Weekly Trading Plan Monday, January 06th 2014
Weekly IHSG 4257.66 44.68 1.06%
International DJIA
Weekly LQ-45
709.35 7.87 1.12%
Close 16,469.99
WoW Chg -8.42
(%) -0.05%
4,131.91
-24.68
-0.59%
S&P 500
1,831.37
-10.03
-0.54%
FTSE 100
6,730.67
-19.33
-0.29%
Nasdaq
Vol (Mn):
11
Val (Bn):
11
Nikkei 225
16,291.31
112.37
0.69%
889
Hang Seng
22,817.28
-425.96
-1.83%
3,131.5
-18.29
-0.58%
Last 12180
WoW Chg -96.00
(%) -0.78%
F Net B (Bn):
STI Sector
Last
(%)
PER
PBV
Agriculture
2076.92
0.19%
0.9
3.2
Exchange Rates USD / IDR
Mining
1381.12
-2.28%
4.1
2.7
US $ Index
80.82
0.50
0.62%
Basic Industry
484.46
1.23%
4.5
1.4
EUR / USD
1.3598
-0.02
-1.11%
Misc Industry
1194.05
1.43%
12.0
1.1
USD / JPY
104.66
-0.67
-0.64%
7.1
GBP / USD
1.6364
-0.01
-0.68%
USD / CNY
6.052
-0.01
-0.21%
AUD / USD
0.8956
0.01
1.22%
Last
WoW Chg
(%)
S&P 500 Vlty (VIX)
13.76
1.30
10.43%
Baltic Dry
2036
-211.00
-9.39%
Consumer
2.05%
1804.22
Property
339.04
18.9
1.52%
24.6
2.4
Infrastructure
924.69
1.26%
9.5
0.0
Finance
535.97
0.99%
14.1
0.0
777.76
1.20%
27.5
0.0
4257.66
1.06%
14.0
0.0
Trade Composite
Others
Recommendation Flashback 12/30/2013 Week's Potential Week's Potential Stock Rec. (opn) Stop Loss Loss Highest Date Gain Lowest Date Gain SGRO TB 2025 1900 -6.2% 2075 1/2/2014 2.5% 1990 1/3/2014 -1.7% ACES TB 600 560 -6.7% 660 1/3/2014 10.0% 590 12/30/2013 -1.7% RALS SB 1030 970 -5.8% 1130 1/3/2014 9.7% 1030 12/30/2013 0.0% CPIN PS 3375 3300 -2.2% 3550 1/2/2014 5.2% 3350 12/30/2013 -0.7%
IHSG on the Week (30/12/13 - 03/01/14)
4,800.00 4,600.00
4,274.18
4,274.18
1.45%
0.00%
4,327.27 4,274.18
4,257.66
4,400.00 4,200.00
Value (Bn)
Volume (M n)
-1.61%
1.24%
0.00%
4,000.00 3,800.00
5.00 IH SG
4.20 3.34 3.31
12/30/2013 LQ-45 Close LQ-45 % Chg Frgn Net Buy (Bn)
-
12/31/2013 711.14 1.38% 704
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-
3.35
3,600.00 2.70
3,400.00 3,200.00
-
3,000.00 1/1/2014
1/2/2014
711.14 0.00% 0
711.14 0.00% 0
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1/3/2014 723.52 1.74% 319.07
709.35 -1.96% -134.69
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Weekly Trading Plan Weekly Technical Review IHSG
S1 S2 S3
4165 4078 3979
R1 R2 R3
4259 4363 4462
Comment: JCI surged significantly last week. A bearish kicker signal appeared at the end of the week, signaling a reversal movement. Trading range 4174-4327. By the first session today, the index continues its bearish movement. Stochastic dead crossed at the overbought state, broad downside potential. Both DI lines are closing the gap, with the (-) one points up, a potential short term bearish. Long term bullish, shorter term bearish movement. This week stop-loss level 4165. The index is predicted to move in bearish tendency this week with the downside target of 4078 (Maximum bullish tolerance).
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Weekly Trading Plan Sectoral Highlight CONSUMER GOODS
S1 S2 S3
1790 1727 1663
R1 R2 R3
1850 1906 1981
Comment: The index surged significantly last week. A bearish homing pigeon formation appeared at the end of the week, signaling a potential reversal movement. Trading range 17441821. By the first session today, the index forms a potential bearish engulfing formation. Stochastic dead crossed at the overbought state, broad downside potential. Long term bullish, shorter long term bearish movement. This week stop loss level at 1790, if the price moves below this level, the index will potentially move toward the 1727 support level (maximum bullish tolerance & and the lower fractal of the Bill William). The break up confirmation level is at 1850. Pierce up this level means a bullish continuation signal.
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Weekly Trading Plan Stock Highlight KLBF
S1 S2 S3
1300 1230 1150
R1 R2 R3
1380 1450 1530
Comment: KLBF rose significantly last week, after break out bearish trend line and MA50. Trading range 1230-1330. By the first session this week, The candle form a northern star candle pattern. The price moves slightly on negative territory and pulled back the resistance MA200. Stochastic, dead-cross at overbought state, broad downside potential. RSI shows an overbought momentum, bearish trend indications, ADX shows a reversal trend signal with DI (+) pointed down and DI (-) Pointed Up. Upside scenario: Intraday resistance 1380, if the price able to move above this level, it will continue its movement towards level 1450. Downside scenario: Stop loss level at 1300. Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the price will continue to the 1230 (Max bullish trend tolerance).
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Weekly Trading Plan HEAD OFFICE
RESEARCH DIVISION
Reliance Building Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A, Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 661 7768 F +62 21 661 9884
Jasa Adhi Mulya Wilson Sofan Lanjar Nafi Taulat I Hansen Teguh Aji Setiawan Alan Milgerry
EQUITY DIVISION
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JakartaJakarta- Pluit Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T + 62 21 661 7768 F + 62 21 661 9884
Bandung Jl.Cisangkuy No.58 Bandung 40115 T + 62 22 721 8200 F + 62 22 721 9255
Surabaya - Gubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196
Makassar Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634
Jakarta - Sudirman Menara Batavia 27th floor Jl.KH.Mas Mansyur Kav 126 Jakarta 10220 T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010
Tasikmalaya Ruko Tasik Indah Plaza No. 21 Jl. KHZ Mustofa No. 345 Tasikmalaya 46121 T + 62 265 345000 F + 62 265 345003
Surabaya – Diponegoro Jl. Diponegoro No. 26D Surabaya 60261 T + 62 31 567 0388 F + 62 31 561 0528
Pekanbaru Jl. Sumatera No. 9, Simpang Empat Pekanbaru - Riau 28000 T + 62 761 7894368 F + 62 761 7894370
Jakarta – Kebon Jeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2 Jakarta 11530 T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157
Yogyakarta Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121
BSD Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494
Surakarta Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478
Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615
Medan Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597
Denpasar Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099
Jakarta – Centro Ruko Centro Residence Kav. 4-5 Tower C Lt. 1 No. 26-29 Jl. Macan, Daan Mogot Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 56945227 F +62 21 56945226
Pontianak Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284
Balikpapan Ruko Bukit Indah Blok I No3 RT 34 Jl. MT Haryono, Gunung Bahagia Balikpapan Selatan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138
Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619
Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. +62354) 683128 F. +62354) 683128
President University Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585
Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888
STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218
Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru, Makassar 90222 T. +62411-889464 / 881244 F. +62411-887604
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782
Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420
Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840
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