

61729 61729 55608 50317 55984 26280 56169 62509 65324 76406 69848 71068 74617 70235 72869 65922 81030 82791 76997 82712 63304


LT3 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

LT4 4801 4801 1398 4524 4661 4736 4835 5193 5447 5770 7375 5787 6182 8259 7054 7127 8538 8479 9235 10199 9170

LT5 315 315 446 447 831 1251 568 701 842 1250 1667 3269 3641 7278 7448 7567 8134 8154 9559 9502 11553

LT6 17709 17709 19374 21027 20613 22122 22856 29372 30148 28824 30959 32494 33176 36701 38123 39038 41967 41967 40662 50054 51826

Lll 12' 12 12 2 2 2 2 14 26

5 17 36

221 139 77 117 117 117 244 286 323

950M) 95060 89439 94746 99956 83162 111289 1170% 121023 131385 134900 128404 145235 150813 155139 150627 176067 184280 185774 205464 212196

NPXUBW NPXUSW NPXUKW NPDBIK NPDBP NPDBRI ERI 12642.5 190.8 4003.4 3.399 3.8 0.1 215.2 15466.7 4812 4.66 0.1 4.164 19010.7 328.2 5905.5 5.45 0.1 4.958 21967.4 393.4 6706.1 5.84 0.1 5.342 30600.8 651.8 8675.5 6.93 0.1 6.438 45445.7 6.68 0.1 802.5 11790.1 6.186 911.9 13525 7.7 0.1 54027 7.2 1052.8 15668 59632.6 7.635 6.114 7.709 77676.3 1220.1 17696.2 7.659 1.5 8.129 89750.3 1773.1 7 7.085 20733.9 7.787 7.312 2 1594.6 22413.5 96850.2 7.308 1921.1 7.595 9.595 24750.5 102545.9 9.028 2249.2 29016 8.595 9.595 124538.9 9.302 139452.1 8.355 10.355 2588.6 33534.4 9.762 8.334 8.14 10.594 3026.6 39163.9 167184.7 2352 7.788 9 42018.7 195597.2 7.741 3823.3 44720.8 227450.2 9.073 11.951 12.5 11.885 8.562 14.714 4352.7 259884.5 50733.1 5385 11.738 14.161 8.589 56777.8 302017.8 6544 59174.1 11.53 15.5 382220 11.952 7560.9 77896.2 454514.1 14.339 11.389 12.789

415 415 415 625 627 627 644 693 994 1074 1125 1641 1650 1731 1797 1901 1992 2062 2110 2200 2308


NPXILW CPI 0.29 0.3 0.42 0.37 0.36 1 0.38 0.39 0.36 0.7 0.55 0.51 0.73 0.87 0.53 0.64 0.64 0.68 0.73 0.84 1

CPW 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.32 0.37 0.45 0.49 0.53 0.6 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.8 0.87 0.92 1 1.09 1.17 1.29 1.4 1.53

HES

TREN 0.434 0.462 0.493 0.532 0.579 0.633 0.697 0.74 0.77 0.804 0.834 0.856 0.883 0.917 0.959 t 1.048 1.068 1.091 1.146 1.174

1 2 3 4 5 6

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

HCOLD 2 3 4 6 9.9 12 18 25.9 32 29.5 27.2 31.1 35.4 36.2 41.3 39 40.3 41.7 46 61.7 88

NlTlK 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.2 4.2 4.8 4.8 5.4 5.8 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.1 8.9 10

'

NMlK 211 290 1018 2247 3338 15997 33626 38993 28955 23318 19076 16616 20829 10700 20906 29183 30552 31761 67141 92490 72959

2374 10339 10481 10029 6716 20971 38475 45544 34347 28789 23891 28832 27832 20704 32884 47587 53228 55264 116825 160932 126948

NXlK 131380 131380 163018 193424 234827 226354 225387 249416 257048 248063 259444 374117 475523 712199 825125 1039680 1255663 1263535 1503748 1678720 1763989

LRI 2039769 2039769 1827538 1826920 2026620 2231515 2513857 2607538 2740729 2283719 3002833 3277433 3380338 3570956 3503554 3617586 3971968 3947887 4306546 4379906 4568059

MTSUS MTSJ 212.8 203.8 171.7 225.2 286.6 268.9 274.2 222.7 199.8 184.6 187.4 212.8 s 203.8 171.7 225.2 155 145.8 126.5 136.3 141.3 145.2

164.9 219.3 246.9 237.2 132.7 108 116.4 141 156.4 123.8 158.5 164.9 219.3 246.9 237.2 291.6 303.5 317.4 371.4 362.5 383.2


MTSLl 110.5 119.6 113.5 121.1 75.1 77.2 71.3 77.3 74.4 83 104.5 110.5 119.6 113.5 121.1 123.1 116.2 103.4 90.9 81.9 91

PMTSUS PMTSJ PMTSLI MTSW MTBUS MTBJ 1.2664 2.9624 1.181 580.8 212.8 203.8 1.4691 567.9 1.3553 3.0771 171.7 1.7507 585.4 1.6168 3.697 586.5 225.2 1.6825 4.2723 1.3666 580.8 286.6 0.9313 2.5057 1.5686 567.9 268.9 1.2718 2.5139 2.0609 585.4 274.2 1.4194 2.8282 1.9425 222.7 1.5873 586.5 1.3772 2.4567 199.8 1.4973 572.6 1.0385 2.2666 1.1977 3.0089 1.3602 548.6 184.6 679.8 187.4 1.2396 2.2795 1.2163 1.2664 2.9624 1.181 869.2 212.8 1.3553 3.0771 1.4691 964.3 203.8 1146.4 171.7 1.6168 3.697 1.7507 1.6825 4.2723 1.3666 1265.4 225.2 155 1.8155 3.6615 1.5573 1364.6 145.8 1.6464 1.3993 1516.3 3.746 2.2545 4.3403 1.6973 1360.6 126.5 2.3155 4.7741 1.5072 1380.3 136.3 2.4013 5.2052 1.8095 1494.4 141.3 1.9095 1502.8 145.2 5.6052 2.6013

MTBLl 164.9 219.3 246.9 237.2 132.7 108 116.4 141 156.4 123.8 158.5 164.9 219.3 246.9 237.2 291.6 303.5 317.4 371.4 362.5 383.2

110.5 119.6 113.5 121.1 75.1 77.2 71.3 77.3 74.4 83 104.5 110.5 119.6 113.5 121.1 123.1 116.2 103.4 90.9 81.9 91

PMTBUS PMTBJ PMTBLl MTBW 1.2664 2.9624 1.181 580.8 567.9 3.0771 1.4691 1.3553 1.7507 585.4 1.6168 3.697 586.5 1.6825 4.2723 1.3666 0.9313 2.5057 1.5686 580.8 1.2718 2.5139 2.0609 567.9 1.4194 2.8282 1.9425 585.4 2.4567 1.3772 1.5873 586.5 2.2666 1.4973 572.6 1.0385 3.0089 1.3602 548.6 1.1977 , 1.2163 679.8 1.2396 2.2795 2.9624 1.181 869.2 1.2564 1.3553 3.0771 1.4691 964.3 1.8168 3.697 1.7507 1146.4 1.6825 4.2723 1.3686 1265.4 1.8155 3.6615 1.5573 1364.6 1.8464 3.746 1.3993 1516.3 2.2545 4.3403 1.6973 1360.6 2.3155 4.7741 1.5072 1380.3 1.8095 1494.4 2.4013 5.2052 2.6013 5.6052 1.9095 1502.8

Lampiran 1, Lanjutan Tahun

MTKUS 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

23.2 24.1 24.8 25.2 26.7 28.8 26.5 28.8 48 58.5 74.3 84.1 78.8 96.2 152.5 128.4 161.3 150.1 109 105.7 107.2

MTKFR

MTKUK 20.2 21.4 22.3 22.8 23.4 25.6 27.7 29.8 34 32.5 36.9 35.6 46.9 54.8 48.2 53.9 63.2 62.9 74.3 84.8 90.2

PMTKUS 18.2 18.7 19.1 19.4 10.5 11.1 19.2 13.3 17.6 24 24 36.5 34.7 47.6 66.1 56 71.6 69.9 69.8 75.9 81.1

2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.07 2.37 2 2.26 2.09 2.54 2.46

PMTKFR

PMTKUK 3 2.3 2.6 3.2 4.3 4.6 3.7 3.3 3 2.3 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.9 3.8 2.9 2.9 3 2.9

2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.3 2 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.03 2.32 2.26 2.07 2.41 2.15 2.2

XTKW

XTST 112.8 119 122.5 118.3 112.8 119 122.5 118.3 151.5 178.7 209.8 247.4 278.1 324 414.5 396.3 491.9 511.7 503.1 556.8 589.5

XTSSL 69.2 70.1 77.9 89.5 69.2 70.1 77.9 89.5 91.2 90.8 99.3 131.8 177.5 263.9 303.8 380 334 421.7 566.3 580.6 580.6

XTSKR 26.8 20.7 45 53.4 26.8 20.7 45 53.4 45.6 26.4 29.4 52.4 38.4 112.7 122.2 111.8 120.3 60.3 86.8 122.2 122.2

151.8 117.6 107.1 181.1 151.8 117.6 107.1 181.1 187.1 187.5 182 182.4 143.2 144.1 148.4 150.8 157.1 159.9 131.5 159.1 159.1

XTSW

'

375 382.3 437.9 397.5 375 382.3 437.9 397.5 550 455.7 477.8 703.2 651.9 922.5 943.9 1007 1101.7 1086 1250.7 1225.5 1225.5

XTBT 69.2 70.1 77.9 89.5 69.2 70.1 77.9 89.5 91.2 90.8 99.3 131.8 177.5 263.8 303.8 380 334 421.7 566.3 580.6 580.6


XTBSL

XTBKR 26.8 20.7 45 53.4 26.8 20.7 45 53.4 45.6 26.4 29.4 52.4 38.4 112.7 122.2 111.8 120.3 60.3 86.8 122.2 122.2

151.8 117.6 107.1 181.1 151.8 117.6 107.1 181.1 187.1 187.5 182 182.4 143.2 144.1 148.4 150.8 157.1 159.9 131.5 159.1 159.1

XTBW 375 382.3 437.9 397.5 375 382.3 437.9 397.5 550 455.7 477.8 703.2 651.9 922.5 943.9 1007 1101.7 1088 1250.7 1225.5 1225.5

XTKll 7.4 9.5 11.3 19.7 7.4 9.5 11.3 19.7 39.3 78.7 170.2 285.6 316.8 510.4 536.8 536.5 632.2 529.1 515.9 621.1 623.1

XTKJ

XTKPP 122.1 157.6 146 118.5 122.1 157.6 146 118.5 111.4 122.5 101.1 95 56.8 38.3 26.4 19 24.3 17.6 22 16.8 16.8

6.5 29.5 52.1 46.5 6.5 29.5 52.1 46.5 52.8 47.3 42 54.4 51.7 91.1 108.3 95.2 104.5 94.3 121.5 138.8 138.1

XTKSL

MTKW 26.1 38.6 55.9 9.5 26.1 38.6 55.9 9.5 16 12.7 15.4 16.2 27.6 51.9 43.3 40.7 62.3 62.3 62.8 84 64.2

261.2 362.1 3b.8 329.1 261.2 362.1 394.8 329.1 369.8 410.3 474.7 641 675.4 949.7 997.6 998.4 1196.5 497.8 1055.5 1254 1254

QTSJ

QTSUS 672 723 642 674 672 723 642 674 696 788 653 781 690 753 673 654 717 671 780 625 625

QTST 218 226 222 199 218 226 222 199 265 263 234 251 284 276 245 233 236 261 221 253 253

QTSSL 106 113 87 111 106 113 87 111 102 100 122 162 191 213 242 278 211 319 396 354 354

100 101 123 132 100 101 123 132 127 155 179 189 204 242 250 263 267 254 258 245 245

Lampiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun .

QTSKR

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

QTKUS

125 110 105 108 125 110 105 108 89 71 92 108 131 147 171 233 267 225 167 242 242

QTKFR

283 275 287 246 283 275 287 246 268 285 250 295 297 271 31 I 264 269 274 281 277 277

QTKTT

27 25 23 30 27 25 23 30 18 22 25 29 30 28 33 32 33 32 33 35 35

QTKJ

4 5

8 15 4 5 8 15 18 40 87 142 145 208 225 233 273 244 221 253 253

QTKPP

95 95 11 113 95 95 11 113 125 130 121 114 111 104 92 92

96 98 92 83 83

QTKSL

4 11 18 19 4 11 18 19 24 23 25 28 26 37 47 45 46 47 56 58 58

MUSUS

59 55 57 56

59 55 57 56

54 46 55 59

63

,

67 75 82 72 83 83 115 115

91.4 104.2 103.4 89.9 101.1 92.9 93.7 111.6 135.4 136.7 140.7 160.5 193.6 206.5 218.6 215.8 232.4 256.8 257.5 268.1 270.8

MUSJ

MUSW

113.8 126.2 128.5 150 158.7 144.3 163 151.8 149 169.3 183.5 213.8 246.6 280.7 264.2 284.3 285.3 273.6 301.3 303.7 292.9

269.8 299.8 333.2 337.4 397.7 407.7 419.6 442.4 487.8 513.5 557.5 649.2 765.5 848.5 , 896 945.2 984.3 999 1049.9 1065.7 1081.7

PMUSUS

5.2 7.4 7 7.2 7.1 7.4 7.3 8 8.2 8.1339 7.3909 8.1084 7.9432 7.6571 7.8158 7.5269 7.8477 7.741 8.1977 9.6035 12

PMUSJ

4 5 6.3 6.9 8.6 7.39 7.53 6.67 8.51 7.5145 7.2501 8.5861 9.4274 9.9448 8.5666 8.7749 9.2436 9.1027 9.7873 10.9572 13


1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

MUBUS

91.4 104.2 103.4 89.9 101.1 92.9 93.7 111.6 135.4 136.7 140.7 160.5 193.6 206.5 218.6 215.8 232.4 256.8 257.5 268.1 270.8

MUBJ

XUBW

113.8 126.2 128.5 150 158.7 164.3 163 151.8 169 169.3 183.5 213.8 246.6 260.7 264.2 2M.3 285.3 273.6 301.3 303.7 292.9

269.8 299.8 333.2 337.4 397.7 407.7 419.6 442.4 487.8 513.5 557.5 649.2 765.5 848.5 896 945.2 984.3 999 1049.9 1065.7 1081.7

PMUBUS

3.081 3.368 3.309 3.046 3.208 3.018 3.321 3.119 6 7.988 6.603 7.637 7.675 9.544 8.181 9.346 8.848 8.072 8.88 9.191 10.834

PMUBJ

XUBll

2.09 2.402 2.974 2.508 2.983 3.976 4.4 4.957 5.2 3.602 4.693 4.94 5.28 6.858 5.69 6.125 6.511 7.07 6.25 5.969 4.538

XUBCN

10.8 11.4 12.5 13.6 18.6 17.9 18.8 22.6 20.2 23.7 28.3 33.8 60.9 51.2 75.3 85.7 122.1 140.8 150.3 188.3 188.3

MUBWP

16.9 19.5 22.2 13.3 16.9 19.5 22.2 13.3 10 13.5 10 32 64 106 95 118 86 95.9 66.9 63 63

260.4 289.3 321.5 335.2 371.2 401.7 399.1 429.1 469.9 506.1 545.1 645.5 730 794.1 807.9 870.1 930.1 957.9 972.8 987.4 1002.2

XUBTT

PXUBCN

4.8 4.3 5.9 5.4 5.8 5.3 5.9 5.4 7 7.1 7.7 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.4 9.4 9.6 6 9.6 9.5 9.5

XUSTT

8.8 7.3 7.4 8.8 8.8 7.3 7.4 8.8 8.3 7.6 6.9 7.3 5.9 5.6 5.6

6 6 5.8 6.3 5.7 5.7

XUSCN

10.8 11.4 12.5 13.6 15.3 18.6 17.9 18.7 22.6 20.1 19.4 24.1 28.7 53.8 42.9 68.5 79.9 115.7 134.3 141.7 159.1

11.3 12.5 13.6 15.2 16.9 19.5 22.2 13.3 10 13.5 10 32 64 106 95 118 86 95.9 66.9 63 70.2

Larnpiran 1. Lanjutan Tahun

XUSW 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

260.4 289.3 321.5 335.2 371.2 401.7 399.1 429.1 469.9 506.1 545.1 645.5 730 794.1 807.9 870.1 930.1 957.9 972.8 987.4 1002.2

PXUSTT 3 3.5 4.2 4.7 6.92 5.34 5.23 5.3 6.82 6.11 5.28 5.81 4.14 8.06 8.78 9.77 8.87 9.11 10.34 10.5 11.5

PXUSCN 8.8 7.3 7.4 2.1 8.8 7.3 7.4 8.8 8.3 7.6 6.9 7.3 5.9 5.6 5.6 6 6 5.8 6.3 5.7 6.6

QUSCN QUSJ 162.8 186.2 187.3 189 162.8 186.2 187.3 189 220.5 271.5 402 496.6 607.7 783.8 687.4 697.2 744.2 764.9 543.8 592.6 692.1

QUSUS QUSTT ETT 152.4 130.7 143.3 161.8 148.3 54.7 160.8 59.9 136.2 187.5 130.7 53.1 152.4 143.3 52.6 161.8 148.3 54.7 160.8 187.5 59.9 136.2 160.3 64.4 119.9 149.2 64.8 145 142.1 56.9 152.7 157.4 49.9 183.3 174.8 54.8 165 56.4 150.8 239.5 303.1 52 161.6 49.8 159 334.4 46.5 146.9 409.9 420.6 49.6 154.5 493.1 41 134.9 614.7 42.8 128.2 39.9 624.7 139.2 53.1 52.6

VXTKFR 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.39 20.42 20.63 23 23 23 27.15 26.65 26.16 25.07 25.24 25.69 25.29 25.28 25.52 25.54 25.09 25.19

0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 2.4 4.7 4.7 6.4 7.3 7.9 3.9 2.2 1.7 4.1 7.9 11.1 22.4

INF 19.69 14.2 11.82 6.69 21.77 15.97 7.09 9.69 11.46 8.76 4.31 8.83 8.9 5.47 5.97 9.53 9.52 4.94 9.77 9.24 9.24

ERTH 23.881 23.701 24.78 26.564 26.906 26.312 26.771 25.372 24.08 26.613 29.273 31.962 35.566 33.965 33.761 35.979 36.161 35.09 35.081 36.628 37.445

Lampiran 2. Narna Variabel BI. BOTIK COLD CTSB K CUSB SK DQTB TK TS

= =

= = = = =

GDPAGI GDPJ S UK US I 1-R Jl. L. L8-V LA. LRI LTL LTO LT. LTT MTBUS J LI W MTKUS FR UK W MTSUS J LI W MUBUS J W MUSUS J W

= = = =

= = = = =

Jumfah benur Udang menurut wilayah tambak (ekor). Neraca perdagangan perikanan (Ribuan US$). Sewa cold storage (Rupiah IKg). Konsumsi Tuna untuk industri Tuna beku (Ton). Konsumsi Tuna untuk industri Tuna kaleng (Ton). Konsumsi Udang untuk industri Udang beku (Ton). Konsumsi Udang untuk industri Udang kaleng (Ton). Permintaan Tuna beku domestik (Ton). Permintaan Tuna kaleng domestik ( ~ d n ) . Permintaan Tuna seaar domestik [Ton). Permintaan Udang b
= LBNG8

= Luas areal tambak menurut wilayah (Ha).

= Total tenaga kerja perikanan (Ribuan Orang). = Jurnlah tenaga kerja nasional usaha penangkapan (Ribuan Orang). = Tenaga kerja perikanan lainnya (Ribuan Orang). = Jumlah petani tambak menurut wilayah tambak (Ribuan Orang).

= Jurnlah petani tarnbak nasional (Ribuan Orang).

= = = =

= = = =

= = =

= = = = = = =

lmpor Tuna beku AS (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna beku Jepang (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna beku ltali (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna beku dunia (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna kaleng AS (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna kaleng Prancis (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna kaleng lnggris (Ribuan Ton). Impor Tuna kaleng dunia (Ribuan Ton). lrnpor Tuna segar AS (Ribuan Ton). lrnpor Tuna segar Jepang (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna segar ltali (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Tuna segar dunia (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Udang beku AS (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Udang beku Jepang (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Udang beku dunia (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Udang segar AS (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Udang segar Jepang (Ribuan Ton). lmpor Udang segar dunia (Ribuan Ton).

Sdm lrvsi-s3\excr\va1 ~iabel.doc

Lampiran 2. Lanjutan PC. PK. PS. PU. PDlL PDTB PDTB-L PDTB U PDUBPDUB-L PDUBL-L PDUB-W PDUB-L POPJ S UK US PMTBUS J LI PMUBUS-T PMUBUS-U PMTKUS FR UK PMTSUS J LI PMUBUS J PMUSUS J PXTBT SL KR W PXTBKR-S PXTKTT J PP SL W PKTW-B PXTST SL KR W PXUBTT CN

= Jumlah alat tangkap pancing setiap wilayah perairan (Unit). = Jurnlah alat tangkap pukat kantong menurut wilayah perairan (Unit). = Jumlah alat tangkap purse seine setiap wilayah perairan (Unit). = Jurnlah alat tangkap pukat Udang menurut wilayah perairan (Unit). = Harga ikan lain landing domestik (Rupiah / Kg). = Harga Tuna landing domestik (Rupiah 1 Kg). = PDTBIPDIL. . = PDTBIPDUB. = Harga Udang landing domestik (Rupiah IKg). = PDIUPDUB. = PDILUPDUBL. = PDUBNV. = PDUB/PDIL. = Jumlah penduduk Jepang (Juta Orang). = Jumlah penduduk Singapura (Juta Orang). = Jurnlah penduduk lnggris (Juta Orang). = Jurnlah penduduk AS (Juta Orang). = Harga lmpor Tuna beku AS (US$/ Kg). = Harga lmpor Tuna beku Jepang (US$ IKg). = Harga lmpor Tuna beku ltali (US$ / Kg). = PMUBUSIPMTBUS. = PMUBUS/PMUSUS. = Harga impor Tuna kaleng AS (US$ IKg). = Harga irnpor Tuna kaleng Prancis (US$ IKg). = Harga irnpor Tuna kaleng lnggris (US$ IKg). = Harga lmpor Tuna segar AS (US$ IKg). = Harga lmpor Tuna segar Jepang (US$ IKg). = Harga lmpor Tuna segar ltali (US$ IKg). = Harga impor Udang beku AS (US$ IKg). = Harga impor Udang beku Jepang (US$ IKg). = Harga impor Udang segar AS (US$ IKg). = Harga impor Udang segar Jepang (US$ IKg). = Harga ekspor Tuna beku Taiwan (US$ IKg). = Harga ekspor Tuna beku Spanyol (US$ IKg). = Harga ekspor Tuna beku Korea (US$ IKg). = Harga Tuna beku dunia dalam satuan Rupiah (US$ IKg). = PXTBKFUPXTSKR. = Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng Thailand (US$/ Kg). = Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng Jepang (US$ IKg). = Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng Philipina (US$ / Kg). = Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng Spanyol (US$ IKg). = Harga Tuna kaleng dunia dalam satuan Rupiah (US$ IKg). = PXTKWIPDTB. = Harga ekspor Tuna segar Taiwan (US$ / Kg). = Harga ekspor Tuna segar Spanyol (US$/ Kg). = Harga ekspor Tuna segar Korea (US$ IKg). = Harga Tuna segar dunia dalam satuan Rupiah (US$ IKg). = Harga ekspor Udang beku Thailand (US$ IKg). = Harga ekspor Udang beku Cina (US$ IKg).

Sdm \wsi-s3 iexcr\ varinbel doc

Lampiran 2. Lanjutan

W PXUBTT S PXUSTTCN W PXUKW QT. QTT QlTB QTTK QTKJ PP SL QTSUS J T SL KR TT QUB QUDL QUDT QUK QUS QUT. RlNMlK RINXTB K S RINXUB UK US RINXTU RfNXlK R1NXlL R1PXTBE J S US RIPXTKE J S US E RIPXTSJ

= = = = =

= =

= = = = =

=

= = =

= = = =

= = = = = = = =

= = = =

= = =

= =

= = =

= = = = =

= US = RIPXTSSJ = RIPXUBE =

S

Harga Udang beku dunia dalarn satuan Rupiah (US$ IKg). PXUBTTIPXUSTT. Harga ekspor Udang segar Thailand (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Udang segar Cina (US$ IKg). Upah untuk tarnbak (Ribuan Rupiah/ Orang). Harga Udang kaleng dunia dalarn satuan (US$ IKg). Produksi Tuna setiap wilayah perairan (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna landing nasional (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna beku (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna kaleng (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna kaleng Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna kaleng Philipina (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna kaleng Spanyol (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna segar dan beku Amerika Serikat (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna segar dan beku Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna segar dan beku Taiwan (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna segar dan beku Spanyol (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna segar dan beku Korea (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Tuna kaleng Thailand (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Udang beku (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Udang laut nasional (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Udang tambak nasional (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Udang kaleng (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Udang total (tambak dan laut). (Ribuan Ton). Produksi Udang laut rnenurut wilayah perairan (Ribuan Ton). Nilai irnpor perikanan (Ribuan US$). Nilai ekspor Tuna beku dalam satuan Rupiah (Ribuan US$). Nilai ekspor Tuna kaleng dalarn satuan Rupiah (Ribuan US$). Nifai ekspor Tuna segar dalarn satuan Rupiah (Ribuan US$). Nilai ekspor Udang beku dalarn satuan Rupiah (Ribuan US$). Nilai ekspor Udang kaleng dalarn satuan Rupiah (Ribuan US$). Nilai ekspor Udang segar dalarn satuan Rupiah (Ribuan US$). Total nilai eksporTuna dan Udang (Ribuan US$). Total devisa perikanan: (Ribuan US$). Nilai ekspor ikan lainnya (Ribuan US$). Harga ekspor Tuna beku lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$/ Kg). Harga ekspor Tuna beku lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Tuna beku lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Tuna beku lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ I Kg). Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ I Kg). Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$/Kg). Harga ekspor Tuna kaleng lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ I Kg). Harga ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ / Kg). RIPXTSSIRIPXTSJ. Harga ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ / Kg).

SdmIrvsi~s3\excrlvar1abe/.doc

Lampiran 2.Lanjutan J = = S US = = RIPXUKE J = S = US = IPXUKUSJ = IPXUKUSS = IPUKUS-T = = RIPXUSE = J S = US = RPDQIL = = REPXTBT SL = KR = REPXTKTT = = J PP = SL = REPXTST = SL = KR = REPXUBTT = CN = REPXUSTT = CN = REPMTBUS = J = LI = REPMTKUS = FR = UK = REPMTSUS = = J LI = REPMUBUS = J = REPMUSUS = = J = RTBE = J = S = US = RTKE J = S =

Harga ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar Singapura (USSIKg). Harga ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$lKg). Harga ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar AS(US$ IKg). RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKJ. RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKS. RIPXUKUSIRIPXTKUS. Harga ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ IKg). Harga ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$/ Kg). Harga ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$IKg). Harga ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Nilai konsumsi ikan lain domestik (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna beku oleh Taiwan (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna beku oleh Spanyol (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna beku oleh Korea (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh Thailand (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh Jepang (US$/ Kg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh Philipina (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh Spanyol (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna segar oleh Taiwan (US$ I Kg). Proteksi Tuna segar oleh Spanyol (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna segar oleh Korea (US$ IKg). Proteksi Udang beku oleh Thailand (US$ IKg). Proteksi Udang beku oleh Cina (US$ IKg). Proteksi Udang segar oleh Thailand (US$ IKg). Proteksi Udang segar oleh Cina (US$/ Kg). Proteksi Tuna beku oleh AS (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna beku oleh Jepang (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna beku oleh ltali (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh AS (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh Prancis (US$/ Kg). Proteksi Tuna kaleng oleh lnggris (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna segar oleh AS (US$/ Kg). Proteksi Tuna segar oleh Jepang (US$ IKg). Proteksi Tuna segar oleh Itali (US$ I Kg). Proteksi Udang beku oleh AS (US$ IKg). Proteksi Udang beku oleh Jepang (US$/ Kg). Proteksi Udang segar oleh AS (US$ 1 Kg). Proteksi Udang segar oleh Jepang (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna beku Indonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna beku Indonesia dipasar Jepang (US$/ Kg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna beku Indonesia dipasar Singapura (US$IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna beku Indonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna kaleng Indonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna kaleng Indonesia dipasar Jepang (US$/Kg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna kaleng Indonesia dipasar Singapura (US$IKg).

Sdm\rvsi-s3\excrlvariabeldoc

Lampiran 2. Lanjutan US RTSE J S US RUBE J S US RUKE J S US RUSE J S US Tren

v..

VG. WG. VXTBE J S US 0 VXTKE

J 0

s

US VXTSE 0 J

s

US VXUBE J 0 S US VXUKE J 0

s

US VXUSE J 0 Sdmlrvsi-s3\excrlvar

Restriksi ekspor Tuna kaleng lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$IKg). Restriksi ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$/ Kg). Restriksi ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$IKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$IKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang beku lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$/ Kg). Restriksi ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$/ Kg). Restriksi ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$lKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ / Kg). Restriksi ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar Eropa (US$lKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar Jepang (US$lKg). Restriksi ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar Singapura (US$/Kg). Restriksi ekspor Udang segar lndonesia dipasar AS (US$ IKg). Tren waktu. Jumlah kapal rnenurut jenisnya setiap wilayah perairan (Unit). Jumlah kapal gabungan setiap wilayah perairan (Unit). Kuadrat VG (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku ke Eropa (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku ke Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku ke Singapura (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku ke Amerika Serikat (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku ke negara lain (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng ke Eropa (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng ke Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng ke negara lain (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng ke Singapura (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng ke Arnerika Serikat (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar ke Eropa (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar ke negara lain (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar ke Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar ke Singapura (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar ke AS (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku ke Eropa (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku ke Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku ke negara lain (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku ke Singapura (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku ke AS (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang kaleng ke Eropa (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang kaleng ke Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang kaleng ke negara lain (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang kaleng ke Singapura (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang kaleng ke AS (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar ke Eropa (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar ke Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar ke negara lain (Ribuan Ton). 7c

Larnpiran 2.Lanjutan S US WPER PXTBW PXTKW PXTSW PXUBW PXUSW PXUKW XTBRl XTKRl XTSRl XUBRl XUKRl XUSRl XTBT SL KR W XTKIT J PP SL W XTST SL KR W XUBTT

CN W

xusn CN W YUT. YUTI-R

= =

-

=

= = =

= =

= =

----=

lndeks lndeks Kapal 1

2 3 4

5 6 7

---

Ekspor Udang segar ke Singapura (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar ke AS (Ribuan Ton). Upah tenaga kerja (Ribuan Rupiah IOrang). Harga dunia Tuna beku dalam satuan US $. Harga dunia Tuna kaleng dalam satuan US$. Harga dunia Tuna segar dalam satuan US$. Harga dunia Udang beku dalam satuan US$. Harga dunia Udang segar dalarn satuan US$. Harga dunia Udang kaleng dalam satuan US$. Total ekspor Tuna beku lndonesia (Ribuan Ton). Total ekspor Tuna kaleng lndonesia (Ribuan Ton). Total ekspor Tuna segar lndonesia (Ribuan Ton). Total ekspor Udang beku lndonesia (Ribuan Ton). Total ekspor Udang kaleng lndonesia (Ribuan Ton). Total ekspor Udang segar lndonesia (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku Taiwan (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku Spanyol (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku Korea (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna beku Dunia (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng Thailand (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng Jepang (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng Philipina (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng Spanyol (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna kaleng Dunia (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar Taiwan (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar Spanyol (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar Korea (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Tuna segar Dunia (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku Thailand (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku Cina (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang beku dunia (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar Thailand (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar Cina (Ribuan Ton). Ekspor Udang segar dunia (Ribuan Ton). ~ r o d u k suidn ;g tambak menurut wilayah tambak (Ribuan Ton). PDUSllAl .

Tanpa motor . Motor Ternpet. Kapal motor 1-5 GT. Kapal inboard 5 - 10 GT. Kapal inboard 10 - 30 GT. Kapal inboard 30 - 100 GT. Kapal inboard > I 0 0 GT.

Sdm\rvsi_s3~excr\variabel.doc

Lampiran 2. Lanjutan lndeks wilayah perairan 1 = Barat Sumatra. 2 = Selatan Jawa. 3 = Selat Malaka. 4 = Timur Sumatra. 5 = Utara Jawa. 6 = Bali, NTT. 7 = Selatan Barat Kalimantan. 8 = Timur Kalimantan. 9 = Selatan Sulawesi. 10 = Utara Sulawesi. 11 = Maluku dan lrian Jaya . lndeks wilayah tambak: 1 = Sumatra. 2 = Jawa. 3 = Bali,Nusa Tenggara,Timor Timur. 4 = Kalimantan. 5 = Sulawesi. 6 = Maluku dan lrian Jaya.

Larnpiran 3. Program Komputer Pendugaan Model Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Title 'Soepantol'; data modell; set prodangl prodang2 alatl alat2 alat3 alat4 alat5 alat6 alat7 alate afat9 alatl0 a l a t l l alatl2 alatl3 alatl4 perahul perahu2 tempell ternpel2 motor1 motor2 motor3 motor4 motor5 motor6 motor7 motor8 anggarl anggar2 protunl protun2 labor1 labor2 sifter1 protun3 ekstunl Eksbek eksgar eksleng Hargal Harga2 Harga3 Harga4 Harga5 Harga6 Harga7 Harga8 Harga9 POPU GDP luastam prudtam produd benih angrikekdang eksudl eksud2 eksud3 harudl harud2 harud3 saing tanitam hargdu sektor riil turnbuh end01 endo2 endo3 endo4endo5endo6endo7endo8endo9endolOendoll;byyear; data merge model1;

E PXUBW PXUKW PXTBW QUTI L QUT3L QUT9L QUTI 1L CTSB CUSB GWP2 GWP4 GWP6 GWP8 GWPIO PIT PIL RPEKS PXTBJ PXTBS PXTBPP PXTBRI PXTBB PXTKTT PXTKGL PXTKPP PXTKF PXTKMR PXTKRI PXTKE PXTSF

= ERIICPI; = NPXUBWICPW; = NPXUKWICPW; = NPXTBWICPW; = LAG (QUTI ); = LAG (QUT3 ); = LAG (QUT5 ); = LAG (QUT7 ); = LAG (QUTS ); = LAG (QUT11); = (1.0526'QTTB)ll000; = (2*QUB)11000; = NGWP2/CPI; = NGWP4lCPI; = NGWP6lCPI; = NGWP8/CPI; = NGWPIOICPI; = NPITICPI; = NPIUCPI; = NNEKTICPI; = NPXTBJICPW; = NPXTBSICPW; = NPXTBPPICPW; = NPXTBRIICPW; = NPXTBBICPW; = NPXTKTTICPW; = NPXTKGUCPW; = NPXTKPPICPW; = NPXTKFICPW; = NPXTKMRICPW; = NPXTKRIICPW; = NPXTKEICPW; = NPXTSFICPW;

RE VSi-S3idoklorlLAM2-SIS. DOC

ERTH PXUSW PXTKW PXTSW QUTPL QUT4L QUT6L QUT8L QUTI OL CTBK CUBK GWPI GWP3 GWP5 GWP7 GWP9 GWPl I PIU W PXTBKR PXTBF PXTBSL PXTBG PXTBV PXTBT PXTKJ PXTKC PXTKSL PXTKPG PXTKLI PXTKM PXTSBG PXTSKR

= ERTHICPW, = NPXUSWICPW; = NPXTKWICPW; = NPXTSWICPW; = LAG (QUT2 ); = LAG (QUT4 ); = LAG (QUT6 ); = LAG (QUT8 ); = LAG (QUTIO); = (1.67*QTTK)11000; = (1.67*QUK)11000; = NGWPIICPI; = NGWPSICPI; = NGWPSICPI; = NGWP71CPI; = NGWP9lCPI; = NGWPI 1ICPI; = NPIUICPI; = NWICPI; = NPXTBKRICPW; = NPXTBFICPW; = NPXTBSLICPW; = NPXTBGICPW; = NPXTBVICPW; = NPXTBTICPW; = NPXTKJICPW; = NPXTKCICPW; = NPXTKSUCPW; = NPXTKPGICPW; = NPXTKLIICPW; = NPXTKMICPW; = NPXTSBGICPW; = NPXTSKRICPW;


PXTSLI PXTSM PXTST PXTKW PXTSW RlPXTSUS Rf PXTSH RlPXTBJ RiPXTBS RIPXTBE RIPXTKUS RlPXTKH GDPJ GDPUS GUT1 GUT3 GUT5 NEKUD RIPXUBUS RIPXUBH RIPXUSJ RIPXUSS RIPXUSE RIPXUKUS RIPXUKH PXUDTT PXUDCN PXUBW PXUKW PDBP VllL V12L V14L V16L V18L VllOL v21 L V23L V25L V27L V29L V211L V32 L V34L

= NPXTSLI/CPW; = NPXTSMCPW; = NPXTSTICPW; = PXTKW; = PXTSW; = NIPXTSUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTSH/CPWCPI; = NRIPXTBJICPWCPI; = NRIPXTBSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTBEICPWCPI; = NIPXTKUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKH/CPWCPI; = NGDPJICPW; = NGDPUSICPW; = NGUTIICPI; = NGUT3ICPI; = NGUT5ICPI; = NNEKUDICPI; = NIPXUBUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUBH/CPWCPI; = NRIPXUSJICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSEICPWCPI; = NIPXUKUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKHICPWCPI; = NPXUDTTICPW ; = NPXUDCNICPW; = PXUBW; = NPXUKW; = NPDBPICPI; = LAG (v11); = LAG (V12); = LAG (V14); = LAG 0116); = LAG (V18); = LAG (V110); = LAG (V21); = LAG (V23); = LAG (V25); = LAG (V27); = LAG (V29); = LAG (V211); = LAG (V32); = LAG (V34);

PXTSJ PXTSSL PXTSUS PXTBW RlPXTSJ RIPXTSS RIPXTSE RIPXTBUS RIPXTBH R1PXTKJ RIPXTKS Rl PXTKE GDPS GDPUK GUT2 GUT4 GUT6 RIPXUBJ RIPXUBS R1PXUBE RIPXUSUS R1PXUSH R1PXUKJ R1PXUKS RlPXUKE PXUDIN PXUDUS PXUSW PDBIK PDBRl V13L V15L V17L V19L VlllL V22L V24L V26L V28L V210L V31L V33L V35L

= NPXTSJICPW; = NPXTSSUCPW; = NPXTSUSICPW; = PXTBW; = NRIPXTSJICPWCPI; = NRIPXTSSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTSEICPWCPI; = NIPXTBUSICPWCPI; . = NRIPXTBHICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKJICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKEICPWCPI; = NGDPStCPW; = NGDPUWCPW; = NGUT2lCPI; = NGUT4ICPI; = NGUTGICPI; = NRIPXUBJICPWCPI; = NRIPXUBSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUBEICPWCPI; = NIPXUSUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSHICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKJICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKS/CPWCPI; = NRIPXUKEICPWCPt; = NPXUDINICPW; = NPXUDUSICPW; = PXUSW; = NPDBIWCPI; = NPDBRIICPI;

= LAG (V13); = LAG (V15); = LAG (V17); = LAG (V19); = LAG (V111); = LAG (V22); = LAG (V24); = LAG (V26); = LAG (V28); = LAG (v210); =LAG(V31); = LAG (V33); = LAG (V35);


= LAG (V36); = LAG (V38); = LAG (V310); = LAG 0141); = LAG (V43); = LAG (V45); = LAG (V47); = LAG 0149); = LAG 01411); = LAG (V52); = LAG (V54); = LAG (V56); = LAG (V58); = LAG (V510); = LAG (V61); = LAG 0163); = LAG (V65); = LAG (V67); = LAG (V69); = LAG (V611); = LAG (V72); = LAG (V74); = LAG (V76); = LAG (V78); = LAG (V710); = v13**2; = V31**2; = V51**2; = V71**2; = v22**2; = V42-2; = V62**2; = V13**2; = V33**2;

= = = = = = =

V53**2; V73**2; V24**2; V44**2; V64**2; v15**2; V35**2; = V55**2; = V75**2;

REFS/-S3 WoktortLAM2-SIS. DOC

V37L = LAG (V37); V39L = LAG 0139); V311L = LAG (V311); V42L = LAG (V42); V44L = LAG 0144); V46L = LAG (V46); V48L = LAG 0148); V410L = LAG (V410); V51L = LAG(V51); V53L = LAG 0153); V55L = LAG (V55); V57L = LAG (V57); V59L = LAG (V59); V511L =LAG(V511); V62L = LAG (V62); V64L = LAG (V64); V66L = LAG (V66); V68L = LAG (V68); V610L = LAG 01610); V71L = LAG (V71); V73L =LAG (W3); V75L =LAG (V75); V77L =LAG (V77); V79L = LAG (V79); V711L = LAG (V711); v2v21 = v21**2; V2V41 = V41**2; V2V61 = V61-2; v2v12 = v12-2; V2V32 = V32**2; V2V52 = V52**2; v2V72 = V72**2; V2V23 = V23**2; V2V43 = V43**2; V2V63 = V2V14 = V2V34 = V2V54 = V2V74 = V2V25 = V2V45 = V2V65 = V2V16 =

V63**2; V14**2; V34**2; V54-2; V74**2; V25**2; V45**2; V65**2; V16*'2;

Larnpiran 3. Lanjutan

= V26**2; = V46**2; = V66**2; = V17**2; = V37**2; = V57**2; = V77**2; = V28**2; = V48**2; = V68**2; = V19**2; = V39**2; = V59**2; = V79**2; = v210**2; = V4 10**2; = V610**2; = v111**2; = V311**2; = V511**2; = w11**2; = LAG (L2); = LAG (L4); = LAG (L6); = LAG (L8); = LAG (L10);

V2V36 = V36**2; V2V56 = V56**2; V2V76 = V76**2; V2V27 = V27**2; V2V47 = V47**2; V2V67 = V67**2; V2V18 = V 18**2; V2V38 = V38**2; V2V58 = V58'*2; V2V78 = V78**2; V2V29 = V29**2; V2V49 = V49**2; V2V69 = V69"2; v2v11o= v110**2; V2V31O= V310**2; V2V51O= V510**2; V2V71O= V710**2; V2V211= V21 t**2; V2V411= V411**2; V2V611= V6119*2; L1L = LAG (Ll); L3L =LAG (L3); L5L = LAG (L5); L7L = LAG (L7); L9L = LAG (L9); L l 1L = LAG (L11);

LTL

= Ll+L2+L3+L4+L5+L6+L7+L8+Lg+Ll O+L11;

QTl L QT3L QT5L QT7L QTSL Q T l 1L

= LAG (QT1); = LAG (QT3); = LAG (QT5); = LAG (QT7);

PlTL XTBL VXTSJL VXTSS L VXTSEL VXTBUSL VXTBEL VXTKUSL

= LAG (QTS); = LAG (QTl1); = LAG (PIT);

= LAG (XTBRI); = LAG (VXTSJ); = LAG (VXTSS); = LAG (VXTSE); = LAG (VXTBUS); = LAG (VXTBE); = LAG (VXTKUS);

QT2L = LAG (QT2); QT4L = LAG (QT4); QTGL = LAG (QT6); QT8L = LAG (QT8); QTlOL = LAG (QT10); QTTL = LAG (QTT); XTSL = LAG (XTSRI); XTKL = LAG (XTKRI); VXTSUSL = LAG (VXTSUS); = LAG (VXTSE); VXTSEL VXTBJL = LAG (VXTBJ); = LAG (VXTBS); VXTBSL = LAG (VXTKJ); VXTKJL VXTKEL = LAG (VXTKE);


LA1L LA3L LA5L YUTI L YUT3L YUT5L L T IL LT3L LT5L

= LAG (LA1); = LAG (LA3); = LAG (LA5);

QUBL PlUL XUBL VXUSJL VXUSSL VXUBJL VXUBSL VXUKJL VXUKSL RTSJ RTSSP RTBJ RTBSP RTKJ RTKKE

= LAG (QUB);

QTT

=(QT~+QT~+QT~+QT~+QT~+QT~+QT~+QT O~ ++ QQ T q)/g ~ T ~ 000 +QT ;~

DQTB

= QTTBI1000 - XTBRI- CTBK;

DQTK DQTS CTBK

= QTTW1000 XTKRI; = QTT- XTSRI- CTSB + O.1'QTT; = (1.67'QTTK)/1000 + DQTB;

VXTSO

= XTSRl

TKRl

= (VXTKJ + VXTKUS + VXTKE)11000 + DQTK + VXTKO; XTKRl = TKRl +

= LAG (YUTI); = LAG (YUT3); = LAG (YUT5); = LAG (LTI ); = LAG (LT3);

= LAG (LT5); = LAG (PIU); = LAG (XUBRI); = LAG (VXUSJ); = LAG (VXUSS); = LAG (VXUBJ); = LAG (VXUBS); = LAG (VXUKJ); = LAG (VXUKS); = PXTSW - RIPXTSJ ; = PXTSW RlPXTSS ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBJ ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBS ; = PXTKW RIPXTKJ ; = PXTKW RIPXTKE :

-

-

LA2L LA4L LA6L YUT2L YUT4L YUT6L LT2L LT4L LT6L

= LAG (LA2); = LAG (LA4);

QUKL XUSL XUKL VXUSUSL VXUSEL VXUBUSL VXUBEL VXUKUSL VXUKEL RTSUS RTSE RTBUS RTBE RTKUS

= LAG (QUK); = LAG (XUSRI); = LAG (XUKRI); = LAG (VXUSUS); = LAG (VXUSE); = LAG (VXUBUS); = LAG (VXUBE); = LAG (VXUKUS); = LAG (VXUKE); = PXTSW - RIPXTSUS ; = PXTSW - RIPXTSE ; = PXTBW RIPXTBUS ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBE ; = PXTKW - RIPXTKUS ;

-

-

- (VXTSJ + VXTSUS + VXTSS + VXTSE)/1000; VXTBO = XTBRl (VXTBJ + VXTBUS + VXTBS + VXTBE)11000; VXTKO = XTKRl (VXTKJ + VXTKUS + VXTKE)11000;

-

VXTKO; LTT

= LAG (LA6); = LAG (YUT2); = LAG (YUT4); = LAG (YUT6); = LAG (LT2); = LAG (LT4); = LAG (LT6);

= LTI + LT2-t LT3+ LT4+ L T 5 + LT6;

REt'SI-S3 LdoktoriLAM2-SIS. DOC

tampiran 3. Lanjutan

QUDT

= (YUT1 + YUT2 + YUT3 + YUT4 + YUT5 + YUT6)11000; QUDL = (QUTI + QUT2 + QUT3 + QUT4 + QUT5 + QUT6-c QUT7 + QUT8 + QUT9 QUTlO + QUTl1)II 000;

QUS QUSL DQUB DQUK DQUS VXUSO VXUBO VXUKO RUSJ RUSUS RUSS RUSE RUBJ RUBUS RUBS RUBE RUKJ

= QUDT + QUDL; = LAG (QUS); = QUBl1000 - XUBRI - CUBK; = QUKI1000 XUKRI; = QUS - XUSRI- CUSB; = XUSRI - (VXUSJ + VXUSUS + VXUSS + VXUSE)11000; = XUBRI - (VXUBJ + VXUBUS + VXUBS + VXUBE)11000; = XUKRI - (VXUKJ + VXUKUS + VXUKS + VXUKE)11000; = PXUSW - RIPXUSJ ; = PXUSW - RIPXUSUS; = PXUSW - RIPXUSS ; = PXUSW - RIPXUSE ; = PXUBW - RIPXUBJ ; = PXUBW - RIPXUBUS; = PXUBW - RIPXUBS ; = PXUBW - RIPXUBE ; = PXUKW - RIPXUKJ ;

-

RUKUS = PXUKW - RIPXUKUS; RUKS . = PXUKW - RIPXUKS ; RUKE = PXUKW - RIPXUKE ; QTTB = 0.9*CTSB; QTTK = 0.6*CTBK; QUB = 0.6*CUSB; QUK = 0.5'CUBK; QTTBL = LAG (QTTB); QTTKL = LAG (QTTK); NPXTBWRP = NPXTBWE; NPXUBWRP = NPXUBWE; NPXILWRP = NPXILWE; PXTBWRP = NPXTBWRPICPI; PXUBWRP = NPXUBWRPICPI;

+

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan VG4 VG5 VG6 VG7 VG8 VG9 VGlO VGl 1 VGl L VG3L VGSL VG7L

= LAG (VG1); = LAG (VG3); = LAG (VG5); = LAG (VG7);

VG2L VG4L VG6L VGBL

VG9L VGllL

= LAG (VG9);

VGlOL = LAG (VG10);

WG1 WG3 WG5 WG7 WG9 W G I1

= VG1**2;

PDTBl PDlLl COLD CTBKL CUSKL ClTK ClUK NPDTB PDUB PDUBL PDlK

=PXTBWlCPI*E*CPW; PDUBI = PXUBWlCPI*E*CPW; = NPXILWRPICPI; ES = HESICPI; = HCOLDICPI; CTSBL = lag(CTSB); = lag(CTBK); CUSBL = lag(CUSB); = lag(CUBK); ClTB = QTTBlO.9; = QTTKI0.5; ClUB = QUB10.9; = QUtV0.5; RUDX = E*PXI; = NPXTBRI*E*NPIUIRUDX; PDTB = NPDTBICPI; = NPIUICPI; PDTBL = lag(PDTB); = lag(PDUB); PDlL = PDLLl*NPIUIRUDX; = 1/3*PDTB + 113*PDUB + 113"PDIL:

= LAG (VG2); = LAG (VG4); = LAG (VG6); = LAG (VG8);

= LAG (VG11);

= VG3-2;

= VG5**2;

= VG7**2; = VG9"2;

W G 2 =VG2"2; W G 4 = VG4**2; W G 6 = VG6**2; W G 8 = VG8**2; W G l O = VG10**2;

= VG11**2;

RE I'SI-S3idokror\LAMZ-SIS

DOC

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan RINXTS

= VXTSJ*RIPXTSJ+VXTSUS*RIPXTSUS+VXTSS*RIPXTSS+VXTSE*RIPXTSE+ VXTSO*RIPXTSJ;

RINXTB

RINXTK RINXUS

= VXUSJ*RIPXUSJ +VXUSUS * RIPXUSUS +VXUSS'RIPXUSS +VXUSE*RIPXUSE + VXUSO * RIPXUSJ ;

RINXUB

=VXUBJ * RlPXUBJ + VXUBUS * RlPXUBUS + VXUBS * RIPXUBS + VXUBE * RIPXUBE + VXUBO * RlPXUBJ ; =VXUKJ * RIPXUKJ + VXUKUS * RIPXUKUS + VXUKS * RIPXUKS + VXUKE RIPXUKE + VXUKO * RIPXUKJ;

NXTURI

= R1NXTS + RINXTB + RINXTK + RINXUS + RINXUB +RINXUK; = NXTURIIE; = RlNXlK NXTURI ;

RlNXlK RlNMlK

= NXTURI + RIXIL-RINMIK ; = 2*RIXIL*E;

LTO

-

BOTIK RPDQIL

=

PMTSUS PMTSLI PMTBJ PMTKUS PMTKUK PMUSJ PMUBJ PXUBCN PXUSCN PXTBWL PXUBWL XTSO XTBO XTKO

= NXIWCPW; = NMIWCPW;

= LRI - LTL - LTT;

(NXTURI*E +DQTB*PDTB +DQTK*PXTKVV"E +DQTS*PDUB DQUB*PDUB + DQUK*PXUKWE + DQUS*PDUB + RIXIL'E RPDQIL)/I 000000;

= PMTSUSICPW; = PMTSLIICPW; = PMTBJ ICPW; = PMTKUSICPW; = PMTKUWCPW; = PMUSJICPW; = PMUBJICPW; = PXUBCNICPW; = PXUSCNICPW; = LAG(PXTBVV); = LAG(PXUBW);

PMTSJ PMTBUS PMTBLI PMTKFR PMUSUS PMUBUS PXUBTT PXUSTT PXTKWL PXTSWL PXUSWL

= PMTSJ ICPW; = PMTBUSICPW; = PMTBLIICPW; = PMTKFRICPW; = PMUSUSICPW; = PMUBUSICPW; = PXUBTTICPW; = PXUSTTICPW; = LAG(PXTKw); = LAG(PXTSw); = LAG(PXUSw);

= XTSW- XTST- XTSSL- XTSKR- XTSRI; = XTBW- XTBT- XTBSL- XTBKR- XTBRI; = XTKW-XTKTT-XTKJ-XTKPP-XTKSL- XTKRI;

+ +

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan MTSO MTBO MTKO

= MTSW- MTSUS- MTSJ- MTSLI ;

MUSO MUBO XUBO XUSO

= MUSW- MUSUS-MUSJ; = MUBW- MUBUS-MUBJ; = XUBW- XUBIT-XUBCN-XUBRI; = XUSW- XUSTT-XUSCN-XUSRI:

= MTBW- MTBUS- MTBJ- MTBLI ; = MTKW- MTKUS- MTKFR- MTKUK;

MTSUSL = LAG(MTSUS); MTSLlL = LAG(MTSL1); MTBJL = LAG(MTBJ ); MTKUSL = LAG(MTKUS); MTKUKL = LAG(MTKUK); MUSJL = LAG(MUSJ ); MUBJL = LAG(MUBJ); XUBCNL = LAG(XUBCN); XUSCNL = LAG(XUSCN); XTSSLL =LAG(XTSSL); XTBTL =LAG(XTBT ); XTBKRL =LAG(XTBKR); XTKJL =LAG(XTKJ ); XTKSLL =LAG(XTKSL); REPXTSSL = PXTSW - PXTSSL; REPXTBT = PXTBW - PXTBT; REPXTBKR = PXTBW - PXTBKR; = PXTKW - PXTKJ; REPXTKJ REPXTKSL = PXTKW - PXTKSL; REPMTSJ = PXTSW - PMTSJ; REPMTBUS = PXTBW - PMTBUS; REPMTBLI = PXTBW - PMTBLI; REPMTKFR = PXTKW - PMTKFR; REPMUSUS = PXTKW - PMUSUS; REPMUBUS= PXUBW - PMUBUS; REPXUBTT = PXUBW - PXU87T; REPXUST = PXUSW - PXUSTT; XTSW XTBW XTKW XUBW XUSW DQTBL DQTSL

GUTT

MTSJL = LAG(MTSJ); MTBUSL = LAG(MTBUS); MTBLIL = LAG(MTBL1); MTKFRL = LAG(MTKFR); MUSUSL = LAG(MUSUS); MUBUSL = LAG(MUBUS); XUBTTL = LAG(XUBTT); XUSTTL = LAG(XUSTT); XTSTL =LAG(XTST); XTSKRL =LAG(XTSKR); XTBSLL =LAG(XTSSL); XTKTTL =LAG(XTKTT); XTKPPL =LAG(XTKPP); REPXTST = PXTSW - PXTST; REPXTSKR =PXTSW-PXTSKR; REPXTBSL = PXTBW - PXTBSL; REPXTKTT = PXTKW PXTKTT; REPXTKPP = PXTKW - PXTKPP; REPMTSUS = PXTSW - PMTSUS; REPMTSLI = PXTSW - PMTSLI; REPMTBJ = PXTBW - PMTBJ; REPMTKUS = PXTKW - PMTKUS; REPMTKUK = PXTKW - PMTKUK; REPMUSJ = PXUSW - PMUSJ; REPMUBJ = PXUBW - PMUBJ; REPXUBCN = PXUBW - PXUBCN; REPXUSCN = PXUSW - PXUSCN;

-

= XTST+ XTSSL+ XTSKR+ XTSRl + XTSO; = XTBT+ XTBSL+ XTBKR+ XTBRl + XTBO; = XTKTT+XTKJ+XTKPP+XTKSL+ XTKRl + XTKO; = XUBT+XUBCN+XUBRI+XUBO; Y

= XUSTT+XUSCN+XUSRI+XUSO;

= LAG (DQTB); = LAG (DQTS); = GUT4+GUT5+GUT6;

R E V S I - S ~ \ ~ O ~ ~ ~ ~ I L DOC AM~~SIS.

DQTKL = LAG (DQTK); GUTB = GUT1+GUTZ+GUT3; GUT4L=LAG(GUT4);


GUT42L GUlTL GUlT2L GUTL PDlLL PDTB-W PDIL-W GDPSK GDPUKK GUT4P GUT4P2L GUTSL GUT-L PDUBL-L 1-R PDUB-W PDTB-L PDTB-U PMUBUS-U IPXUKUSS PXUBTT-S RIPXTSSJ PDUBL 1-L LT4-L PK2-L J16-L PUS-L PC1-L PSI 1-L PC11-L ES-L ES-C PK1-L PK3-L VG3-C J14-L PU5-L J16-L PU7-L PK7-L QT7L PK8-L PC8-C

=LAG(GUT4L); = LAG(GUlT); = LAG(GUTTL); = LAG(GUT); = LAG(PDIL); = PDTBAN; = PDILNV; = GDPSIPOPS; = GDPUWPOPUK; = GUT4lGUT; = LAG(GUT4PL); = LAG(GUTS); = GUTlL4; = PDILVPDUBL; = I - INF; = PDUBAN; = PDTBIPDIL; = PDTBIPDUB; = PMUBUSIPMUSUS; = RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKS; = PXUBTTlPXUSlT; = RIPXTSSIRIPXTSJ; = lag(PDUB); = LAG(I); = LAG(LT4); = LAG(PK2); = LAG(JI6); = LAG(PU9); = tAG(PC1); =LAG(PS11); =LAG(PClI); =LAG(ES); =ES-ES-L2L; =LAG(PKl); =LAG(PK3); =VG3-VG3L; =LAG(J14); =LAG(PU5); =LAG(JI6); =LAG(PU7); =LAG(PK7); =LAG (QT7); =LAG(PK8); =PC8-PCB-L;

GUTBL = LAG(GUT6); GUTB2L = LAG(GUTBL); GUT = GUTB +GUTT; GUT2L = LAG(GUTL); PDIL-C = PDIL - PDILL; PDUB-W = PDUBNV; GDPJK = GDPJIPOPJ; GDPUSK = GDPUSIPOPUS; IL = LAG(I); GUT4PL = LAG(GUT4P); GUTS = GUT + GUTL; PDUB-L = PDIUPDUB; L8-V = L8NG8; YUT1-R = PDUBILA1; PDUB-L = PDUBIPDIL; PKTW-B = PXTKWIPDTB; PMUBUS-T = PMUBUSIPMTBUS; IPXUKUSJ = RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKJ; IPUKUS-T = RIPXUKUSIRIPXTKUS; PXTBKR-S = PXTBKRIPXTSKR; WPER = W; PDUB-C = PDUB-PDUBL; r-c = I-1-L; LT4-C = LT4-LT4-L; J13-L = LAG(J13); PU8-L = LAG(PU8); PSI-L = LAG(PS1); PS1-L2L =LAG(PSl-L); PSI 1-c =PSI 1-PS11-L; PC11-c =PC11-PC11-L; ES-L2L =LAG(ES-L); PDTB-C =PDTB-PDTBL; PK1-C =PK1-PKl-L; PK3-C =PK3-PK3-L; J14-C =J14-J14-L; PUS-C =PUS-PUS-L; J16-C =J16-J16-L; PU7-C =PU7-PU7-L; PK7-C =PK7-PK7-L; QT7L2L =LAG(QT7L); PC8-L =LAG(PC8); PUB-L =LAG(PU8);


PU8-C J18-C QT8L2L PUS-c PK9-C PSI 0-L PC10-L JllO-C QUT3L QUTIOL PUlO PU10-c PKIO-C PC5 PU6 PK6

=PU8-PUB-L; =J18-J18-L; =LAG(QT8L); =pug-Pug-L; =PK9-PK9-L; =LAG(PSlO); =LAG(PClO); =JllO-J110-L; =LAG (QUT3); =LAG (QUT10); =Pull; =PU1o-PU1o~L; =PK10-PK10-L; = 0.8.PC5; = 0.8*PU6; = 0.8*PK8;

J18-L =LAG(J18); QT8L =LAG (QT8); PUS-L =LAG(PU9); PK9-L =LAG(PK9); J19-L =LAG(JIS); PS10-c =PSlO-PSI 0-L; JllO-L =LAG(JIIO); VG 10-C =VG10-VG 1OL; QUT3L2L =LAG (QUTBL); QUTlOL2L =LAG(QUTl OL); PU10-L =LAG(PUl 0); PKlO-L =LAG(PKlO); PS5 =0.8*PS5; PS6 =0.8*PS6; PC6 =0.8'PC6; J16 =0.8*J16;

PS5-L PUG-L PC9-L PUl-L J I I 1-L J17-L PXTBT-C PXTBKR-C PXUSTT-L PXTKTT-L PXTKTT-C

=LAG(PS5); =LAG(PU6); =LAG(PC9); =LAG(PUl); =LAG(JII 1); =LAG(J17); =PXTBT-PXTBT-L; =PXTBKR-PXTBKR-L; =LAG(PXUSTT); =LAG(PXTKTT); =PXTKTT PXTKTT-L;

PS5-C=PS5-PS5-L; PU6-C=PU6-PU6-L; PC9-C=PC9-PC9-L; PUI_C=PU7 - PUI-L; Jill-C=JI11 - J111-L; PXTBT-L =LAG(PXTBT); PXTBKR-L =LAG(PXTBKR); IPXUSE-L =LAG(RIPXUSE); IPXTBUSR = RIPXTBUSIRIPXTKUS;

-

run; proc syslin 2sls simple data=rnodell; endogenous VG1 VG2 VG3 VG4 VG5 VG6 VG7 VG8 YUTI QUT1 QUDL VG9 VGlO V G l l LTL L1 L2 L3 L4 L5 YUT2 QUT2 QUS L6 L7 L8 L9 L10 L11 QT6 QT7 QT8 YUT3 QUT3 CUSB QT1 QT2 QT3 QT4 QT5 YUT4 QUT4 CUBK QT9 QT10 QT11 QTT YUT5 QUT5 DQUB CTSB CTBK QTTB LT1 QUT6 DQUK DQTB DQTK DQTS XTSRI LT2 QUT7 DQUS VXTSJ VXTSUSVXTSS VXTSE LT3 QUT8 RIPXUSJ RIPXTSJ RIPXTSUS RIPXTSS RIPXTSE LT4 QUT9 RIPXUSUS XTBRI VXTBJ VXTBUS VXTBS VXTBE LT5 QUTIO RIPXUSS RIPXTBJ RIPXTBUS RIPXTBS RIPXTBE LTT QUTI 1 RIPXUSE XTKRI VXTKJ VXTKUS VXTKE QUDT RIPXTKJ XUSRl RIPXTKUS XUBRI RIPXTKE XUKRI VXUSJ VXUSUS VXUSS VXUSE VXUBJ VXUBUS VXUBS VXUBE RIPXUBJ RIPXUBUS

REVSI-S3idokloriLAil.I2-SIS DOC

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan RIPXUBS RIPXUBE VXUKJ VXUKUS VXUKS VXUKE RIPXUKJ RIPXUKUS RIPXUKS RIPXUKE PDTB PDUB RINXIK NXTURI BOTIK LRl GDPAGI RINXTS RINXTB RlNXTK RINXUS RINXUB RlNXUK XTST XTSSLXTSKRXTBTXTBSLXTBKRXTKTTXTKJXTKPPXTKSLMTSUS MTSJ MTSLl MTBUS MTBJ MTBLl MTKUS MTKFR MTKUK MUSUS MUSJ MUBUS MUBJ XUBTT XUBCN XUSTT XUSCN PXTSW PXTBW PXTKW PXUBW PXUSW XTSW XTBW XTKW XUBW XUSW MTSW MTBW MTKW MUSW MUBW PXTST PXTSSL PXTSKR PXTBT PXTBSL PXTBKR PXTKTT PXTKJ PXTKPP PXTKSL PMTSUS PMTSJ PMTSLI PMTBUS PMTBJ PMTBLI PMTKUS PMTKFR PMTKUK PMUSUS PMUSJ PMUBUS PMUBJ PXUBTT PXUBCN PXUSTT PXUSCN QTTK QUB QUK; instruments

W I GWPl GWP2 GWP3 GWP4 GWP5 GWP6 GWP7 GWP8 GWP9 GWPlO GWP11 VGl L VG2L VG3L VG4L VG5L VG6L VG7L VG8L VG9L V G l OL VG11L L1L L2L L3L L4L L5L L6L L 7 t L8L L9L L l OL L l 1L QTl L QT2L QT3L QT4L QT5L QT6L QT7L QT8L QT9L QTlOL Q T l l L GUT1 GUT2 GUT3 GUT4 GUT5 GUT6 B l l 812 813 814 315 B16 LAlL LA2L LA3L tA4L LA5L LA6L YUT1L YUT2L YUT3L YUT4L YUT5L YUT6L LTI L LT2L tT3L LT4L LT5L LT6L QTTBL QTTKL PlTL XTSL E GDPJK VXTSJL GDPUSK VXTSUSL GDPSK VXTSSL GDPUKK VXTSEL XTBL VXTBJL VXTKUSL VXTBSL VXTBEL XTKL VXTKJL VXTKUSL VXTKEL QUBL PlUL QUKL XUSL XUBL XUKL VXUSJL VXUSUSL VXUSSL VXUSEL VXUBJL VXUBUSL VXUBSL VXUBEL QUKTT VXUKJL VXUKUSL VXUKSL VXUKEL PDlL tren PDTBL PDUBL RlXlL QUTlL QUT2L QUT3L QUT4L QUT5L QUT6L QUT7L QUT8L QUT9L QUTlOL Q U T l l L ES COLD PU1 PU2 PU3 PU4 PU5 PU6 PU7 PU8 PU9 PUlO P u l l PK1 PK2 PK3 PK4 PK5 PK6 PK7 PK8 PK9 PK10 PKI 1 PS1 PS2 PS3 PS4 PS5 PS6 PS7 PS8 PS9 PSlO PSI1 JI1 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 JllO JI21 JA1 JA2 JA3 JA4 JA5 JA6 JA7 JA8 JA9 JAIO JA11 PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4 PC5 PC6 PC7 PC8 PC9 PC10 PC11 PRI PR2 PR3 PR4 PR5 PR6 PR7 PR8 PR9 PR10 PRI 1 O T I OT2 OT3 OT4 OT5 OT6 OT7 OT8 OT9 OTlO O T l 1 CIT8 ClTK ClUB ClUK CTSBL CTBKL CUSBL CUSKL REPXTST REPXTSSL REPXTSKR REPXTBT REPXTBSL REPXTBKR REPXTKTT REPXTKJ REPXTKPP REPXTKSL REPMTSUS REPMTSJ REPMTSLI REPMTBUS REPMTBJ REPMTBLI REPMTKUS REPMTKFR REPMTKUK REPMUSUS REPMUSJ REPMUBUS REPMUBJ REPXUBlT REPXUBCN REPXUSTT REPXUSCN MTSUSL MTSJL MTSLIL MTBUSL MTBJL MTBLIL MTKUSL MTKFRL MTKUKL MUSUSL MUSJL MUBUSL MUBJL XUBTTL XUBCNL XUSTTL XUSCNL XTSTL XTSSLL XTSKRL XTBTL XTBSLLXTBKRLXTKTTLXTKJL XTKPPLXTKSLL XTSOXTBOXTKO MTSO MTBO MTKO MUSO MUBO XUBO

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan XUSO QTSJ QTSUS QTST QTSSL QTSKR QTKUS QTKFR QTKTT QTKJ QTKPP QTKSL QUSCN QUSJ QUSUS QUSTT PXTBS PXUKW POPUS GDPUS GUTB GUTT GUTBL GUTTL GUTB2L GUTT2L GUT GUTL GUT2L PDlLL PDTB-W PDUB-W PDIL-W 0 4 D l D2L A1 LA2 LA3 LA4 LA5 LA6 ETT VXTSO VXTBO VXTKO VXUSO VXUBO VXUKO RTSJ RTBJ RTKJ RUSJ RUBJ RUKJ RTSUS RTBUS RTKUS RUSUS RUBUS RUKUS RTSSP RTBSP RTKKE RUSS RUBS RUKS RTSE RTBE RUSE RUBE RUKE GUT4L GUT42L GUT4P GUT4PL GUT4P2L GUTS GUTSL.GUT-L PDUB-L PDUBL-L L8-V I-R YUTI-R PDUB-W PDUB-L PDTB-L PDTB-U PKW-B ERTH PMUBUS-T PMUBUS-U IPXUKUSJ IPXUKUSS PXUBTT-S IPUKUS-T PXTBKR-S RIPXTSSJ WPER ; PVG? : PVG2 : PVG3 : PVG4 : PVG5 : PVG6 : PVG7 : PVG8 : PVG9 : PVG3O: PVGI 1: PLTL : PL1 : PL2 : PL3 : PL4 : PL5 : PL6 : PL7 : PL8 : PL9 : PLIO : PL71 : PQTI : PQT2 : PQT3 : PQT4 : PQT5 : PQT6 : PQT7 : PQT8 : PQT9 : PQT10 :

model VGI = PDTB PDUB-L WPER I GUT VGIUDW; model VG2 = PDTB-U PDIL-C WPER I-C GUTL VG2UDW; model VG3 = PDTB PDUB PDlL WPER I GUTL VG3UDW; model VG4 = PDTB-U PDtL-C WPER I-C GUTIDW; model VG5 = PDTB-U PDIL WPER I-C GUTL VG5UDW; model VG6 = PDTB PDUB-L WPER I GUT VGGWDW; model VG7 = PDT6 PDUB PDtL WPER I GUT2L VG7UDW; model VG8 = PDTBL PDUB-L WPER I GUTL VG8UDW; model VG9 = PDTBL PDUB PDlL L9 I GUTIDW NOINT; model VGlO = PDT6 PDUB-L WPER GUT2L VGlOUDW; model VG11 = PDTBL PDUB-C PDlL WPER I GUTL VG11WDW ; = L1+L2+L3+L4+L5+L6+L7+L8+Lg+LI O+L1T ; identity LTL model L1 = VG1 LIUDW; model L2 =VG2 L2UDW; model L3 =VG3 L3UDW; model L4 =VG4 L4UDW; model L5 =VG5 L5UDW; model L6 =VG6 L6UDW; model L7 =VG7 L7UDW; model L8 = VG8 L8LlDW; model L9 =VG9 L9UDW; model L l 0 = VGIO L1OUDW; = VG11 L11LIDW; model L11 model QT? = VGI W G 1 PSI-L2L PCI-L QT1UDW; model QT2 = VG2 W G 2 PS2 PC2 QT2LlDW; model QT3 = VG3 W G 3 PS3 PC3 QTSUDW; model QT4 = VG4 W G 4 PC4 QT4LIDW; model QT5 = VG5 PC5 J15 QT5UDW; model QT6 = VG6 PS6 PC6 QTGLIDW; model QT7 = VG7 PS7 PC7 QT7LIDW; model QT8 = VG8 PS8 PC8-C QTSUDW; model QT9 = VG9 PS9 PC9-C QT9LIDW NOINT; model QT10 = VGlO W G l O PSl O-C PC10-L QTIOUDW;

R E t'SI_S3ldoktor\LAM2-SIS. DOC

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan PQTl1: model Q T l 1 = VG11 PSI 1-L PC11-L QT11UDW; PQTT : identity QTT = QTT ; PCTSB: model CTSB = PDTB ES-C COLD CTSBUDW ; PCTSK: model CTBK = PXTKW PDTB-C ES COLD TREN CTBKUDW; QTTB : identity QTTB = QTTB +O; Q l T K : identity QTTK = QTTK +O; PDQTB: identity DQTB = DQTB+O; PDQTK: identity DQTK = DQTK+O; PDQTS: identity DQTS = DQTS+O ; PPDTB: model PDTB = E PXTBW DQTB PDTBUdw ; PVXTSJ . model VXTSJ = RIPXTSJ RIPXTSUS GDPJK PXTST QTTIDW; PVXTSUS . model VXTSUS = RIPXTSUS RIPXTSS GDPUSK PXTST QTTIDW. PVXTSS :model VXTSS = RIPXTSSJ PXTST PXTSKR GDPSK QTT E VXTSSUDW NOINT; PVXTSE : model VXTSE = RIPXTSE RIPXTSJ GDPUKK PXTST PXTSLl QTT/DW; PXTS : IDENTITY XTSRl = VXTSJ + VXTSUS + VXTSS+ VXTSE+VXTSO; PXTST PXTSSL PXTSKR PXTSW

: Model : Model : Model : identity

XTST = PXTST QTST XTSTL IDW, XTSSL = PXTSSL QTSSL XTSSLUDW; XTSKR = PXTSKR XTSKRUDW; XTSW = XTSW + 0;

PMTSUS PMTSJ PMTSLI PMTSW

: Model QTSUS : Model : Model : identity

MTSUS = PMTSUS PMTKUS PMUSUS PMUBUS GDPUSK MTSUSUdw ; MTSJ = PMTSJ PMUBJ GDPJK QTSJ MTSJUdw ; MTSLl = PMTSLI MTSLIUdw ; MTSW = MTSUS+ MTSJ+ MTSLl + MTSO ;

PRIPXTSJ PIPXTSUS PIPXTSSP PRIPXTSE

: : : :

RIPXTSJ = PXTSW - RTSJ ; RIPXTSUS = PXTSW - RTSUS ; RIPXTSS = PXTSW - RTSSP ; RIPXTSE = PXTSW - RTSE ;

PPXTST

: identity PXTST = PXTSW -

PPXTSSL

: identity PXTSSL = PXTSW - REPXTSSL ;

PPXTSKR

: identity PXTSKR = PXTSW - REPXTSKR ;

PPMTSUS

: identity PMTSUS = PXTSW

PPMTSJ

: identity PMTSJ = PXTSW - REPMTSJ ;

PPMTSLI

: identity PMTSLI = PXTSW - REPMTSLI ;

identity identity identity identity

REPXTST ;

-

REPMTSUS ;

Larnpiran 3. Lanjutan PWPXTSW

: Model PXTSW = MTSW XTSW PXTSWUDW;

PVXTBJ

PXTB

: model VXTBJ = RIPXTBJ RIPXTBE GDPJK PXTBT PXTBKR QTTB VXTBJ UDW; : model VXTBUS = IPXTBUSR PXTKlT-C D6 QlTB PXTBSL PXTKPP VXTBUSUDW NOINT; : model VXTBS = RIPXTBS RIPXTBJ PXTBT-L PXTBKR-L 0 5 QTTBIDW; : model VXTBE = RlPXTBE RIPXTB3 RlPXTBS GDPUKK PXTBKR PXTBSL Q T B VXTBEUDW; : IDENTITY XTBRl = VXTBJ+VXTBUS+VXTBS+VXTBE+ VXTBO;

PXTBT PXTBSL PXTBKR PXTBW PMTBUS

: Model : Model : Model : identity : Model

PMTBJ PMTBLI PMTBW PRIPXTBJ PIPXTBUS PRlPXTBS PRt PXTBE PPXTBT

: Model : Model : identity : identity : identity : identity : identity : identity

PPXTBSL

:

PPXTBKR

: identity PXTBKR = PXTBW - REPXTBKR ;

PPMTBUS

: identity PMTBUS = PXTBW - REPMTBUS ;

PVXTBUS PVXTBS PVXTBE

XTBT = PXTBT QTST XTBTUDW; XTBSL = PXTBSL QTSSL XTBSLUDW; XTBKR = PXTBKR-S QTSKR XTBKRUDW NOINT; XTBW = XTBW + 0; MTBUS = PMTBUS PMTKUS PMUBUS GDPUSK QTSUS MTBUSUDW ; MTBJ = PMTBJ PMUBJ GDPJK QTSJ MTBJLIDW; MTBLI = PMTBLI MTBLlUdw; MTBW = MTBUS+ MTBJ+ MTBLI + MTBO ; RIPXTBJ = PXTBW - RTBJ ; RIPXTBUS = PXTBW - RTBUS ; RIPXTBS = PXTBW - RTBSP ; RIPXTBE = PXTBW - RTBE ; PXTBT = PXTBW - REPXTBT ;

identity PXTBSL = PXTBW

-

REPXTBSL ;

identity PMTBJ = PXTBW - REPMTBJ ; identity PMTBLI = PXTBW - REPMTBLI : PWPXTBW

: Model PXTBW = MTBW XTBW PXTBWUDW;

PVXTKJ PVXTKUS

: model VXTKJ = RIPXTKJ GDPJK PXTKlT QTTK QTKJ VXTKEIDW; : model VXTKUS = RIPXTKUS RIPXTKE GDPUSK PXTKTT PXTKSL QTTK VXTKUSUDW;

REI'SI-S3\dokforlLAM2-SlS.DOC

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan PVXTKE

: model VXTKE = RIPXTKE GDPUKK PXTKTT

PXTKPP

PXTKSL

QTTK VXTKEUDW; PXTK

: IDENTIN XTKRI

= VXTKJ + VXTKUS + VXTKE + VXTKO;

PXTKTT PXTKJ PXTKPP PXTKSL PXTKW PMTKUS

: Model : Model : Model : Model : identity : Model

= PXTKTT QTKTT XTKTTUDW;

PMTKFR PMTKUK PMTKW PRIPXTKJ PIPXTKUS PRIPXTKE PPXTKTT PPXTKJ PPXTKPP PPXTKSL PPMTKUS PPMTKFR PPMTKUK PWPXTKW

:

PYUTI PYUT2 PYUT3 PYUT4 PYUT5 PQUDT

: Model : Model : Model : Model : Model : identity

PLT? PLT2 PLT3 PLT4 PLT5 PLTT PQUTI PQUT2 PQUT3 PQUT4 PQUT5

: Model

: : : : :

: :

: : : : : :

X T K ~ XTKJ XTKPP XTKSL XTKW MTKUS

= PXTKJ QTKJ XTKJUDW; = PXTKPP QTKPP XTKPPUDW; = PXTKSL QTKSL XTKSLUDW; = XTKW + 0; = PMTKUS PMTBUS PMUBUS GDPUSK MTKUSUDW; Model MTKFR = PMTKFR VXTKFRIDW; Model MTKUK = PMTKUK GDPUKK MTKUKUDW; identity MTKW = MTKUS+ MTKFR+ MTKUK + MTKO ; identity RIPXTKJ = PXTKW - RTKJ ; identity RIPXTKUS = PXTKW - RTKUS; identity RIPXTKE = PXTKW - RTKKE; identity PXTKTT = PXTKW - REPXTKTT ; identity PXTKJ = PXTKW- REPXTKJ ; identity PXTKPP = PXTKW - REPXTKPP ; identity PXTKSL = PXTKW - REPXTKSL ; identity PMTKUS = PXTKW REPMTKUS ; identity PMTKFR = PXTKW - REPMTKFR ; identity PMTKUK = PXTKW - REPMTKUK ; Model PXTKW = MTKW XTKW PXTKWUDW;

-

YUTI = PDUB-L I-C LT1 B l l GUTL LAIIDW; YUT2 = PDUB I PDlL LT2 812 GUT LA2 YUT2LlDW; YUT3 = PDUB PDlL 813 GUTL LA3 YUT3UDW; YUT4 = PDUB-C I LT4-C B14 GUT2L LA4IDW; YUT5 = PDUB I-R PDlL LT5 B15 GUT LA5 YUT5UDW; QUDT = QUDT+O;

LT1 = YUTI PDUB-W TRENIDW NOINT; : Model LT2 = YUT2 PDUB-W LT2LIDW NOINT; : Model LT3 = YUT3 PDUB-W LT3UDW NOINT; : Model LT4 = YUT4 PDUB W LT4UDW; : Model LT5 = YUT5 PDUB-W LT5UDW NOINT; : identity L'TT = LTT +O; : Model QUT1 = VG1 PUI-C PKI-L Jl1 QUTIUDW; : Model QUT2 = VG2 W G 2 PU2 PK2-L J12lDW; : Model QUT3 = VG3 PU3 PK3 J13-L QUT3LIDW; : Model QUT4 = VG4 W G 4 PU4 PK4 J14-C QUT4LIDW NOINT; : Model QUT5 = VG5 W G 5 PUS-C PK5 J15IDW;

Lampiran 3. Lanjutan PQUT6 PQUT7 PQUTB PQUT9 PQUTlO PQUTl1

: Model QUT6 = VG6 PU6 PK6 J16-G IDW; : Model QUT7 = VG7 W G 7 PUT-C PK7-C J17 QUTi'UDW; : Model QUT8 = VG8 PU8-L PK8 518 QUTBUDW; : Model QUT9 = VG9 PK9-L J19 QUT9UDW NOINT; : Model QUT10 = VGlO PKlO-UDW; : Model QUTI 1 = VG11 P u l l PK11 QUTl1UDW;

PQUDC: identity QUDL = QUDL+O; PQUS PCUB PCUK QUB QUK PDQUB PDQUK PDQUS PPDUB

: identity QUS = QUS+O; : Model CUSB = PDUB ES COLD CUSBUDW; Model CUBK = PDUB PXUKW ES-L COLD I CUSKLIDW; identity QUB = QUB +O; identity QUK = QUK +0, identity DQUB = DQUB+O; : identity DQUK = DQUK+O; : identity DQUS = DQUS+O; : model PDUB = E PXUBW DQUB PDUBL ;

: : : :

PMUSJ PMUSW PRIPXUSJ PIPXUSUS PRIPXUSS PRIPXUSE PPXUSTT PPXUSCN

: Model VXUSJ = RIPXUSJ RIPXUSE GDPJK QUS PXUSTT PXUSCNIDW ; : Model VXUSUS = RIPXUSUS RIPXUSE GDPUSK QUS PXUSTT PXUSCN VXUSUSUDW; : Model VXUSS = RIPXUSS RIPXUSJ RIPXUSE GDPSK QUS PXUSTT PXUSCNIDW NOINT; : Model VXUSE = RIPXUSE RIPXUSJ RIPXUSS RIPXUSUS VXUSJ PXUSlT QUS GDPUKK VXUSEUDW; : IDENTITY XUSRl = VXUSJ + VXUSUS + VXUSS + VXUSE + VXUSO; : Model XUSTT = PXUSTT QUSTT XUSTTUDW; : Model XUSCN = PXUSCN QUSCN XUSCNUDW; : identity XUSW = XUSW + 0; : Model MUSUS = PMUSUS PMUBUS QUSUS GDPUSK MUSUSUDW; : Model MUSJ = PMUSJ PMTSJ GDPJK QUSJ MUSJUDW; : identity MUSW = MUSUS+MUSJ+MUSO; : identity RIPXUSJ = PXUSW - RUSJ ; : identity RIPXUSUS = PXUSW - RUSUS ; : identity RIPXUSS = PXUSW - RUSS ; : identity RIPXUSE = PXUSW - RUSE ; : identity PXUSTT = PXUSW - REPXUSTT ; : identity PXUSCN = PXUSW - REPXUSCN ;

PPMUSUS PPMUSJ PWPXUSW

: identity PMUSUS = PXTKW - REPMUSUS ; : identity PMUSJ = PXUSW - REPMUSJ ; : Model PXUSW = MUSW XUSWIDW;

PVXUSJ PVXUSUS PVXUSS PVXUSE PXUSRI PXUSTT PXUSCN PXUSW PMUSUS

REVS!-S3 ldokror1LA h/22SIS DOC


PVXUBJ

: Model VXUBJ

= RIPXUBJ RIPXUBE GDPJKPXUBTT PXUBCN

PVXUBUS

: Model VXUBUS

= RIPXUBUS RIPXUBJ

QUBIDW ; PVXUBS PVXUBE PXUBRI PXUBTT PXUBCN PXUSW

RIPXUBS QUB PXUBTT GDPUSK VXUBUSUDW ; : Model VXUBS = RIPXUBS RIPXUBJ RIPXUBE GDPSK PXUBIT Q U 3 VXUBSUDW ; : Model VXUBE = RIPXUBE RIPXUBUS PXUDIN QUB PXUBCN GDPUKWDW ; : IDENTITY XUBRl = VXUBJ + VXUBUS + VXUBS + VXUBE + VXUBO; : Model XUBTT = PXUBTT-S QUSTT XUBTTUDW; : Model XUBCN = PXUBCN QUSCN XUBCNUDW; : identity XUBW = XUBW + 0;

= PMUBUS-T PMUBUS-U GDPUSK POPUSIDW; : Model MUBJ =PMUBJ PMTSJ PMUSJ GDPJK QUSJ MUBJUDW; : identity MUBW = MUBUS+MUBJ+MUBO; : identity RIPXUBJ = PXUBW - RUBJ ; : identity RIPXUBUS = PXUBW RUBUS ; : identity RIPXUBS = PXUBW - RUBS ; : identity RIPXUBE = PXUBW - RUBE ; : identity PXUBlT = PXUBW - REPXUBTT ; : identity PXUBCN = PXUBW - REPXUBCN ; : identity PMUBUS = PXUBW - REPMUBUS ; : identity PMUBJ = PXUBW REPMUBJ ; : Model PXUBW = MUBW XUBW PXUBWUDW;

PMUBUS PMUBJ PMUBW PRIPXUBJ PIPXUBUS PRIPXUBS PRIPXUBE PPXUBTT PPXUBCN PPMUBUS PPMUBJ PWPXUBW

: Model MUBUS

PVXUKJ

: Model VXUKJ

= RIPXUKJ RIPXUKUS RIPXUKS GDPJK

PXUKRI PRIPXUKJ PIPXUKUS PRIPXUKS PRIPXUKE

QUK VXUKJUDW ; : Model VXUKUS = LPXUKUSJ IPUKUSJ QUK E GDPUS VXUKUSUDW NOINT ; : Model VXUKS = RIPXUKS RIPXUKJ RIPXUKUS GDPSK QUK VXUKSUDW ; : Model VXUKE = RIPXUKE RIPXUKJ RIPXUKS QUK GDPUKWDW; = VXUKJ + VXUKUS + VXUKS + VXUKE + VXUKO; : IDENTITY XUKRl : identity RIPXUKJ = PXUKW - RUKJ ; : identity RIPXUKUS= PXUKW - RUKUS ; : identity RlPXUKS = PXUKW - RUKS ; : identity RIPXUKE = PXUKW - RUKE ;

PRINXTS PRINXTB PRINXTK PRINXUS PRINXUB

: identity : identity : identity : identity : identity

= RINXTS + 0; = RINXTB + 0; = RINXTK + 0; = RINXUS + 0; = RINXUB + 0;

PVXUKUS PVXUKS PVXUKE

-

-

RINXTS RINXTB RINXTK RINXUS RINXUB


PRlNXUK PNXTURI PRlNXlK PBOTIK PGDPUT PLRl RUN;

: identity RINXUK : identity NXTURI : identity RlNXlK : identity BOTlK : identity GDPAGt : identity LRI

= RINXUK + 0; = NXTURI + 0; = NXTURI + RIXIL; = BOTIK + 0; = GDPAGI +O; = LTL + LTT + LTO;

Lampiran 4. Program Komputer Validasi Model Ekonorni Perikanan Indonesia

Title 'Soepantol'; data model1; set prodangl prodang2 alatl alat2 alat3 alat4 alat5 alate alat7 alat8 alat9 alatlO alatf 1 alatl2 alatl3 alatl4 perahul perahu2 tempell tempel2 motor1 motor2 motor3 motor4 motor5 motor6 motor7 motor8 anggarl anggar2 protunl protun2 labor1 labor2 sifter1 protun3 ekstunl Eksbek eksgar eksleng Harga? Harga2 Harga3 Harga4 Harga5 Harga6 Harga7 Harga8 Harga9 POPU GDP luastam prudtam produd benih angrikekdang eksudl eksud2 eksud3 harudl harud2 harud3 saing tanitam hargdu sektor riil tumbuh endol endo2 endo3 end04 end05 end06 endo7 endo8 end09 end010 endol I; by year; data merge model1; E PXUBW PXUKW PXTBW QUTl L QUT3L QUT5L QUT7L QUT9L QUTI I L CTSB CUSB GWP2 GWP4 GWP6 GWP8 GWPIO PIT PIL RPEKS PXTBJ PXTBS PXTBPP PXTBRI PXTBB PXTKTT PXTKGL PXTKPP PXTKF PXTKMR PXTKRI PXTKE PXTSF

= ERIICPI; = NPXUBWICPW; = NPXUKWICPW; = NPXTBWICPW; = LAG (QUT3 ); = LAG (QUTS ); = LAG (QUT5 ); = LAG (QUT7 ); = LAG (QUTQ ); = LAG (QUTI 1); = (1.0526*QTTB)II 000; = (2*QUB)llOOO; = NGWP2lCPt; = NGWP4lCPI; = NGWPGICPI; = NGWP8lCPI; = NGWPI OICPI; = NPITICPI: = NPIUCPI; = NNEKTICPI; = NPXTBJICPW; = NPXTBSICPW; = NPXTBPP/CPW; = NPXTBRIICPW; = NPXTBBICPW; = NPXTKTTICPW; = NPXTKGLICPW; = NPXTKPPICPW; = NPXTKFKPW; = NPXTKMRICPW; = NPXTKRIICPW; = NPXTKEICPW; = NPXTSFICPW;

ERTH PXUSW PXTKW PXTSW QUT2L QUT4L QUTGL QUT8L QUTl OL CTBK CUBK GWPI GWP3 GWP5 GWP7 GWP9 GWPI 1 PIU W PXTBKR PXTBF PXTBSL PXTBG PXTBV PXTBT PXTKJ PXTKC PXTKSL PXTKPG PXTKLI PXTKM PXTSBG PXTSKR

= ERTHICPW; = NPXUSW/CPW;

= NPXTKWtCPW; = NPXTSWICPW; = LAG (QUT2 ); = LAG (QUT4 ); = LAG (QUT6 ); = LAG (QUT8 ); = LAG (QUT10); = (1.67*Q~K)11000; = ( I .67*QUK)/1000; = NGWPIICPI; = NGWP3lCPl; = NGWP5lCPI; = NGWP7ICPI; = NGWP9lCPI; = NGWPI IICPI; = NPIUICPI; = NW/CPI; = NPXTBKRICPW; = NPXTBFICPW; = NPXTBSLICPW; = NPXTBGICPW; = NPXTBVfCPW; = NPXTBTICPW; = NPXTKJICPW; = NPXTKCICPW; = NPXTKSLICPW; = NPXTKPGICPW; = NPXTKLIICPW; = NPXTKMICPW; = NPXTSBGICPW; = NPXTSKREPW;

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan PXTSLI PXTSM PXTST PXTKW PXTSW RlPXTSUS RIPXTSH RIPXTBJ RIPXTBS RIPXTBE RIPXTKUS RIPXTKH GDPJ GDPUS GUT1 GUT3 GUT5 NEKUD RIPXUBUS RIPXUBH RIPXUSJ RIPXUSS RIPXUSE RIPXUKUS RIPXUKH PXUDl-r PXUDCN PXUBW PXUKW PDBP VIIL V12L V14L V16L V18L VllOL V21L V23L V25L V27L V29L V211L V32L V34L

= NPXTSLIICPW; = NPXTSMICPW; = NPXTSTICPW; = PXTKW; = PXTSW; = NIPXTSUSICPWCP!; = NRIPXTSHICPWCPI; = NRIPXTBJtCPWCPI; = NRIPXTBSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTBEICPWCPI; = NIPXTKUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKHICPW*CPI; = NGDPJICPW; = NGDPUSICPW; = NGUTIICPI; = NGUTSICPI; = NGUTSICPI; = NNEKUDICPI; = NIPXUBUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUBHICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSJICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSEICPWCPI; = NIPXUKUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKHICPWCPI; = NPXUDTTICPW ; = NPXUDCNtCPW; = PXUBW; = NPXUKW; = NPDBPICPI; = LAG (V11); = LAG (V12); = LAG (V14); = LAG (VI6); = LAG (V18); = LAG (V110); = LAG (V21); = LAG (V23); = LAG (V25); = LAG (V27); = LAG (V29); = LAG (V211); = LAG (V32); = LAG (V34);

PXTSJ PXTSSL PXTSUS PXTBW RlPXTSJ RIPXTSS RIPXTSE RIPXTBUS RIPXTBH RIPXTKJ RlPXTKS RIPXTKE GDPS GDPUK GUT2 GUT4 GUT6 RIPXUBJ RIPXUBS RIPXUBE RIPXUSUS RIPXUSH RIPXUKJ R1PXUKS R1PXUKE PXUDIN PXUDUS PXUSW PDBIK PDBRl V13L V15L V17L V19L VlllL V22L V24L V26L V28L V210L V31L V33L V35L

= NPXTSJICPW; = NPXTSSUCPW; = NPXTSUSICPW;

= PXTBW; = NRIPXTSJICPWCPI; = NRIPXTSSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTSEICPWCPI; = NIPXTBUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTBHICPWCPI;

= NRIPXTKJICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKSICPWCPI; = NRIPXTKEICPWCPI; = NGDPSICPW; = NGDPUWCPW; = NGUT2ICPl; = NGUT4lCPI; = NGUTGICPI; = NRIPXUBJICPWCPI; = NRIPXUBSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUBEICPWCPI; = NIPXUSUSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUSHICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKJICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKSICPWCPI; = NRIPXUKEICPWCPI; = NPXUDINICPW; = NPXUDUSICPW; = PXUSW; = NPDBIWCPI; = NPDBRIICPI;

= LAG (V13); = LAG 0115); = LAG (V17); = LAG (V19): =LAG (V111); = LAG 0122); = LAG 0124); = LAG (V26); = LAG (V28); = LAG (V210); = LAG (V31); = LAG (V33); = LAG (V35);


= LAG (V36); = LAG (V38); = LAG 01310); = LAG (V41); = LAG (V43); = LAG (V45); = LAG (V47); = LAG (V49); = LAG (V411); = LAG (V52); = LAG (V54); = LAG (V56); = LAG (V58); = LAG (V510); = LAG (V61); = LAG (V63); = LAG (V65); = LAG (V67); = LAG (V69); = LAG (V6I 1); = LAG (V72); = LAG (V74); = LAG (V76); = LAG (V78); = LAG 0/710); = v11**2; = V31**2; = V51**2; = V71**2; = v22**2; = V42**2; = V62**2; = V13**2; = V33**2; = V53**2; = V73**2; = V24**2; = V44**2; = V64**2; = V15**2; = V35**2; = V55**2; = V75**2;

V37L = LAG 0137); V39L = LAG (V39); V311L = LAG (V311); V42L = LAG (V42); V44L = LAG (V44); V46L = LAG 0146); V48L =LAG 0148); V410L = LAG (V410); V51L = LAG (VS?); V53L = LAG 0153); V55L = LAG (V55); V57L =LAG (V57); V59L = LAG (V59); V511L =LAG (V511); V62L = LAG (V62); V64L = LAG (V64); V66L = LAG (V66); V68L = LAG (V68); V6lOL = LAG (V610); V71L =LAG(V71); V73L = LAG (V73); V75L = LAG 0175); V77L =LAG (v77); V79L =LAG (v79); V711L = LAG (V711); v2v21 = v21-2; V2V41 = V41**2; V2V61 = V6In*2; v2v12 = v12**2; V2V32 = V32**2; V2V52 = V52**2; V2V72 = V72**2; V2V23 = V23**2; V2V43 = V43**2; V2V63 = V63*'2; V2V14 = V14**2; V2V34 = V34**2; V2V54 = V54**2; V2V74 = V74**2; V2V25 = V25-2; V2V45 = V45**2; V2V65 = V65**2; V2V16 = V16**2;


V2V26 V2V46 V2V66 v2v17 V2V37 V2V57 v2V77 V2V28 V2V48 V2V68 V2V19 V2V39 V2V59 v2V79 v2v210 V2V4 10 V2V6 10 V2Vl II V2V311 V2V511 V2V711 L2L L4L L6L LBL LIOL

= V26**2; = V46**2; = V66**2; = V17*'2; = V37**2;

= V57**2; = V77**2; = V28**2; = V48"*2;

= V68**2; = V19**2; = V39**2; = V59**2; = V79**2; = v 2 10**2; = v41 o*-2; = V610**2; = v111*=2; = V311**2; = V51Ie*2; = V711*'2; = LAG (L2); = LAG (L4); = LAG (L6); = LAG (L8); = LAG (L10);

V2V36 = V36**2; V2V56 = V56**2; V2W6 = V76**2; V2V27 = V27**2; V2V47 = V47**2; V2V67 = V67**2; V2V18 = V18**2; V2V38 = V38**2; V2V58 = V58**2; V2V78 = V78**2; V2V29 = V29**2; V2V49 = V49**2; V2V69 = V69**2; v 2 v 1 Io= v110**2; V2V31O= V310*'2; V2V51O= V510**2; V2V71O= V710**2; v2v211= v211**2; V2V411= V411**2; V2V611= V611**2; LIL = LAG (LI); L3L = LAG (L3); L5L = LAG (L5); L7L = LAG (L7); L9L = LAG (L9); L11L =LAG (L11);

LTL

= Ll+L2+L3+L4+L5+L6+L7+L8+L9+LIO+Lll;

QTlL QT3L QT5L QT7L QT9L QT11L

= LAG (QTI); = LAG (QT3); = LAG (QT5); = LAG (QT7); = LAG (QT9); = LAG (QT1I ) ;

QT2L = LAG (QT2); QT4L = LAG (QT4); QT6L = LAG (QT6); QT8L = LAG (QT8); QT1OL = LAG (QT7 0); QTTL = LAG (QTT);

PlTL XTBL VXTSJL VXTSSL VXTSEL VXTBUSL VXTBEL VXTKUSL

= LAG (PIT); = LAG (XTBRI); = LAG (VXTSJ); = LAG (VXTSS); = LAG (VXTSE); = LAG (VXTBUS); = LAG (VXTBE); = LAG (VXTKUS);

XTSL = LAG (XTSRI); XTKL = LAG (XTKRI); VXTSUSL = LAG (VXTSUS); VXTSEL = LAG (VXTSE); VXTBJL = LAG (VXT8J); VXTBSL = LAG (VXTBS); = LAG (VXTKJ); VXTKJL VXTKEL = LAG (VXTKE);


LA1L LA3L iA5L YUTl L YUT3L YUT5L LTlL LT3L LTSL

= LAG (LA1); = LAG (LA3); = LAG (LAS); = LAG (YUTl); = LAG-(YUT3); = LAG (YUT5); = LAG (LT1); = LAG (LT3); = LAG (LT5);

LA2L LA4L LA6L YUT2L YUT4L YUT6L LTZL LT4L LT6L

QUBL PIUL XUBL VXUSJL VXUSSL VXUBJL VXUBSL VXUKJL VXUKSL RTSJ RTSSP RTBJ RTBSP RTKJ RTKKE

= LAG (QUB);

QUKL XUSL XUKL VXUSUSL VXUSEL VXUBUSL VXUBEL VXUKUSL VXUKEL RTSUS RTSE RTBUS RTBE RTKUS

Q n

= = = = =

LAG (PIU); LAG (XUBRI); LAG (VXUSJ); LAG (VXUSS); LAG (VXUBJ); = LAG (VXUBS); = LAG (VXUKJ); = LAG (VXUKS); = PXTSW - RIPXTSJ ; = PXTSW - RIPXTSS ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBJ ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBS ; = PXTKW - RIPXTKJ ; = PXTKW - RIPXTKE ;

= LAG (LA2); = LAG (LA4); = LAG (LA6); = LAG (YUT2); = LAG (YUT4); = LAG (YUT6); = LAG (LT2); = LAG (LT4); = LAG (LT6);

- = LAG (QUK); = LAG (XUSRI);

= LAG (XUKRI); = LAG (VXUSUS); = LAG (VXUSE); = LAG (VXUBUS); = LAG (VXUBE); = LAG (VXUKUS); = LAG (VXUKE); = PXTSW - RlPXTSUS ; = PXTSW- RIPXTSE ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBUS ; = PXTBW - RIPXTBE ; = PXTKW - RIPXTKUS :

+ Q T ~ + Q T ~ + Q T ~ + Q T ~ + Q T ~ + Q T ~ + Q T ~O ++QQTT~1 ~+ )/A Q000 T ~ ;+ Q T ~

DQTB

= QTTB/1000 - XTBRI- CTBK;

DQTK

= QTTK/1000 - XTKRI:

DQTS

= QTT- XTSRI- CTSB + O.l'Ql-l-;

CTBK

= (1.67'QTTK)11000 + DQTB;

VXTSO

= XTSRl

TKRl

= (VXTKJ + VXTKUS + VXTKE)/1000 + DQTK + VXTKO; XTKRl = TKRl +

-

(VXTSJ + VXTSUS + VXTSS + VXTSE)/T000; VXTBO = XTBRI(VXTBJ + VXTBUS + VXTBS + VXTBE)/1000; VXTKO = XTKRI - (VXTKJ + VXTKUS + VXTKE)11000; VXTKO;

LTT

= LT1 + L T Z + L T 3 + L T 4 + L T 5 + LT6;


QUDT

= (YUT1 + YUT2 + YUT3 + YUT4 + YUTS

QUS QUSL DQUB DQUK DQUS VXUSO

= QUDT + QUDL; = LAG (QUS); = QUB11000 - XUBRI- CUBK; = QUWlOOO - XUKRI; = QUS - XUSRI- CUSB;

RUSUS RUSS RUSE RUBJ RUBUS RUBS RUBE RUKJ

+ YUT6)13000; QUDL = (QUT1 + OUT2 + QUT3 + QUT4 + QUT5 + QUT6+ QUT7 + QUT8 + QUT9 + QUTlO + QUTI 1)/I 000;

= XUSRI - (VXUSJ + VXUSUS + VXUSS + VXUSE)11000; VXUBO = XUBRI (VXUBJ + VXUBUS + VXUBS + VXUBE)11000; VXUKO = XUKRI- (VXUKJ + VXUKUS + VXUKS + VXUKE)11000; RUSJ = PXUSW - RIPXUSJ ; = PXUSW - RIPXUSUS; = PXUSW - RlPXUSS ; = PXUSW - RIPXUSE ; = PXUBW - RIPXUBJ ; = PXUBW - RIPXUBUS; = PXUBW - RIPXUBS ; = PXUBW - RIPXUBE ; = PXUKW - RIPXUKJ ;

RUKUS = PXUKW - RIPXUKUS; RUKS = PXUKW - RIPXUKS ; RUKE = PXUKW - RIPXUKE ; QTTB = 0.9'CTSB; QTTK = 0.6*CTBK; QUB = O.G*CUSB; QUK = 0.5*CUBK; QTTBL = LAG (QTTB); QTTKL = LAG (QTTK); NPXTBWRP= NPXTBWE; NPXUBWRP= NPXUBWE; NPXILWRP = NPXILWE; PXTBWRP = NPXTBWRPICPI; PXUBWRP = NPXUBWRPICPI; PXILWRP VG 1 VG2 VG3

= NPXILWRPICPI; = 31120*V11 + 8/120*V21 + 201120*V31 + 60/120fV41 + V51 + 200/120*V61 + 4001120*V71; = 3/120*V12 + 8/120*V22 + 20/120*V32 + 60/12O*V42 + V52 + 200/120*V62 + 4001120*v72; = 31120*V13 + 81120'V23 + 201120*V33 +60/120*V43 + V53 + 2001120*V63 + 4001120*V73;


VG4 VG5 VG6 VG7 VG8 VG9 VGlO VG11 VGl L VG3L VG5L VG7L

= LAG (VG1);

VG9L VGllL

= LAG (VG9); = LAG (VG11);

VG1OL = LAG (VG10);

WG1 WG3 WG5 WG7 WG9 WGl1

= VG1-2;

WG2 WG4 WG6 WG8 WGlO

PDTBl PDlLl COLD CTBKL CUSKL ClTK ClUK NPDTB PDUB PDUBL PD1K

=PXTBW/CPI*E*CPW; PDUBl = PXUBWICPIaE*CPW; = NPXILWRPICPI; ES = HESICPI; = HCOLDICPI; CTSBL = lag(CTSB); = lag(CTBK); CUSBL = lag(CUSB); = lag(CUBK); ClTB = QTTB10.9; = QTTWO.5; ClUB = QUBIO.9; = QUK/O.5; RUDX = E*PXI; = NPXTBRI*E*NPIUIRUDX; PDTB = NPDTBICPI; = NPIUICPI; PDTBL = lag(PDTB); = lag(PDUB); PDlL = PDILl*NPIUIRUDX; = 113'PDTB + 113*PDUB + 113'PDtL;

= LAG (VG3); = LAG (VGS); = LAG (VG7);

= VG3**2; = VG5**2; = VG7**2; = VG9**2; = VGA 1**2;

VG2L = LAG (VG2); VG4L = LAG (VG4); VG6L = LAG (VG6); VG8L = LAG (VG8);

=VG2**2; = VG4**2; = VG6**2; = VG8**2; = VG10**2;


= VXTSJ*RiPXTSJ+VXTSUS*RIPXTSUS+VXTSS*RIPXTSS+VXTSE*RlPXTSE+

~

VXTSO*RIPXTSJ ; RINXTB

= VXTBJ'RIPXTBJ+VXTBUS*RIPXTBUS+VXTBSfRIPXTBS+VXTBE*RIPXTBE+ VXTBO*RIPXTBJ;

RINXTK

= VXTKJ*RIPXTKJ+VXTKUS*RIPXTKUS+VXTKE*RIPXTKE+VXTKO*RIPXTKJ

RINXUS

= VXUSJ'RIPXUSJ +VXUSUS * RIPXUSUS +VXUSS*RIPXUSS +VXUSE*RIPXUSE + VXUSO * RIPXUSJ ;

RINXUB

= VXUBJ * RIPXUBJ + VXUBUS * RIPXUBUS + VXUBS * RIPXUBS + VXUBE * RIPXUBE + VXUBO * RIPXUBJ ;

RINXUK

= VXUKJ * RIPXUKJ + VXUKUS * RIPXUKUS + VXUKS * RIPXUKS + VXUKE * RIPXUKE + VXUKO * RIPXUKJ;

NXTURl

= RINXTS + RlNXTB + RINXTK + RINXUS + RINXUB +RINXUK;

RINXTU RlXlL

= NXTURIIE; = RlNXlK - NXTURI ;

RlNXlK RlNMlK

BOTlK RPDQIL

= NXTURI + RIXIL-RINMIK ;

LTO

= NXIWCPW; = NMIWCPW;

= LRI - LTL - L l T ;

= 2*RIXILgE; = (NXTURI*E +DQTB*PDTB +DQTK*PXTKWE +DQTS*PDUB + DQUB'PDUB + DQUK'PXUKWE + DQUS'PDUB + RIXIL*E + RPDQIL)/1000000; .

PMTSUS PMTSLI PMTBJ PMTKUS PMTKUK PMUSJ PMUBJ PXUBCN PXUSCN PXTBWL PXUBWL

= PMTSUSICPW; = PMTSLIICPW; = PMTBJ ICPW;

XTSO XTBO XTKO MTSO MTBO

= XTSW- XTST- XTSSL- XTSKR- XTSRf; = XTBW- XTBT- XTBSL- XTBKR- XTSRI; = XTKW-XTKTT-XTKJ-XTKPP-XTKSL- XTKRI; = MTSW- MTSUS- MTSJ- MTSLl ; = MTBW- MTBUS- MTBJ- MTBLl ;

= PMTKUS/CPW;

= PMTKUK/CPW; = PMUSJICPW; = PMUBJICPW; = PXUBCN/CPW; = PXUSCNICPW; = LAG(PXTBVV); = LAG(PXUBVV);

PMTSJ PMTBUS PMTBLI PMTKFR PMUSUS PMUBUS PXUBTT PXUSlT PXTKWL PXTSWL PXUSWL

= PMTSJ /CPW; = PMTBUSICPW; = PMTBLI/CPW; = PMTKFWCPW; = PMUSUS/CPW; = PMUBUS/CPW; = PXUBTT/CPW; = PXUSTT/CPW; = LAG(PXTKw); = LAG(PXTSVV); = LAG(PXUSw);

;

~

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan MTKO

= MTKW- MTKUS- MTKFR- MTKUK;

MUSO MUBO XUBO XUSO

= MUSW- MUSUS-MUSJ; = MUBW- MUBUS-MUBJ; = XUBW- XUBTT-XUBCN-XUBRI; = XUSW- XUSTT-XUSCN-XUSRI;

MTSUSL = LAG(MTSUS); MTSLIL = LAG(MTSL1); MTBJL = LAG(MTBJ ); MTKUSL = LAG(MTKUS); MTKUKL = LAG(MTKUK); MUSJL = LAG(MUSJ ); MUBJL = LAG(MUBJ); XUBCNL = LAG(XUBCN); XUSCNL = LAG(XUSCN); XTSSLL =LAG(XTSSL); XTBTL =LAG(XTBT ); XTBKRL =LAG(XTBKR); XTKJL =LAG(XTKJ ); XTKSLL =LAG(XTKSL); REPXTSSL = PXTSW - PXTSSL; REPXTBT = PXTBW - PXTBT; REPXTBKR = PXTBW - PXTBKR; REPXTKJ = PXTKW - PXTKJ; REPXTKSL = PXTKW - PXTKSL; REPMTSJ = PXTSW - PMTSJ; REPMTBUS = PXTBW - PMTBUS; REPMTBLI = PXTBW - PMTBLI; REPMTKFR = PXTKW - PMTKFR; REPMUSUS = PXTKW - PMUSUS; REPMUBUS= PXUBW - PMUBUS; REPXUBTT = PXUBW - PXUBTT; REPXUSTT = PXUSW - PXUSTT;

MTSJL = LAG(MTSJ); MTBUSL = LAG(MTBUS); MTBLIL = LAG(MTBL1); MTKFRL = LAG(MTKFR); MUSUSL = LAG(MUSUS); MUBUSL = LAG(MUBUS); XUBTTL = LAG(XUBTT); XUSTTL = LAG(XUSTT); XTSTL =LAG(XTST); XTSKRL =LAG(XTSKR); XTBSLL =LAG(XTBSL); XTKTTL =LAG(XTKTT); XTKPPL =LAG(XTKPP); REPXTST = PXTSW - PXTST; REPXTSKR = PXTSW - PXTSKR; REPXTBSL = PXTBW - PXTBSL; REPXTKTT = PXTKW - PXTKTT; REPXTKPP = PXTKW - PXTKPP; REPMTSUS = PXTSW - PMTSUS; REPMTSLI = PXTSW - PMTSLI; REPMTBJ = PXTBW - PMTBJ; REPMTKUS = PXTKW - PMTKUS; REPMTKUK = PXTKW - PMTKUK; REPMUSJ = PXUSW - PMUSJ; REPMUBJ = PXUBW - PMUBJ; REPXUBCN = PXUBW - PXUBCN; REPXUSCN = PXUSW - PXUSCN;

= XTST+ XTSSL+ XTSKR+ XTSRl + XTSO;

XTSW XTBW XTKW XUBW XUSW

= XTBT+ XTBSL+ XTBKR+ XTBRl + XTBO; = XTKTT+XTKJ+XTKPP+XTKSL+ XTKRl + XTKO; = XUBTT+XUBCN+XUBRI+XUBO; = XUSTT+XUSCN+XUSRI+XUSO;

DQTBL DQTSL GUTT

= LAG (DQTB); = LAG (DQTS); = GUT4+GUTS+GUTG;

Sdrnlrev~i_s3ldokfarllarn3~~aI doc

DQTKL = LAG (DQTK); GUTB = GUT1+GUTZ+GUT3; GUT4L=LAG(GUT4);


GUT42L GUlTL GU7T2L GUTL PDlLL PDTB-W PDIL-W GDPSK GDPUKK GUT4P GUT4P2L GUTSL GUT-L PDUBL-L 1-R PDUB-W PDTB-L PDTB-U PMUBUS-U IPXUKUSS PXUBTT-s RlPXTSSJ PDUBL 1-L LT4-L PK2-L J16-L PUS-L PC1-L PSI 1-L PC11-L ES-L ES-C PKI-L PK3-L VG3-C J14-L PUS-L J16-L PU7-L PK7-L QT7L PK8-L PCB-C

=LAG(GUT4L); = LAG(GUTT); = LAG(GUTTL); = LAG(GUT); = LAG(PDIL); = PDTBNV; = PDIUW; = GDPSIPOPS; = GDPUWPOPUK; = GUT4lGUT; = LAG(GUT4PL); = LAG(GUTS); = GUTlL4; = PDILLIPDUBL; = I - INF; = PDUBNV; = PDTBIPDIL; = PDTBIPDUB; = PMUBUSIPMUSUS; = RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKS; = PXUBTTIPXUSTT; = RIPXTSSIRIPXTSJ; = lag(PDUB); = LAG(I); = LAG(LT4); = LAG(PK2); = LAG(JI6); = LAG(PU9); = LAG(PC1); =LAG(PSll); =LAG(PClI); =LAG(ES); =ES-ES-L2L; =LAG(PKI); =LAG(PK3); =VG3-VG3L; =LAG(J14); =LAG(PU5); =LAG(JI6); =LAG(PU7); =LAG(PK7); =LAG (QT7); =LAG(PK8); =PC8-PC8-L;

GUTBL = LAG(GUTB); GUTBZL = LAG(GUTBL); GUT = GUTB +GUTT; GUT2L = LAG(GUTL); PDIL-C = PDIL - PDILL; PDUB-W = PDUBNV; GDPJK = GDPJIPOPJ; GDPUSK = GDPUSIPOPUS; IL = LAG(I); GUT4PL = LAG(GUT4P); GUTS = GUT + GUTL; PDUB-L = PDIUPDUB; L8-V = L8NG8; YUTI-R = PDUBILAI; PDUB-L = PDUBIPDIL; PKTW-B = PXTKWIPDTB; PMUBUS-T = PMUBUS/PMTBUS; IPXUKUSJ = RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKJ; IPUKUS-T = RIPXUKUSIRIPXTKUS; PXTBKR-S = PXTBKRIPXTSKR; WPER =W; PDUB-C = PDUB-PDUBL; -

~13-L = LAG(J13); PUS-L = LAG(PU8); PSI-L = LAG(PS1); PSI-L2L =LAG(PSI-L); PSI 1-c =PSI 1-PSI 1-L; PC11-C =PC11-PC11-L; ES-L2L =LAG(ES-L); PDTB-C =PDTB-PDTBL; PKI-C =PK1-PKI-L; PK3-C =PK3-PK3-L; J14-C =J14-J14-L; PUS-C =PUS-PU5-L; J16-C =J16-J16-L; PU7-C =PU7-PU7-L; PK7-C =PK7-PK7-L; QT7L2L =LAG(QT7L); PC8-L =LAG(PC8); PU8-L =LAG(PU8);


PC5 PU6 PK6

=PUB-PUB-L; =J18-J18-L; =LAG(QT8L); =PUS-PUS-L; =PK9-PK9-L; =LAG(PS10); =LAG(PClO); =JllO-JI10-L; =LAG (QUT3); =LAG (QUTIO); =PU1I; =PU10-PUI 0-L; =PK10-PK10-L; = O.S'PC5; = 0.8*PU6; = 0.8*PK8;

J18-L =LAG(JI8); QT8L =LAG (QT8); PUS-L =LAG(PU9); PK9-L =LAG(PK9); J 19-L =LAG(JI9); PSI 0-c =PSI 0-PSI 0-L; JIIO-L =LAG(JIIO); VG 10-C =VG10-VG1OL; QUT3L2L =LAG (QUTBL); QUTl OL2L =LAG(QUTl OL); PU10-L =LAG(PUlO); PKI 0-L =LAG(PKl 0); PS5 =0.8*PS5; PS6 =0.8*PS6; PC6 =0.8*PC6; J16 =0.8'J16;

PS5-L PUG-L PC9-L PUT-L JI11-L J17-L PXTBT-C PXTBKR-C PXUSTT-L PXTKTT-L PXTKTT-C

=LAG(PS5); =LAG(PU6); =LAG(PC9); =LAG(PUl); =LAG(JI11); =LAG(J17); =PXTBT-PXTBT-L; =PXTBKR-PXTBKR-L; =LAG(PXUSTT); =LAG(PXTKTT); =PXTKTT - PXTKTT-L;

PS5-C =PS5-PS5-L; PU6_C=PUG-PU6-L; PC9-C=PC9-PCS-L; PU1-C=PUl - PU1-L; Jill-C=JII 1 - J i l l - L ; PXTBT-L =LAG(PXTBT); PXTBKR-L =LAG(PXTBKR); IPXUSE-L =LAG(RIPXUSE); IPXTBUSR = RIPXTBUSIRIPXTKUS;

PUB-C J18-C QT8L2L PUS-C PK9-C PSI 0-L PC10-L

Jll O-C QUT3L QUTIOL PUlO PU10-c

PKl O-C

run; PROC SIMNLIN DATA=SIMULASI STAT SIMULATE OUTPREDICT THEIL OUT=Z; endogenous

VG1 VG2 VG3 VG4 VG5 VG6 VG7 VG8 YUT1 QUTl QUDL VG9 VGlO VG11 LTL L ? L2 L3 L4 L5 YUT2 QUT2 QUS L6 L7 L8 L9 L10 L11 QT6 QT7 QT8 YUT3 QUT3 CUSB QT1 QT2 QT3 QT4 QT5 YUT4 QUT4 CUSB CUBK QT9 QTlO Q T l 1 QTTYUT5 QUT5 DQUB CTSB CTBK QTTB LT1 QUT6 DQUK DQTS XTSRI LT2 QUT7 DQUS VXTSJ VXTSUS VXTSS VXTSE LT3 Q U f 8 RIPXUSJ RIPXTSJ RIPXTSUS RIPXTSS RIPXTSE LT4 QUT9 RIPXUSUS XTBRI VXTBJ VXTBUS VXTBS VXTBE LT5 QUTIO IPXUSS RIPXTBJ RIPXTBUS RIPXTBS RIPXTBE LTT Q U T l I RIPXUSE XTKRI VXTKJ VXTKUS VXTKE QUDT RIPXTKJ XUSRl RIPXTKUS XUBRl RIPXTKE XUKRI VXUSJ VXUSUS VXUSS VXUSE VXUBJ VXUBUS VXUBS VXUBE RIPXUBJ RIPXUBUS RIPXUBS RIPXUBE VXUKJ

Sdm\revsi-s3ldokr0rlIrr~n3~val doc


VXUKUS VXUKS VXUKE RIPXUKJ RIPXUKUS RIPXUKS RIPXUKE PDTB PDUB RlNXlK NXTURl BOTlK LRI GDPAGl RINXTS RINXTB RINXTK RINXUS RINXUB RINXUK XTST XTSSL XTSKR XTBT XTBSL XTBKR XTKTT XTKJ XTKPP XTKSL MTSUS MTSJ MTSLl MTBUS MTBJ MTBLl MTKUS MTKFR MTKUK MUSUS MUSJ MUBUS MUBJ XUBTT XUBCN XUSTT XUSCN PXTSW PXTBW PXTKW PXUBW PXUSW XTSW XTBW XTKW XUBW XUSW MTSW MTBW MTKW MUSW MUBW PXTST PXTSSL PXTSKR PXTBT PXTBSL PXTBKR PXTKTT PXTKJ PXTKPP PXTKSL PMTSUS PMTSJ PMTSLI PMTBUS PMTBJ PMTBLI PMTKUS PMTKFR PMTKUK PMUSUS PMUSJ PMUBUS PMUBJ PXUBTT PXUBCN PXUSTT PXUSCN QTTK QUB QUK ; Instruments

W I GWPI GWP2 GWP3 GWP4 GWPS GWP6 GWP7 GWP8 GWP9 GWPlOGWPll V G l L VG2L VG3L VG4L VGSL VG6L VG7L VG8L VG9L VGIOL V G l l L L I L L2L L3L L4L L5L L6L L7L L8L L9L LlOL L l l L QT?L QT2L QT3L QT4L QTSL QT6L QT7L QT8L QT9L QTTOL QT11L GUT1 GUT2 GUT3 GUT4 GUT5 GUT6 B l l B12 B13 814 815 B16 L A l L LA2L LA3L LA4L LA5L LA6L YUTIL YUT2L YUT3L YUT4L YUTSL YUT6L L T l L LT2L LT3L LT4L LT5L LT6L QTTBL QTTKL PlTL XTSL E GDPJK VXTSJL GDPUSK VXTSUSL GDPSK VXTSSL GDPUKK VXTSEL XTBC VXTBJL VXTKUSL VXTBSL VXTBEL XTKL VXTKJL VXTKUSL VXTKEL QUBL PlUL QUKL XUSL XUBL XUKL VXUSJL VXUSUSL VXUSSL VXUSEL VXUBJL VXUBUSL VXUBSL VXUBEL QUKTT VXUKJL VXUKUSL VXUKSL VXUKEL PDlL tren PDTBL PDUBL RlXlL QUTI L QUT2L QUT3L QUT4L QUT5L QUT6L QUT7L QUT8L QUT9L QUTlOL QUTI 1L ES COLD PU1 PU2 PU3 PU4 PU5 PU6 PU7 PU8 PUS PUlO P u l l P K I PK2 PK3 PK4 PK5 PK6 PK7 PK8PK9PKIOPK11 PSI P S 2 P S 3 P S 4 P S 5 P S 6 P S 7 P S 8 P S 9 P S l O P S I l JI1 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 Jl9 JllO J l l l JAI JA2 JA3 JA4 JA5 JA6 JA7 JA8 JA9 JA10 JA11 PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4 PC5 PC6 PC7 PC8 PC9 PC10 PC11 PRI PR2 PR3 PR4 PR5 PR6 PR7 PR8 PR9 PRIO PRI 1 OT1 OT2 OT3 OT4 OT5 OT6 OT7 OT8 OT9 OTlO OT1IClTB ClTK ClUB ClUK CTSBL CTBKL CUSBL CUSKL REPXTST REPXTSSL REPXTSKR REPXTST REPXTBSL REPXTBKR REPXTKTT REPXTKJ REPXTKPP REPXTKSL REPMTSUS REPMTSJ REPMTSLI REPMTBUS REPMT5.l REPMTBLI REPMTKUS REPMTKFR REPMTKUK REPMUSUS REPMUSJ REPMUBUS REPMUBJ REPXUBTT REPXUBCN REPXUSTT REPXUSCN MTSUSL MTSJL MTSLIL MTBUSL MTBJL MTBLIL MTKUSL MTKFRL MTKUKL MUSUSL MUSJL MUBUSL MUBJL XUBTTL XUBCNL XUSTTL XUSCNL XTSTL XTSSLL XTSKRL XTBTL XTBSLL XTBKRL XTKTTL XTKJL XTKPPL XTKSLL XTSO XTBO XTKO MTSO MTBO MTKO MUSO MUBO XUBO XUSO QTSJ QTSUS QTST QTSSL QTSKR QTKUS QTKFR QTKTT QTKJ QTKPP QTKSL QUSCN QUSJ QUSUS QUSTT PXTBS PXUKW POPUS GDPUS GUTB GUTT GUTBL GUTTL GUTB2L GUTT2L GUT GUTL GUT2L PDlLL PDTB-W PDUB-W PDIL-W D4 D l D2 LA1 LA2

Larnpiran 4. Lanjutan LA3 LA4 LA5 LA6 ETT VXTSO VXTBO VXTKO VXUSO VXUBO VXUKO RTSJ RTBJ RTKJ RUSJ RUBJ RUKJ RTSUS RTBUS RTKUS RUSUS RUBUS RUKUS RTSSP RTBSP RTKKE RUSS RUBS RUKS RTSE RTBE RUSE RUBE RUKE GUT4L GUT42L GUT4P GUT4PL GUT4P2L GUTS GUTSL GUT-L PDUB-L PDUBL-L L8-V I-R YUTI-R PDUB-W PDUB-L PDTB-L PDTB-U P K T W B ERTH PMUBUS-T PMUBUS-U IPXUKUSJ IPXUKUSS PXUBTT-S IPUKUS-T PXTBKR-S RIPXTSSJ WPER ; PARMS

bll 3.123225 b15 -52.156946

Lampiran 4. Lanji

Sdmirr-,si-s3ldokror lbnr3-val doc


Lampiran 4.Lanjutan e90

42.048033

e91

Sdmirevsi~s3ldok~orllam3~vaI. doc

-6.554722


h10

-49.811169

hll

2.934498




QUTIL = LAG (QUTI ); QUT2L = LAG (QUT2 ); QUT3L = LAG (QUT3 ); QUT4L = LAG (QUT4 ); QUTSL = LAG (QUT5 ); QUT6L = LAG (QUT6 ); QUT7L = LAG (QUT7 ); QUT8L = LAG (QUT8 ); QUT9L = LAG (QUT9 ); QUT1OL = LAG (QUT10); QUTI 1L = LAG (QUTI 1); V21L = LAG (V21); V22L = LAG (V22); V23L = LAG (V23); V24L = LAG (V24); V25L =LAG(V25); V26L = LAG (V26); V27L = LAG (V27); V28L = LAG (V28); V29L =LAG(V29); V210L =LAG(V210); V211L = LAG (V211); V41L =LAG(V41); V42L = LAG (V42); V43L = LAG (V43); V44L = LAG (V44); V45L = LAG (V45); V46L = LAG (V46); V47L =LAG(V47); V48L = LAG (V48); V49L = LAG (V49); V410L =LAG(V470); V411L =LAG(V411); V6lL = LAG (V61); V62L = LAG (V62); V63L =LAG(V63); V64L = LAG (V64); V65L = LAG (V65); V66L = LAG (V66); V67L = LAG (V67);

Sdtnlrevs~-s3Idokror\I011113~~~1l doc

VIIL V12L V13L V14L V15L V16L V I 7L V18L V19L V l IOL VlllL V31L V32L V33L V34L V35L VJGL V37L V38L V39L V31OL V311L V51L V52L V53L V54L V55L V56L V57L V58L V59L V51OL V511L V71L V72L V73L V74L V75L V76L V77L

= LAG 0111); = LAG (V12); = LAG (V13); = LAG 0114); = LAG (V15);

= LAG (V16); = LAG (V17); = LAG (VIE); = LAG (V19); = LAG (V110); = LAG (V11I ) ; = LAG (V31); = LAG (V32); = LAG (V33); = LAG (V34); = LAG (V35); = LAG (V36); = LAG (V37); = LAG (V38); = LAG (V39); = LAG (V310); = LAG (V311); = LAG (V51); = LAG (V52); = LAG (V53); = LAG (V54); = LAG (V55); = LAG (V56); = LAG (V57); = LAG (V58); = LAG (V59); = LAG (V510); = LAG (V511); = LAG (V71); = LAG (V72); = LAG (V73); = LAG (V74); = LAG (V75); = LAG (V76); = LAG (V77);

Larnpiran 4. Lanjutan V68L = LAG (V68); V69L = LAG (V69); V6lOL =LAG(V610); V6llL =LAG(V611); L1L = LAG (LI); L2L = LAG (L2); L3L = LAG (L3); L4L = LAG (L4); L5L = LAG (L5); L6L = LAG (L6); L7L = LAG (L7); L8L = LAG (L8); L9L = LAG (L9); L l OL = LAG (L10); LIIL = LAG (L11); QTTL = LAG (QTT); PITL = LAG (PIT); XTSL = LAG (XTSRI); = LAG (XTBRI); XTBL XTKL = LAG (XTKRI); VXTSJL = LAG (VXTSJ); VXTSUSL= LAG (VXTSUS); VXTSSL = LAG (VXTSS); VXTSEL = LAG (VXTSE); LAlL = LAG (LAI); LA2L = LAG (LA2); LA3L = LAG (LA3); LA4L = LAG (LA4); LA5L = LAG (LA5); LA6L = LAG (LA6); LTlL = LAG (LT1); LT2L = LAG (LT2); LT3L = LAG (LT3); LT4L = LAG (LT4); LT5L = LAG (LT5); LT6L = LAG (LT6); QUBL = LAG (QUB); = LAG (QUK); QUKL PlUL = LAG (PIU); XUSL = LAG (XUSRI); = LAG (XUBRI); XUBL XUKL = LAG (XUKRI); VXUSJL = LAG (VXUSJ); VXUSUSL= LAG (VXUSCJS); VXUSSL = LAG (VXUSS);

V78L = LAG (V78); V79L = LAG (V79); V710L = LAG ( W l 0 ) ; V711L =LAG(V711); QT1L = LAG (QT1); QTZL = LAG (QT2); QT3L = LAG (QT3); QT4L = LAG (QT4); QT5L = LAG (QT5); QTGL = LAG (QT6); QT7L = LAG (QT7); QT8L = LAG (QT8); QT9L = LAG (QT9); QTlOL = LAG (QT10); QT11L =LAG(QTll); VXTSEL = LAG (VXTSE); VXTBJL = LAG (VXTBJ); VXTBUSL= LAG (VXTBUS); VXTBSL = LAG (VXTBS); VXTBEL = LAG (VXTBE); VXTKJL = LAG (VXTKJ); VXTKUSL= LAG (VXTKUS); VXTKEL = LAG (VXTKE); YUTl L YUT2L YUT3L YUT4L YUT5L YUT6L VGlL VG2L VG3L VG4L VG5L VG6L VG7L VG8L VG9L VGIOL VG41L CTSBL CTBKL CUSBL CUSKL

= LAG (YUTI); = LAG (YUT2); = LAG (YUT3); = LAG (YUT4); =LAG(YUT5); = LAG (YUT6); = LAG (VG1); = LAG (VG2); =LAG(VG3); = LAG (VG4); = LAG (VG5); =LAG(VG6); = LAG (VG7); = LAG (VG8); = LAG (VG9); =LAG(VGlO); =LAG(VGll); = lag(CTSB); = lag(CTF3K); = lag(CUSB); = lag(CUBK);

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan VXUSEL = LAG (VXUSE); VXUBJL = LAG (VXUBJ); VXUBUSL= LAG (VXUBUS); VXUBSL = LAG (VXUBS); VXUBEL = LAG (VXUBE); VXUKJL = LAG (VXUKJ); VXUKUSL= LAG (VXUKUS); VXUKSL = LAG (VXUKS); VXUKEL = LAG (VXUKE); = LAG (QTTB); QTTBL QTTKL = LAG (QTTK); MTSJL = LAG(MTSJ); MTSLtL = LAG(MTSL1); MTBUSL = LAG(MTBUS); MTBJL = LAG(MTBJ ); MTBLlL = LAG(MTBL1); MTKUSL = LAG(MTKUS); MTKFRL = LAG(MTKFR); MTKUKL = LAG(MTKUK); MUSUSL = LAG(MUSUS); MUSJL = LAG(MUSJ ); MUBUSL = LAG(MUBUS); MUBJL = LAG(MUBJ); XUBTTL = LAG(XUBTT); XUBCNL = LAG(XUBCN); XUSTTL = LAG(XUSTT); XUSCNL = LAG(XUSCN); XTSTL =LAG(XTST); XTSSLL =LAG(XTSSL); XTSKRL =LAG(XTSKR); XTBTL =LAG(XTBT);

PDTBL = lag(PDTB); PDUBL = lag(PDUB); PXTKWL = LAG(PXTKVV); PXTBWL = LAG(PXTBVV); PXTSWL = LAG(PXTSW); VXUBWL = LAG(PXUBW); PXUSWL = LAG(PXUSVV); MTSUSL = LAG(MTSUS); DQTBL = LAG (DQTB); DQTKL = LAG (DQTK); DQTSL = LAG (DQTS); GUT4L = LAG(GUT4); GUT42L = LAG(GUT4L); GUTBL = LAG(GUTB); GUTTL = LAG(GUTT); GUTB2L = LAG(GUTBL); GUTT2L = LAG(GUTTL); GUTL = LAG(GUT); GUTZL = LAG(GUTL); PDlLL = LAG(PDIL); IL = LAG(I); GUT4PL =LAG(GUT4P); GUT4P2L=LAG(GUT4PL); GUTSL =LAG(GUTS); XTBSLL =LAG(XTBSL); XTBKRL =LAG(XTBKR); XTKTTL =LAG (XTKTT): XTKJL =LAG(XTKJ ); XTKPPL =LAG(XTKPP); XTKSLL =LAG(XTKSL);


VG5

=

a50 + a51'PDTBlPDUB +a52*PDIL +a53*WPER + a54*(I-I-L) +a55* GUTL + a56*VG5L;

VGlO

=

VGl I

=

aa90 +aa91*PDTB +aaS2*PDIUPDUB +aa93*WPER+ aa94'GUT2L +aa95*VGIOL ; b10 + bllgPDTbL +bl2*(PDUb-PDUb-L) +bl3*PDIL +bl4*WPER +b15*I +bl6*GUTL +bl7*VG11L:

L1 L2 L3 L4 L5 L6 L7 L8 L9 L10 L11 LTL QTI QT2 QT3 QT4 QT5 QT6 QT7 QT8 QT9 QTI 0 QTl I

b20 +b21 * VG1 +b22 *LlL; b30 +b31 * VG2 +b32 *L2L; b40 + b 4 I g VG3 +b42 *L3L; b50 +b51* VG4 +b52 *L4L; b60 + b 6 I g VG5 +b62 *L5L; b70 +b71 * VG6 +b72 *L6L; b80 +b81 * VG7 +b82 *L7L; b90 +b91 ' VG8 +b92 'L8L; c10 + c l I* VG9 +c12 'LSL; c20 +c21 * VG10+c22 *LIOL; c30 +c31 " VGl l+c32 *L71L; L1+L2+L3+L4+L5+L6+L7+L8+Lg+LI0+Ll I; c40 +c41*VG1 +c42*(VG1**2) +c43*PS1-L2L +c44*PC1-L +c45*QTIL; c50 +c51*VG2 +c52*(VG2**2) +c53*PS2 +c54*PC2 +c55*QT2L ; c60 +c61*VG3 +c62'(VG3**2) +c63*PS3 +c64*PC3 +c65*QT3L; c70 +c71*VG4 +c72*(VG4**2) +c73* PC4 +c74'QT4L ; c80 +c81*VG5 +c82*PC5 +c83*J15 +c84*QT5L; c90 +c91*VG6 +c92*PS6 +c93*PC6 +c94*QT6L ; d l 0 + d l l*VG7 +d12*PS7 +d13*PC7 +d14*QT7L ; d20 +d21*VG8 +d22*PS8 +d23*(PC8-PC8-L) +d24* QT8L ; d31*VG9 +d32*PS9 +d33*(PC9-PC9-L) +d34*QT9L ; d40 +d41*VGlO +d42*(VG10**2) +d43*(PS10-PS10-L) +d44*PclO-L +d45*QTIOL; d50 +d5I*VGl 1 +d52*PS11-L +d53*PCIl-L +d54*QTIlL;


QTT CTSB CTBK

= =

QTTB

=

0.9*CTSB;

QTTK

=

0.4'CTBK;

DQTS

=

QTT- XTSRI- CTSB + O.I*Ql-T;

PDTB

=

d80 +d81 * E +d82 * PXTBW +d83 * DQTB +dB4 * PDTBL ;

VXTSJ

=

d90 + d91'RIPXTSJ +d92*RIPXTSUS +d93*GDPJK+d94 'PXTST +d95*QTT ;

VXTSUS

=

e l 0 +ell'RIPXTSUS +el2'RIPXTSS +el3*GDPUSK +el4*PXTST + e l 5'QTT ;

VXTSS

=

e21 *RIPXTSS/RIPXTSJ+e22*PXTST +e23*PXTSKR +e24*GDPSK +e25*QTT+e26*E+e27*VXTSSL ;

VXTSE

=

e30 +e31 * RIPXTSE +e32 ' RIPXTSJ +e33 * GDPUKK +e34 ' PXTST+e35 ' PXTSLI +e36 * QTT ;

XTSRl

=

(VXTSJ + VXTSUS + VXTSS+ VXTSE)11000 + VXTSO;

XTST

=

e40 +e41 ' PXTST +e42 * QTST +e43 * XTSTL

XTSSL

=

e50 +e51 ' PXTSSL +e52 * QTSSL +e53 * XTSSLL ;

XTSKR

=

e60 + e61

XTSW

=

XTST + XTSSL + XTSKR + XTSRl + XTSO;

MTSUS

=

e70+e71 ' PMTSUS+e72 * PMTKUS+e73 ' PMUSUS+e74 ' PMUbUS+e75 * GDPUSK+e76 * QTSUS+e77 * MTSUSL ;

MTSJ

=

e80 +e81 * PMTSJ +e82 *PMUbJ+e83 * GDPJK+e84 * QTSJ+e85 MTSJL ;

MTSLl MTSW

= =

e90 +e91 * PMTSLl+e92 ' MTSLIL ; MTSUS+ MTSJ+ MTSLl + MTSO ;

PXTSW

=

flO + f l l * MTSW+fl2 * XTSW + f13 * PXTSWL ;

=

(QTI +QTZ+QT3+QT4+QT5+QT6+QT7+QT8+QTg+QTI O+QTI 1) / I 000; d60 +d6I9PDTB +D62*(ES-ES-L2L) +d63'COLD +d64*CTSBL ; d70 +d71*PXTKW +d72'(PDTB-PDTBL) +d73*ES +d73 *COLD +d75'TREN +d76*CTBKL :

;

' PXTSKR +e62 * XTSKRL ;

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan VXTBJ

=

f20 +f21*RIPXTbJ + f22*RIPXTbE + f23"GDPJK + f24 * PXTbT +f25 * PXTbKR+f26 * QTTb+f27 * VXTbJL ;

VXTBUS

=

f31"RIPXTbUS/RIPXTKUS +f32*(PXTKTT-PXTKTT-L) +f33*D6 +f34*QTTb +f35 "PXTbSL +f36 "PXTKPP +f37*VXTbUSL;

VXTBS

=

f40+F41 * RIPXTbS+f42 * RIPXTbJ+f43 * PXTbT_L+f44 +f45 * D5+F46 QTTB ;

VXTBE

=

f50+f51 * RIPXTBE+f52 * RIPXTbJ+f53 * R1PXTBS+f54 * GDPUKK +f55 PXTBKR+f56 * PXTBSL+f57 QTTB+f58 * VXTBEL ;

XTBRl XTBT XTBSL XTBKR XTBW

= = = =

(VXTBJ + VXTBUS + VXTBS + VXTBE)11000 + VXTBO; f60 + f 6 I *PXTBT + f62*QTST + f63'XTBTL; f70 + f 7 l * PXTBSL+f72 QTSSL + t73 * XTBSLL ; F81 * PXTbKRiPXTSKR +F82 * QTSKR +F83 * XTbKRL ; XTBT + XTBSL + XTBKR + XTBRl + XTBO;

MTBUS

=

f90 + f9I*PMTBUS + f92*PMTKUS f95*QTSUS + f96 "MTBUSL ;

MTBJ

=

g10 + glI*PMTBJ +g12 *PMUBJ +g13 *GDPJK + 914 *QTSJ + g15*MTBJL ;

MTBLI MTBW PXTBW

=

920 + g21'PMTBLl + g22'MTBLIL ; MTBUS+ MTBJ+ MTBLl + MTBO ; 930 +g31 MTBW +g32 XTBW +g33 * PXTBWL ;

VXTKJ

=

940 +g41 * RIPXTKJ +g42 'GDPJK +g43 *PXTKTT +g44 *QTTK "QTKJ +g46 *VXTKE;

VXTKUS

=

950 +g51 * RIPXTKUS + g 5 2 ' RIPXTKE +g53 'GDPUSK +g54 'PXTKTT +g55 *PXTKSL +g56 'QTTK +g57 * VXTKUSL ;

VXTKE

=

960 +g61*RIPXTKE +g62 *GDPUKK +g63 *PXTKTT +g64*PXTKPP +g65 *PXTKSL +g66*QlTK +g67*VXTKEL ;

XTKRl XTKTT XTKJ XTKPP XTKSL

= = = = =

(VXTKJ + VXTKUS + VXTKE)11000 + VXTKO; 970 + g71*PXTKTT + g72'QTKTT + g73*XTKTTL ; g80 +g81*PXTKJ + g82*QTKJ + g83*XTKJL; 990 +g91'PXTKPP +g92*QTKPP + g93'XTKPPL ; h10 + h l l*PXTKSL + hl2*QTKSL + hl3*XTKSLL ;

=

= =

PXTbKR-L

+ f93*PMUBUS +f94*GDPUSK+

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan XTKW

=

XTKTT + XTKJ + XTKPP + XTKSL + XTKRl + XTKO;

= =

h40 +h41*PMTKUK +h42*GDPUKK +h43*MTKUKL ;

=

(YUTI + YUT2 + YUT3 + YUT4 + YUT5)/1000;

MTKUS

MTKFR MTKUK MTKW

MTKUS + MTKFR + MTKUK + MTKO ;

PXTKW YUTI

QUDT LTI LT2 LT3 tT4 LT5 LTT QUTI QUT2 QUT3 QUT4 QUT5 QUT6 QUT7

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan QUT9 QUT10 QUT11 QUDL

= =

QUS

=

r91*VG9 +r92*PK9-L +r93*J19 +r94*QUT9L; s10+sll*VG10+s12*PK1O~L; s20 +s21*VG11 +s22*PU11 +s23*PKll +s24*QUT11L; (QUTI +QUTZ+QUT3+QUT4+QUT5+QUT6+QUT7+QUT8+QUT9 +QUTI O+QUT11)I1000; QUDT+QUDL;

CUSB

=

s30 +S31*PDUB +s32*ES + s33*COLD + s34*CUSBL ;

CUBK

=

~ 4 +s41*PDUB 0 +s42*PXUKW +s43*ES-L +s44*COLD +s45*1 +s46'CUSKL;

QUB QUK DQUB DQUK DQUS

= = = =

0.6 * CUSB; 0.5 * CUBK; QUB - XUBRI - CUBK ; 0.05*XUKRI; QUS - XUSRI - CUSB ;

PDUB

=

s50 +s51*E +s52*PXUBW +s53*DQUB +s54'PDUBL ;

VXUSJ

=

s60 +s6I*RIPXUSJ +s62*RIPXUSE +s63*GDPJK +s65*QUS +s66*PXUSTT +s67'PXUSCN ;

vxusus

= =

=

=

~ 7 +s71*RIPXUSUS 0 +s72*RIPXUSE +s73*GDpUSK +s74*QUS +s75*PXUSTT +s76*PXUSCN +s77*VXUSUSL;

VXUSS

=

s81*RIPXUSS +s82*RIPXUSJ +s83*RIPXUSE +s84*GDPSK +s85*QUS +s86*PXUSTT +s87*PXUSCN ;

VXUSE

=

s90 +s91*RIPXUSE +s92*RIPXUSJ +s93*RIPXUSS +s94*RIPXUSUS+s95*VXUSJ +s96*PXUSTT +s97*QUS +s98*GDPUKK +s99*VXUSEL :

XUSRl XUSTT XUSCN XUSW

= = = =

(VXUSJ + VXUSUS + VXUSS + VXUSE)/1000 + VXUSO; 210 + z l l*PXUSTT +z12*QUSTT +z13*XUSTTL; 220 + z21*PXUSCN +z22*QUSCN +z23*XUSCNL; XUSTT + XUSCN + XUSRl + XUbO;

MUSUS

=

MUSJ

=

MUSW PXUSW

=

z30 + z31*PMUSUS +z32*PMUbUS +z33*QUSUS +z34*GDPUSK +z35*MUSUSL; 240 + 241- PMUSJ +z42*PMTSJ +z43*GDPJK +z44*QUSJ +z45*MUSJL; MUSUS + MUSJ + MUSO; 250 +z5I*MUSW +z52*XUSW;

=

Lampiran 4. Lanjutan VXUBJ

=

260 +z61*RIPXUbJ +z62*RIPXUbE +z63*GDPJK +z64*PXUbTT +z65*PXUbCN +z66'QUb;

VXUBUS

=

270 +z71*RIPXUbUS+z72*RIPXUBJ +z73*RIPXUBS +z74*QUB +z75*PXUBTT +z76*GDPUSK +z77*VXUBUSL;

VXUBS

=

280 +z81*RIPXUBS +z82*RtPXUBJ +z83*RIPXUBE +z84*GDPSK +z85'PXUBTT +z86*QUB +z87*VXUBSL;

VXUBE

=

290 +z9I*RIPXUBE +z92*RIPXUBUS +z93*PXUDIN +z94*QUB +z95'PXUBCN +z96*GDPUKK ;

XUBRl

=

(VXUBJ + VXUBUS + VXUBS + VXUBE)/1000 + VXUBO;

XUBTT

=

XI 0 + X Il*PXUBTT/PXUSTT +xl2*QUSTT + X I3'XUBTTL:

XUBCN

=

x20+x2l'PXUBCN +x22*QUSCN +x23*XUBCNL ;

XUBW

=

XUBTT + XUBCN + XUBRl + XUBO;

MUBUS

=

x30 +x31*PMUBUS/PMTBUS +x32*PMUBUSIPMUSUS +x33*GDPUSK +x34*POPUS;

MUBJ

=

x40 +x41*PMUBJ+x42*PMTSJ+x43*PMUSJ +x44*GDPJK +x45*QUSJ +x46*MUBJL;

MUBW

=

MUBUS+MUBJ+MUBO;

PXUBW

=

x50 + x51*MUBW +x52*XUBW +x53*PXUSWL;

VXUKJ

=

x90 +x91*RIPXUKJ +x92*RIPXUKUS +x93*RIPXUKS +x94*GDPJK +x95*QUK +x96*VXUKJL;

VXUKUS

=

x6I*RIPXUKUSIRIPXUKJ +x62*RIPXUKUS/RIPXTKUS +x63*QUK +x64*E +x65*GDPUS +x66*VXUKUSL;

VXUKS

=

x70 +x71*RIPXUKS +x72*RIPXUKJ +x73*RIPXUKUS +x74*GDPSK +X75*QUK +X76*VXUKSL;

VXUKE

=

x80 +x81*RIPXUKE +x82'RIPXUKJ +x83*RIPXUKS +x84*QUK +x85*GDPUKK;

XUKRl

=

(VXUKJ + VXUKUS

S~/,nlrrvs~_s3ldokrorIiom3-val.doc

+ VXUKS + VXUKE)11000 + VXUKO;


= VXTSJ*RIPXTSJ+ VXTSUS*RIPXTSUS +VXTSS*RIPXTSS + VXTSE*RIPXTSE+ VXTSO*RIPXTSJ*1000 ;

RINXTB RINXTK RINXUS RINXUB

= VXTBJ*RIPXTBJ+ VXTBUS*RIPXTBUS + VXTBS*RIPXTBS + VXTBE*RIPXTBE+ VXTBO*RIPXTBJ*IOOO ; = VXTKJ*RIPXTKJ+ VXTKUS'RIPXTKUS + VXTKE*RIPXTKE + VXTKO*RIPXTKJ*I 000; = VXUSJ*RIPXUSJ + VXUSUS*RIPXUSUS + VXUSS*RIPXUSS + VXUSE*RIPXUSE + VXUSO*RIPXUSJ*1000 ; = VXUBJ*RIPXUBJ + VXUBUS*RIPXUBUS + VXUBS*RIPXUBS + VXUBE'RIPXUBE + VXUBO*RIPXUBJ*1000 ;

NXTURI

= RINXTS + RINXTB + RINXTK + RfNXUS + RINXUB +RINXUK;

RlNXlK

= NXTURI + RIXIL;

BOTl K

= NXTURI + RlXlL - RlNMlK

LRI

= LTL + LTT + LTO;

RIPXTSUS

= PXTSW - RTSUS ;

RIPXTSS PXTST PXTSKR PMTSJ

= PXTSW - RTSSP ; = PXTSW REPXTST ; = PXTSW - REPXTSKR ; = PXTSW - REPMTSJ ;

-

RlPXTSJ

= PXTSW - RTSJ ;

RIPXTSE PXTSSL PMTSUS PMTSLI

= PXTSW = PXTSW = PXTSW = PXTSW -

RTSE ; REPXTSSL ; REPMTSUS ; REPMTSLI ;

RIPXTBJ RIPXTBS

= PXTBW - RTBJ;

= PXTBW - RTBSP;

RIPXTBUS RIPXTBE

= PXTBW - RTBUS; = PXTBW - RTBE;

PXTBT PXTBKR PMTBJ

= PXTBW - REPXTBT; = PXTBW - REPXTBKR; = PXTBW - REPMTBJ;

PXTBSL PMTBUS PMTBLI

= PXTBW - REPXTBSL; = PXTBW - REPMTBUS; = PXTBW - REPMTBLI;

Rl PXTKJ Rl PXTKE

= PXTKW - RTKJ;

RIPXTKUS PXTKTT

= PXTKW - RTKUS; = PXTKW - REPXTKTT ;

PXTKJ PXTKSL PMTKFR

= PXTKW- REPXTKJ ;

PXTKPP PMTKUS PMTKUK

= PXTKW - REPXTKPP ; = PXTKW - REPMTKUS ; = PXTKW - REPMTKUK ;

= PXTKW - RTKKE; = PXTKW - REPXTKSL ; = PXTKW - REPMTKFR :

Sdrn\revs~sJ\doktor\lcr,n3-~al. doc


= PXUSW - RUSUS ; = PXUSW - RUSE ;

RIPXUSJ RIPXUSS

= PXUSW - RUSJ ; = PXUSW - RUSS ;

PXUSIT

= PXUSW - REPXUSTT ;

PXUSCN

= PXUSW - REPXUSCN ;

PMUSUS

= PXTKW - REPMUSUS ;

PMUSJ

= PXUSW- REPMUSJ ;

RIPXUBJ RIPXUBS

= PxUBW- RUBJ ; = PXUBW - RUBS ;

PXUBTT PMUBUS

= PXUBW - REPXUBTT ; = PXUBW - REPMUBUS ;

RIPXUKJ RIPXUKS

= PXUKW - RUKJ ; = PXUKW - RUKS ;

RANGE YEAR= 1990 TO 1995; PROC PRINT DATA=Z; RUN;

= PXUBW - RUBUS = PXUBW - RUBE ; PXUBCN PMUBJ

= PXUBW - REPXUBCN ;

= PXUBW - REPMUBJ

= PXUKW - RUKUS = PXUKW - RUKE ;

;

tampiran 5. Hasil Validasi Model Ekonomi Perikanan lndonesia SIMNLIN Procedure Dynamic Simultaneous Simulation Solution Range YEAR = 1990 To 1995 Descriptive Statistics

BOTIK CTBK CTSB CUBK CUSB DQTS DQUB DQUK DQUS GDPAGI L1 L10 L11 L2 L3 L4 L5 L6 L7 L8 L9 LRI LT 1 LT2 LT3 LT4 LT5 LTL LTr MTBJ MTBLI MTBUS MTBW MTKFR MTKUK MTKUS MTKW MTSJ MTSLl MTSUS MTSW MUBJ MUBUS MUBW MUSJ MUSUS MUSW NXTURI PDTB PDUB PMTBJ PMTBLI

Actual Mean Std 1210145 147272 7.281 32.62 73.4925 4.5548 2.1771 0.7542 226.3647 4.0918 160.1808 18.1851 20.4552 0.9868 0.0981 0.2537 69.7719 31.1717 2953 446.2278 121908 5567 22276 156443 198482 23655 46691 122425 214315 14236 10332 86452 392134 31365 6424 143156 4050 49628 11282 101165 180000 20060 41 31992 348196 9771 44623 78793 6717 1025 8791 1454 9078 44252 5321 164830 1766t06 21987 185738 38.7969 338.2667 101.0833 16.0748 9.6572 141.6833 1437 75.1066 71.55 14.05 70.7167 8.4089 24.0074 126.95 1043 287.0513 338.2667 38.7969 101.0833 16.0748 9.6572 141.6833 75.1066 1437 290.1833 11.3765 21.641 7 250.2333 953.4167 47.7825 290.1833 11.3765 21.6417 250.2333 53.093 1021 1075657 294968 457.1006 2100 1081 9396 0.4839 4.1654 0.1216 1.5114

Re~~si-s3WokrorbrI-pre doc

Predicted RMS % Mean Std Error 1306278 101411 15.3444 5.9237 47.0193 45.698 74.0069 6.6894 2 8763 1.9251 0.4891 21.2947 8.6506 213.6467 11.4164 178.1236 47.2444 22.9991 2.9273 97.7788 40.2506 0.0181 82.4474 0.0437 67.7012 22.0584 41.3296 3131 687.7848 10.5755 999.5703 3.7317 119981 122769 4780 23.982 247033 43988 26.5553 104548 13793 23.5863 4.5758 221200 9360 82966 4126 7.4098 375532 26339 4.6564 7031 11.7069 127719 506.1994 7.3601 50608 5616 6.7534 100764 9244 12.9527 186627 4099046 278621 1.7769 35173 4717 22.7291 9.4125 80369 3428 791 1 273.9514 13.5566 1208 4.142 8942 8.9093 46756 4003 106567 3.4751 1739747 179151 8269 7.6837 41.4569 8.3442 343.0654 15.91 18 108.8103 3.7657 47.0629 28.5273 127.8552 77.8937 1.0596 1435 19.2486 19.8523 60.6678 10.3836 74.3701 4.3977 141.1863 10.1739 26.6434 1050 297.0767 2.9273 340.6449 42.0308 8.0098 107.8843 2.8172 16.9643 50.8241 33.2136 122.9312 86.2548 2.4243 1427 13.8821 3.7463 290.9507 6.4549 255.4713 15.3447 1.4683 959.422 45.916 5.0432 295.4612 173803 19.2268 5.3154 261.678 60.421 1 - 1.a351 1038 18.7167 1171790 162720 353.8302 21 A945 2288 4.6655 9037 1204 0.3726 4.2772 4.2537 0,1252 11.2156 1.5998

Bias (UM) 0.293 0.961 0.054 0.238 0.728 0.225 0.984 0.875 0.007 0.339 0.174 0.661 0.802 0.223 0.536 0.253 0.771 0.822 0.077 0.003 0.093 0.185 0.692 0.055 0.464 0.103 0.471 0.167 0.197 0.028 0.309 0.125 0.01 0.75 0.345 0.231 0.049 0.007 0.206 0.163 0.074 0.005 0.113 0.183 0.138 0.81 1 0.775 0.293 0.241 0.779 0.297 0.297

Dist (UD) 0.556 0.036 0.114 0.738 0.023 0.094 0.002 0.088 0.93 0.094 0.075 0.074 0.04 0.45 0.347 ' 0.1 92 0.1 98 0.107 0.563 0.785 0.706 0.161 0.26 0.81 9 0.52 0.73 0.515 0.237 0.237 0.768 0.156 0.022 0.916 0.077 0.537 0.498 0.637 0.779 0.642 0.027 0.699 0.622 0.884 0.817 0.365 0.176 0.088 0.422 0.731 0.13 0.395 0.435


PMTBUS PMTKFR PMTKUK PMTKUS PMTSJ PMTSLI PMTSUS PMUBJ PMUBUS PMUSJ PMUSUS PXTBKR PXTBSL PXTBT PXTBW PXTKJ PXTKPP PXTKSL PXTKTT PXTKW PXTSKR PXTSSL PXTST PXTSW PXUSCN PXUSTT PXUBW PXUSCN PXUSTT PXUSW QT1 QTlO QTlI QT2 QT3 QT4 QT5 QT6 QT7 QT8 QT9 QTT QTTB Q n K QUB QUDL QUDT QUK QUS QUT I QUTlO QUT11 QUT2 QUT3 OUT4 OUT5 OUT6 OUT7

Actual Mean 2.0203 2.9979 2.0623 2.1037 4.1654 1.5114 2.0203 5.6315 8.4557 9.2873 8.0631 2.2025 1.5232 1.8946 3.4421 5.1929 2.0395 4.6952 1.7604 5.1929 7.4898 3.0669 4.1 172 7.337 5.4599 8.2265 8.9351 5.5877 9.1 999 f 0.559 18669 34905 89404 6963 3147 1742 9703 19958 108.8333 912.3333 46510 232.0212 66.1433 19.572 135.8188 166.4418 134.8113 1.0886 301.2532 5273 315.8333 17730 3986 63457 14338 18326 1750 15885

Predicte!d Std 0.1 851 0.6044 0.191 0.1774 0.4839 0.1216 0.1851 0.9899 0.705 0.9412 1.1263 0.2472 0.3337 0.2359 0.1061 0.637 0.1 145 0.891 1 0.8701 0.637 0.5722 0.7725 0.6252 0.4347 0.4613 1.3714 1.3815 0.354 0.591 5 1.5325 2349 11985 10759 4131 715.4938 468.4743 4576 2958 34.7702 422.5403 3312 23.4237 4.0994 4.3686 2.4551 19.8864 13.8699 0.3771 30.0052 1873 354.4316 3101 1066 8399 2622 2454 548.8765 2132

Mean 2.1086 2.7983 1.8627 1.904 4.2837 1.6297 2.1386 5.9482 8.7725 9.0359 7.8635 2.2908 1.6715 1.9829 3.5304 4.9932 1.8399 4.4956 1.5608 4.9932 7.6081 3.1852 4.2355 7.4553 5.7767 8.5433 9.2519 5.3363 8.9484 10,3075 18013 441 15 101642 7518 3434 2000 9579 17051 102.4491 844.2538 45090 249.3894 66.6062 18.2792 128.188 168.6973 117.2336 0.9625 285.9309 5465 224.3485 19120 4095 63791 14472 18764 1408 15213

Std 0.1507 1.0473 0.7307 0.704 0.2751 0.3376 0.2601 2.4084 1.4611 1.3774 1.5479 0.3754 0.29 0.2006 0 1488 0.0876 0.6841 1.2386 1.2149 . 0.0876 0.3226 0.9472 0.495 0.1 122 1.9115 1.9558 0.164 1.7029 1.8433 0.0807 381.2727 18553 25564 3899 261.4792 68.5486 4012 802.1763 27.4899 395.61 07 2406 53.5322 6.0205 2.3695 6.8498 13.7983 9.3776 0.2445 21.2311 1098 22.9139 2463 179.4428 3610 2088 2005 159.1136 1060

RMS % Error 8.4618 24.8104 33.5159 30.5993 10.5088 27.8486 21.4189 27.8209 16.4958 15.6144 7.7878 6.7883 11.4736 9.591 1 4.7333 12.0157 31.9162 16.1954 12.0157 5.6451 12.4337 10.4016 5.6452 26.2595 18.2787 15.8229 25.1475 15.2784 15.9954 10.085 27.5607 36.5667 17.6518 27.3825 33.579 25.3107 16.1044 12.8133 21.8149 5.9241 14.8949 2.8763 12.9323 6.6506 5.5402 14.224 21.2947 6.0326 23.5974 64.5621 27.2586 20.2482 7.5274 6.275 10.2705 22.9559 7.5944

Bias

Dist

(UM) 0.297 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.052 0.052 0.03 0.097 0.297 0.297 0.297 0.297 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.109 0.647 0.1 59 0.453 0.142 0.27< 0.005 0.618 0.179 0.214 0.233 0.23 0.054 0.266 0.728 0.113 0.766 0.238 0.549 0.036 0.041 0.112 0.015 0.005 0.023 0.059 0.373 0.23

(UD) 0.664 0.266 0.06 0.057 0.906 0.069 0.116 0.035 0.204 0.341 0.384 0.116 0.7 0.694 0.31 2 0.683 0.025 0.441 0.439 0.683 0.857 0.573 0.905 0.885 0.01 1 0.464 0.502 0.039 0.091 0.66 0.414 0.051 0.092 0.506 0.734 0.729 0.987 0.302 0.758 0.786 0.735 0.079 0.174 0.368 0.023 0.747 0.233 0.738 0.393 0.75 0.688 0.449 0.795 0.43 0.823 0.897 0.584 0.528


QUT8 QUT9 RlNXlK RINXTB RlNXTK RfNXTS RINXUB RINXUK RINXUS RIPXTBE RIPXTBJ RIPXTBS RIPXTBUS RIPXTKE RIPXTKJ RIPXTKUS RIPXTSE RlPXTSJ RIPXTSS RIPXTSUS RIPXUBE RIPXUBJ RIPXUBS RIPXUBUS RIPXUKE RIPXUKJ RIPXUKS RIPXUKUS RIPXUSE RIPXUSJ RIPXUSS RIPXUSUS VG 1 VGlO VGll VG2 VG3 VG4 VG5 VG6 VG7 VG8 VG9 VXTBE VXTBJ VXTBS VXTBUS VXTKE VXTKJ VXTKUS VXTSE VXTSJ VXTSS VXTSUS VXUBE VXUBJ VXUBS VXUBUS

Actual Mean 18000 7382 1294439 38045 58902 91296 857772 3626 26016 1.SO17 1.269 2.7362 3.1 584 2.2943 2.3938 3.0488 2.4964 5.3044 3.4337 4.6799 8.9048 10.629 6.8782 10.5398 5.5422 14.7737 5.6862 4.2507 5.7283 12.0269 3.0647 8.1949 3540 32497 31131 1501 17476 5527 3965 2089 2074 5750 3419 1194 22720 1541 705.1667 7376 1814 12030 165.8333 15193 1615 454.3333 4557 59247 7401 11991

Nr.vsij3ldokiorkrcf-pre. doc

Std 2557 1981 182186 11499 14366 36393 237199 962.5016 9450 1.0357 0.2638 0.9765 1.0637 0.3278 0.6048 0.298 0.7525 1.1012 1.6164 0.9815 2.3832 2 -6287 0.7331 1.9688 1.1168 3.4495 2.9444 1.0795 0.7869 3 6102 0.8372 1.7201 541 -4459 3593 431 1 322.8214 1444 1261 527.7818 454.9851 434.8567 1341 438 402 524.4489 2162 415.0526 831 -2096 985 4334 1582 1870 53.931 1 3717 252.7366 350.4562 989.4652 4065 1906 251 1

Predictc?d RMS % Mean Std Error 6.4526 1678 $8125 8019 35.6147 833.4021 14.5154 115690 1390572 6076 56835 75.021 3 28.0808 21445 52178 41911 41.9855 119190 20.4385 908560 1I 1966 98.7779 5319 8748 89.9682 19174 26279 0.9212 12.5524 1.99 14.701 1.3574 0.1 534 0.8807 10.4133 2.8246 5.5609 1.0898 3.2467 26.2839 0.7646 2.0946 25.7175 2.1942 1.0421 0.6898 19.941 2.8492 2.6147 0.5542 19.8558 5.4227 0.9046 8.6435 1.3124 21.3944 3.552 0.7442 10.3351 4.7982 1.2007 9.2215 16.1309 1.4551 10.9458 13.3406 1.9067 7.1 95 20.9969 13.205 1.0189 10.8565 1.1168 0 . 5.5422 14.7737 0. 3.4495 2.9444 0 . 5.6862 0 . 4.2507 1.0795 23.0101 5.4769 2.0361 2.5777 16.4293 11.7755 2.81 33 1.8562 62.5938 21 6 5 4 7.9435 1.9931 15.7054 3171 57.1987 1922 27.6217 24066 31.6991 8027 40228 $476 15.3154 117.5419 942.6615 37667 3.9029 652.6061 27.5024 5655 249.0697 7.6722 3980 15.6878 t813 168.1576 25.3363 2223 109.8668 8.3441 5290 971.2604 3427 445.9466 20.1579 220.8029 68.6175 1209 1740 9.9505 23578 364.0451 3498 33.3734 858.813 7186 489.3231 1592 6941 14.7451 1401 39.9833 1454 11041 1034 16.6906 36.9216 158.8891 37.7109 3215 15704 12.2526 393.0184 1722 33.9894 94.2059 489.7681 47.5339 454.2256 4834 18.844 6.2689 2560 57628 17.7269 1431 6609 27.2898 3252 9587

0.707 0.116 0.293 0.792 0.168 0.557 0.083 0.552 0 0.297 0.297 0.297 0.297 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052

Reg (UR) 0.14 0.019 0.024 0.003 0.46 0.117 0.046 0.434 0.786 0.383 0.195 0.25 0.041 0.738 0.631 0.74 0.042 0.092 0.429 0.154 0.303 0.335 0.831 0.04

Dist (UD) 0.152 0.865 0.683 0.205 0.372 0.326 0.871 0.014 0.214 0.32 0.508 0.453 0.662 0.165 0.272 0.163 0.864 0.61 5 0.477 0.753 0.645 0.613 0.117 0.909

0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.362 0.76 0.815 0.011 0.091 0.009 0.003 0.512 0.143 0.634 0 0.001 0.148 0.006 0.085 0.2 0.474 0.259 0.01 1 0.075 0.049 0.076 0.201 0.175 0.28 0.531

0.851 0.224 0.775 0.301 0.001 0.19 0.149 0.214 0.333 0.237 0.381 0.413 0.03 0.332 0.731 0.002 0.162 0.548 0.069 0.528 0.007 0.05 0.455 0.001 0.743 0.029 0.433 0.051 0.006 0.196

0.119 0.747 0.195 0.67 0.637 0.05 0.036 0.775 0.576 0.754 0.616 0.075 0.827 0.034 0.269 0.997 0.69 0.446 0.845 0.271 0.519 0.691 0.534 0.924 0.208 0.895 0.366 0.775 0.714 0.273

Bias

(UM)


VXUKE VXUKJ VXUKS VXUKUS VXUSE VXUSJ VXUSS VXUSUS XTBKR XTBRl XTBSL XTBT XTBW XTKJ XTKPP XTKRI XTKSL XTKTT XTKW XTSKR XTSRI XTSSL XTST XTSW XUBCN XUBRI XU BTT XUBW XUKRl XUSCN XUSRl XUSTT

xusw YUTl YUTZ YUT3 Y UT4 YUT5

ActualI Mean Std 56.322 193.8333 7.9352 24.1667 234.8333 68.1716 135.7257 255.3333 164.2324 253.3333 381.0652 1045 1173 3592 26.6439 40.5 11.0081 152.9167 3.846 37.2 25.2765 103.9333 111.6748 477.2 98,1493 1150 3.0883 19.4167 115.4 20.3574 32.0975 9.2543 16.3275 66.05 576.3167 54.373 508.2167 66.0261 11.0081 152.9167 21 5 5 4.5196 25.2765 103,9333 477.2 111.6748 1150 98.1493 22.159 82.1 333 1.6306 90.55 145.9167 39.5762 1021 53.093 1.05 0.3728 21.0846 83.3333 5.t167 0.7653 116.5333 35.8074 953.4?67 47.7825 38664 10892 72271 7770 t 564 3413 2382 579.7485 833.6565 18064

Predicted RMS 56 Mean Std Error 183.3524 52.1788 26.1706 23.3483 5.1891 34.6102 28.5371 165.1927 57.5713 140.1 129 50.3003 42.8794 31.961 8 196.0294 65.9401 946.5735 295.1414 20.525 3218 21.6113 363.757 35.4267 5.7419 50.7664 15.204 171.4969 8.817 5.3179 38.1853 4.3278 35.1411 105.3294 5.2668 1.a235 474.7915 t16.2162 1168 109.0861 3.1503 13.8605 7.0192 54.7381 6.5494 15.3879 113.9984 20.1632 2.0578 37.1127 63.3415 18.5302 22.8317 4.317 576.1596 41.3683 486.459 49.3801 9.0399 8.9278 158.4364 1.5362 22.1979 5.7167 9.2361 34.0522 106.1414 5.1105 1.5461 474.6802 109.7307 2.5711 1156 98.6034 85.7708 15.2282 14.2391 5.7907 86.0123 4.0416 5.7823 143.3046 42.91 1 t .5828 1017 66.6568 0.8738 0.3617 21.5274 85.6448 10.6801 13.8152 4.583 1.5989 29.351 1 37.3801 10.1105 109.9659 902.5604 65.2181 6.0142 49.3822 20558 9683 6.3183 72369 5878 30.71 1 627.3393 3185 6.0857 2377 539.1 188 18745 1513 6.3299

Bias (UM) 0.034 0.008 0.528 0.675 0.173 0.127 0.098 0.034 0.745 0.26 0.003 0 113 0.265 0.001 0.03 0.617 0.052 0 0.128 0.219 0.094 0008 0.122 0.04 0.081 0.766 0.087 0.051 0.764 0.034 0.142 0.31 6 0.81 1 0.841 0 0.039 0.002 0.353

Dist (UD) 0.712 0.613 0.449 0.05 0.743 0.863 0.865 0.78 0.199 0.583 0.777 0.533 0.578 0.042 0.853 0.25 0.705 0.948 0.872 0.7 0.489 0.9 0.832 0.931 0.885. 0.02 0.725 0.245 0.236 0.715 0.196 0.628 0.077 0.145 0.999 0.854 0.966 0.173

Larnpiran 6. Kebijakan Historis Model Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Tahun 1990 - 1995 Instrumen Kebijakan Fiskal (GUT)

: GUT = 1.2*GUT;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Moneter (I)

: I

= I - (0.2*1);

lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Kapal (VG) Vl1 = V12 = V13 = V14 = V15 = V16 = V17 = V18 = V19 = V110= V111=

l.O*VIl ; 1.O*V12 ; 1.O*V13 ; 1.O*V14 ; l.O"V15 ; 1.O*V16 ; 1.O*V17 ; 1.O*V18 ; 1.O*V19 ; 1.O*V110 ; 1.0*Vlll ;

V21 = 1.0*V21 ; V31 = V22 = 1.O*V22 ; V32 = V23 = 1.O*V23 ; V33 = V24 = 1.O*V24 ; V34 = V25 = 1.O*V25 ; V35 = V26 = 1.O*V26 ; V36 = V27 = 1.O*V27 ; V37 = V28 = 1.O*V28 ; V38 = V29 = 1.O*V29 ; V39 = V210= I.O*V210 ; V310= V211= I.O*V211 ;V311=

lnstrurnen Kebijakan Perluasan Areal 20% (LA)

1.2*V31 ; 1.2*V32 ; 1.2*V33 ; 1.2*V34 ; 1.2*V35 ; 1.2*V36 ; 1.2*V37 ; 1.2*V38 ; 1.2*V39 ; 1.2*V310 ; 1.2*V311 ;

:

lnstrurnen Kebijakan Penurunan Harga Es 20% (ES) dan Penurunan Harga Sewa Cold Storage 20% (CS) : ES = 0.8*ES; COLD = 0.8'COLD; lnstrumen Kebijakan Kombinasi : GUT = 1.2*GUT; I = I - (0.2*1); V11 = l . O * V I l ; V12 = 1.O*V12 ; V13 = 1.O*V13 ; V14 = l.O'V14 ; V15 = 1.O*V15 ; V16 = 1.0*V16 ; V17 = 1.O*V17 ; REL Xf-S3IdokrorILpr_6A.DOC

V21 V22 V23 V24 V25 V26 V27

= I.O*V21 ; V31 = = 1.O*V22 ; V32 = = 1.OW23 ; V33 = = 1.O*V24 ; V34 = = 1.O*V25 ; V35 = = 1.0*V26 = 1.0*V27

1.2*V3? 1.2*V32 1.2*V33 1.2*V34 1.2*V35 ; V36 = 1.2*V36 ; V37 = 1.2*V37

; ; ; ; ; ; ;


V41 = 1.2*V41 ; V51 = 1.2*V51 ; V61 = V42 = 1.2*V42 ; V52 = 1.2*V52 ; V62 = V43 = 1.2*V43 ; V53 = 1.2*V53 ; V63 = V44 = 1.2'V44 ; V54 = 1.2*V54 ; V64 = V45 = 1.2V45 ; V55 = 1.2*V55 : V65 = V46 = 1.2*V46 ; V56 = 1.2*V56 ; V66 = V47 = 1.2*V47 ; V57 = 1.2*V57 ; V67 = V48 = 1.2*V48 ; V58 = 1.2*V58 ; V68 = V49 = 1.2*V49 ; V59 = 1.2*V59 ; V69 = V41 O= 1.2'V410 ; V51 O= 1.2*V510 ; V61 O= V411= 1.2*V411 ; V511= 1.2*V511 ; V611= ES = 0.8*ES; COLD = 0.8*COLD;

REI'SI~S3ldokroriLpr~6A DOC

1.2*V61 ; V71 = 1.2*V62 ; V72 = 1.2*V63 ; V73 = 1.2*V64 ; V74 = 1.2*V65 ; V75 = 1.2*V66 ; V76 = 1.2*V67 ; V77 = 1.2*V68 ; V78 = 1.2*V69 ; V79 = 1.2*V610 ; V71O= 1.2*V611 ; V711=

Lampiran 7. lnstrumen Kebijakan Krisis Ekonorni dan Liberalisasi Perdagangan lnstrumen Kebijakan Liberalisasi Normal (R-NORM) RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS

= 0 ;RTSUS = 0;RTBSP = 0;RUSJ = 0;RUBUS = 0;RUKS

= 0;RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0;RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0;RUSUS = 0 ; RUSS = 0;RUBS = 0; RUBE = O ;RUKE = O ;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Krisis Ekonomi (KRIS-EK)

= 0;RTBJ = 0; = 0;RTKUS= 0; = 0;RUSE = 0; = 0;RUKJ = 0;

: E = 3*E; I = 2-1;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Liberalisasi Krisis EkonomiKE) E = 3*E; I = 2*1; RTSJ = 0;RTSUS RTBUS = 0;RTBSP RTKKE = 0;RUSJ RUBJ = 0;RUBUS RUKUS = 0;RUKS

= 0;RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0 ;RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0;RUSUS = 0 ; RUSS = 0;RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0;RUKE = 0;

= 0;RTBJ = 0;RTKUS = 0 ;RUSE = 0;RUKJ

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Liberalisasi Pasca Krisis Ekonorni Khusus (U-LPKEC) : E = 3*E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS

I = 0.5*1; = 0;RTSUS = 0;RTBSP = 0 ;RUSJ = 0;RUBUS = 0;RUKS

RE1 XI-SJidokror lLp+

DOC

= 0;RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0;RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0;RUSUS = 0 ; RUSS = 0;RUBS = 0; RUBE = O ; RUKE = O ;

= 0;RTBJ = 0; = 0:RTKUS= 0; = 0;RUSE = 0; = 0;RUKJ = 0;

Lampiran 8. Kebijakan Peramalan Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005 lnstrumen Kebijakan Produski General (E-KMBG) : lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal : lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 5% : E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0;RUKJ = 0; RUBJ RUKUS = 0;RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; V11 = 1.O*Vl I ; V21 = 1.O*V21 ; V31 = I.05*V31 ; V12 = 1.O*V12 ; V22 = 1.O*V22 ; V32 = 1.05*V32 ; V13 = 1.O*V13 ; V23 = 1.O*V23 ; V33 = 1.05*V33 ; V14 = 1.O*V14 ; V24 = 1.O*V24 ; V34 = I.05*V34 ; V15 = 1.O*V15 ; V25 = 1.O"V25 ; V35 = 1.05*V35 ; V16 = 1.O*V16 ; V26 = 1.O'V26 ; V36 = 1.05*V36 ; V17 = 1.O*VI 7 ; V27 = 1.O*V27 ; V37 = 1.05*V37 ; V18 = 1.O*V18 ; V28 = 1.O*V28 ; V38 = 1.05*V38 ; V19 = 1.O*V19 ; V29 = 1.O*V29 ; V39 = I.05*V39 ; V110= l.O*VIlO ; V210= 1.0*V210 ; V310= 1.05*V310 ; V111= 1.O'VlIl ; V211= I.O*V211 ; V311= 1.05*V311 ;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 10% E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ =O;RTSUS =O;RTSSP =O; RTSE =O;RTBJ =O; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0;RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; V11 = 1.O*Vl I ; V21 = 1.O*V21 ; V31 = 1.10*V31 ; V12 = 1.0*V12 ; V22 = 1.0*V22 ; V32= 1.10*V32 ; V13= 1.0*V13 ; V23=1.0*V23 ;V33=1.10*V33 ;


lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 20% : E = 3*E; I = 0.57; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ =O; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; V11 = 1.O*Vll ; V21 = 1.O*V21 ; V31 = 1.20*V31 ; V12 = 1.OeV12 ; V22 = 1.OW22 ; V32 = 1.20*V32 ; V13 = l.O'V13 ; V23 = 1.0*V23 ; V33 = 1.2O*V33 ; V14 = 1.O*V14 ; V24 = 1.O*V24 ; V34 = I.20*V34 ; V15 = 1.O*V15 ; V25 = 1.O*V25 ; V35 = 1.20*V35 ; V16 = 1.O*V16 ; V26 = 1.O*V26 ; V36 = 1.20*V36 ; V17 = I.OW17 ; V27 = 1.O*V27 ; V37 = 1.20*V37 ; V.18 = 1.O*VI8 ; V28 = 1.O*V28 ; V38 = I.20*V38 ; V19 = 1.O*V19 ; V29 = 1.O*V29 ; V39 = I.20aV39 ; V l 1 0 = 1.OW110 ; V210= 1.0*V210 ; V310= 1.20*V310 ; V111= 1.O*V111 ; V211= l.O"V211 ;V311= 1.20*V311 ;

REi'SIIS3\doktor\Lpr-6A. DOC

Larnpiran 9. lnstrurnen Kebijkan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Tuna lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Tuna 5% E = 3-E; I = 0.5-1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS RTBUS = 0; RTBSP RTKKE = 0; RUSJ RUBJ = 0; RUBUS RUKUS = 0; RUKS PSI = 1.05*PSI; PS2 = 1.05*PS2; PS3 = 1.05*PS3; PS6 = 1.05*PS6; PS7 = 1.05*PS7; PS8 = 1.05*PS8; PS9 = 1.05*PS9; PSlO= 1.05*PSIO; P S I 1= 0.95'PSl I;

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;

RTSSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUKE = 0;

RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; RTBJ = 0; = 0; RTKUS= 0; = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUKJ = 0;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Tuna 10% E = 3*E; 1 = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0;RTSUS RTBUS = 0; RTBSP RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0;RUBUS RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS PS1 = 1.10*PS1; PS2 = 1.1O"PS2; PS3 = 1.1O*PS3; PS6 = 1.1O"PS6; PS7 = 1.1O"PS7; PS8 = 1.1O"PS8; PS9 = 1.1O"PS9; PSlO= 1.10-PSIO; PSI I = 0.90*PS11; PC1 =1.10*PC1 ; REVSI~S3ldohIorlLpr~6A DOC

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;

RTSSP = 0; RTSE RTBE = 0; RTKJ RUSUS = 0; RUSS RUBS = 0; RUBE RUKE = 0;

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;

RTBJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RUSE = 0; RUKJ = 0;


lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Tuna 15% E = 3.E; I = 0.5'1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS RTBUS = 0; RTBSP RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0;RUBUS RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS PSI = 1.15'PSl; PS2 = 1.15*PS2; PS3 = 1.15*PS3; PS6 = 1.I 5*PS6; PS7 = I .15*PS7; PS8 = 1.15*PS8; PS9 = I. 15'PS9; PS10= 1.15'PSlO; P S I 1= 0.85*PS11; PC1 = 1.15'PCl ; PC2 = 1.I 5*PC2 ; PC3 = I . 15'PC3 ; PC4 = 1.15'PC4 ; PC5 = 1.15'PC5 ; PC6 = 0.85*PC6 ; PC7 = 1.15*PC7 ; PC8 = 1.15*PC8 : PC9 = 1.15*PC9 ; PC10 = 1.15*PCIO ; PC11 = 1.15'PCll ; J15 = 1.15*J15 ;

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;


RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; RTBJ = 0; = 0;RTKUS= 0; = 0;RUSE = 0; = 0;RUKJ = 0;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Tuna 20% E = 3*E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE

1 = 0.5'1; = 0;RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; = 0; RUSJ = 0 ;RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0;

Lampiran 9. Lanjutan RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE P S I = 1.20*PS1; PS2 = 1.20*PS2; PS3 = 1.20ePS3; PS6 = 1.20*PS6; PS7 = 1.20*PS7; PS8 = 1.20ePS8; PS9 = 1.20*PS9; PSlO= 1.20'PSlO; P S I 1= 0.80'PSll; PC1 = 1.20*PC1 ; PC2 = 1.20*PC2 : PC3 = 1.20ePC3 ; PC4 = 1.20*PC4 ; PC5 = 1.20ePC5 ; PC6 = 0.80*PC6 ; PC7 = 1.20*PC7 ; PC8 = 1.20*PC8 ; PC9 = I.20*PC9 ; PC10 = 1.20*PC10 ; PC11 = 1.20*PCI I ;

REl'S/-S3ldok/urlLp~6ilil DOC

= 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; = 0;

Lampiran 10. lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal dan Alat Tangkap Tuna 20% lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal5% dan Alat Tangkap Tuna 20%

E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS RTBUS = 0; RTBSP RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS P S I = 1.2O*PSl; PS2 = 1.20*PS2; PS3 = 1.20*PS3; PS6 = 1.20*PS6; PS7 = 1.20*PS7; PS8 = 1.20*PS8; PS9 = 1.20*PS9; PSlO= 1.20*PS10; P S I I= 0.80*PS11;

= 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE. = 0; RTBJ = 0; = 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;

RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKE = 0;

V12 = 1.O*V12 ; V22 = 1.O*V22 ; V32 = 7.05*V32 ; V13 = 1.O*V13 ; V23 = 1 .O*V23 ; V33 = 1.05*V33 ; V14 = 1.O*V14 ; V24 = 1.O*V24 ; V34 = 1.05*V34 ; V15 = 1.O*V15 ; V25 = 1.O*V25 ; V35 = I.05*V35 ; V16 = 1.O*V16 ; V26 = 1.O*V26 ; V36 = 1.05*V36 ; V17 = 1.O*V17 ; V27 = 1.O*V27 ; V37 = 1.05*V37 ; V18 = 1.O*V18 ; V28 = 1.O*V28 ; V38 = I.05*V38 ; V19 = 1.O*V19 ; V29 = 1.O*V29 ; V39 = 1.05*V39 ; V11O= 1.O*V110 ; V21 O= 1.O*V210 ; V31 O= 1.05*V310 ; V111= 1.O*V111 ; V211= I.O*V211 ; V311= 1.05*V31-l ; V41 = 1.05V41 ; V51 = 1.05"V51 : V61 = 1.05*V61 ; V71 V42 = 1.05*V42 ; V52 = 1.05"V52 ; V62 = 1.05*V62 ; V72 V43 = 1.05'V43 ; V53 = 1.05*V53 ; V63 = 1.05*V63 ; V73 V44 = 1.05*V44 ; V54 = 1.05*V54 ; V64 = 1.05*V64 ; V74 V45 = 1.05*V45 ; V55 = 1.05*V55 ; V65 = 1.05*V65 ; V75 V46 = 1.05*V46 ; V56 = 1.05*V56 ; V66 = 1.05*V66 ; V76 V47 = 1.05*V47 ; V57 = 1.05*V57 ; V67 = 1.05*V67 ; V77 REilvl_S31dohrorlLprr6A DOC

= 1.05*V71 ; = 1.05*V72 ; = = = = =

1.05*V73 1.05*V74 1.05*V75 1.05*V76 1.05*V77

;

; ; ; ;


lnstrurnen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 10% dan Alat Tangkap Tuna 20% E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ =O; RUBUS =O; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PSI = I.209PS1; PS2 = I.20*PS2; PS3 = 1.209PS3; PS6 = 1.20*PS6; PS7 = 1.20*PS7; PS8 = 1.20*PS8; PS9 = 1.20*PS9; PSlO= 1.2O9PS10; PS?I = 0.80*PS11; PC1 = 1.2O*PCl ; PC2 = I.20*PC2 ; PC3 = 1.20*PC3 ; PC4 = 1.20*PC4 ; PC5 = ?.20*PC5 ; PC6 = 0.809PC6 ; PC7 = 1.20*PC7 ; PC8 = 1.20*PC8 ; PC9 = 1.209PC9 ; PC10 = 1.20*PC10 ; PC11 = 1.20*PC11 ; J15 = 1.20*J15 ; V11 = I.O*Vl I ; V21 = l.O"V21 ; V31 = 1.10*V31 ; V12 = 1.0*V12 ; V22 = 1.0eV22 ; V32 = 1.10*V32 ; V13=1.0*V13 ; V23=1.09V23 ;V33=1.10*V33 ; V14 = 1.0*V14 ; V24 = 1.0*V24 ; V34 = 1.10*V34 ; V15 = 1.O*V15 ; V25 = 1.O*V25 ; V35 = 1.10*V35 ; V16 = 4 .O*V16 ; V26 = 1.09V26 ; V36 = 1.I OW36 ; V17= I.O*V17 ; V 2 7 = 1.0*V27 ; V 3 7 = 1.10*V37 ; V18 = 1.0*V18 ; V28 = I.O'V28 ; V38 = 1.1O*V38 ; V19=1.0*V19 ; V29=1.0*V29 ; V 3 9 = l . l O * V 3 9 ; V110= I.O*Vf 10 ; V210= 1.O*V210 ; V310= 1.10*V310 ; V111= ?.O*V311 ; V211= I.O"V21T ; V311= 1.10*V311 ; V41 = 1.10*V41 ; V51 = 1.10*V51 ;V61 = 1.10*V61 ; V71 =1.1O*V71 ;

REI~SI-S3ldokfurIQr-6.4DOC


Instrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 15% dan Alat Tangkap Tuna 20%

E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS RTBUS = 0; RTBSP RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS PSI = ?.20*PS1; PS2 = 1.20*PS2; PS3 = 1.20*PS3; PS6 = 1.20nPS6; PS7 = 1.20*PS7; PS8 = 1.20fPS8; PS9 = 1.20*PS9; PSI o= 1.2O*PSlO; PSI I = 0.80*PSIl;

= 0; RTSSP = 0; = 0; RTBE = 0; = 0; RUSUS = 0; = 0; RUBS = 0; = 0; RUKE = 0;

RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;



Instrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal20% dan Alat Tangkap Tuna 20% E = 3*E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS

1 = 0.5*1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; = 0;RTBSP = 0; = 0; RUSJ = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; = 0;RUKS = 0; P S I = 1.20*PS1; PS2 = 1.20*PS2; PS3 = 1.20*PS3; PS6 = 1.20*PS6; PS7 = 1.20*PS7; PS8 = 1.20*PS8; PS9 = 1.20*PS9; PSlO= 1.20*PS10; PSI I = 0.80*PS1 I;


RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; = 0; = 0; =O;



REI~Sl~S3\doXrorlLpr-M. DOC

Larnpiran 11. Instrumen Kebijkan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Udang lnstrurnen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Udang 5% E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PU1 = 0.95*PU1 ; P K I = I.05*PK1 ; PKIO = 0.95*PK10 ; PU2 = 0.95*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.95*PK2 ; P K I 1 = 1.05*PKI 1 ; PU3 = 1.05*PU3 : PK3 = 1.05*PK3 ; PU4 = 1.05*PU4 ; PK4 = 1.05*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.95*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.05*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.95*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.05*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.95*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.95*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.05*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.95*PK8 ; PU3 I = 1.05'PUIl; PK9 = I.05*PK9 ;

lnstrurnen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Udang 10% E = 3'E; I = 0.5*1;

RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0;RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PUI = 0.90*PU1 ; PKI = I.lO*PKI ; PKIO = 0.90*PK10 ; PU2 = 0.90*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.90-PK2 ; P K l I= 1.10*PK11 ; PU3 = 1.10*PU3 ; PK3 = 1.10*PK3 ; PU4 = ? .10*PU4 ; PK4 = ?.10*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.90*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.10*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.90*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.10*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.90*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.90*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.I 0*PU8 ; PK8 = O.gO*PKS ; PU11=1.10*PU11; PK9 =1.10*PK9 ;

REP'SI-S3Idoklor\Lpr_6A.DOC

Lampiran 11. Lanjutan lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Udang 15% E = 3*E; 1 = 0.5'1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PU1 = 0.85'PUI ; P K I = 1.I 5'PKl ; PKIO = 0.85'PKIO ; PU2 = 0.85*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.85*PK2 ; P K l I= 1.15*PKI 1 ; PU3 = 1.15*PU3 ; PK3 = 1.15*PK3 ; PU4 = ?.15*PU4 ; PK4 = 1.15*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.85*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.15'PK5 ; PU6 = 0.85'PU6 ; PK6 = 1.15*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.85*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.85'PK7 ; PU8 = 1.15*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.85'PK8 ; P u l l = 1.15"PUll; PK9 = 1.15"PKg ;

lnstrurnen Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat Tangkap Udang 20% E = 3"E; I = 0.5'1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTSJ RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PU1 = 0.80'PUl ; P K I = 1.20'PKl ; PKIO = 0.80*PK10 ; PU2 = 0.80*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.80*PK2 ; P K l I= 1.20*PKll ; PU3 = 1.20*PU3 ; PK3 = 1.20'PK3 ; PU4 = 1.20*PU4 ; PK4 = 1.20*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.80*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.20*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.80*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.20*PK6 ; PU7 = O.BO"PU7 ; PK7 = 0.80*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.20*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.80'PKB ; PU1I = 1.20'PUl I; PK9 = 1.20*PK9 ;

REVSIIS31doXror\Lpr-6:L.DOC

Larnpiran 12 lnstrurnen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jurnlah Kapal dan Alat Tangkap Udang 20% lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jurnlah Kapal5% dan Alat Tangkap Udang 20% E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; P U I = 0.80"PUl ; P K I = 1.20*PKI ; PKIO = 0.80*PK10 ; PU2 = 0.80ePU2 ; PK2 = 0.80*PK2 ; PK11 = 1.2O'PKl I ; PU3 = 1.20*PU3 ; PK3 = 1.20*PK3 ; PU4 = I.20*PU4 ; PK4 = 1.20*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.80*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.20*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.80*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.20*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.80*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.80*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.20*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.80*PK8 ; PU1I = 1.20*PU11; PK9 = 1.20*PK9 ;

RElSl-S3\ilokror\Lpr_61DOC

Lampiran 12. Lanjutan lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 10% dan Alat Tangkap Udang 20% E = 3-E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ =O;RTSUS =O;RTSSP =O; RTSE =O;RTBJ =O; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PU1 = 0.80'PUl ; PKI = 1.20*PK1 ; PKIO = 0.80*PKI 0 ; PU2 = 0.80*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.80*PK2 ; P K l I= 1.20*PKlI ; PU3 = 1.20*PU3 ; PK3 = 1.20*PK3 ; PU4 = 1.20*PU4 ; PK4 = 1.20*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.80*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.20*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.80*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.20*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.80*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.80*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.20*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.80CPK8 ; P u l l = 1.20*PU11; PK9 = 1.20*PK9 ;

REI 3I~S3ldoktorlLpr-6.4.DOC

Lampiran 12. Lanjutan lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 15% dan Alat Tangkap Udang 20% E = 3"E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUBJ RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PU1 = 0.80'PUl ; P K I = 1.20*PKI ; PKIO = 0.80*PK10 ; PU2 = 0.80*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.80*PK2 ; PK1I= 1.20*PK1I ; PU3 = 1.20-PU3 ; PK3 = 1.20*PK3 ; PU4 = 1.20"PU4 ; PK4 = 1.20*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.80*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.20*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.80*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.20*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.80*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.80*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.20*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.80*PK8 ; P u l l = 1.20*PU11; PK9 = 1.20*PK9 ;

Lampiran 12. Lanjutan lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Jumlah Kapal 20% dan Alat Tangkap Udang 20% E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; PU1 = 0.80*PU1 ; P K I = 1.20*PK1 ; PK3O = 0.80'PKIO ; PU2 = 0.80*PU2 ; PK2 = 0.80*PK2 ; P K l I= 1.20*PKl I ; PU3 = 1.20*PU3 ; PK3 = 1.20*PK3 ; PU4 = 1.20*PU4 ; PK4 = 1.20*PK4 ; PU5 = 0.80*PU5 ; PK5 = 1.20*PK5 ; PU6 = 0.80*PU6 ; PK6 = 1.20*PK6 ; PU7 = 0.80*PU7 ; PK7 = 0.80*PK7 ; PU8 = 1.20*PU8 ; PK8 = 0.80*PK8 ; P U l ? = 1.20*PU1 1; PK9 = 1.20*PK9 ; JI1 = 1.2O'Jll ; J16 = 1.20*J16 ; J12 = 0.80*J12 ; J17 = 0.80*JI7 ; J13 = 1.20eJ13 ; J18 = 0.80*J18 ; J14 = 1.20*J14 ; J19 = 1.20*J19 ; J15 = 1.20*J15 ; V11 = l.O'V.11 ; V21 = 1.0*V21 ; V31 = 1.20*V31 ; V12 = 1.O*V12 ; V22 = 1.O*V22 ; V32 = 1.20*V32 : V13 = 1.O*V13 ; V23 = 1.O*V23 ; V33 = 1.20*V33 ; V14 = 1.O*V14 ; V24 = 1.0*V24 ; V34 = 1.20*V34 ; V15 = 1.O*V15 ; V25 = I.O*V25 ; V35 = 1.20*V35 ; V16 = 1.O*V16 ; V26 = 1.O*V26 ; V36 = 1.20*V36 ; V17 = 1.O*V17 ; V27 = 1.O*V27 ; V37 = 1.20*V37 ; V18 = 1.O*V18 ; V28 = 1.O*V28 ; V38 = 1.20*V38 ; V19 = 1.O*V19 ; V29 = 1.0*V29 ; V39 = 1.20*V39 ; V110= l.O*VIlO ; V210= I.O*V210 ; V310= 1.20*V310 ; V111= I . O * V l I l ; V211= I.O*V211 ; V311= 1.20*V311 ;

R E I SI-S3idokforlLpr6.4 DOC

Lampiran 13. lnstrumen Kebijakan menaikan Areal Tambak dan Bibit Udang lnstrumen Kebijakan menaikan Areal Tambak dan Bibit Udang 5% E = 3-E; I = 0.5-1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUB3 = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; BI1 = 1.05*Bll; LA1 = 1.05"LAl; BIZ = 3.05'BIZ; LA2 = 1.05-LA2; B13 = I.05*B13; LA3 = 1.05-LA3; B14 = 1.05*B14; LA4 = 1.05-LA4; B15 = 1.05*B15; LA5 = 1.05-LA5;

RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;


lnstrumen Kebijakan menaikan Aareal Tambak dan Bibit Udang 10% E = 3-E; I = 0.5'1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSJ RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; B l l = 1.1O*B11; LA1 = l.IO*LAl; 812 = I.lO'B12; LA2 = I.lO'LA2; 813 = 3.10-813; LA3 = I.lO'LA3; B14 = l.lO"B14; LA4 = 1.10-LA4; B15 = I.lO'B15; LA5 = l.lO'LA5;

RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;


lnstrumen Kebijakan menaikan Areal Tambak dan Bibit Udang 15% E = 3*E; I = 0.57; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0; RUKE = 0; 811 = 1.15*811; LA1 = 1.15*LA1; BIZ = 1.15*B12; LA2 = 1.15-LA2; B13 = 1.15*B13; LA3 = 3.15-LA3; 814 = 1.15-B14; LA4 = 1.15'LA4; B15 = 1.15*B15; LA5 = 1.75-LA5; lnstrumen Kebijakan menaikan Areal Tambak dan Bibit Udang 20% E = 3*E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ

I = 0.5'1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS

= 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE

= 0; RTBJ = 0;

= 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ = 0;


= 0; RUKE RUKUS = 0; RUKS 611 = 1.20*811; LA1 = 1.20*LA1; 812 = 1.20*B12; LA2 = 1.20*LA2; B13 = 1.20*813; LA3 = 1.20*LA3; 314 = 1.20*814; LA4 = 1.20*LA4; 815 = 1.20*815; LA5 = 1.20eLA5;

= 0;

Lampiran 14. Kebijakan Perarnalan Kornbinasi Produksi Revised (E-KOMSR) Perikanan lndonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005

Ekonorni

Sarna dengan kebijakan produksi general, tetapi dengan perubahan sebagai berikut : VG2, VG7, dan VGlO yang dalarn sirnulasi general dinaikan (karena responya positif terhadap alat tangkap udang), rnaka dalam sirnulasi revise jumlah alat tangkap udang diturunkan. Lampiran 15. Kebijakan Perarnalan Produksi Selected (E-KMBS) lndonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005

Wilayah (Produk) Barat Sumatera ( W l ) Selatan Jawa (W2) Selat Malaka (W3) Tirnur Sumatera (W4) Utara Jawa (W5) Selatan Bali NTT (W6) Barat Selatan Kalirnantan (W) Tirnur Kalirnantan (W8) Selatan Sulawesi (W9) Utara Sulawesi (W10) Maluku lrian Jaya (W11) Bati NTT (WC) Surnatera (WA) Kalirnantan (WQ) Jawa (WB) Sulawesi (WE)

REI'Sl-S3ldokroriLpr-6A DOC

Kenaikan Alat tangkap tuna dan kapal T4 K4 T4 K1 T4 K1 T4 K1 T4 K4 T4 K4 T4 K1 T4 K4 T4 K1 T4 K1 T4 K4

Ekonorni Perikanan

Kebijakan Kenaikan Alat tangkap udang dan kapal UL4 K 4 UL4 K 1 UL4 K I UL4 K 1 UL4 K 4 UL4 K 4 UL4 K ? UL4 K 4 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 4

Perluasan Areal dan bibit ikan

Y4 Y4 Y4 Y4 Y4

Lampiran 16. ,Kebijakan Peramalan Kenaikan Anggaran Pembangunan (GUT) Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Tahun 1999 2005

-

lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Anggaran Pembangunan 5% E = 3"E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS GUT

I = 0.5'1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUKS = 1.05'GUT;


RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE


lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Anggaran Pembangunan 10% E = 3'E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS GUT

I = 0.5*1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUKS = l.?O*GUT;

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;


RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; RTBJ = 0; = 0;RTKUS= 0; = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0; RUKJ = 0;

lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Anggaran Pembangunan 15% E = 3'E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS GUT

I = 0.5*1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUKS = 1.I 5*GUT;


RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE


lnstrumen Kebijakan Kenaikan Anggaran Pembangunan 20% E = 3"E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS GUT

I = 0.5-1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTBSP = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUKS = ?.20*GUT;

REI.Sl-S3ldoArorlLpr-6A. DOC

= 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; = 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ = 0; = 0;RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; = 0; RUKE = 0;


Lampiran 17. Kebijakan Peramalan penurunan Harga Es dan Sewa Cold Storage (AGRO) Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005 lnstrumen Kebijakan penurunan Harga Es dan Sewa Cold Storage 5% E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ = 0; RTSUS = 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE RTBUS = 0; RTBSP = 0;RTBE = 0; RTKJ RTKKE = 0; RUSJ = 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS RUBJ = 0; RUBUS = 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE RUKUS = 0; RUKS = 0;RUKE = 0; ES = 0.95*ES; COLD = 0.95*COLD;


lnstrumen Kebijakan penurunan Harga Es dan Sewa Cold Storage 10% E = 3*E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS ES COLD

I = 0.5*1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; = 0; RTBSP = 0; = 0; RUSJ = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; = 0; RUKS = 0; = 0.90*ES; = 0.90*COLD;

RTSSP = 0; RTSE RTBE = 0; RTKJ RUSUS = 0 ; RUSS RUBS = 0; RUBE RUKE = 0;


lnstrumen Kebijakan penurunan Harga Es dan Sewa Cold Storage 15% E = 3'E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS ES COLD

I = 0.5*l; = 0; RTSUS = 0; = 0; RTBSP = 0; = 0; RUSJ = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; = 0; RUKS = 0; = 0.85*ES; = 0.85*COLD;


RTSE RTKJ RUSS RUBE

= 0; = 0; = 0; = 0;


lnstrurnen Kebijakan penurunan Harga Es dan Sewa Cold Storage 20% E = 3'E; RTSJ RTBUS RTKKE RUBJ RUKUS ES COLD

I = 0.5*1; = 0; RTSUS = 0; = 0; RTBSP = 0; = 0; RUSJ = 0; = 0; RUBUS = 0; = 0; RUKS = 0; = 0.80*ES; = 0.80'COLD;

REI~SI~S31rlobrorILpr-6A DOC

RTSSP = 0; RTSE RTBE = 0; RTKJ RUSUS = 0; RUSS RUBS = 0; RUBE RUKE = 0;

= 0; RTBJ = 0; = 0;RTKUS= 0; = 0; RUSE = 0; = 0;RUKJ = 0;

Lampiran 18. Kebijakan Peramalan Kombinasi Kebijakan (K-KMB) Ekonorni Perikanan lndonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005 W~layah

Kenaikan Alat tangkap tuna dan kapal

Kenaikan Alat tangkap udang dan kapal

T4 K4 T4 K1 T4 K1 T4 K1 T4 K4 T4 K4 T4 K1 T4 K4 T4 K1 T4 K1 T4 K4

UL4 K 4 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 4 UL4 K 4

Barat Surnatera (WI) Selatan Jawa (W2) Selat Malaka (W3) Timur Surnatera (W4) Utara Jawa (W5) Selatan Bali NTT (W6) Barat Selatan Kalirnantan (W7) Tirnur Kalimantan (W8) Selatan Sulawesi (W9) Utara Sulawesi (W10) Maluku lrian Jaya (W11) Sumatera (WA) Jawa (WE) Bali NTT (WC) Kalirnantan (WD) Sulawesi (WE)

Perluasan Area dan bibit ikan

Kenaikan Anggaran Pernbangunan

Penurunan biaya Agro industri

GUT4 GUT4 GUT4 GUT4 G UT4

AGR04 AGR04 AGR04 AGRO4 AGR04

GUT4 GUT4 GUT4 GUT4 G UT4 GUT4

AGR04 AGR04 AGR04 AGR04 AGR04 AGR04

Y4 Y4 Y4

GUT4 GUT4 GUT4

Y4 Y4

GUT4 GUT4

AGR04 AGR04 AGR04 AGR04 AGR04

UL4 K 1 UL4 K 4 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 1 UL4 K 4

Lampiran 19. Kebijakan Peramalan Kombinasi Kebijakan (K-KMB) dengan GDP Jepang naik 5%, Ekonomi Perikanan lndonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005 lnstrumen Kebijakan K-KMB Jepang naik 5%

(tabel 68) dikombinasi dengan GDP

.

GDPJK = 1.05*GDPJK; Lampiran 20. Kebijakan Peramalan Kombinasi Kebijakan (K-KMB)

dengan GDP

Jepang turun 5%, Ekonomi Perikanan lndonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005. lnstrumen Kebijakan K-KMB Jepang naik 5%

.

GDPJK = 0.95*GDPJK;

(tabel 68) dikombinasi dengan GDP

Lampiran 21. Kebijakan Peramalan Pemerintah tidak mengambil pilihan kebijakan dengan GDP Jepang naik 5% , Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Tahun E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ= 0; RTSUS= 0; RTSSP = 0; RTSE = 0; RTBJ= 0; RTBUS= 0;RTBSP= 0;RTBE= 0; RTKJ = 0; RTKUS= 0; RTKKE= 0; RUSJ= 0;RUSUS = 0; RUSS = 0; RUSE= 0; RUBJ= 0; RUBUS= 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE= 0; RUKJ = 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS= 0; RCIKE= 0; GDPJK= 1.05*GDPJK: Lampiran 22. Kebijakan Peramalan Pemerintah tidak rnengambil pilihan kebijakan dengan GDP Jepang turun 5%. Ekonomi Perikanan lndonesia Tahun

E = 3*E; I = 0.5*1; RTSJ= 0; RTSUS= 0; RTSSP = O;RTSE= 0; RTBJ = 0; RTBUS= 0; RTBSP= 0; RTBE = 0; RTKJ= O;RTKUS= 0; RTKKE= 0; RUSJ= 0; RUSUS = 0; RUSS= 0; RUSE= 0; RUBJ= 0; RUBUS= 0; RUBS = 0; RUBE = 0; RUKJ= 0; RUKUS = 0; RUKS= 0; RUKE = 0;GDPJK = 0.95*GDPJK;

Lampiran 23. Hasil Simulasi Liberalisasi Perdagangan Tahun 1999 - 2005 No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Variable BOTlK CTBK CTSB CUBK CUSB DQTS DQUB DQUK DQUS GDPAGI L1 L10 L11 L2 L3 L4 L5 L6 L7 L8 L9 LRI LT1 LT2 LT3 LT4 LT5 LTL LTT MTBJ MTBLI MTBUS MTBW MTKFR MTKUK MTKUS MTKW MTSJ MTSLl MTSUS MTSW MUBJ MUBUS MUBW MUSJ MUSUS MUSW NXTURl PDTB

NORMAL R-NORM KRIS-EK 4272156 4310574 4488372 73.3715 73.1451 72.7516 110.2803 110.2857 112.2463 3.5509 3.561 2.3252 403.359 284.6279 283.241 295.021 7 296.8278 305.2587 30.7027 34.0225 61.0292 0.338 0.2633 0.3473 92.7582 10.5087 93.6794 6070 6121 18631 171207 171290 169195 160985 172328 160946 402205 296832 296497 135140 169621 170218 322398 322450 276545 108714 109227 99990 533903 478848 533482 236893 195239 236886 59064 59046 53923 206255 206268 138549 177857 178371 198242 5604130 5604999 5565997 53104 52916 63201 74522 73964 124735 8173 8127 12609 14227 14153 19663 59481 59327 74423 2443261 2445148 2320003 208487 294632 209506 112.6722 312.3341 104.7832 112.7424 75.3805 112.7984 180.3267 309.7186 183.9303 1699 1991 1695 96.3852 74.7247 96.3877 109.6452 92.6562 109.6466 150.0729 47.2856 148.7115 1545 1404 1544 110.0269 201.737 102.1583 111.2229 13.403 111.294 197.4762 -101.1 338 201.5722 1712 1407 1708 271.2145 199.6532 271.9953 334.5242 393.6728 333.5986 1199 ?187 1199 253.0661 294.4876 294.4298 333.6183 362.1587 332.9755 1317 1329 1329 2527738 231 1522 2349941 1775 1783 3837

LKE U-LPKEc 4595977 4679054 72.5251 72.831 1 112.2517 112.2459 2.3354 2.6884 401.9557 402.9085 307.1073 319.1486 64.3417 62.4598 0.2726 0.2805 9.7324 47.2303 19058 19388 169275 183056 172161 172126 401864 421789 135270 161930 276596 321625 100099 105379 478946 513970 195245 209029 53906 64595 138561 180892 198760 187119 5565645 5785693 63011 72301 124171 130342 12564 12594 19588 20943 74267 76639 2320682 2521510 293600 312820 304.1383 105.3316 75.4381 112.93 313.4662 185.8898 1986 1698 74.7274 96.2622 92.6577 109.5679 45.8699 148.0346 1403 1543 193.5626 102.4319 13.4765 111.2624 -96.8734 202.6238 1404 1710 200.464 271.9876 390.8329 333.1252 1t85 1198 253.1253 294.6027 361.4907 332.7622 1316 1329 2635343 2718420 3845 3837

Lampiran 23. Lanjutan Variable PDUB PMTBJ PMTBLI PMTBUS PMTKFR PMTKUK P M f KUS PMTSJ PMTSLI PMTSUS PMUBJ PMUBUS PMUSJ PMUSUS PXTBKR PXTBSL PXTBT PXTBW PXTKJ PXTKPP PXTKSL PXTKTT PXTKW PXTSKR PXTSSL PXTST PXTSW PXUBCN PXUBTT PXUBW PXUSCN PXUSTT PXUSW QT1 QTlO QTl I QT2 QT3 QT4 QT5 QT6 QT7 QT8 QT9 QTT QTTB QTTK QUB QUDL QUDT

NORMAL 6270 3.4789 0.5538 1.548 1.1769 0.5157 0.8748 3.5822 0.6572 1.6513 2.5578 6.8957 7.07 6.8521 1.3415 0.8761 0.7773 2.9282 4.9726 1.0719 3.971 0.5555 4.9726 9.573 2.996 4.5949 7.7947 1.1537 4.9444 7.8557 3.1587 8.0455 9.7201 25300 105781 150488 9318 1869 2170 21235 52770 167.087 2619 69213 440.931 99.2523 29.3486 170.7768 203.7303 166.0311

Larnpiran 23. Lanjutan No 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149

Variable QUK QUS QUTl QUTIO QUT11 OUT2 QUT3 QUT4 QUT5 QUT6 QUT7 OUT8 OUT9 RlNXlK RINXTB RINXTK RINXTS RINXUB RINXUK RINXUS RIPXTBE RIPXTBJ RIPXTBS RIPXTBUS RIPXTKE RIPXTKJ RIPXTKUS RIPXTSE RIPXTSJ RIPXTSS RIPXTSUS RIPXUBE RIPXUBJ RIPXUBS RIPXUBUS RIPXUKE RIPXUKJ RIPXUKS RIPXUKUS RIPXUSE RIPXUSJ RLPXUSS RIPXUSUS VG1 VGlO VGll VG2 VG3 VG4 VG5

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NORMAL 1.7755 369.7614 8473 338.2045 24175 3912 74599 20321 16870 4608 16397 23983 10053 4430238 153141 502680 680367 815782 109409 50143 1.6605 1.5025 1.8205 2.1288 4.4809 2.6432 5.7563 4.3608 8.5737 6.6203 7.3414 3.8315 6.0818 4.9552 6.7656 9.2278 19.7187 7.8803 5.501 4 5.0882 6.8688 2.2331 5.1412 5314 32490 49264 2278 28084 7615 5590

LKE 1 .I677 403.9403 8482 358.9419 28489 3287 70015 20667 22073 3111 16485 27304 10281 4754059 359564 206332 569569 1272735 107355 119788 3.0945 3.0945 3.0945 3.0945 4.91 14 4.91 14 4.91 14 7.2349 7.2349 7.2349 7.2349 7.3803 7.3803 7.3803 7.3803 19.7029 19.7029 19.7029 19.7029 9.6363 9.6363 9.6363 9.6363 5435 36431 69271 1674 23363 643 1 4160

Lampiran 23. Lanjutan Variable VG6 VG7 VG8 VG9 VXTBE VXTBJ VXTBS VXTBUS VXTKE VXTKJ VXTKUS VXTSE VXTSJ VXTSS VXTSUS VXUBE VXUBJ VXUBS VXUBUS VXUKE VXUKJ VXUKS VXUKUS VXUSE VXUSJ VXUSS VXUSUS XTBKR XTBRl XTBSL XTBT XTBW XTKJ XTKPP XTKRl XTKSL XTKTT XTKW XTSKR XTSRL XTSSL XTST XTSW XUBCN XUBRl XUBTT XUBW XUKRl XUSCN XUSRl

NORMAL 51 19 2736 20247 2971 1646 30726 137.0312 1747 -3109 707 8

77598 299.4568 28109 2773 882.5555 6708 66820 7326 16665 303.5591 89.9391 820.79 792.8221 669.8513 1088 3654 32.0149 194.7169 100.9073 131.0051 808.4212 1699 41.3268 176.0354 89.8378 106.0189 864.9786 871.9451 162.6866 79.722 136.0997 823.9935 1679 102.8083 136.5231 278.0673 1459 6.7591 111.'1223 9.9421

LKE 3582 2381 9450 3863 1703 45344 823.3967 1803 15881 4199 13636 456.222 26490 3438 876.1704 7454 89775 16132 22131 301. M I 5 10.0296 71.79 316.6564 945.7298 1149 5801 55.2792 202.2953 116.3253 154.8741 876.6538 1814 41.01 82 219.8048 42.0466 108.8242 879.5745 885.016 158.2649 78.9181 136.7675 825.569 1676 125.2898 174.4963 282.7233 1524 5.4515 118.9213 12.4492

Lampiran 23. Lanjutan No 200 201 202 203 204 205 206

Variable XUSTT XUSW YUTl YUT2 YUT3 YUT4 YUTS

Keterangan : 1. NORMAL 2. R-NORM 3. KRlS-EK 4. LKE 5. U-LPKE

NORMAL 228.2725 1291 49519 84470 3797 4343 23901

R-NORM 228.3909 1301 49420 84134 3786 4341 23813

KRlS-EK 228.2722 1292 44956 108490 4890 4212 31461

LKE 228.3905 1302 44856 108150 4799 4210 33372

U-LPKEc 228.2712 1295 64596 123583 4807 4605 33306

: Kondisi Normal (E=E. I=!) : Kondisi Liberalisasi Normal (E=E; I=I; Restriksi = 0) : Kondisi Krisis Ekonomi (E=3E; 1=21) : Kondisi Liberalisasi Pasca Krisis Ekonomi (E=3E: I=21; Restriksi = 0) : Kondisi Liberalisasi Pasca Krisis Ekonorni Khusus (E=3E; 1=0.51; Restriksi = 0)

Lampiran 24. Ramalan Ekonomi Perikanan Indonesia Tahun 1999 - 2005 dengan Kebijakan K-KMB dan GDP Jepang Naik 5 OO/ (Unilateral Liberalisasi Perdagangan) Peubah Endo IBOTlK 2 CTBK 3 CTSB 4 CUBK 5 CUSS 6 DOTS 7 DQUB 8 DQUK 9 DQUS 10 GDPAGI 11 L1 12 L10 13 L11 14 L2 15 L3 16 L4 17 L5 18 L6 19 L7 20 L8 21 L9 22 LRI 23 L T l 24 LT2 25 LT3 26 LT4 27 LT5 28 LTL 29 LTT 30 MTBJ 31 MTBLI 32 MTBUS 33 MTBW 34 MTKFR 35 MTKUK 36 MTKUS 37 MTKW 38 MTSJ 39 MTSLl 40 MTSUS 41 MTSW 42 MUBJ 43 MUBUS 44 MUBW 45 MUSJ 46 MUSUS 47 MUSW 48 NXTURl 49 PDT6 50 PDUB 51 PMTBJ

No

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Larnpiran 24. Lanjutan No Peubah Endo 52 PMTBLI 53 PMTBUS 54 PMTKFR 55 PMTKUK 56 PMTKUS 57 PMTSJ 58 PMTSLI 59 PMTSUS 60 PMUBJ 61 PMUBUS 62 PMUSJ 63 PMUSUS 64 PXTBKR 65 PXTBSL 66 PXTBT 67 PXTBW 68 PXTKJ 69 PXTKPP 70 PXTKSL 71 PXTKTT 72 PXTKW 73 PXTSKR 74 PXTSSL 75 PXTST 76 PXTSW 77 PXUBCN 78 PXUBIT 79 PXUBW 80 PXUSCN 81 PXUSTT 82 PXUSW 83 QT1 84 QTlO 85 Q T l 1 86 QT2 87 QT3 88 QT4 89 QT5 90 QT6 91 QT7 92 QT8 93 QT9 94 QTT 95 QTTB 96 QTTK 97 QUB 98 QUDL 99 QUDT 100 QUK 101 QUS 102 QUTl 103 QUTiO 104 QUT11

Lampiran 24. Lanjutan No Peubah Endo 105 QUT2 106 QUT3 107 OUT4 108 QUT5 109 QUT6 110 QUT7 111 QUT8 112 QUT9 1 13 RlNXlK 114 RINXTB 1 15 RINXTK 116 RINXTS 117 RINXUB 118 RINXUK 119 RINXUS 120 RIPXTBE 121 RIPXTBJ 122 RIPXTBS 123 RIPXTBUS 124 RIPXTKE 125 RIPXTKJ 126 RIPXTKUS 127 RIPXTSE 128 RIPXTSJ 129 RIPXTSS 130 RIPXTSUS 131 RIPXUBE 132 RLPXUBJ 133 RIPXUBS 134 RIPXUBUS 135 RIPXUKE 136 RIPXUKJ 137 RIPXUKS 138 RIPXUKUS 139 RIPXUSE 140 RIPXUSJ 141 RIPXUSS 142 RIPXUSUS 143 V G I 144 VGlO 145 V G l l 146 VG2 147 VG3 148 VG4 149 VG5 150 VG6 151 VG7 152 VG8 153 VG9 154 VXTBE 155 VXTBJ 156 VXTBS 157 VXTBUS 158 VXTKE

1999 4355.23 72463.85 20785.05 21124.75 3110.33 16995.03 24170.98 9941 2 4 3846462.3 356418.61 175569.83 550039.31 1314578.96 95916.11 136295.6 3.32434 3.32434 3.32434 3.32434 5.01691 5.01691 5.01691 7.91 027 7.91027 7.91027 7.91027 8.83735 8.83735 8.83735 8.83735 17.4612 17.4612 17.4612 17.4612 10.0215 10.0215 f 0.021 5 10.0215 5546.4 38096.89 46846.5 2237.65 24323.88 6719.37 5377.52 3521.62 2917.38 9871.93 2287.99 1911.54 36267.72 1191.37 1511.75 11489.96

RE1 'Sf-S3 IEXCRlRA MALLDOC

Lampiran 24. Lanjutan No Peubah Endo 159 VXTKJ 160 VXTKUS 161 VXTSE 162 VXTSJ 163 VXTSS 164 VXTSUS 165 VXUBE 166 VXUBJ 167 VXUBS 168 VXUBUS 169 VXUKE 170 VXUKJ 171 VXUKS 172 VXUKUS 173 VXUSE 174 VXUSJ 175 VXUSS 176 VXUSUS 177 XTBKR 178 XTBRl 179 XTBSL 180 XTBT 181 XTBW 182 XTKJ 183 XTKPP 184 XTKRl 185 XTKSL 186 XTKTT 187 XTKW 188 XTSKR 189 XTSRI 190 XTSSL 191 XTST 192 XTSW 193 XUBCN 194 XUBRl 195 XUBTT 196 XUBW 197 XUKRl 198 XUSCN 199 XUSRl 200 XUSTT 201 XUSW 202 YUTl 203 YUT2 204 YUT3 205 YUT4 206 YUTS

1999 4913.21

RE1 S/J~\EX-CR\RAJWAL. DOC

DAFTAR PUSTAKA. Anderson, P Commercial Fisheries Under Price Uncertainty. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 9 (I):

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